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Florida Presidential Primary Survey

March 2016

2

Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters

March 2016

Methodology

Sample 450 Republican Florida likely presidential primary voters

Dates of Interviews March 2nd - March 5th

Languages of Interviews English, Spanish

Margin of Error +/- 4.6 Percentage Points

ELECTORAL MOTIVATION

4


March 2016

Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do

you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Wrong Track Right Direction Don't know/No answer

93%

5% 2%

5


March 2016

Which one of the following issues will be the MOST important

in deciding your vote for President in November 2016?

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Jobs and theeconomy

Terrorism Foreign Policy Healthcare Immigration Education Global ClimateChange

Same SexMarriage

Other Don'tknow/Noanswer

43%

27%

8% 7% 6%2% 1% 1%

3% 2%

CANDIDATE

FAVORABILITY RATINGS

7


March 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

6%

2%

18%

21%

17%

36% 57%

35%

Ted Cruz

8


March 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

No answer



4%

15%

27%

24%

30% 57%

39%

Donald Trump

9


March 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

No answer

Do not recognize



6%

1%

18%

28%

13%

34% 62%

31%

Marco Rubio

REPUBLICAN

PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY

11


March 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz John Kasich Other Don't know/Noanswer

38%

31%

19%

4%1%

7%

If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Florida were

held today and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich,

Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, whom would you support?

12


March 2016

If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Florida were

held today and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich,

Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, whom would you support?

Male Female

Donald Trump 42% 35%

Marco Rubio 29% 33%

Ted Cruz 21% 18%

John Kasich 4% 6%

Don’t know/No answer 4% 8%

BYGENDER

13


March 2016

Which candidate would be your 2nd choice?

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Donald Trump John Kasich Don't know/No answer

30%

24%

15% 14%

17%

14


March 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer

60%

17%15%

5% 3%

Who do you think has a better chance of getting elected

president in November 2016?

15


March 2016

Male Female

Donald Trump 61% 59%

Marco Rubio 19% 15%

Ted Cruz 13% 16%

Don’t know 3% 7%

No answer 4% 3%

BY EDUCATION

Who do you think has a better chance of getting elected

president in November 2016?

16


March 2016

If he does not win the Florida Presidential Primary on March 15th, do you believe

that Marco Rubio should or should not suspend his campaign for President?

59%33%

6%

2%

Should suspend

Should not suspend

Don't know

No answer

PERSONAL TRAITS

18


March 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz Don't know No answer

34%30%

21%

7% 8%

Who do you think is more honest and trustworthy?

19


March 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz Don't know No answer

39%

26% 25%

7%

3%

Who do you think has a better personality and

temperament to serve as president?

20


March 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%


55%

21%18%

5%1%

Who do you think would do more to bring needed

change to Washington?

21


March 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%


39%

32%

21%

4% 4%

Who do you think is closer to you on the issues?

22


March 2016

High School Some College College Graduate

Donald Trump 27% 52% 36%

Marco Rubio 35% 24% 35%

Ted Cruz 27% 15% 23%

Don’t know 5% 3% 5%

No answer 6% 6% 1%

BY EDUCATION

Who do you think is closer to you on the issues?

23


March 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%


56%

22%

16%

3% 3%

Who do you trust most to handle the economy?

24


March 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%


45%

29%

21%

4%1%

Who do you trust more to handle immigration issues?

25


March 2016




Ted Cruz 27% 16% 22%


No answer 1% 2% 2%

BY EDUCATION

Who do you trust more to handle immigration issues?

26


March 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio Donald Trump Don't know No answer

45%

25%21%

6%3%

Who do you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism?

27


March 2016

Who do you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism?




Ted Cruz 23% 15% 24%


No answer 1% 5% 2%

BY EDUCATION

28


March 2016

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%


36%

29%

23%

7%5%

Who do you trust more to handle healthcare?

29


March 2016




Ted Cruz 27% 16% 25%


No answer 5% 7% 4%

BY EDUCATION

Who do you trust more to handle healthcare?

REPUBLICAN

U.S. SENATE PRIMARY

31


March 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Carlos Lopez-Cantera

Ron DeSantis David Jolly Todd Wilcox Carlos Beruff Don't know No answer

6% 6% 5%2% 0%

74%

7%

If the Republican primary for the US Senate seat from Florida were held today and

the candidates were Carlos Beruff, Ron DeSantis, David Jolly, Carlos Lopez-Cantera

and Todd Wilcox, for whom would you vote?

POLICY SUPPORT

33


March 2016

With regard to the current opening on the Supreme Court, after President Obama nominates

someone do you believe the U.S. Senate should vote on President Obama’s nominee to fill the

position or should the Senate delay action on the vacancy until after the next president takes office?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Vote Delay Don't know

26%

72%

2%

Republicans

34


March 2016

Donald Trump has proposed banning Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States for the

time being. He says this would improve security against terrorism. Others say security would not be improved,

and it’s wrong to bar people from the United States because of their religion. What’s your opinion—would you

support a ban on Muslims entering the United States or to you this would be the wrong thing to do?

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat/Strongly wrong thing to do

Strongly/Somewhat support

3%

5%

18%

39%

17%

18% 57%

35%

35


March 2016

Do you approve or disapproved of President Obama’s plan to visit Cuba this month?

He’d be the first sitting President to do so in 88 years.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Approve Disapprove Don't know No answer

33%

59%

7%1%

Approve

Disapprove

Don't know

No answer

36


March 2016

Overall, do you support or oppose ending the so-called “wet foot, dry foot” policy,

which allows Cuban refugees to stay in the U.S. if they reach U.S. soil?

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

No answer

Don't know

Somewhat/Strongly oppose


2%

7%

15%

28%

25%

23% 51%

40%

37


March 2016

The United States territory of Puerto Rico has announced that it is close to

defaulting on $72 billion worth of debt. Overall, do you support or oppose

providing financial assistance to help Puerto Rico pay off its debt?

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

No answer

Don't know

Somewhat/Strongly oppose


2%

8%

18%

10%

44%

18% 28%

62%

DEMOGRAPHICS

39


March 2016

Gender

46%

47%

48%

49%

50%

51%

52%

Male Female

48%

52%

Republicans

40


March 2016

Age

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

7%

26%

31%

36%

Republicans

41


March 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Some high school High School Graduate/GEDTwo-year college or technical school graduate/Some college/Associate DegreeCollege graduate or higher degree/Bachelor's degree or higherDon't know/No answer

4%

13%

29%

53%

1%

Republican

What is the highest level of education that you have completed?

42


March 2016

The media in Florida generally classifies people as Black,

White, Hispanic, Asian or another race, which do you

consider yourself to be?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Black White Hispanic Asian/MixedRace/Other

2%

80%

15%

3%

Republicans

43


March 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Yes, Cuban Yes, Other Hispanic No

8% 7%

85%

Republicans

Are you of Cuban or Hispanic descent?

44


March 2016

In what country were you born?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

United States Cuba Puerto Rico Central/South America,other Hispanic

Other/No answer

89%

7% 2% 1% 1%

Republicans

45


March 2016

In what country or countries were your parents and/or grandparents born?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

United States Cuba Puerto Rico Central/South America,other Hispanic

Other/No answer

80%

1% 1% 2%

16%

Republicans

46


March 2016

Language of Interview

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

English Spanish

94%

6%

Republicans

47


March 2016

Region

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Miami/South Florida South/Central Florida Tampa Bay Area Orlando, CentralFlorida

NorthFlorida/Panhandle

16%

20%17%

22%25%

Republicans

Florida Presidential Primary Survey

March 2016

For more information, please contact:

Fernand R. AmandiPrincipal

305.529.9916

[email protected]

florida presidential primary surveybendixenandamandi.com/floridapollrepublicans.pdfsurvey of florida...

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