first, firster, firstest: three lessons from history on information overload

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First, Firster, Firstest Three lessons from history on information overload and technology Strata Conference September, 2011 Mark R. Madsen http://ThirdNature.net

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Keynote from the 2011 Strata New York conference. The first person to conceive of something is usually not the first. They're the first to re-conceive at a point where the current technology caught up to someone else's idea. We're at a point today where many old ideas are being reinvented. Hear why looking to the past, beyond your core field of interest, is worthwhile. Video can be found at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qv0yF47L8WE

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Page 1: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

First, Firster, Firstest

Three lessons from history on information overload and technology

Strata ConferenceSeptember, 2011

Mark R. Madsenhttp://ThirdNature.net

Page 2: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Sivowitch’s Law of Firsts

Page 2

“Whenever you prove who was first, the harder you look you will find someone else who was more first. And if you persist in your efforts you find that the person whom you thought was first was third.”

- Eliot Sivowitch

Page 3: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” 

George Santayana

If there’s one lesson we can take from history, It’s that nobody learns any lessons from history.

Page 4: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The future of data is the relational database

Page 5: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

Page 6: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Good conceptual model, bad implementation

The relational database is the franchise technology for storing and retrieving data, but…

1. Single, static schema model

2. No rich typing system

3. Limited API in atomic SQL statement syntax

Page 7: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Big Data: The SQL vs noSQL argument

Page 8: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

There’s a difference between having no past and actively rejecting it.

Page 9: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

“There is nothing new under the sun but there are lots of old things we don't know.”

Ambrose Bierce

Page 10: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The fundamental data storage device for a thousand years

Page 11: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Elizabethan Era

Automated printing. 

Information explosion: ▪ 8M books in 1500

▪ 200M by 1600

▪ Commoditization

Data management tech:▪ Perfect copies▪ Indices▪ Topical catalogs▪ First real encyclopedia▪ Font standardization

Page 12: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Elizabethan Era: Storage and Retrieval

Page 13: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Elizabethan Era: Storage and Retrieval

Page 14: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Elizabethan Era: Storage and Retrieval

Page 15: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Georgian Era: The Explosion of Natural Philosophy

Page 16: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Bottom up orientation

Flexible structure

Explanatory, descriptive

Faceted classification

Buffon

Page 17: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Linnaeus

Top down orientation

Static structure

Descriptive rather than explanatory

Taxonomic classification

Page 18: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

vs

vs

The Theory of American Degeneracy

Page 19: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Theory of American Degeneracy

Page 20: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Theory of American Degeneracy

Page 21: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

vs

vs

Page 22: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Victorian Era

Page 23: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Cutter Expansive Classification System (~1882)

Bottom up orientation

More flexible structure

Explanatory, descriptive

Charles Ammi Cutter

Page 24: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Melvil Dewey

Dewey Decimal System

Top down orientation

Static structure

Descriptive rather than explanatory

Page 25: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

vs

Page 26: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Every technology is a tradeoff between something

History is always the same:▪ Top down vs. bottom up

▪ Authority vs. anarchy▪ Bureaucracy vs. autonomy

▪ Control vs. creativity▪ Hierarchy vs. network▪ Power vs. ease▪ Dynamic vs. static

In every choice, something is lost when something is gained.

Page 27: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

So why did Linnaeus and Dewey win?

Good enough wins the day

It wasn’t solving the problem you thought it was.

Page 28: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

What lesson might we apply from this?

Perhaps you should think about pragmatism a little bit.

So how do I query the database?

It’s not a database, it’s a key-value store!

Ok, it’s not a databaseHow do I query it?

You write a distributed mapreducefunction in erlang.

Did you just tell me to go to hell? I believe I

did, Bob.

Page 29: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Dealing with data in the industrial era

Paul Otlet at his desk

Page 30: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

19th Century Data Loading

Page 31: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Writing to the Database, Note Multi‐processing

Page 32: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Large Scale Information Storage

Page 33: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Information Retrieval

Page 34: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The Computer & Internet Were Invented in 1934

Otlet’s future vision:▪ Technological developments will improve the ability to manage information

▪ Current technologies can be integrated to provide individual discovery, access and collaboration

Page 35: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The MundaneumWorked, For a While

Two primary flaws of the Mundaneum:▪ Static, top‐down classification system

▪ Loading could not keep up with data production rates

Sounds familiar

Page 36: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Information Management Through Human History

New technology development

creates

New methods to cope

creates

New information scale and availability

creates…

Page 37: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Big Data

Page 38: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

Page 39: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Unstructured data isn’t really unstructured.

The problem is that this data is unmodeled.

Big data?

Page 40: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The future of data is the relational database

SQL noSQL

Page 41: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The future of data is the relational database

SQL noSQL

Page 42: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

The false dichotomy can be removed by technology

Code defines what’s possible now - maybe it’s time to recode

Page 43: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

Conclusion

Page 44: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

CC Image Attributions

Thanks to the people who supplied the creative commons licensed images used in this presentation:manuscript_page.jpg ‐ http://www.flickr.com/photos/calliope/306564541/

manuscript_illum.jpg ‐ http://www.flickr.com/photos/diorama_sky/2975796332

bookshelf by spectrum.jpg ‐ http://flickr.com/photos/santos/1704875109/

moose.jpg ‐ http://www.flickr.com/photos/stephenandjes/4286949510/

Vatican library ‐ http://www.flickr.com/photos/paullew/1550844955

Copyright or unknown

Little girl and fire – Dave Roth

Procrastinate – http://www.cracked.com

Fault tolerance ‐ http://browsertoolkit.com/fault‐tolerance.png

Page 45: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

About the PresenterMark Madsen is president of Third Nature, a technology research and consulting firm focused on business intelligence, analytics and information management. Mark is an award-winning author, architect and former CTO whose work has been featured in numerous industry publications. During his career Mark received awards from the American Productivity & Quality Center, TDWI, Computerworld and the Smithsonian Institute. He is an international speaker, contributing editor at Intelligent Enterprise, and manages the open source channel at the Business Intelligence Network. For more information or to contact Mark, visit http://ThirdNature.net.

Page 46: First, Firster, Firstest: Three lessons from history on information overload

About Third Nature

Third Nature is a research and consulting firm focused on new and emerging technology and practices in business intelligence, data integration and information management. If your question is related to BI, open source, web 2.0 or data integration then you‘re at the right place.

Our goal is to help companies take advantage of information-driven management practices and applications. We offer education, consulting and research services to support business and IT organizations as well as technology vendors.

We fill the gap between what the industry analyst firms cover and what IT needs. We specialize in product and technology analysis, so we look at emerging technologies and markets, evaluating the products rather than vendor market positions.