firm dynamic productivity
DESCRIPTION
Slide presentation for DDSS Conference 2010TRANSCRIPT
FIRM DYNAMIC PRODUCTIVITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
Noordini binti Che’Man
Harry Timmermans
INTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION
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URBAN PLANNING
TRANSPORTATION MODELLING
Modelling Urban Dynamic
Cellular Automata
Integrated Land Use
Transportation Model
Weakness
Weak Behavioral Basis
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Alternative !!
MULTI – AGENTS SYSTEM MODELS
Agent represent desicion maker
Allow investigating urban land use as complex system
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How to Incoporate Economic Growth?
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ECONOMIC GROWTH
FIRM DEMOGRAPHY
Urban growth
Land Use pattern
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DEMOGRAPHY OF FIRM
• Study of demographic events in the firm population in particular area (Geenhuizen and Nijkamp, 1994).
• This concept been attributed to seminal work by David Birch (1979) in his study on ‘job generating processes’ in the USA .
• Firm location choice- many factor influence- vary by business sector and city.• transportation features
• the CBD area.
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STUDY AREA
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STUDY AREA
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Kuala Lumpur Planning System Growth
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DATA SETS
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1. Firm data
2. Klang Valley’s GIS Data
3. Statistic and economic data for Klang Valley and Malaysia
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ANALYSIS & RESULTS
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FIRM DATA ANALYSIS
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Firm Data Locator
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FIRM DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
Firm Dynamic Performance (1990 – 2007)
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Total = 57 737 firms
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FIRM DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
Firm Dynamic Performance by sector
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35.6%
31.1%
7.3%
8.1%
0.6%
0.3%
4.7%
0.3%
4.4%
6.5%
1.2%
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FIRM LOCATION ANALYSIS
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Proximity Analysis
Distribution of firms 100meter and 500meter from transportation feature
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FIRM LOCATION ANALYSIS
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Proximity Analysis
Percentage of Firm by Sector - 100meter and 500meter from transportation feature
Proximity Analysis
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Proximity Analysis
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Area Analysis
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Distribution of Firms by sector in Kuala Lumpur CBD area.
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CONCLUSION
• The importance of location and transportation links—influence the decision of new firms.
• Firm demography concept as solution to modelling of economic development as bottom-up development process.
• partial data is available—date of start-up, firm address, firm status, type of firm but no information is available about migration, closure date or employment status—model opportunities are limited to data availability.
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