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The Time Value of Money Chapter 5

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Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

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Page 1: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

The Time Value of Money

Chapter 5

Page 2: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Simple Interest Versus Compound Interest

Page 3: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 3

Simple Interest

Interest is earned only on principal.

Example: Compute simple interest on $100 invested at 6% per year for three years.

1st year interest is $6.002nd yearinterest is $6.003rd year interest is $6.00Total interest earned: $18.00

Page 4: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 4

Compound Interest Compounding is when interest paid

on an investment during the first period is added to the principal; then, during the second period, interest is earned on the new sum (that includes the principal and interest earned so far).

In simple interest calculation, interest is earned only on principal.

Page 5: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 5

Compound Interest

Example: Compute compound interest on $100 invested at 6% for three years with annual compounding.

1st year interest is $6.00 Principal is $106.002nd year interest is $6.36 Principal is $112.36 3rd year interest is $6.74 Principal is $119.11

Total interest earned: $19.10

Page 6: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

3. Future Value

Page 7: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 7

Future Value

Is the amount a sum will grow to in a certain number of years when compounded at a specific rate.

Future Value can be computed using formula, table, calculator or spreadsheet.

Page 8: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 8

Future Value – using Formula

FVn = PV (1 + i) n

Where FVn = the future of the investment at the end of “n” years

i= the annual interest (or discount) rate

n = number of years

PV = the present value, or original amount invested at the beginning of the first year

Page 9: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 9

Page 10: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 10

Future Value Example

Example: What will be the FV of $100 in 2 years at interest rate of 6%?

FV2= PV(1+i)2 = $100 (1+.06)2

$100 (1.06)2 = $112.36

Page 11: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 11

Increasing Future Value Future Value can be increased by:

• Increasing number of years of compounding (n)

• Increasing the interest or discount rate (i)

• Increasing the original investment (PV)

• See example on next slide

Page 12: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 12

Changing I, N, and PV (a) You deposit $500 in a bank for 2 years … what is the

FV at 2%? What is the FV if you change interest rate to 6%?

FV at 2% = 500*(1.02)2 = $520.2

FV at 6% = 500*(1.06)2 = $561.8

(b) Continue same example but change time to 10 years. What is the FV now?

FV at 6% = 500*(1.06)10= $895.42

(c) Continue same example but change contribution to $1500. What is the FV now?

FV at 6% = 1,500*(1.06)10 = $2,686.27

Page 13: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 13

Future Value – Using TablesFVn = PV (FVIFi,n)

Where FVn = the future of the investment at the end of n year

PV = the present value, or original amount invested at the

beginning of the first year

FVIF = Future value interest factor or the compound sum of $1

i = the interest rate

n = number of compounding periods

Page 14: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 14

Future Value – using Tables

What is the future value of $500 invested at 8% for 7 years? (Assume annual compounding)

Using the tables, look at 8% column, 7 time periods to find the factor 1.714

FVn = PV (FVIF8%,7yr)

= $500 (1.714) = $857

Page 15: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 15

Present value reflects the current value of a future payment or receipt.

It can be computed using the formula, table, calculator or spreadsheet.

Present Value

Page 16: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 16

Present Value – Using Formula

PV = FVn {1/(1+i)n}

Where FVn = the future value of the investment at the end of n years n = number of years until payment is received i = the interest rate

PV = the present value of the future sum of money

Page 17: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

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Page 18: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 18

PV Example

What will be the present value of $500 to be received 10 years from today if the discount rate is 6%?

PV = $500 {1/(1+.06)10} = $500 (1/1.791)

= $500 (.558) = $279

Page 19: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 19

Present Value – Using Tables

PVn = FV (PVIFi,n)

Where PVn = the present value of a future sum of money

FV = the future value of an investment at the end of an investment period

PVIF = Present Value interest factor of $1

i = the interest rate

n = number of compounding periods

Page 20: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 20

What is the present value of $100 to be received in 10 years if the discount rate is 6%?

Find the factor in the table corresponding to 6% and 10 years

PVn = FV (PVIF6%,10yrs.)

= $100 (.558)

= $55.80

Present Value – Using Tables

Page 21: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 21

Annuity

An annuity is a series of equal dollar payments for a specified number of years.

Ordinary annuity payments occur at the end of each period.

Page 22: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 22

Compound Annuity

Depositing or investing an equal sum of money at the end of each year for a certain number of years and allowing it to grow.

Page 23: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

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FV Annuity – Example What will be the FV of 5-year $500 annuity compounded at 6%?

FV5 = $500 (1+.06)4 + $500 (1+.06)3 +$500(1+.06)2 + $500 (1+.06) + $500

= $500 (1.262) + $500 (1.191) + $500 (1.124)+

$500 (1.090) + $500

= $631.00 + $595.50 + $562.00 + $530.00 + $500

= $2,818.50

Page 24: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 24

Growth of a 5yr $500 Annuity Compounded at 6%

5

500

6%1 2 3 40

500500 500 500

Page 25: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 25

FV of an Annuity – Using Formula

FV = PMT {(FVIFi,n-1)/ i }Where FV n= the future of an annuity at the end of the

nth years

FVIFi,n= future-value interest factor or sum of annuity of $1 for n years

PMT= the annuity payment deposited or received at the end of each year

i= the annual interest (or discount) rate

n = the number of years for which the annuity will last

Page 26: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 26

What will $500 deposited in the bank every year for 5 years at 10% be worth?

FV = PMT {(FVIFi,n-1)/ i }

Simplified form of this equation is:

FV5 = PMT (FVIFAi,n)

= PMT [ (1+i)n-1 ] i

= $500 (5.637)

= $2,818.50

FV of an Annuity – Using Formula

Page 27: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 27

FV of Annuity: Changing PMT,N and I

(1) What will $5,000 deposited annually for 50 years be worth at 7%? FV= $2,032,644 Contribution = 250,000 (=5000*50)

(2) Change PMT = $6,000 for 50 years at 7% FV = $2,439,173 Contribution= $300,000 (=6000*50)

Page 28: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 28

(3) Change time = 60 years, $6,000 at 7%FV = $4,881,122; Contribution = 360,000 (=6000*60)

(4) Change i = 9%, 60 years, $6,000FV = $11,668,753; Contribution = $360,000 (=6000*60)

FV of Annuity: Changing PMT,N and I

Page 29: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 29

Present Value of an Annuity

Pensions, insurance obligations, and interest owed on bonds are all annuities. To compare these three types of investments we need to know the present value (PV) of each.

PV can be computed using calculator, tables, spreadsheet or formula.

Page 30: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 30

PV of an Annuity – Using Table

Calculate the present value of a $500 annuity received at the end of the year annually for five years when the discount rate is 6%.

PV = PMT (PVIFAi,n) = $500(4.212) (From the table)

= $2,106

Page 31: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 31

5-year, $500 Annuity Discounted to the Present at 6%

Page 32: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 32

PV of Annuity – Using Formula

PV of Annuity = PMT [1-(1+i)-1] i

= 500 (4.212)= $2,106

Page 33: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 33

Annuities Due

Annuities due are ordinary annuities in which all payments have been shifted forward by one time period. Thus with annuity due, each annuity payment occurs at the beginning of the period rather than at the end of the period.

Page 34: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 34

Continuing the same example. If we assume that $500 invested every year at 6% to be annuity due, the future value will increase due to compounding for one additional year.

FV5 (annuity due) = PMT [ (1+i)n-1 ] (1+i)

I

= 500(5.637)(1.06)

= $2,987.61 (versus $2,818.80 for ordinary annuity)

Annuities Due

Page 35: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 35

Amortized Loans

Loans paid off in equal installments over time are called amortized loans.

For example, home mortgages and auto loans.

Reducing the balance of a loan via annuity payments is called amortizing.

Page 36: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 36

The periodic payment is fixed. However, different amounts of each payment are applied towards the principal and interest. With each payment, you owe less towards principal. As a result, amount that goes toward interest declines with every payment (as seen in figure 5-3).

Amortized Loans

Page 37: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 37

Amortized Loans

Page 38: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

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Amortization Example

Example: If you want to finance a new machinery with a purchase price of $6,000 at an interest rate of 15% over 4 years, what will your annual payments be?

Page 39: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 39

Payments – Using Formula Finding Payment: Payment amount

can be found by solving for PMT using PV of annuity formula.

PV of Annuity =PMT [1-(1+i)-1] I

6,000 = PMT (2.855)PMT = 6,000/2.855

= $2,101.58

Page 40: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 40

Payments – Using Formula

Page 41: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 41

Amortization Schedule

Yr. Annuity Interest Principal Balance

1 $2,101.58 $900.00 $1,201.58 $4,798.42

2 $2,101.58 719.76 1,381.82 3,416.60

3 $2,101.58 512.49 1,589.09 1,827.51

4 $2,101.58 274.07 1,827.51 -0-

Page 42: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 42

Making Interest Rates Comparable

We cannot compare rates with different compounding periods. For example, 5% compounded annually versus 4.9 percent compounded quarterly.

To make the rates comparable, we compute the annual percentage yield (APY) or effective annual rate (EAR).

Page 43: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 43

Quoted rate versus Effective rate

Quoted rate could be very different from the effective rate if compounding is not done annually.

Example: $1 invested at 1% per month will grow to $1.126825 (=$1.00(1.01)12) in one year. Thus even though the interest rate may be quoted as 12% compounded monthly, the effective annual rate or APY is 12.68%

Page 44: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 44

APY = (1+quoted rate/m)m – 1

Where m = number of compounding periods

= (1+.12/12)12 - 1 = (1.01)12 – 1= .126825 or 12.6825%

Quoted rate versus Effective rate

Page 45: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

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Quoted rate versus Effective rate

Page 46: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

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Finding PV and FV with Non-annual periods If interest is not paid annually, we need to

change the interest rate and time period to reflect the non-annual periods while computing PV and FV.I = stated rate/# of compounding periodsN = # of years * # of compounding periods in a year

Example10% a year, with quarterly compounding for 10

years.

I = .10/4 = .025 or 2.5%N = 10*4 = 40 periods

Page 47: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 47

Perpetuity

A perpetuity is an annuity that continues forever

The present value of a perpetuity is

PV = PP/iPV = present value of the perpetuityPP = constant dollar amount provided by the perpetuityi = annuity interest (or discount rate)

Page 48: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 48

Example: What is the present value of $2,000 perpetuity discounted back to the present at 10% interest rate?

= 2000/.10 = $20,000

Perpetuity

Page 49: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

Keown, Martin, Petty - Chapter 5 49

The Multinational Firm

Principle 1- The Risk Return Tradeoff – We Won’t Take on Additional Risk Unless We Expect to Be Compensated with Additional Return

The discount rate used to move money through time should reflect the additional compensation. The discount rate should, for example, reflect anticipated rate of inflation.

Page 50: Finance NSU EMB 510 Chapter 5

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Inflation rate in US is fairly stable but in many foreign countries, inflation rates are volatile and difficult to predict.

For example, the inflation rate in Argentina in 1989 was 4,924%; in 1990, it dropped to 1,344%; in 1991, it was 84%; and in 2000, it dropped close to zero.

Such variation in inflation rates makes it challenging for international companies to choose the appropriate discount rate to move money through time.