finance briefing presentation april 2013
TRANSCRIPT
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Financial Outlook 2013/14
Tom Wale - PRAS
Helen Knight - Finance
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What this presentation will cover
Budgeting process and timeline
JRAM allocations for 2013/14informed by:
HEFCE grant for 2013/14
Fee income for 2013/14
Services budgets for 2013/14 Infrastructure Charge allocations for 2013/14
Historic trends
The budget in a wider context
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Integrated planning and budgeting processnew this year
Page 4
Divisions can
start to address
key planning
issues
Budget
preparation
begins
PRAC approves
budget targets
Budgets & plans
submitted and
reviewedBudget approved
by Council
PRAC receives
three-year
financial forecast
Resolution of
tension between
divisional
investment &
central surpluses
Divisionalspending plans
approved
H
T
M
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What this has meant for you
Divisional 5 year plans submitted in May along with the budget,rather than in January.
Greater involvement of departments.
Financial projections worksheet in budget template.
Plans submitted in May will be used to produce divisional budgettargets the following Autumn Based on final 2013/14 budget
Known before Christmas
Updated in March / April for final JRAM, infrastructure and capital
charges
This yearcombined Q2 / budget template
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JRAM Overview
The Joint Resource Allocation Method is the way of distributingfunds across the collegiate University
Sums allocated across academic divisions, OUDCE & Colleges
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/m
HEFCE Teaching (including Research students) 45.8
Fees 192.8
HEFCE Research Support 118.0
Other elements 0.4
Total allocation in JRAM 357.0
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HEFCE Grant Allocations 2013/14
All sums in m
2012/13(March 13)
2013/14(March 13)
VarianceSums Proportion
Total 181.9 173.6 -8.3 -4.6%
Teaching 44.2 33.6 -10.6 -24.0%
Research for PGRs 13.7 13.9 0.2 1.3%
Mainstream Research (not PGR) 115.9 118.0 2.2 1.9%
Other (Libraries, Museums, HEIF) 8.1 8.1 0.0 0.0%
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Teaching changes in line with move to new fee regimeoffset by fees
2012/13 includes additional 778k as at March 2013 (not in JRAM 1213iya)
PGR volume upbigger share of national pot
Mainstream researchCharities & Business QR increased volumes
rates down but bigger share of national pot
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HEFCE Grant Allocations 2013/14Teaching
All sums in m
JRAM1213 iya
JRAM1314 i
VarianceSums Proportion
Total Teaching Funding 43.5 33.6 -9.9 -23%
New Regime UG 2.6 5.3 2.7 104%
Old Regime UG 35.2 23.4 -11.8 -34%
New Regime PGT 1.1 1.4 0.3 27%
Old Regime PGT 0.5 0.1 -0.4 -80%
Specific Funding Streams 2.2 1.7 -0.5 -23%
Allocated outside JRAM 1.9 1.7 -0.2 -11%
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Additional HEFCE funding of 778k for 2012/13 not included in 1213 iya
Announced after JRAM 1213 iya
Divisional portion will be allocated as part of 2013/14 budgets (most +ve)
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HEFCE Grant Allocations 2013/14Research
PGR Funding updated for numbers (2011-12 HESA data)
Increase due to rise in numbers, subject weightings unchanged Mainstream QR Funding unchanged
Charities & Business QRrates down but volume up
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All sums in mJRAM1213 iya
JRAM1314 i
VarianceSums Proportion
Research Students 13.7 13.9 0.2 1.3%
Mainstream QR 77.3 77.3 0.0 0.0%
Charities QR 31.5 32.8 1.3 4.2%
Business QR 7.2 8.0 0.8 11.6%
Total 129.6 132.0 2.2 1.7%
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University & College Fees 2013/14
All sums in m
JRAM1213 iya
JRAM1314 i
VarianceSums Proportion
Total 170.7 192.8 22.1 13%
Undergraduate UK/EU 49.9 65.1 15.2 31%
Undergraduate Overseas 21.8 23.3 1.5 7%
Postgraduate UK/EU 35.5 37.9 2.3 7%
Postgraduate Overseas 63.6 66.6 3.0 5%
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Forecast is based on this years students undertaking next years
activity
e.g. year 2 students become new fee regime for 2013/14 Informed by work on Student Number Planning
Much of the increase is due to the transition to new fee regime on UG But also changes to student numbers
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Resource Levels
Based on FTEs
Must consider fees and other sources of funding (mainly HEFCE)
HEFCE funding split into five price groups according to activity
Price group D is classroom-basedno additional funding
Price group A is clinical medicinehighest levels of additional funding UK/EU UG decreases in HEFCE funding more than offset by
increases in fees
UK/EU PGT decreases not automatically balanced by HEFCE
funding
Fees + other sources of student funding distributed via JRAM Split of resources between departments & Colleges
Some targeted streams distributed outside JRAM
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Resource LevelsUK/EU Undergraduate
All sums in Old Regime
1213 iya 1314 iNew Regime
1213 iya 1314 i
HEFCE funding Band D 2,988 3,012 379 383
University Fee 3,465 3,465 8,500 8,688
Total Band D 6,453 6,477 8,879 9,071
AddlHEFCE Funding Band B 2,746 2,790 1,473 1,488
Total Band B 9,199 9,267 10,352 10,559
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New regime fee increase is a result of fee waivers being higher in year 1 2013/14 has year 1 and 2 students on new fee regime
Note differential between Band D and Band B is much reduced in newfee regimebut overall resource is increased for both
Amounts are before allocation between departments and Colleges
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Change in JRAM Allocations for 2013/14Comparison of 1314 i with 1213 iya
All sums in m MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE Colleges Other Total
HEFCE T incl PGR -0.8 -0.6 -2.2 -1.5 -0.1 -4.0 0.0 -9.2
UG Fees 1.4 1.3 3.7 2.6 0.0 7.7 0.0 16.8
PG Fees -0.6 3.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.0 5.3
Other T 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.0 0.0 -0.7
Total T & related 0.0 3.9 2.6 1.5 -0.2 4.3 0.0 12.2
QR Mainstream 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1
QR Charity 1.4 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.6
QR Business 0.7 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.7
Other R 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1
Total R & Related 2.0 -0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.1 2.2 4.1
Total Funding 2.1 3.7 2.7 1.6 -0.2 4.2 2.2 16.3
2.4% 6.1% 3.6% 4.3% -5.1% 5.6% 8.0% 4.2%
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Change in JRAM Allocations for 2013/14Comparison of 1314 i with 1213 i & 1213 iya
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i
MSD MSD MSD SSD SSD SSD MPLS MPLS MPLS Hum Hum Hum OUDCE OUDCE OUDCE
m Charities & Business QR
Mainstream QR
Fees
HEFCE T & related
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Services budget 2013/14
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ASUC'm
UAS'm
Estates'm
Total'm
2012/13 budget 25.0 57.3 30.9 113.1
Inflation 0.5 1.3 0.5 2.2
Growth in size of University estate 1.2 1.2
Expansion of Development Office 0.9 0.9Other changes 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2
2013/14 budget target 25.8 59.9 33.0 118.7
Change 0.9 2.6 2.1 5.6
% change 3.4% 4.6% 6.9% 4.9%
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123 Infrastructure charge for 2013/14
mServices budget target 118.7
Other costs charged via the 123 model but not in the
services: e.g. insurance 2.8
TOTAL 123 charge for 2013/14 121.5
Total 123 charge for 2013/14 is 5.7m higher than the total for 2012/13
Although this has increased, the charge rate as a percentage of
divisional income has not
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Total charge as % of divisional income 21.2% 20.9% 20.2%
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123 Infrastructure charge for 2013/14
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m MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE colleges Other TOTAL
2013/14 -32.3 -16.7 -27.3 -15.5 -1.6 -2.4 -25.6 -121.4
2012/13 -29.7 -16.2 -26.2 -14.8 -1.6 -2.3 -25.0 -115.8
difference -2.6 -0.5 -1.1 -0.7 0.0 -0.1 -0.6 -5.6
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE colleges Other
2012/13
2013/14
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Capital charge for 2013/14
Band weightings and costs are unchanged
Increase is due to increase in space
m MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE TOTAL
2013/14 -3.7 -0.9 -4.8 -0.6 -0.2 -10.2
2012/13 -3.2 -0.9 -4.4 -0.6 -0.2 -9.3
difference -0.5 0.0 -0.4 0.0 0.0 -0.9
Band 1 Band 2 Band 3 Band 4 Band 5 Band 6Weightings 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0.5 per sqm 95 76 57 38 19 19
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Budget v Actualshistoric trends
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(20.0)
(10.0)
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
'm
Budget
Actual
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Looking back at 2011/12
Budget - 22.5m Actuals - 52.3m. Difference 29.8m
13.1m of this arose in the divisions and servicesmainly
Medical Sciences and Social Sciences. 16.7m arose in Central Costs & Adjustments
Current indications are that the 2012/13 budget is much morerealisticQ2 forecast is in line with budget
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Why has our position improved?
Higher fee income
More money from OUP
Increased investment income
Flat staffing levelsimpact of the recruitment protocol
Low pay awards
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Russell Group Surpluses / Deficits 2011/12
Page 22
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
'000
Russell Group surpluses 2011/12
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Surplus/ Deficit as % of Income
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-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0% Oxford
5.1%
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Setting the budget 2013/14
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Notefigures include 2m transfer from Medical Sciences to Humanities
Division
Budgettarget
'm
Medical Sciences 9.0
Social Sciences 5.1
MPLS 3.7Humanities (1.4)
Continuing Education 0.6
Services 1.6
Central Costs & Adjustments 12.5
Target 2013/14 31.1
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Why do we need to make a surplus?
To fund capital investment New buildings
Maintenance of existing buildings
IT
Equipment funding
To fund restructuring activities
Staff development
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Threats to future surpluses
OUP funding may reduce
Increased pay awards
Cost of maintaining existing estate
Expansion of estate sizeROQ, Medical Sciences
Reduce funding from Research Councils
Move towards EU and other research funders
Desire of surplus departments to invest for the future
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EBITDA ProjectionsDue to increase in staff costs, sustainability gap widens in later years
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
Surplus
'm
EBITDA surplus
Target EBITDA s urplus
88m = 7 .3
45m = 3.7
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reconcile
Developing the capital plan
123
4
5
6
78...
trac
growth
surplus
grants
disposal
philanthropy
debt
conditio
n
depreciation
growth
projects
PRAS OUESFinance
Estimate demand Estimate supply
Capital planning
due to completein Michaelmas
Strategic financing
plans now beingdeveloped
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Any questions?
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Further information
Tom Wale Head of Resource Allocation
http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/pras/resource/
[email protected] (01865 2) 70067
Helen Knight Financial Planner
http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/finance/processes/planning_reporting/
[email protected] (01865 6) 16151
http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/finance/processes/planning_reporting/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/finance/processes/planning_reporting/