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  • 8/13/2019 Finance Briefing Presentation April 2013

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    Financial Outlook 2013/14

    Tom Wale - PRAS

    Helen Knight - Finance

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    What this presentation will cover

    Budgeting process and timeline

    JRAM allocations for 2013/14informed by:

    HEFCE grant for 2013/14

    Fee income for 2013/14

    Services budgets for 2013/14 Infrastructure Charge allocations for 2013/14

    Historic trends

    The budget in a wider context

    Page 2 S

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    Integrated planning and budgeting processnew this year

    Page 4

    Divisions can

    start to address

    key planning

    issues

    Budget

    preparation

    begins

    PRAC approves

    budget targets

    Budgets & plans

    submitted and

    reviewedBudget approved

    by Council

    PRAC receives

    three-year

    financial forecast

    Resolution of

    tension between

    divisional

    investment &

    central surpluses

    Divisionalspending plans

    approved

    H

    T

    M

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    What this has meant for you

    Divisional 5 year plans submitted in May along with the budget,rather than in January.

    Greater involvement of departments.

    Financial projections worksheet in budget template.

    Plans submitted in May will be used to produce divisional budgettargets the following Autumn Based on final 2013/14 budget

    Known before Christmas

    Updated in March / April for final JRAM, infrastructure and capital

    charges

    This yearcombined Q2 / budget template

    Page 5

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    JRAM Overview

    The Joint Resource Allocation Method is the way of distributingfunds across the collegiate University

    Sums allocated across academic divisions, OUDCE & Colleges

    Page 6

    /m

    HEFCE Teaching (including Research students) 45.8

    Fees 192.8

    HEFCE Research Support 118.0

    Other elements 0.4

    Total allocation in JRAM 357.0

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    HEFCE Grant Allocations 2013/14

    All sums in m

    2012/13(March 13)

    2013/14(March 13)

    VarianceSums Proportion

    Total 181.9 173.6 -8.3 -4.6%

    Teaching 44.2 33.6 -10.6 -24.0%

    Research for PGRs 13.7 13.9 0.2 1.3%

    Mainstream Research (not PGR) 115.9 118.0 2.2 1.9%

    Other (Libraries, Museums, HEIF) 8.1 8.1 0.0 0.0%

    Page 7 T

    Teaching changes in line with move to new fee regimeoffset by fees

    2012/13 includes additional 778k as at March 2013 (not in JRAM 1213iya)

    PGR volume upbigger share of national pot

    Mainstream researchCharities & Business QR increased volumes

    rates down but bigger share of national pot

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    HEFCE Grant Allocations 2013/14Teaching

    All sums in m

    JRAM1213 iya

    JRAM1314 i

    VarianceSums Proportion

    Total Teaching Funding 43.5 33.6 -9.9 -23%

    New Regime UG 2.6 5.3 2.7 104%

    Old Regime UG 35.2 23.4 -11.8 -34%

    New Regime PGT 1.1 1.4 0.3 27%

    Old Regime PGT 0.5 0.1 -0.4 -80%

    Specific Funding Streams 2.2 1.7 -0.5 -23%

    Allocated outside JRAM 1.9 1.7 -0.2 -11%

    Page 8 T

    Additional HEFCE funding of 778k for 2012/13 not included in 1213 iya

    Announced after JRAM 1213 iya

    Divisional portion will be allocated as part of 2013/14 budgets (most +ve)

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    HEFCE Grant Allocations 2013/14Research

    PGR Funding updated for numbers (2011-12 HESA data)

    Increase due to rise in numbers, subject weightings unchanged Mainstream QR Funding unchanged

    Charities & Business QRrates down but volume up

    Page 9 T

    All sums in mJRAM1213 iya

    JRAM1314 i

    VarianceSums Proportion

    Research Students 13.7 13.9 0.2 1.3%

    Mainstream QR 77.3 77.3 0.0 0.0%

    Charities QR 31.5 32.8 1.3 4.2%

    Business QR 7.2 8.0 0.8 11.6%

    Total 129.6 132.0 2.2 1.7%

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    University & College Fees 2013/14

    All sums in m

    JRAM1213 iya

    JRAM1314 i

    VarianceSums Proportion

    Total 170.7 192.8 22.1 13%

    Undergraduate UK/EU 49.9 65.1 15.2 31%

    Undergraduate Overseas 21.8 23.3 1.5 7%

    Postgraduate UK/EU 35.5 37.9 2.3 7%

    Postgraduate Overseas 63.6 66.6 3.0 5%

    Page 10 T

    Forecast is based on this years students undertaking next years

    activity

    e.g. year 2 students become new fee regime for 2013/14 Informed by work on Student Number Planning

    Much of the increase is due to the transition to new fee regime on UG But also changes to student numbers

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    Resource Levels

    Based on FTEs

    Must consider fees and other sources of funding (mainly HEFCE)

    HEFCE funding split into five price groups according to activity

    Price group D is classroom-basedno additional funding

    Price group A is clinical medicinehighest levels of additional funding UK/EU UG decreases in HEFCE funding more than offset by

    increases in fees

    UK/EU PGT decreases not automatically balanced by HEFCE

    funding

    Fees + other sources of student funding distributed via JRAM Split of resources between departments & Colleges

    Some targeted streams distributed outside JRAM

    Page 11 T

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    Resource LevelsUK/EU Undergraduate

    All sums in Old Regime

    1213 iya 1314 iNew Regime

    1213 iya 1314 i

    HEFCE funding Band D 2,988 3,012 379 383

    University Fee 3,465 3,465 8,500 8,688

    Total Band D 6,453 6,477 8,879 9,071

    AddlHEFCE Funding Band B 2,746 2,790 1,473 1,488

    Total Band B 9,199 9,267 10,352 10,559

    Page 12 T

    New regime fee increase is a result of fee waivers being higher in year 1 2013/14 has year 1 and 2 students on new fee regime

    Note differential between Band D and Band B is much reduced in newfee regimebut overall resource is increased for both

    Amounts are before allocation between departments and Colleges

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    Change in JRAM Allocations for 2013/14Comparison of 1314 i with 1213 iya

    All sums in m MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE Colleges Other Total

    HEFCE T incl PGR -0.8 -0.6 -2.2 -1.5 -0.1 -4.0 0.0 -9.2

    UG Fees 1.4 1.3 3.7 2.6 0.0 7.7 0.0 16.8

    PG Fees -0.6 3.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.0 5.3

    Other T 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.0 0.0 -0.7

    Total T & related 0.0 3.9 2.6 1.5 -0.2 4.3 0.0 12.2

    QR Mainstream 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1

    QR Charity 1.4 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.6

    QR Business 0.7 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.7

    Other R 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1

    Total R & Related 2.0 -0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.1 2.2 4.1

    Total Funding 2.1 3.7 2.7 1.6 -0.2 4.2 2.2 16.3

    2.4% 6.1% 3.6% 4.3% -5.1% 5.6% 8.0% 4.2%

    Page 13 T

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    Change in JRAM Allocations for 2013/14Comparison of 1314 i with 1213 i & 1213 iya

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    80.0

    90.0

    100.0

    1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i 1213 i 1213 iya 1314 i

    MSD MSD MSD SSD SSD SSD MPLS MPLS MPLS Hum Hum Hum OUDCE OUDCE OUDCE

    m Charities & Business QR

    Mainstream QR

    Fees

    HEFCE T & related

    Page 14 T

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    Services budget 2013/14

    Page 15 H

    ASUC'm

    UAS'm

    Estates'm

    Total'm

    2012/13 budget 25.0 57.3 30.9 113.1

    Inflation 0.5 1.3 0.5 2.2

    Growth in size of University estate 1.2 1.2

    Expansion of Development Office 0.9 0.9Other changes 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2

    2013/14 budget target 25.8 59.9 33.0 118.7

    Change 0.9 2.6 2.1 5.6

    % change 3.4% 4.6% 6.9% 4.9%

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    Page 16 T

    123 Infrastructure charge for 2013/14

    mServices budget target 118.7

    Other costs charged via the 123 model but not in the

    services: e.g. insurance 2.8

    TOTAL 123 charge for 2013/14 121.5

    Total 123 charge for 2013/14 is 5.7m higher than the total for 2012/13

    Although this has increased, the charge rate as a percentage of

    divisional income has not

    2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

    Total charge as % of divisional income 21.2% 20.9% 20.2%

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    123 Infrastructure charge for 2013/14

    Page 17 T

    m MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE colleges Other TOTAL

    2013/14 -32.3 -16.7 -27.3 -15.5 -1.6 -2.4 -25.6 -121.4

    2012/13 -29.7 -16.2 -26.2 -14.8 -1.6 -2.3 -25.0 -115.8

    difference -2.6 -0.5 -1.1 -0.7 0.0 -0.1 -0.6 -5.6

    -35

    -30

    -25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE colleges Other

    2012/13

    2013/14

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    Page 18 T

    Capital charge for 2013/14

    Band weightings and costs are unchanged

    Increase is due to increase in space

    m MSD SSD MPLS Hum OUDCE TOTAL

    2013/14 -3.7 -0.9 -4.8 -0.6 -0.2 -10.2

    2012/13 -3.2 -0.9 -4.4 -0.6 -0.2 -9.3

    difference -0.5 0.0 -0.4 0.0 0.0 -0.9

    Band 1 Band 2 Band 3 Band 4 Band 5 Band 6Weightings 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0.5 per sqm 95 76 57 38 19 19

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    Budget v Actualshistoric trends

    Page 19

    (20.0)

    (10.0)

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    'm

    Budget

    Actual

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    Looking back at 2011/12

    Budget - 22.5m Actuals - 52.3m. Difference 29.8m

    13.1m of this arose in the divisions and servicesmainly

    Medical Sciences and Social Sciences. 16.7m arose in Central Costs & Adjustments

    Current indications are that the 2012/13 budget is much morerealisticQ2 forecast is in line with budget

    Page 20

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    Why has our position improved?

    Higher fee income

    More money from OUP

    Increased investment income

    Flat staffing levelsimpact of the recruitment protocol

    Low pay awards

    Page 21

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    Russell Group Surpluses / Deficits 2011/12

    Page 22

    -20,000

    -10,000

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    '000

    Russell Group surpluses 2011/12

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    Surplus/ Deficit as % of Income

    Page 23

    -40.0%

    -30.0%

    -20.0%

    -10.0%

    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    30.0% Oxford

    5.1%

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    Setting the budget 2013/14

    Page 24

    Notefigures include 2m transfer from Medical Sciences to Humanities

    Division

    Budgettarget

    'm

    Medical Sciences 9.0

    Social Sciences 5.1

    MPLS 3.7Humanities (1.4)

    Continuing Education 0.6

    Services 1.6

    Central Costs & Adjustments 12.5

    Target 2013/14 31.1

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    Why do we need to make a surplus?

    To fund capital investment New buildings

    Maintenance of existing buildings

    IT

    Equipment funding

    To fund restructuring activities

    Staff development

    Page 25

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    Threats to future surpluses

    OUP funding may reduce

    Increased pay awards

    Cost of maintaining existing estate

    Expansion of estate sizeROQ, Medical Sciences

    Reduce funding from Research Councils

    Move towards EU and other research funders

    Desire of surplus departments to invest for the future

    Page 26

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    EBITDA ProjectionsDue to increase in staff costs, sustainability gap widens in later years

    Page 27

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2006/07

    2007/08

    2008/09

    2009/10

    2010/11

    2011/12

    2012/13

    2013/14

    2014/15

    2015/16

    2016/17

    2017/18

    2018/19

    2019/20

    2020/21

    2021/22

    Surplus

    'm

    EBITDA surplus

    Target EBITDA s urplus

    88m = 7 .3

    45m = 3.7

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    Page 28

    reconcile

    Developing the capital plan

    123

    4

    5

    6

    78...

    trac

    growth

    surplus

    grants

    disposal

    philanthropy

    debt

    conditio

    n

    depreciation

    growth

    projects

    PRAS OUESFinance

    Estimate demand Estimate supply

    Capital planning

    due to completein Michaelmas

    Strategic financing

    plans now beingdeveloped

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    Any questions?

    Page 29

    Further information

    Tom Wale Head of Resource Allocation

    http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/pras/resource/

    [email protected] (01865 2) 70067

    Helen Knight Financial Planner

    http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/finance/processes/planning_reporting/

    [email protected] (01865 6) 16151

    http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/finance/processes/planning_reporting/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/finance/processes/planning_reporting/