finalaya yearbook 2011

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www.finalaya.com This document captures major events that impacted the Indian Capital Markets during calendar year 2011. Capital Market Yearbook 2011

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Page 1: Finalaya yearbook 2011

www.finalaya.com

This document captures major events that impacted the Indian

Capital Markets during calendar year 2011.

Capital Market Yearbook 2011

Page 2: Finalaya yearbook 2011

Indian Capital Market 2011

Indian shares ended 2011 with one of their worst performances during the millennium. After two years of

handsome gains, major indices went down by approximately 25%. Average retail investor stayed away from

capital markets amidst wealth erosion. The dismal performance can be attributed to the following factors:

Recessionary concerns on U.S and Eurozone economies were looming

Inflation monster continued its rampant growth.

Higher Interest rates that allured investors to park their money in safe investment vehicles.

Indian Rupee continued its southbound journey and created at an all-time low.

Political standoff on key economic reforms.

Primary Market remained in doldrums.

Emergence of various gargantuan scams.

Poor performance by India Inc.

Bullions as an asset class outperformed equities. Silver hit an all-time high, crossing Rs. 75,000 a kg in April

and the yellow metal hit an all-time high in December, when it almost touched Rs. 30,000 per 10 grams.

On the expected lines, things have not been so rosy in the Mutual Fund Industry. Although overall the Avg.

AUM has increased from 6,75,376.97 Cr. in “Oct-Dec 10” to 6,87,63,911 Cr. to “Oct-Dec 11”. HDFC MF

dislodged Reliance MF from numero uno position in AUM race.

All in all, the investor carried a somber mood in 2011 with positive hopes from 2012.

The following pages will highlight the major events for each month and its impact on the capital markets.

Page 3: Finalaya yearbook 2011

RBI tightened provisioning norms for non-banking financial companies (Jan 18)

As a protection measure from possible economic downturn, RBI asked NBFC’s to set 0.25% of performing loans to meet financial emergencies. Following this, in order to minimize the impact of situations of arising out of defaults of doubtful and bad loans, NBFC’s are required to make the aforementioned provision. The notification states

“should make a general provision at 0.25 per cent of the outstanding standard assets”. Standard assets include loans which are good, paying interest on regular basis and chances of default are minimal. The above step is likely to raise interest rates offered by the NBFC’s.

Estonia officially adopts the

Euro currency (Jan 1)

With the advent of year 2011, the Euro zone

added Estonia as the 17th member. Euro will

replace the local currency Kroon. The move

comes during the times when some of the

existing members are facing high level

sovereign debt crises. Lithuania and Latvia,

which submitted their euro zone applications

after Estonia and both countries, have decided

to adopt it in 2014.

ADAG firm bought 26% stake

in ICEX (Jan 4)

Following the approval from commodities

market regulator in September, 2010,

Forward Markets Commission (FMC), ADAG

group company Reliance Capital, has bought

the 26% stake in Indian Commodity

Exchange (ICEX). The move brings down the

share of Indiabulls Financial Services from

40% to 14%.

January 2011

Page 4: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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India budget 2011-2012 presented (Feb 28)

The Budget, was presented for year 2012-2013 was presented by Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee. The budget speech included figures for India’s GDP growth at 8.60% during year 2010-2011. As a measure of tax reform, Direct Tax Code (DTC) is announced to come in force from Apr’ 2012. The divestment target has been set at Rs.40,000 crores and policies on FDI are underway. The fiscal deficit for year has been kept at 4.60%.

As a measure of curbing black money, a five-fold strategy has been put in place. And group of ministers constituted for suggesting measures for tackling corruption.

China overtakes Japan as

world's second-biggest

economy (Feb 28)

China took over the title from Japan, of being

the second largest economy of the world. With

continued bandwagon in manufacturing sector

of China and drop in exports sector of Japan,

China’s economy recorded its worth $5.8

trillion against $5.4 trillion of Japan. Experts,

project that China may take over US in a

decade, an economy which 3 times the current

size of Chinese economy.

SBI’s associate banks to merge

in SBI in 18 months (Feb 23)

State Bank of India will continue to merge its

associate banks itself. The information was

passed on in response to the query by

parliamentary panel headed by former Finance

Minister Yeshwant Sinha, on government’s

stance on merging subsidiaries with SBI. Not long

ago, SBI merged State Bank of Saurashtra and

State Bank of Indore. The 5 banks remaining are

State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur, State Bank of

Travancore, State Bank of Patiala, State Bank of

Mysore and State Bank of Hyderabad, which

supposedly will be consolidated over next 18

months.

February 2011

Page 5: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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Indian Ltd going India Inc. (Mar 15)

Indian companies are seen on a ride on overseas acquisitions. Lanco has finalized the acquisition of Aussie coal mines, Griffin, for $760 million. The coal secured from Griffin would be used as fuel to raise Lanco’s power generation capacity by over seven-fold to 15,000 MW by 2015. In another global thrust, India conglomerate Essar, entered into $750m agreement to revive Zimbabwe Iran & Steel C0.

Continuing the spree, Export-Import Bank of India extended line of credit (LOC) of $91 million to the Ethiopian government, out of the $640 MN commitment by India for rehabilitation of sugar industry in Ethiopia

Tsunami in Japan (Mar 11)

On March 11, 2011, the earthquake of 8.9

magnitude tremor hit the Pacific Rim and north-

east coasts of Japan. It is marked as most

powerful known earthquake ever to have hit

Japan, and one of the five most powerful

earthquakes in the world since modern record-

keeping began in 1900. The estimated losses

from the earthquake stand at US$14.5 to $34.6

billion. The Bank of Japan has pumped in 15

trillion Yen (US$183 billion) to the banking

system in an effort to normalize market

conditions. The World Bank estimated the

economic cost equal to $235bn tagging the event

as most expensive natural disaster till date.

FII moves from Indian shores

during Jan-March (Mar 31)

According to report by Morningstar, India-

focused offshore equity funds in Europe

registered a net outflow of €418 million (Rs

2,683 crore) during the January-March 2011

quarter. Morningstar is an international rating

agency for mutual funds. During the same

period, January-March period gave negative

returns of 5.43 per cent. FII statistics for the

same period show a net outflow of Rs

4,451.1 crore.

March 2011

Page 6: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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RBI grants relief on NPAs (Apr 23)

Releasing pressure on the banks, the RBI has said the guideline to set aside additional funds for bad loans will not apply on loans that turned bas after September 2010. Earlier, in October 2009 RBI following the global banking crises RBI instructed banks to create special buffers and set the Provisioning Coverage Ratio (PCR) to 70%.

Direct beneficiary of the move is SBI, as it has been struggling to maintain the ratio. The private banks already exceeded the ratio to 74% as against the public sector banks lagging at 54%.

Rabobank got RBI nod for

India operations (Apr 2)

Netherland based Rabobank gets the RBI nod

to start full-fledged banking operation in India.

The license allows Rabobank to accept deposits

and provide working capital loans to companies,

besides dealing in foreign exchange, domestic

fixed-income products and trade finance. The

approval comes following the part stake sale of

11% holding in Yes Bank by Rabobank. The

current norms don’t allow a foreign bank with

more than 5% equity in another Indian lender to

open branches in India.

$22 Billion pumped into ETFs

in April (Apr 30)

April saw buying interest getting doubled in

ETFs and ETNs. According to data released

by NSE, extra $22.4 billion were added to

the investments in the aforementioned

instruments.51% of the net inflows has gone

into long US equity funds and notes, 31%

into long international equities and 10% into

long fixed income. ETFs and ETNs now

have a total of $1.1 trillion, up 34% over last

year.

April 2011

Page 7: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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Bullion melts down (May 5)

A 5 per cent decline in silver marked its biggest three-day loss in five years. Gold also experienced its biggest three day loss since January despite dollar decline and ramping up of gold reserves by Mexico. Platinum declined 1.8 per cent to $US1819.74 an ounce, while palladium lost more than 5 per cent to $US742.05.

U.S. finally Killed Osama (May 2)

In a covert operation carried out by U.S. Navy

SEALs the dreaded terrorist and the prime

accused of Sept 2001 attack on WTC twin

towers, Osama Bin Laden was killed in

Abbotabad, Pakistan on May 2, 2011. The

operation was carried out without taking the

long term ally Pakistan in confidence and

hence caused the U.S. – Pakistan relationship

irreparably to go off the track. The news had

an impact on Oil price and commodity price

slips.

India Inc raised Rs 4,781.1 cr

in May via various means (May 30)

India Inc. raised Rs. 4781.1 cr. in May, 2011

through IPOs and rights issues. The quantum is

up by over 136 per cent as compared to the

amount raised in April this year. "During May,

2011, Rs 4,781.1 crore was mobilized in the

primary market through five issues, as

compared to Rs 2,025.7 crore mobilized through

six issues in April, 2011, an increase of 136 per

cent over the previous month," said a 'Capital

Market Review' by SEBI. Of the five issues in

May, four were initial public offers (IPOs), while

one was a follow-up public offer (FPO).

May 2011

Page 8: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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Government cleared 16 FDI proposals (Jun 7)

The Central Government on June 7, 2011 approved 16 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) proposals worth Rs. 923’55 crore including those of L&T Finance Holdings and Star News Broadcasting Ltd. The other major approved proposals were those of Global Gourmet (Gujarat), Park Controls & Communications Ltd (Bangalore) and Centum Electronics Ltd (Bangalore). FDI into Indian economy had decreased by 25 percent to $19.43 billion in 2010-11 from $25.83 in 2009-10.

European Union Summit (Jun 23)

Major decisions on economic policy,

immigration, relations with North African

countries and Croatian membership were taken

during the EU Summit, held June23-24, 2011 in

Brussels. EU leaders agreed to major changes

for increasing the effectiveness of a temporary

fund providing financial help to euro zone

countries in difficulty. It will be replaced by a

permanent €500bn fund in 2013. They also

encouraged Greece’s Parliament to pass laws

on a fiscal strategy and privatization. EU leaders

also hoped to sign a treaty with the country,

allowing Croatia to join the EU on July 1, 2013.

SEBI permits BSE to list SMEs (Jun 4)

On 4th June, SEBI has permitted the Bombay

Stock Exchange (BSE) to list small and medium

enterprises (SMEs) on the BSE platform.

Companies with a paid-up capital of between

Rs. 50 Lacs to Rs. 10 Crores will be categorized

as SMEs. However, they will trade on a different

platform under the BSE terminal and there will

be market-makers for SMEs to ensure their

liquidity. SEBI will permit trading of an SME on

the main BSE bourse once its capital increases

to INR250 million.

June 2011

Page 9: Finalaya yearbook 2011

Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs clears RIL-BP deal (Jul 22)

The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) on July 22 cleared one of India’s biggest FDI deal (amounting USD 7.2 billion) between Reliance Industries and British Petroleum. The original deal between the two companies was for BP to buy 30% stake in 23 RIL’s oil and gas blocks including KG-D6 out of which CCEA approved the sale of 21 blocks. While the deal will help BP to expand its global

operations, it will give RIL a desired access to better technology and opportunity to realize better value from its hydrocarbon assets.

Global earnings fall below

expectations on the back of cost

pressures in Europe (Jul 29)

The US saw earnings growth of 8.2% - margins

were steady at 8%. Japanese earnings rebounded,

beating expectations by 20%. With just 35% of US

firms to report, the expected margin squeeze has

not hit overall profits but is visible in financial

services, construction, food, telcos and autos. The

Overall earnings growth (q/q) remained an

impressive 13%, and a 7% fall in European

earnings (which missed estimates by 8%) explains

the disappointing overall performance.

RBI hikes REPO rate by

50bps (Jul 26)

In a move to check inflation, the Reserve

Bank of India, on July 26, hiked repo rates

by 50 basis points to 8 percent. This was

11th hike since March 2010 and caused

bond yields to raise sharply higher and

stock prices to go sharply lower. The

analysts felt that the move will cause Indian

economy to slow down further.

July 2011

Page 10: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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S&P downgraded US credit rating (Aug 5)

On August 5, for the first time in history of ratings, Standard & Poor’s (S&P) downgraded the credit rating of long term US treasury debt from AAA to AA+, that too with a negative outlook. The rating agency believed that the debt restructuring plan proposed by U.S. Congress earlier that week did not go far enough to improve the country’s debt situation and to meet the economic challenges then. The move caused shock waves across

international markets and stock markets world over tumbled following the news.

Coal India Ltd. Dethroned

Reliance Industries Ltd. as most

valued firm (Aug 17)

Coal India Ltd replaced the Reliance Industries

Limited as the most valued Indian Listed

company. At close, the CIL came home with a

market cap of Rs 2, 51,296 crore on the BSE,

Rs 4,167 crore higher than the RIL.

Parliament passed SBI

Subsidiary Banks Bill (Aug 30)

The parliament approved the State Bank of

India (Subsidiary Banks Laws) Amendment

bill, which will enable the central government

to effectively manage the affairs of the SBI

subsidiaries banks.

August 2011

Page 11: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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Sensex suffers biggest one day fall in 26 months (Sep 22)

Sensex suffered its biggest single session loss of 704 points in over 2 years. A global markets meltdown triggered by the US Federal Reserve's gloomy outlook on the world's largest economy, caused the Sensex to crash 704 points to 16,361. The Fed's cautious message, fresh signs of slowdown in manufacturing activities in China and Germany and selling by foreign funds in the domestic market left investors poorer by

Rs 2.25 lakh crore with BSE's market capitalization now at Rs 60.2 lakh crore.

President Obama announces

$447 bn jobs package plan (Sep 9)

US President Obama announced a bigger than

expected $447bn jobs stimulus plan aimed at

bringing down the country's high jobless total.

The largest chunk of his plans is an extension

of the payroll tax holiday, with the size of the

tax cut increasing to 3.1% from the current 2%.

Rupee sees biggest weekly fall

in more than 15 years (Sep 23)

INR rupee posted its biggest weekly fall in

more than 15 years on Friday on heightened

risk aversion amid the possibility of a

recession in the developed world. Traders

fear that impact of a possible Greek default

on the banking sector will negate any move

by India's central bank to support the unit.

September 2011

Page 12: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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Global stocks fell to a 15-month low over fears of Greek default (Oct 4)

Greece's ability to avoid default, fuelling fears of global financial turmoil and recession led global stocks to slip to a 15 month low and pinning Asian stocks near a 16 month low. Weakening outlook for industrial demand weighed on copper and oil and on the contrary strengthened safe heavens such as gold, yen and the dollar. Fears over the banking sector's exposure to euro zone sovereign debt and plummeting value of assets across the board further led to a sharp widening of

credit default swaps.

RBI hiked key lending rate by

25 bps to 8.5% and deregulates

savings deposit interest rate (Oct 25)

Reserve Bank of India has hiked the repo rate,

its key policy lending rate, by 25 basis points to

8.5%. RBI also deregulated the savings bank

deposit rate which took the markets by

surprise. The bank rate and the cash reserve

ratio have been maintained as it is at 6

percent.

Health Insurance portability

came into force (Oct 1)

Insurance regulator (IRDA) has announced

the portability of health insurance feature to

be applicable for all general insurance

companies offering health insurance. This

move facilitates the user to try another

insurance company without breaking on

current policy conditions.

October 2011

Page 13: Finalaya yearbook 2011

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Indian Govt. proposed 51% FDI in multi-brand retail (Nov 14)

Indian government has opened the gates of country’s retail industry to foreign supermarkets by allowing 51% foreign direct investment in multi brand retail. A much awaited reform will allow the Wal-Mart and TESCOs of the world to enter Indian market. The government also decided to raise the cap on foreign investment in single-

brand retailing to 100% from 51%. This reform is also expected to help unclog supply bottlenecks and ease inflation over time.

Gold zooms to all time high (Nov 14)

Gold touched a new all-time high level by rising

by Rs 30 to Rs 29,295 per 10 grams. The

upsurge is mainly attributed to sustained buying

spree by stockists and jewelers to meet the

demand for the ongoing marriage season,

amidst a firming global trend.

PPF, MIS, and other Post office

Deposit Scheme to earn higher

interest, PPF limit raised to

100000 (Nov 27)

The finance ministry has notified rules which will

pave the way for small savings account holders

to earn higher returns from December 1. The

annual ceiling on PPF accounts will now go up

to Rs 100,000 from the current Rs 70,000. PPF

will earn returns of 8.6% vis-à-vis existing 8%,

while the NSC will fetch 8.4% returns, up from

existing 8%.

November 2011

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India moves out of trillion-dollar stock market club (Dec 20)

December 20. Indian stock markets lost its coveted trillion dollar status. The decline in the rupee and share valuations led to its size slipping below this mark to $994.97 billion. This feat has been achieved by 13 other nations till date, apart from India. The Indian market re-entered the coveted league on June 3, 2009 after it faced an ouster on July 1, 2008. The downtrend trend on the bourses continues and Indian markets

reached to their 27 months low, aided by the dismal IIP numbers and stagnant advance tax numbers.

Euro drops below key $ 1.30

mark (Dec 14)

The euro fell below its key levels of $1.30 as

concerns over Europe's sovereign-debt crisis

swirled. This euro fall is its 11 month lowest

level since mid- January, early this year.

Rupee touched all time low

against dollar (Dec 15)

INR touched a life time low of 54.30 to dollar.

The INR continued its weakness, creating new

record lows every now and then, and hurt

corporate profits, margins and impacted market

sentiment in Dalal Street. The rupee started

tumbling after the downgrading of U.S. credit

ranking and Eurozone crisis. It slid against the

dollar from 44.40 in July to 45.50 in August,

47.60 in September, 49.30 in October and 52.70

in November.

December 2011