final - solution for ass 2 - gc 10

Upload: tuan-anh-doan-cong

Post on 14-Apr-2018

219 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    1/42

    Key solution for assignment 2

    UNIT 6: Business Decision Making

    ASSIGNMENT NAME: Big C

    INDIVIDUAL ASSIGNMENT 2 (A1)

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    2/42

    Task 1 (outcome 3b)

    Week Mon

    (units)

    Tues Weds Thurs

    1 84 51 57 482 81 55 60 46

    3 84 56 62 50

    4 86 56 63 49

    Week Day Data

    Week 1 Mon 84

    Tue 51

    Wed 57

    Thu 48

    Fri 63Week 2 Mon 81

    Tue 55

    Wed 60

    Thu 46

    Fri 65

    Week 3 Mon 84

    Tue 56

    Wed 62

    Thu 50

    Fri 68

    Week 4 Mon 86

    Tue 56

    Wed 63

    Thu 49Fri 69

    Five day total Five day average trend

    Week Day Data (unit)

    Week 1 Mon 84

    Tue 51

    Wed 57 303 60.6

    Thu 48 300 60

    Fri 63 304 60.8

    Week 2 Mon 81 307 61.4

    Tue 55 305 61

    Wed 60 307 61.4

    Thu 46 310 62

    Fri 65 311 62.2

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90100

    M

    on

    T

    ue

    W

    ed

    T

    hu

    Fri

    Week 1

    Unit

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    3/42

    Week 3 Mon 84 313 62.6

    Tue 56 317 63.4

    Wed 62 320 64

    Thu 50 322 64.4

    Fri 68 322 64.4

    Week 4 Mon 86 323 64.6

    Tue 56 322 64.4

    Wed 63 323 64.6

    Thu 49

    Fri 69

    b/

    Week M T W T

    1 -3.6 -12

    2 19.6 -6 -1.4 -16

    3 21.4 -7.4 -2 -14.4

    4 21.4 -8.4 -1.6

    62.4 -21.8 -8.6 -42.4

    Average adj. 20.80 -7.27 -2.15 -14.13

    Adj. aver. 20.80 -7.27 -2.15 -14.13

    Week 5 predictions

    c/

    y=6.46 + (3*0.27)

    Wed (W1) 60.6

    Wed (W4) 64.6

    Spread 4

    Ave. 0.267

    Week 5 Trend

    M 65.400

    Tue 65.427

    Wed 65.454

    Thu 65.481

    Fri 65.508

    Draw valid conclusion to support for business decision makingStudents have to draw valid conclusion from above results, eg. Trend, seasonal => eg.

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    4/42

    Fri

    6365

    68

    69

    Seasonal variation (unit)

    -3.6

    -12

    2.2

    19.6

    -6

    -1.4

    -16

    2.8

    M

    on

    T

    ue

    W

    ed

    T

    hu

    Fri

    M

    on

    T

    ue

    W

    ed

    T

    hu

    Fri

    M

    on

    T

    ue

    W

    ed

    T

    hu

    Fri

    Week 2 Week 3 Week 4

    Time

    Time series of sales

    Series1

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    5/42

    21.4

    -7.4

    -2

    -14.4

    3.6

    21.4

    -8.4

    -1.6

    F

    2.2

    2.8

    3.6

    8.6

    2.87 0.12 0.12

    -0.12 -0.12

    2.75

    Seasona; Forecasting

    20.80 86.200

    -7.27 58.160

    -2.15 63.304

    -14.13 51.348

    2.75 68.255

    onday => highest demand = > inventory must be available, Thursday: lowest demand => solution?, etc. =>

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    6/42

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    7/42

    to achieve D1 students must express their ability to draw conclusion from above data.

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    8/42

    Task 1 (outcome 3b)

    week Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

    1 84 51 57 48 63

    2 81 55 60 46 65

    3 84 56 62 50 68

    4 86 56 63 49 69

    Moving average and additive model

    Monday 84

    Tuesday 51

    Wednesday 57 303 60.6 -3.6

    Thursday 48 300 60 -12

    Friday 63 304 60.8 2.2

    Monday 81 307 61.4 19.6

    Tuesday 55 305 61 -6Wednesday 60 307 61.4 -1.4

    Thursday 46 310 62 -16

    Friday 65 311 62.2 2.8

    Monday 84 313 62.6 21.4

    Tuesday 56 317 63.4 -7.4

    Wednesday 62 320 64 -2

    Thursday 50 322 64.4 -14.4

    Friday 68 322 64.4 3.6

    Trend

    (MT/5)

    Seasonal variation

    (Actual-Trend)

    Question 1

    Actual

    Moving total of five

    days' output

    (A1+A2+A3+A4+A5)

    week 1

    week 2

    week 3

    84

    5157

    48

    63

    81

    55 60

    46

    65

    84

    5662

    50

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    5060

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Graph of sales of detergent products

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    9/42

    Monday 86 323 64.6 21.4

    Tuesday 56 322 64.4 -8.4

    Wednesday 63 323 64.6 -1.6

    Thursday 49

    Friday 69

    Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

    week 1 -3.6 -12 2.2

    week 2 19.6 -6 -1.4 -16 2.8

    week 3 21.4 -7.4 -2 -14.4 3.6

    week 4 21.4 -8.4 -1.6

    Average 20.80 -7.27 -2.15 -14.13 2.87

    Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

    The trend rose daily rise 0.267

    Monday 65.400 20.8 86.200 86

    Tuesday 65.667 -7.27 58.397 58

    Wednesday 65.933 -2.15 63.783 64

    Thursday 66.200 -14.13 52.070 52

    Friday 66.467 2.87 69.337 69

    Roundedprediction

    4.00

    Week 5 prediction

    Day TrendSeasonalvariation Prediction

    -0.024

    Final estimate of

    average daily

    variation

    20.776 -7.294 -2.174 -14.154 2.846

    Adjustment to

    reduce total

    variation to 0

    -0.024 -0.024 -0.024 -0.024

    20.8

    week 4

    Estimated

    average daily

    variation

    -7.27 -2.15 -14.13 2.87

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    10/42

    Business Decisionforcast week 5

    seasonal: bien dong ntn

    Moving average: dien ta xu huong (trend) short-term (MA 5 days)--> xu huong ntn

    0

    10

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    11/42

    Monday Tuesday Wednesda Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesda Thursday

    81 55 60 46 65 84 56 62 50

    68

    86

    56

    63

    49

    69

    Series1

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    12/42

    Total

    0.024

    0.8

    65.4

    6.541

    0.12

    -0.12

    0

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    13/42

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    14/42

    Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesda Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesda

    68 86 56 63 49 69 86 58 64

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    15/42

    Series1

    5 per. Mov. Avg. (Series1)

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    16/42

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    17/42

    Thursday Friday

    52 69

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    18/42

    Task 2 (outcome 4a)

    Students should point out some information processing tools appropriate to management level

    Review existing management information systems within Big C and suggest appropriate impr

    (outcome 4a, M1 & M2 consideration)

    Students should explain what is MIS? And provide list of some MIS (examples should be add

    ESS, DSS, OAS, TPS, etc. as well as relevant management levels (strategic, tatical and operati

    Student has to review existing management information systems within Big C based on searc

    Student is required to suggest appropriate improved information processing tools for operation

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    19/42

    : spreadsheet, email, internet, database, etc.

    ved information processing tools for operational, tactical and strategic levels of Big C

    ed, i.e OAS: email, Microsoft word,.) such as

    onal) (M1 & M2)

    ed information and field trip information

    al, tactical and strategic levels of Big C

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    20/42

    Task 3 (outcome 4b)

    Review and evaluate the existing inventory control systems in Big C. Use examples in answering the que

    Based on theory (M1, M2)

    Demand reorder timing = FIXED ORDER POINT

    Perpetual inventory

    Periodic Review System

    Review & evaluate the existing inventory control systems in Big C. Use examples in answering the ques

    line of products: 5 (soft, hard, FMCG, fresh, home)

    ways of storage, location, ordering, outstock, how to solve damaged or out of date goods, goods as gift -inventory of electronics, fresh products (An Lac whs)?

    DHL warehouse?

    evaluate inventory methods of Big C: good or not, why?

    BIG C Supermarket various categories of products such as food, fresh food, frozen

    BIG C should base on the characteractics of these products to choose which relevant met

    Student must draw valid conclusions related to real inventory of Big C & suggest suitable inventory met

    ABC analysis

    Pareto

    Students have to use field trip information to answer this question, for example:

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    21/42

    stion. (outcome 4b, M1, M2 & D1 consideration)

    ion.

    ot consider as inventory,

    food; electronic products, cosmetic, etc.

    ods of inventory

    ods for each line of products => D 1

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    22/42

    Task 4 (outcome 4c)

    Prepare a spreadsheet to enable material requirements planning and calculate economic order

    4.1.

    Prepare a spreadsheet to calculate economic order quantities, explain what it is and how to red4.2.

    Prepare a spreadsheet to enable material requirements planning

    4.1.

    Prepare a spreadsheet to calculate economic order quantities, explain what it is and how to red

    You are now responsible for sales of detergent products, and is desperately seeking ways to im

    Min order quantity 175.00 Order quantity orders ordering cost av stock

    Quantity inc 25.00 175 20.6 61,714,285.7 87.5

    D Sales 3,600.00 200 18.0 54,000,000.0 100

    P Order cost 3,000,000.00 225 16.0 48,000,000.0 112.5

    Store cost 375,000.00 250 14.4 43,200,000.0 125

    C Holding 0.25 275 13.1 39,272,727.3 137.5

    300 12.0 36,000,000.0 150

    V Package Price 1,500,000.00 325 11.1 33,230,769.2 162.5

    350 10.3 30,857,142.9 175

    375 9.6 28,800,000.0 187.5

    5,400,000,000.00

    EOQ2 57,600.00

    EOQ 240.00 nhung phai lam tron 250 vi cu 25 packages thanh 1 thu

    Neu 3600

    1.List detail information of components provided by each supplier

    2. List detail information of components used for each product

    3. List detail information of components on order

    4. List detail information of components on free stock

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    23/42

    explain what it is EOQ, meaning of EOQ for Big C and how to reduce costs of ordering, costs of stock h

    students have to express formulae to calculate EOQ without spreadsheet; explain meaning of each ter

    students have to provide spreadsheet (not only identify EOQ by formalae) => D2

    students have to explain how to reduce costs of ordering, costs of stock holding => D1

    4.2.

    Prepare a spreadsheet to enable material requirements planning

    part numb product quantity in stock re-order le free stock re-order qu

    A001 A 1 371 160 211 400

    A002 B 5 33 40 100A003 A 5 206 60 146 150

    A004 D 3 176 90 86 225

    A005 E 9 172 120 52 300

    A006 C 7 328 150 178 375

    A007 C 2 13 10 3 25

    A008 C 6 253 60 193 150

    A009 E 9 284 90 194 225

    A010 B 3 435 100 335 250

    A011 B 2 295 110 185 275

    A012 A 3 40 190 475

    A013 A 7 23 120 300

    A014 C 4 296 110 186 275A015 D 7 432 40 392 100

    A016 D 4 416 100 316 250

    A017 A 3 463 150 313 375

    A018 A 1 371 160 211 400

    A019 B 5 33 40 100

    A020 A 5 206 60 146 150

    A021 D 3 176 90 86 225

    Students have to provide original spreadsheet and provide 4 spreadsheet based on 4 requirements abo

    4. List detail information of components on free stock

    1.List detail information of components provided by each supplier

    2. List detail information of components used for each product3. List detail information of components on order

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    24/42

    uantities. You have to use spreadsheet facilities to do this task (this spreadsheet has to be include

    ce costs of ordering, costs of stock holding

    ce costs of ordering, costs of stock holding

    prove profitability. Your attention has been drawn to themes of reducing costs of ordering, costs

    store cost total

    32,812,500.0 94,526,785.71

    37,500,000.0 91,500,000.00

    42,187,500.0 90,187,500.00

    46,875,000.0 90,075,000.00

    51,562,500.0 90,835,227.27

    56,250,000.0 92,250,000.00

    60,937,500.0 94,168,269.23

    65,625,000.0 96,482,142.86

    70,312,500.0 99,112,500.00

    ng to

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    25/42

    olding (M3, D1 & D2 consideration)

    s in spreadsheet above, meaning of EOQ => M3

    on order suppliers

    SP50

    100 SP36SP88

    SP36

    SP50

    SP84

    SP27

    SP36

    SP88

    SP20

    SP36

    475 SP36

    300 SP27

    SP50SP84

    SP41

    SP88

    SP50

    SP36

    SP88

    SP36

    ve

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    26/42

    d in your assignment and soft copy. (outcome 4c; M3, D1 & D2 consideration)

    f stock holding and improving efficiency. Basic calculations show that the average cost of placing an ord

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    27/42

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    28/42

    er is VND 3,000,000. The cost of holding stock is estimated as 25% (0.25). The annual demand for this p

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    29/42

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    30/42

    roduct is 3,500 packages with the price of VND 3, 000, 000 per package. The minimum order quantity is

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    31/42

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    32/42

    175 packages ( The sales over a four-week period has been as follows:

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    33/42

    Task 5 (outcome 4d)

    1. Prepare a project plan for an activity and determine the critical path coi page 33

    The manager would like you to establish

    1.1.How to draw the network diagram.

    1.2.What are the paths through the network?

    1.3.What is the critical path, and what is its duration?

    Draw the network diagram students have to explain steps to draw netwo

    Students have to draw the network diagram and then identify:

    Earliest event time, latest event time

    Paths

    Critical path & duration

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    34/42

    rk for this project

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    35/42

    Task 6 (outcome 4e)

    Use financial tools - discounted cash flow and internal rates of return (IRR function) - to evaluate t

    Cash flow () Discount factor 9% PV ()

    Year 0 (4500) 1.00 -4500.00

    Year 1 2000.00 0.92 1834.86

    Year 2 2700.00 0.84 2272.54

    Year 3 5900.00 0.77 4555.88

    Year 4 2600.00 0.71 1841.91

    Year 5 2700.00 0.65 1754.817760.00

    The discount factor in this case is 9%. Is this a worthwhile project? Why?

    Students have to evaluate the financial viability of this investment: NPV > 0 => cash inflow > cash outflo

    The manager wants you to calculate the Internal Rate of Return for the organisations other newProject costing - 2300

    Cost 2300.00

    Returns: Year 1 900.00

    Year 2 1400.00

    Year 3 1050.00

    3350.00

    Profit 1050.00

    Try to findI by using

    formula

    2 *

    (profit)/(3*cost

    ) 0.30

    I 2

    I 1

    Then calculate IRR by formalae

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    36/42

    Try i1 0.30 30%

    Cash flow Discount factor 30% PV

    Year 0 -2300.00 1.00 -2300.00

    Year 1 900.00 0.77 692.31

    Year 2 1400.00 0.59 828.40Year 3 1050.00 0.46 477.92

    -301.37

    I 1 I 2 NPV 1 NPV 2

    0.30 0.15 -301.37 231.60

    IRR

    -0.35

    try i1 0.15 15%

    Cash flow Discount factor 15% PV

    Year 0 -2300.00 1.00 -2300.00

    Year 1 900.00 0.87 782.61

    Year 2 1400.00 0.76 1058.60

    Year 3 1050.00 0.66 690.39

    231.60

    IRR 0.215182754 21.50%

    0.065182754

    Ca ban coi page 387 de lam theo nhe

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    37/42

    e financial viability of proposed investments (outcome 4e, D1 consideration)

    Year 0 (4500)

    Year 1 2000

    Year 2 2700

    Year 3 5900

    Year 4 2600

    Year 5 2700

    => profit, feasibility. If students' evaluation is so heavy, really worthy => D1

    roject:

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    38/42

    Task 7 (3c)

    Prepare a business presentation using suitable software and techniques to disseminate information

    Students are asked to present their report using suitable software and techniques to disseminate informati

    Each student prepares a file in PPT with 10 - 12 slides to:present their assignment results

    add this PPT into their assignment

    criteria of PPT to be awarded outcome 3 c & M3: outline, clear content, brief information, figure + pictures + tables

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    39/42

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    40/42

    D1 & D3 Consideration

    D1 Consideration

    EVALUATE your work which parts are effective? What are the limitations in your work? What were

    D3 Consideration

    In your opinion, whether inventory control systems in Big C are suitable and effective, giving reasons for

    M, D criteria awarded only when all sub criteria (M1, M2, M3, D1, D2, D3) required in each above task

    each sub criteria awarded when more than 50% subcriteria achieved (i.e: M1 (task 1, task 2, task 3, task

    1. Produce an assignment planner, and hand it in within one week of hand out (D2 consideratio

    Partial assignment has to be submitted to Tutor based on time schedule as evidence to con

    Your action plan with time schedule and activities should be discussed with tutor as more detail as possiassignment planner has to be included in you final assignment version as evidence to consider D2 criteria

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    41/42

    the deviations from your original plan, and how did you correct these?

    your judgement.Propose recommendations based on this field to support CEO in decision making for

    chieved

    => task 1, task 2 achieved M1 => M1 overall achieved)

    )

    ider D2 criteria.

    le. Any changes of plan should be reported to tutor. This.

  • 7/30/2019 Final - Solution for Ass 2 - GC 10

    42/42

    controlling effectively inventory level to minimise inventory costs & satisfy customers demand