feasibility analyses

Upload: madulika010

Post on 03-Apr-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    1/22

    Project Formulation

    Type of Objectives in Project formulationi. General Objectives

    ii. Operational Objectives

    Stages of Project Formulation:1. Feasibility Analysis2. Economic Analysis

    3. Technical Analysis

    4. Input Analysis5. Financial Analysis

    6. Social cost-benefit analysis

    7. Pre-investment analysis

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    2/22

    FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    3/22

    What Is Feasibility Analysis?

    Feasibility Analysis

    Preliminary evaluation of idea to determining if its worth

    pursuing

    Provides more secure notion that a business idea is viable Did analysis, feasible business: Intuit (Quicken, Quickbooks, etc.)

    Personal experience, observed others, surveyed customers

    Did analysis, not feasible: Retailing Insights (grocery cart)

    Determined not a sufficient scale for advertising, needed large proportion

    of grocery stores Dropped idea, focused on core competency, developed Trakus

    No analysis, failed firm: Iridium (satellite phones)

    Too complex technology, too long to develop, new technology took over,

    line of sight to satellite, large phone, low battery power

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    4/22

    Preparing a Concept Statement

    Components of Concept Statement (similar to elevatorpitch components)

    Description of the product or service

    Description of target market

    Benefits of the product or service (value proposition)

    Description of product/service differentiators

    Description of how product/service sold/ distributed

    Description of the founder(s) of the firm

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    5/22

    When To Conduct a Feasibility Analysis

    Timing of Feasibility Analysis

    After concept statement evaluation

    After opportunity recognition, before business plan

    Before a lot of resources are invested

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    6/22

    Feasibility Analysis

    Figure 3.1

    Role of feasibility analysis in developing successful business ideas

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    7/22

    Overview of Full Feasibility Analysis(4 forms of feasibility analysis)

    Product/Service Feasibility Composed of two primary tests

    Concept testing

    Usability testing

    Industry/Market Feasibility Three primary issues a proposed business should consider:

    Industry attractiveness Market timeliness

    Identification of a niche market.

    Organizational Feasibility There are two primary issues to consider in this area:

    Management prowess

    Resource sufficiency Financial Feasibility

    The most important issues to consider at this stage are: Capital requirements

    Financial rate of return

    Overall attractiveness of the investment

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    8/22

    Product/Service Feasibility

    Product/Service Feasibility Analysis

    Assessment of overall appeal of proposed

    product/service

    Main idea: before rushing to development, be sure

    product/service is what prospective customers want

    Two components of product/service feasibility

    analysis:1. Concept testing

    2. Usability testing

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    9/22

    Product/Service Feasibility: 1st Component

    Concept Testing

    Purpose: Gauge customer interest, desirability, purchase

    intentions

    Involves showing a representation of product/service toprospective users

    Occurs before the prototype stage

    Websites and graphic designs are taking this to a new level

    Concept test concept statement

    Concept test: tests feasibility of specific product/service idea

    Concept statement: is a preliminary evaluation of entire business idea

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    10/22

    Product/Service Feasibility: 3 reasons to conduct

    1. Validate underlying premises of product/ service idea

    Use phone interviews, focus groups, watch consumers perform tasks,customer advisory boards

    Ex: PepsiCo developed model of 5 types of teens and tries to predict

    how trends move through teen populations

    2. Help developing idea

    Iteratively show idea to potential customers and make changes alongthe way

    Ex: IDEO product development firm3. Estimate potential market share

    Survey questions

    Market research surveys

    Caution: Numbers always optimistic

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    11/22

    Product/Service Feasibility: 2nd Component

    Usability Testing

    Purpose: determine ease-of-use and users perceptions of

    using product

    While tempting to rush a product/service to market usability tests aregood investments of resources

    Eliminate potentially frustrating aspects of product/services

    Involves creating a physical prototype and giving it to users,

    measuring usage results, and making modifications as necessary Iterative in nature

    Also called: user tests, beta tests, or field trials

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    12/22

    Product/Service Feasibility: 5 Benefits

    1. Getting product right the first time

    2. Create a beta (or early adopter community)

    3. Avoid obvious flaws in product/service design MobileStar wireless hotspots

    4. Use time and resources more efficiently

    5. Potentially identify complementary product/

    service offerings

    iPod accessories

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    13/22

    Overview of Full Feasibility Analysis

    Product/Service Feasibility

    Composed of two primary tests Concept testing

    Usability testing

    Industry/Market Feasibility Three primary issues a proposed business should consider:

    Industry attractiveness

    Market timeliness Identification of a niche market.

    Organizational Feasibility There are two primary issues to consider in this area:

    Management prowess

    Resource sufficiency

    Financial Feasibility The most important issues to consider at this stage are:

    Capital requirements

    Financial rate of return

    Overall attractiveness of the investment

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    14/22

    Industry/Market Feasibility Analysis

    Industry/Market Feasibility Analysis

    Purpose: assess overall appeal of the market

    3 primary issues to consider:1. Industry attractiveness,

    2. Market timeliness, and

    3. Identification of a niche market

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    15/22

    Industry/Market Feasibility Analysis:

    Industry Attractiveness

    Issue 1: Industry Attractiveness Primary determinant of feasibility is attractiveness of

    industry chosen

    Characteristics of attractive industries:

    Large and growing (growth is very important)

    Industries are important to customers (e.g., must haves vs. likes)

    Early in the industry lifecycle to avoid price competition

    Industries are not crowded with competitors

    How to assess industry attractiveness?

    Forces in the broad environment (e.g., technological,sociocultural/demographic, political/legal, economic, global trends)

    Porters Five Forces analysis (well cover next week)

    Other primary and secondary research

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    16/22

    Industry/Market Feasibility Analysis:

    Market Timeliness

    Issue 2: Market Timeliness Will the market be receptive to the product/service?

    If its a modification on existing offerings (e.g., cell phoneswith cameras) ask:

    Is the window of opportunity open?

    Are customers buying?

    Are competitors making money?

    If its a breakthrough product/service (e.g., Yahoo with

    internet search engines, eBay with online auctions, etc.) ask: Can we capture a first-mover advantage?

    Example: Microsoft in computer operating systems

    Will we suffer from a second-mover advantage?

    Example: IBM vs. Dell in personal computer retailing

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    17/22

    Industry/Market Feasibility Analysis:

    Niche Markets

    Issue 3: Identification of a Niche Market

    Niche markets are places in larger market segments that

    represent narrower groups of customers

    2 reasons for new firms to sell to niche markets: Allows a firm to establish itself in industry and avoid competing

    against major competitors (e.g., specialty retailers vs. Wal-Mart)

    Allows a firm to focus on serving specialized markets very well

    Avoids trying to be everything to everybody in a broad market

    Successful example: buyandhold.com and small scale

    investments

    Problematic example: Iridium and satellite phones (tried to

    serve everyone)

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    18/22

    Overview of Full Feasibility Analysis

    Product/Service Feasibility

    Composed of two primary tests Concept testing

    Usability testing

    Industry/Market Feasibility Three primary issues a proposed business should consider:

    Industry attractiveness

    Market timeliness

    Identification of a niche market.

    Organizational Feasibility There are two primary issues to consider in this area:

    Management prowess

    Resource sufficiency

    Financial Feasibility The most important issues to consider at this stage are:

    Capital requirements

    Financial rate of return

    Overall attractiveness of the investment

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    19/22

    Organizational Feasibility Analysis

    Organizational Feasibility

    Purpose: determine if business has sufficient

    skills/resources to bring product/service to market

    successfully

    Non-financial factors important to consider here

    2 primary issues to consider:

    1. Management prowess

    2. Resource sufficiency

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    20/22

    Organizational Feasibility Analysis:

    Management Prowess

    Issue 1: Management Prowess

    Firm must evaluate the ability of the management team

    Determine if has the passion and expertise to launch theventure

    2 most important factors in this area:

    Passion the solo entrepreneur/founding team has for the idea

    Extent the entrepreneur/founding team understands the markets inwhich the firm will participate

    Ventures with established networks have an advantage Successful Example: eBay

    Failed Example: Garden.com (e.g., no gardening/ gardeningretail expertise

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    21/22

    Organizational Feasibility Analysis:

    Resource Sufficiency

    Issue 2: Resource Sufficiency Assessment of resources needed to launch proposed

    venture

    Focus is on nonfinancial resources:

    Availability of affordable office or lab space, Likelihood of government support,

    Labor pool quality,

    Proximity to key suppliers, customers, and similar firms (clusters)

    Likelihood of strategic partnerships,

    Likelihood of attaining IP

    To test resource sufficiency: list critical nonfinancialresources needed to move idea forward successfully

    If resources not available, it may be impractical to proceed with the

    business idea

  • 7/28/2019 Feasibility Analyses

    22/22

    Overview of Full Feasibility Analysis

    Product/Service Feasibility

    Composed of two primary tests Concept testing

    Usability testing

    Industry/Market Feasibility Three primary issues a proposed business should consider:

    Industry attractiveness

    Market timeliness

    Identification of a niche market.

    Organizational Feasibility There are two primary issues to consider in this area:

    Management prowess

    Resource sufficiency

    Financial Feasibility The most important issues to consider at this stage are:

    Capital requirements

    Financial rate of return

    Overall attractiveness of the investment