farmers role in contributing to climate change mitigation · 2020. 7. 7. · the « 4 per 1000 »...
TRANSCRIPT
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Farmers role in contributing to Climate Change mitigation
The « 4 per 1000 » InitiativeGeneral presentation
Paul LUU, Executive Secretary
May 2019
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Indicative plan
• The context• Why farmers are so important…• The « 4 per 1000 » Initiative• What’s happened since 2016?
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
The context
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
A growing world population &a growing impact on forest
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
A (too) slowly decreasingpopulation of undernourished
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Evolution of the planet temperature(1850 to 2015)
(Deviation from the average 1951-1980 in °C from CRU then NASA)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Increase of atmospheric CO² from 1850 (ppm) Cumulated discharges since 1850 (Gt)
Human emissions of CO² &concentration of CO² in the atmosphere since 1850 (NOA)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Agriculture-related activities = 25% of global greenhouse gas emissions (CO2 eq.)
Source: IPCC WGIII - 2010
AFOLU: Agriculture,
FOrestryand
Land Use
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Importance of Land-Use Change (1)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Importance of Land-Use Change (2)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
“Business as usual” (BAU) agriculture emissions would comprise ~50% of allowable emissions to achieve a 2°C
worldGt CO2 eq. per year
9 11
40
74
2010 2050(Business as usual)
2050(2°C target)
Non-agricultural emissions
Agricultural and agriculture-driven land-use change emissions
~50%
49
85
22
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Maize
T-Max
T-MaxYield Yield
Rice
Climate drives yield variation: our food
systems are sensitiveto climate,
not resilient to it
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
SOC level is overlaping withagroclimatic zonage and land use
Cimate Land Use SOC (30 cm)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
As an introduction: some facts
• A growing population with a (too) slowlydecreasing number of undernourished
• An agriculture in the hot sea due to actions in the other economic sectors to reduce GHG emissions
• A need to adapt agriculture and forestry to ongoing climate change
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
From these facts, 3 guidelines for action ….• Act on GHG emissions (mitigation) at all level
including agriculture and forestry• Adapt agriculture and forestry to climate change• Ensure food security that will otherwise be strongly
impacted by climate change
… Through one support: Soils and one action: carbon sequestration
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Why farmers are soimportant…
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Global Soil Organic Carbon Map(GSOC map V1.2.0 – FAO-GSP 2018)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
• To Contribute to food security & restore degraded soilso Major role of soil organic matter in soil fertilityo Yields stabilityo Restoring degraded soils
Why storing C in soils?• To Mitigate climate change
o Attenuate GHG emissions. OC can be stored in soils for decades to millenia
o Low cost negative emission technology
• To Adapt to climate changeo Soil organic matter increases water retention capacity
by soils, o decreases sensitivity to erosion
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
4/1000 : where does it come from?
An annual increase of 4 ‰ of the world soil surface C stocks (860*0.004) would nearly compensate the annual CO2 increase of the atmosphere
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
CO2
Plant and animal residues
Fresh organicmatter
Humus (stable OM/OC)
CO2, CH4, …
mineralization
mineralization
Primary
Secondary
Humification (k1)
Carbon sequestration mecanisms in soils
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
3 possible scenariiIdeal scenario: increase of the carbonstock (first order cinetique)
Very difficult scenario to realize
Normal « balanced » scenario: Loss of SOC by mineralization = Production of stable SOC by humification (dC/dt=0)
Possible scenario if rational practices
Scenario of « Losses » : Loss of SOC by mineralization > Production of stable SOC by humification
Recurent scenario in soils in dry areas
Possible evolution of C in soils
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Research Priorities: Estimating the Potentialof Soil Carbon and Associated Benefits
Accelerated erosion
Innovative Technology II
Innovative Technology I
Subsistence farming, none or low off-farm input soil degradation
New equilibrium
Adoption of better management practices
Time (Yrs)
adapted from Lal, 2004
80
100
40 60 80 100 120 140
40
60
20
Rel
ativ
e So
il C
Poo
l
Maximum Potential
RateΔY
ΔX
Attainable Potential
20
Storage vs sequestration ?
Soil saturation?
Breakthroughs ?Climate change ?
Benefits, trade-offs ?
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Limits and feasability: practices
Rangeland management
Conservation agriculture
Agroforestry
Water management
Integrated soil fertilitymanagement
Organicfertilization
Cover crops
Soil organic carbon
CO 2
Great variability of C storage rates (climate, soil..)Limits : biomass availability, nutrients, water, soil…
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Activity Practice Specific management change Increase C inputs
Decrease C losses
Reduce disturbance
Cropland management Agronomy Increased productivity XRotations XCatch crops XLess fallow XMore legumes XDeintensification XImproved cultivars X
Nutrient management Fertilizer placement XFertilizer timing X
Tillage / residue management Reduced tillage XZero tillage XReduced residue removal X XReduced residue burning X X
Upland water management Irrigation XDrainage X
Set-aside and land use change Set aside X XWetlands X X
Agroforestry Tree crops inc. Shelterbelts etc. X XGrazing land management Livestock grazing intensity Livestock grazing intensity X
Fertilization Fertilization XFire management Fire management XSpecies introduction Species introduction XMore legumes More legumes XIncreased productivity Increased productivity X
Organic soils Restoration Rewetting / abandonment X XDegraded lands Restoration Restoration X X X
Mechanisms for Soil C Sequestration in Agriculture
Smith et al. (2008)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Country Practice Impact on soil C (‰ year-1) References
Benin Crop residuesincorporation 6 to 8 Kenne et al. 2016
Ivory Coast Compost 10 t ha-1 yr-1
21 to 23 (after 23 years) Kenne et al. 2016
Cameroon Acacia senegal improvedfallow
15(after 15 years)
D’Andouss Kissi et al. 2013
D. R. Congo Acacia auriculiformisimproved fallow
5.6(after 22 years)
Bisiaux et al. 2009 Gond et al. 2016
France, Mediterraneanzone
Wheat / walnutagroforestry associations
7(after 18 years)
Cardinael et al. 2015a, b; 2017
E. Torquebiau et al., CIRAD
Some results according to pratices
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
A need for an integrated researchand implementation platform
(Paustian et al., 2016, Nature)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
ConventionalAgriculture
OrganicAgriculture
ConservationAgriculture
RegenerativeAgriculture
Agroforestry
Natural forestryEcosystem
BiodynamicAgriculture
Use of mineralfertilizers and
phytosanitary products Biodiversity and SOC
Future trend towards agro-ecology
Holostic grazingsystem
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Options that farmers are using for soil organic carbon management
28
27
33
49
56
91
99
139
170
224
221
249
250
270
358
384
423
474
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Preventing erosion (e.g., contour farming, terracing, windbreaks)Rewetting of organic soils
BiocharAgro-forestry in grazing lands
Agro-forestry in mixed crop-livestock systemsAgro-forestry in cropland
Buffer strips and set-aside areasPermanent grassland management (optimised grazing)
Use of forage legumesGrass in rotation
Use of grain legumesCrop-livestock systems
Zero tillageReduced/minimum tillage
Use of cover cropsManure and composting (applying livestock manure and/or…
Residue management (crop residue left in the field)
(International survey for farmers: 7 languages, 975 respondents) – Circasa 2019
Crops
Livestock
Agroforestry
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Farmers’ views on solutions to increase adoption of soil carbon sequestration
29
(International survey for farmers: 7 languages, 975 respondents) – Circasa 2019
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Improve infrastructures to access inputs and technologiesCompulsory standards set by food companies
Development of carbon credit schemesInclude SOC in emission trading schemes
Set mandatory targets and regulatory requirements for SOC…Carbon certification schemes (product labels)
Other financial support to transition to SOC practices (e.g.…Payments for ecosystem services (usually public subsidies)
Indicators and tools for farmers and policy makers to measure…Information to policy makers on where and how to target SOC…
Improved awareness among the publicStrengthen farm advisory services and knowledge exchange…
Tailored guidance and advice for farmers on how to increase…
Global
A
B
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Database of good practices according
to agro-pedo-climatic areas and
production systems
InformationData
Wishes, Demands, change of practices
(org, biody, reg, cons Ag, agrof, etc…)
Farmers
Laws, regulations, environment, norms,
incentives, etc.
Wishes, Demands, combat CC & Food Insecurity, etc…
Advises, monitoring & verification
Better quality foods, carbonstorage, biodiversity, water,
etc.
Information, awareness, orientation of policies,
NDC, etc.
Civil Society NGOs Consumers
Supply chainpolicy
Access to financialsupport, C market,
etc.
International Organizations
Gvts - Policy makers
Agro-Food Business -
MarketAccess
Scientists(research & Education)
A1A2
A3
A4
A5 B1
B2
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Agroforestry systems:the closest to the natural ecosystem
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
The « 4 per 1000 » InitiativeSoils for Food Security and Climate
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Results of COP21 in Paris Historical agreement: a solid foundation for international climate
action recognizing in its preamble the inclusive concept of “food
security”. Composed of 3 pillars, all including “agriculture and food
security”: The legal instrument of the agreement; Lima Paris Agenda for Action (LPAA); National contributions (iNDCs).
LPAA supports and promotes 70 major international multi-stakeholder initiatives for climate (on 12 topics) including 6 on agriculture among which the “4 per 1000” Initiative.
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
The 4°/oo Initiative
4 working axis organized in 2 parts
Action Plan• A multi-stakeholder platform to facilitate
partnerships• A tool to expertise and evaluate
projects based on a set of references and indicators
Scientific Program• An international research and scientific
cooperation program• A digital resources center on carbon in
soils
On December 1st 2015, more than 160 signatories of the declaration
of intent (31 countries)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Goals of the 4°/oo Initiative
Increase carbon sequestration in soils as organicmatter, for: increasing food security adapting agriculture to climatic changes mitigating climate change
Pursuing the objectives of sustainable developmentadopted by the United Nations.
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Direct TARGETS
ASSOCIATED TARGETS
Safeguard TARGETS: help Ex-ante assessment to avoid harmful impacts
Land Tenure
Hum
anRi
ght (
right
to fo
od, .
.)
Welfare, W
ellBeingTargets of 4°/oo and SDGs
2016- JL Chotte - Ird
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Declaration of intent 2 (signed mainly in Marrakech)
to build an effective and inclusive governance through a light structure without a legal personality with 4 bodies
Consultative & collaborative Body ⇒ Forum of the Partners
Decision making Body ⇒ Consortium of Members
Scientific Body ⇒Scientific and Technical
Committee
Executive Body ⇒ Executive Secretariat
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Governance of the initiative
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
How to become a partner or a member ?Paris - 2015
Declaration of Intention to support« 4 per 1000 » Initiative
Marrakesh - 2016Declaration of Intention for the formation
of « 4 per 1000 » Initiative Consortium
Signing to become a
PARTNERand participate to the FORUM
Signing to become a
MEMBERand participate to the CONSORTIUM
(not open to commercial or for-profit organizations)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
FORUM partners359 signatories of the Paris Declaration Including 42 countries & provinces,12 international organizations, 14 foundations & development banks,
110 NGos, 80 research & education bodies & Universities, 40 Farmers organizations and 61 enterprises
CONSORTIUM Members Already 183 signatories of the Declaration of
Intention n°2Chair : Dr. Ibrahim MAYAKI (ES NEPAD)
Vice-Chair : Mr. Stephane LE FOLL (ex - Min. Agriculture – France)
Partners & Members (Dec. 2018)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Some Partners & Members in 2018
MembersPartners
Etc.
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
What’s happened since 2016?
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Main deliverables• Installation of the Executive Secretariat• Adoption by the Consortium upon the STC proposal of:
• a set of reference criteria for the evaluation of projects and actions
• orientations of the international scientific researchand cooperation program
• Opening of the website « 4 per 1000 »• Opening of the collaborative platform• Adoption of a communication plan • Development of cooperation on SCS (GSP, ITPS,
UNCCD, Circasa, WOCAT, etc.)
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Set of reference criteria for evaluation of projects & actionsCriteria, indicators, methods and units
Soil carbon and land conservation or restoration Food security
Mitigation
AdaptationSafeguards
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
1st Pillar: Estimating the potential of soil carbon sequestration and associated benefits
2nd Pillar: Developing practices adapted to specific soil and climate conditions
3rd Pillar: Define and strengthen the enabling environment
4th Pillar: Monitoring, reporting and verification of soil carbon
The Four pillars of the International Research and Scientific Cooperation Program
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
www.4p1000.org
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
The Collaborative Platform
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Meetings Dates Place Country
STC n°2 24th & 25th March Rome Italy
STC n°3 28th June Montpellier France
Consortium n°2 29th & 30th June Montpellier France
STC n°4 14th & 15th November Bonn Germany
Forum n°2 16th November Bonn Germany
Consortium n°3 16th November Bonn Germany
Meetings of the Initiative in 2017
Meetings Dates Place CountryCOP 13 UNCCD 4th to 15th September Ordos Inner Mongolia - China
Event under « 4 per 1000 » auspices 13th to 15th October Montréal Canada
COP 23 UNFCCC 16th November Bonn Allemagne
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Future Policy Vision Award 2017
Ordos (Inner Mongolia – China) 12th September 2017
During COP 13 UNCCD - High Level Segment Reception
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Meetings Dates Place CountryContinental Sequestration of
Carbon 1st and 2nd February Montpellier France
Soils & Climate: from hiddendepths to center stage ? 8th February London UK
World Sustainable DevelopmentSummit 2018 14th to 17th March New Delhi India
STC Meeting n°5 5 to 7th June Madrid Spain
Soil Health Event 19th June Washington DC USA
G20 Agriculture 28th July Buenos Aires Argentina
World Congress of Soil Science 12th to 17th August Rio de Janeiro Brazil
Global Climate Action Summit 12th to 14th September San Francisco USA
5th International Rice Congres 15th to 17th October Singapore Singapore
“4 per 1000” Africa Symposium 24th to 26th October Johannesburg South Africa
La Recherche Française autour de l’Initiative « 4 pour 1000 » 7th & 8th November Sète France
STC Meeting n°6 & 2nd « 4 per 1000 » Initiative Day
11th -12th and 13th December Katowice Poland
International meetings identified as priorityfor the Initiative in 2018
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Meetings Dates Place CountryConference
« 4 per 1000 » Initiative 10th May Colombo Sri Lanka« Agriculture is the solution ! »
Symposium 13th to 15th May Shiga Japan
STC n°7 22th to 24th May Montpellier FranceSymposium
« 4 pour 1000 » 18th to 20th June Poitiers France
STC n°8 9th & 10th December (TBC) TBC Chile
Forum n°4 11th December(TBC) TBC Chile
Consortium n°5 11th December(TBC) TBC Chile
New England Agriculture and Climate Symposium
February 2020 (TBC) Boston USA
« 4 per 1000 » MediterraneanRegional Meeting 2020 (TBC) TBC Tunisia or other
Mediterranean Country
International meetings identified as priorityfor the Initiative in 2019
Agriculture is the Solution! For Climate Change – Biwako Hotel Shiga – May 2019
Thank you for your attention….