fanaticism - presentation for habour times 2014.4.9
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Fanaticism and Hong Kong PoliticsTRANSCRIPT
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THE FANATICSThe politics of irrational obsession
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Disclaimer: I don’t sell opinion polls. They are “lies, damned lies and statistics”.
Opinion
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How far would you go for motherly love?
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Fanaticism is religious obsession.
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Queen’s Pier, 2007
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Times Square, 2008
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Manila, 23 August 2010
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Tsim Sha Tsui, 2012
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The Existential Crisis
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–Eric Hoffer
“Mass movements can rise and spread without belief in a God, but never without belief in a devil.”
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The Riot
TVB
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Sino-British negotiation
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Tiananmen
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Handover Asian Financial Crisis
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SARS
Manila Hostage Crisis
TiananmenHandover
& Financial CrisisSino-British Talk
Riot
Post-80
Baby-boomers
Gen SAR
14 - 17
23 - 34
37+
“Hong Kong is the promised land.”
Prophecies of the fall … and the “savior” The
Judgement Day
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“The key to all fanatical beliefs is that they are self-confirming.”
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THE ORIGINAL SINWho is going to be the Savior of Hong Kong?
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BeliefRight vs Wrong True vs False Our Identity Hard to Change
Values
Dislike - Apathetic - Like Shape by our beliefs Can be changed
Subjective domain of Mind Objective domain of Matter
Phenomena !
Perception of Reality
Incoherence
Unknowns
Confirmations
Cognitive Dissonance
Rationalizing
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Present the facts
How Not to Win the Debate
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Alinsky’s Rules on Power
• Power is not only what you have but what the enemy thinks you have.
• The threat is usually more terrifying than the thing itself.
• The major premise for tactics is the development of operations that will maintain a constant pressure upon the opposition.
• If you push a negative hard and deep enough it will break through into its counter side.
• Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it.
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Alinsky’s Rules on People
• A good tactics is one that your people enjoy.
• Never go outside the experience of your people.
• Wherever possible go outside of the experience of the enemy.
• Make the enemy live up to their own book of rules.
• Ridicule is man’s most potent weapon.
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The Elusive Public
Enter your company’s name
Employees
Customers
Investors
Traditional Approach
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Enter your company’s name
EmployeesCustomers
InvestorsPotential customers,
employees, investors
Purposeful Communication
Embrace your goodness
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Communication is Association
• Beliefs and identities
• Seize the moral high ground
• Form new habits
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The Battle Fronts
1. Members of your company vs. members of unions
2. Individual consumers vs. consumers with collective identity
3. Genuine investors vs. activist investors
4. Politicians and the Government
5. The media and the elusive public