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FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION Presentation at Smart Agriculture and Smart Technologies IST March 28, 2019 Immokalee, FL Tara Wade, PhD Southwest FL Research and Education Center

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Page 1: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION

Presentation at Smart Agriculture and Smart Technologies ISTMarch 28, 2019Immokalee, FL

Tara Wade, PhDSouthwest FL Research and Education Center

Page 2: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Precision Agriculture (PA)

Source: http://www.suttonag.com/steketee_ic_weeder.html

Page 3: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Adoption Trends in Program Crops: VRT

Variable Rate Technology use has risen to about one fifth of planted acres of corn, peanuts, soybeans, and rice

Perc

ent o

f cro

p pl

ante

d ac

res

Page 4: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

GPS Yield Maps (left) are twice as popular as GPS Soil Maps (right) for corn and soybeans

05

101520253035404550

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Global Positioning System (GPS) Yield Maps

0

5

10

15

20

25

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Corn

Cotton

Rice

SoybeansWinterWheat

GPS Soil Maps

Crop

Pla

nted

Acr

es (%

)

Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural Resource Management Survey Phase II.

Cite: Land-grant University Research Group NC-1034 pre-conference for the 22nd International Consortium on Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) hosted by the World Bank in Washington, DC, June 12, 2018.

Crop

Pla

nted

Acr

es (%

)

Adoption Trends in Program Crops: Maps

Page 5: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Only 10% of planted acres have GPS maps created from aerial data (drones, light aircraft, or satellites)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Corn

Cotton

Rice

Soybeans

WinterWheat

Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural Resource Management Survey Phase II.

Cite: Land-grant University Research Group NC-1034 pre-conference for the 22nd International Consortium on Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) hosted by the World Bank in Washington, DC, June 12, 2018.

Crop

Pla

nted

Acr

es (%

)

Adoption Trends in Program Crops: GPS and Drones

Page 6: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Guidance Systems are the most popular precision technology for all these field crops

(over 50% of corn and soybeans planted acres in the U.S.)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70Corn

Cotton

Rice

Soybeans

Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the Agricultural Resource Management Survey

Crop

Pla

nted

Acr

es (%

)Adoption Trends in Program Crops: Guidance Systems

Page 7: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

What We Know From The LiteratureFarm size has a positive effect on PA adoption• E.g., Kutter et al., 2011; Walton et al., 2010; Isgin et al., 2008; Alvarez

and Nuthall, 2006

Income or capital expenditure is positively correlated with PA adoption• E.g., Asare and Segarra, 2018; Watcharaanantapong et al., 2014

Education has a positive effect on PA adoption• E.g., Jenkins et al., 2011; ; Banerjee et al., 2008; Isgin et al., 2008;

Alvarez and Nuthall, 2006

Age has a negative effect on PA adoption• E.g., Castle, Lubben and Luck, 2016; Jenkins et al., 2011; Paxton et al.,

2011; Isgin et al., 2008; Fernandez-Cornejo, Daberkow and McBride, 2001

Page 8: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

What We Know From The Literature cont’d

Computer literacy has a positive effect on adoption• E.g., Castle, Lubben and Luck, 2016; Watcharaanantapong et al., 2014;

Paxton et al., 2011; Walton et al., 2010

Yield or profit increase has a positive effect on PA adoption• E.g., Watcharaanantapong et al., 2014; Mooney et al., 2010; Walton et

al., 2010; Roberts et al., 2004; Daberkow and McBride, 2003

Cost share program enrollment has a positive effect on PA adoption• E.g., Asare and Segarra, 2018; Roberts et al., 2004

Page 9: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Precision Agriculture (PA) Pros and Cons

Pros:1. Reduce costs and/or inputs

(labor, fuel, water, pesticides, nutrients, seed)

2. Increase farm efficiency and productivity (soil quality and fertility, pest management, decision aids, uniform fields)

3. Minimize environmental risks

Cons:1. Require system upgrades

2. Require significant capital investment

3. Increase specialty labor

4. May collect data you don’t need/use

5. Can be crop specific

One size does not fit all

Page 10: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Specialty crop growers’ adoption of precision agriculture technologies:

preliminary data from Florida surveys

Work with Shirin Ghatrehsamani (Student) & Yiannis Ampatzidis

Page 11: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Florida PA Technology Adoption Survey• Statewide electronic and in-

person survey

• Provides a comprehensive overview of PA adoption

• Provides insights into growers’ attitudes towards PA

• Examines barriers to adoption

Surveys: 82 Crops: 35 Response rate: 15%

Page 12: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

6.349

17.46

22.22

11.11

22.22

12.7

7.937

05

1015

2025

Perc

ent

20 40 60 80Respondent Age

Operator Age DistributionData

Number of Crops

Number of Growers

Percent of Growers

1 50 61%

2 16 20%

3 9 11%

4 5 6%

7 1 1%

8 1 1%

44%

34%

21%

Crop Categories

Citrus N=64Vegetable & Cucurbits N=49Other N=31

Page 13: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Precision Agriculture AdoptionThe majority of vegetable and cucurbit growers plan

to use PA

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Citrus (N=52) Vegetable (N=18) All (N=80)

Perc

ent t

hat u

se P

A

No Plan Use

Page 14: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Cost-Share ProgramsAbout half of those who plan to use PA are enrolled in cost share

programs

Percent in Cost Share (ρ = 0.4292)Total Acres No (%) Yes (%) N

< 50 100 0 18

50-100 100 0 7

100-200 100 0 2

200-500 80 20 5

500-1000 40 60 5

1000-2000 83 17 6

> 2000 54 54 13

Total 82% 18% 56

0102030405060708090

100

No(N=20)

Plan(N=29)

Use(N=15)

Total(N=64)

Perc

ent e

nrol

led

in c

ost s

hare

No-Cost Share Yes-Cost Share

Page 15: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

EducationThe majority of Florida's farm operators are

educated

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

No (N=23) Plan (N=39) Use (N=18) Total (N=80)

Educ

atio

n (%

)

High Sch. College Graduate

Page 16: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Age

Farm operators who use or plan to use PA are on average 9 years younger than operators who do

not use PA

56

46

48

No (N=19)Plan (N=34)Yes (N=16)

Page 17: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Adoption TimingThe majority of PA users wait before adopting

0 20 40 60 80

No (N=17)

Plan (N=33)

Use (N=13)

Total (N=63)

Adoption Timing (%)Always First First Wait Last Never

Page 18: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Information SourcesProducers who use or plan to use PA primarily get

information from agriculture retailers and consultants

0 20 40 60 80

Citrus (N=35)

Vegetable(N=16)

Total (N=57)

PA Information (%)

None

Other

Crop Consultants

Custom ServiceProvidersAgricultureRetailersExtension Agents

Page 19: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Discussion• Increasing PA use requires a better understanding of the economic

drivers of adoption.

• We are missing a clear connection between PA adoption and environmental (or public) benefits.

• Policy questions to consider:

Are current state programs encouraging the use of PA technologies?

What level of payments are needed to increase PA use?

Is the public willing to pay for agriculture incentive programs for technology adoption?

Could incentive programs have small farms, beginning farmers, and socially disadvantage farmers welfare effects?

Page 20: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Conclusion Trends in program crops show increased use in PA technology over

time.

There is interest in PA among FL producers: more than 50% use or plan to use PA.• There are significant data gaps: with more data we can report

specific technologies producers are interested in.

Social factors, such as education and age, are important determinants in the decision to adopt PA.

It is unclear if cost share is an important driver for PA adoption in FL.

Cost-share program design may lend itself nicely to larger growers.

Extension information plays an important role in delivering PA information to growers.

Page 21: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Acknowledgements

David SchimmelpfennigSenior Agricultural EconomistUSDA, Economic Research Service

This material is partially based upon work supported by USDA/NIFA under Award Number 2015-49200-24228.

Page 22: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Questions/Comments

Feel free to contact us.

Tara [email protected]

Yiannis [email protected]

Source: www4.swfwmd.state.fl.us/alafia/birds.php

Page 23: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

Citrus Vegetable and Cucurbits Other

N = 64 N = 49 N = 21

Oranges Beans Blueberries

Grapefruit Cucumber Chestnuts

Satsuma Green beans Lychee Fruit

Luna Onions Macadamia nuts

Pepper Mics

Sweet corn Olives

Tomato Pecans

Vegetable Pomegranate

Watermelon Sod/Turf

Squash Stone Fruit

Cantaloupe Timber

Cabbage & Broccoli Tropical Fruit

Avocado

Page 24: FACTORS AFFECTING PRECISION AGRICULTURE ADOPTION · 2015. 2016. Corn. Cotton. Rice. Soybeans. Winter Wheat. Source: USDA Economic Research Service estimates using data from the agricultural

PA Survey Technology ListYield Mapping (e.g., GOAT yield monitoring system)GPS Receiver (e.g., boundary mapping)Pest Scouting and Mapping (e.g., “EntoNet”)Weed Scouting and MappingSoil Variability Mapping (e.g., Veris mapping)Soil properties mapping (for N, P, K or soil organic matter, using e.g., precision soil sampling)

Sensor based variable applicator (e.g., “Tree-See”) Prescription Map based variable applicator (e.g., variable rate fertilization)Remote Sensing (e.g., UAV-drones, aerial of satellite imagery)Machinery Auto-Guidance Self-Steering Water Table Monitoring (e.g., moisture sensor used to automate irrigation scheduling) Harvesting Logistic (e.g., mapping brix, acid and sugar levels to determine peak harvest time)Plant tissue samplingEquipment for side dressing input applicationsEquipment for variable rate irrigation