evolving ndbc buoy observations to add value to hurricane ... · michael ~30 ft seas. waves: 42039...

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Evolving NDBC Buoy Observations to Add Value to Hurricane Research and Forecasting Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference Tropical Cyclone Research Forum Karen Grissom 12 March, 2019 National Data Buoy Center

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  • Evolving NDBC Buoy Observations to Add Value to

    Hurricane Research and Forecasting

    Interdepartmental Hurricane ConferenceTropical Cyclone Research Forum

    Karen Grissom12 March, 2019

    National Data Buoy Center

  • Individual Moorings

    Satellites

    Moorings Networks

    Time and Space Observing Needs

  • Value of In-Situ Buoy Observations

    • Initializationo Provide background state prior to TC – improve initial

    conditions

    • Validation/ground truth

    • Developmental testing & calibrationo Contribute to post storm understanding of magnitude &

    duration of ocean response

    • Captures temporal variability

    • Impervious to cloud cover

  • 05/20 06/01 06/15 07/01 07/15 08/01 08/15 09/01 09/15 10/01 10/10980

    990

    1000

    1010

    1020

    1030

    Date (mm/dd)

    Bar

    omet

    ric P

    ress

    ure

    (mb)

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    Sig

    Wav

    e H

    gt (m

    )

    • Ocean observations assimilation critical to improving initialization for intensity

    • Observation (waves, SST) and derived integral properties (heat content) often used as constraint of mesoscale variability – background state

    Initialization

    Station 42039 N. GoM

    Alberto Gordon Michael

  • • Select locations • Observations for testing/validation of satellites and

    models

    Validation

    Businger et al, 2015Tang et al, 2016

  • Calibration

    • Moored sensors can be re-calibrated to become in-situ reference stations for satellites and other type of sensors

    Valamanesh et al, 2016

  • Spatial Density

    Historical DensityCurrent Density (2005-)

  • NDBC Legacy Buoys

    10-meter hull

    6-meter hull

  • NDBC Current Buoys

    3-meter hull

    2.1-meter hull

  • Value Added

    • Moved SST from hull mounted to in-situ bridle mount – faster response time

    • Added capability for RT subsurface in-situ T,S,P (& currents)

    • Excellent coverage of time domain & less time aliasing

    • High-resolution near real-time data to GTS• Hurricane Supplemental Observations: Barometer,

    wind speed and direction reports 1 min extreme

  • Marine Weather:Hurricanes

    Legacy Buoys

  • 09/27 09/30 10/03 10/07 10/10980

    990

    1000

    1010

    1020

    1030

    Date (mm/dd)

    Bar

    omet

    ric P

    ress

    ure

    (mb)

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    Sig

    Wav

    e H

    gt (m

    )

    10/01 10/07 10/10 10/14 10/170

    2.5

    5

    7.5

    10

    Date (mm/dd)

    Sig

    Wav

    e H

    gt (m

    )

    1,000

    1005

    1,010

    1015

    1,020

    Bar

    omet

    ric P

    ress

    ure

    (mb)

    Michael

    ~30 ft seas

    Waves: 42039 & 42003

  • ~30 ft seas

    Waves: 41048

    Florence

  • -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 600

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    OHC Difference (kJ/cm2)

    Num

    ber o

    f Obs

    erva

    tions

    Q = cp ρ ∫ 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥0𝑧𝑧(𝛥𝛥=26) (x,y,z,t) dz

    Mean difference = 4.6 kJ cm-2 ± 15 kJ cm-2

    Extra heatLess heat

    Ocean Heat Content

  • • Agreement diminishes with depth• Std dev increases from

    ± 0.2°C to ±0.6°

    • Mean difference changes sign

    Accuracy Required?

  • Summary

    • Value of buoy observations: initialization, validation, testing/calibration.

    • Different spatial representation, buoys ~ order of magnitude smaller, capture temporal variability.

    • Geographical sampling biases due to scarcity of high-quality buoy data

    • Technology refresh o High-resolution RT data to GTSo Cameraso Subsurface observations – OHCo Accuracy