estimation of freeway traffic congestion using probe …€¦ · o van aerde model •full year...

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DATE 6/27/2017 ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE VEHICLE DATA - A CASE STUDY IN SANTA CLARA COUNTY Anusha Musunuru, Aaron Elias, Mike Aronson 2018 ITE Joint Western & Texas District Meeting

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Page 1: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

DATE 6/27/2017

ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE VEHICLE DATA -A CASE STUDY IN SANTA CLARA COUNTY

Anusha Musunuru, Aaron Elias, Mike Aronson

2018 ITE Joint Western & Texas District Meeting

Page 2: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Presentation Overview

• Background• Data Sources• Methodology• Case Study Results• Next Steps• Questions?

Page 3: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Presentation Overview

• Background• Data Sources• Methodology• Case Study Results• Next Steps• Questions?

Page 4: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Background

• Freeway Level of Service (LOS)• Congestion Management Program (CMP)• CMP network• Trends in travel speeds• Congested segments,.......

Page 5: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Background

• Future transportation needs• Alleviate congestion• Informed decisions

Page 6: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Background

• Santa Clara County • 155 miles of freeway• AM and PM peak periods

Source: https://www.worldatlas.com/na/us/ca/c-santa-clara-county-california.html

Page 7: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Presentation Overview

• Background• Data Sources• Methodology• Case Study Results• Next Steps• Questions?

Page 8: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Data Sources

• Performance Measureso LOSo Duration of Congestion

• Data Sourceso Aerial Photographyo Floating car runs

Page 9: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Data Sources

• Data Sourceso Floating car runs (HOV)o INRIX Data

Page 10: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Presentation Overview

• Background• Data Sources• Methodology• Case Study Results• Next Steps• Questions?

Page 11: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Methodology

Density-Speed Relationship

Page 12: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Methodology

• Mixed Flow Laneso Traffic message channels (TMC)o Merge and diverge points of Rampso Travel speed and travel time for each TMC

Page 13: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Methodology

• HOV Laneso INRIX data cannot separate HOV lane performance datao Floating vehicle surveyso Two mid-week days

o 6:15 am – 9:45 amo 3:15 pm – 6:45 pm

Page 14: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Data Processing

• Mixed Flow Laneso Filter raw datao Calculate 20th Percentile Speed

o ~80th Percentile Travel Time

o Speed contour mapso LOS – based on travel speedso Duration of congestion

Page 15: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Mixed Flow Lanes

• Filter raw datao Data ‘Quality Score’o Score of 30/20/10o Missing datao Midweek days – September & October

• Calculate 20th Percentile Speedo Speed that 20 percent of days – do not exceedo Avoid days with crashes, work zones, and special eventso Worst case in “typical” dayo Recurrent congestion

Page 16: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Mixed Flow Lanes

• Speed contour maps

Page 17: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Mixed Flow Lanes

• LOS calculationo Minimum travel speedo AM and PM peak periods

• Duration of congestiono Speed contour mapso Each TMC segment

Page 18: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Data Processing

• HOV Laneso Same TMC segmentationo No crash, construction/work zone, evento Travel speeds averagedo LOSo No duration of congestion

Page 19: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Presentation Overview

• Background• Data Sources• Methodology• Case Study Results• Next Steps• Questions?

Page 20: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Case Study Results

• Freeway Speed, LOS, Estimated Density, Estimated Flow

Page 21: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Case Study Results

• Freeway Miles LOS

Mixed Flow Lanes HOV Lanes

Page 22: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Case Study Results

• US 101 Congestion Duration (as a Percent of Directional Miles)

Page 23: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Case Study Results

• Duration of Congestion

Page 24: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Presentation Overview

• Background• Data Sources• Methodology• Case Study Results• Next Steps• Questions?

Page 25: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Next Steps

• Results Comparisono LOS, Speed, Density Comparisono Van Aerde Model

• Full year datao Speed datao TMC level analysis

• Reliability Metricso Travel time indexo Planning time index

Page 26: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Presentation Overview

• Background• Data Sources• Methodology• Case Study Results• Next Steps• Questions?

Page 27: ESTIMATION OF FREEWAY TRAFFIC CONGESTION USING PROBE …€¦ · o Van Aerde Model •Full year data o Speed data o TMC level analysis •Reliability Metrics o Travel time index o

Questions??