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30/11/2006 1 Established and Growing Metals Bulletin November 2005 Taking the next step

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Page 1: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20061

Established and Growing

Metals Bulletin November 2005

Taking the next step

Page 2: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20062

This Document is Confidential and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person, or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written approval from Mount Gibson Iron Limited.

This Document is not a Prospectus nor an Offer to Subscribe for Shares.

Mount Gibson Iron Limited and its subsidiaries (“MGI”) makes no representations or warranty (express or implied) as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of this document. MGI and its respective directors, employees, agents and consultants shall have no liability (including liability to any person by reason of negligence or negligent misstatement) for any statements, opinions, information or matters (expressed or implied) arising out of, or contained in or derived from, or for any omissions from this document, except liability under statute that cannot be excluded.

This document contains reference to certain forecasts, projections, intentions, expectations and plans of MGI, which may or may not be achieved. They are based on certain assumptions which may not be met or on which views may differ.

The performance and operations of MGI may be influenced by a number of factors, uncertainties and contingencies many of which are outside the control of MGI and its directors.

No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made by MGI or any of its respective directors, officers, employees, advisers or agents that any forecasts, projections, intentions, expectations or plans set out in this document will be achieved, either totally or partially, or that any particular rate of return will be achieved.

Investments in shares in MGI is considered highly speculative.

Disclaimer

Page 3: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20063

Highlights

• Record profit• Market capitalisation has increased by in excess of 50%• Achieved record production rates• Record shipping rates expected in the December quarter• Increased reserves by 75%• Promising drill intersections along strike and adjacent to current operation• Completed the Extension Hill hematite desktop study which demonstrated

the mine can provide outstanding financial results• Sold Asia Iron for $52.5 million of which $40 million has been paid and the

balance is to be paid no later than 31 May 2007• Large scale overseas iron ore and steel producer attracted to Mount

Gibson’s share register paying a premium• Mount Gibson has secured in excess of 55% of Aztec and has welcomed the

unanimous recommendation of the Aztec Board of directors

Page 4: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20064

Chinese monthly iron ore imports

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Mt

•30% growth year on year

Jan – Jul 06 = 186Mt

Source : TR

Page 5: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20065

+11.2%

356 384 360 372 389 400 405 420 440

70 92 112148 203

270330

410455

389

55

99 ´00 ´01 ´02 ´03 ´04 ´05 '06e '08f '10f

411454 452

484537

603

CAGR 05-10

+ 5.9%

+1.7%

World

China as % of the total 28% 34% 40% 45% 49% 51%

Rest of the

world

China

735

670

830

895

(Mt)

Source : Clarckson

Seaborne Trade

Page 6: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20066

Main import countries

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

'93

'94

'95

'96

'97

'98

'99

'00

'01

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06eM

t

China

Japan

Europe S.Korea

Taiwan

Source : UNCTAD

Page 7: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20067

Main Iron ore export countries

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

'93

'94

'95

'96

'97

'98

'99

'00

'01

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06e

Mt

Australia

BrazilIndia

South Africa

Source : UNCTAD

Page 8: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20068

5%

8% 7%

1% 0% 1% 0%

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

`00 `01 `02 `03 `04 '05 `06e

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

The seaborne trade may not be enough to satisfy the demand

>95% demand over supply = shortage

Supply.

Demand

% Idle Cap

Mt

Source: IISI, TR

Supply x Demand - Seaborne Trade

Page 9: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/20069

Where is Mount Gibson Iron and Aztec located

Koolan Island (NEAR-TERM PRODUCTION) Tallering Peak

(PRODUCTION) Extension Hill (NEAR-TERM PRODUCTION)

Koolan Island (NEAR-TERM PRODUCTION) Tallering Peak

(PRODUCTION) Extension Hill (NEAR-TERM PRODUCTION)

Page 10: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200610

Mid West sites

Page 11: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200611

Geraldton Port – Strategic position

Page 12: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200612

Operations data

Tallering Peak Mt Gibson Koolan Island (Aztec)

Reserve (Mt) 20.4 12.1 24.9

Resources (Mt) 23.2 19.5 53.3

Annual production (Mt) 3 3 (target) 4

Lump / Fines Ratio 65 / 35 50 / 50 30 / 70

Truck (km) 65 85 -

Rail (km) 107 239 -

Strip Ratio (wt:ot) 6:1 1:1 6:1 (est)

Port Geraldton Geraldton Koolan Island

Page 13: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200613

Direct shipping grade hematite

Tallering Peak

• First hematite ore shipped Feb 2004

• Producing 3Mtpa

• 65% Lump & 35% Fines ratio

• Quality high grade low contaminant product (61.8% Fe, 4.51 SiO2, 2.15 Al2O3 & 0.03 P)

Tallering Peak T3b open pit September 2006 looking south-west

Page 14: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200614

Tallering Peak site layout

Page 15: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200615

Status of Tallering Peak mine development in December 2005 looking south

Page 16: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200616

Tallering Peak T3b open pit design and progress September 2006 looking south

Page 17: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200617

Tallering Peak open pit design and expected mining progress to September 2007

Page 18: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200618

Extension Hill hematite location

Page 19: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200619

Extension Hill hematite desktop study

• Available resource for mining will be increased• Operationally robust and straightforward• Low capital cost• Up to 3Mt production rate• Low strip ratio – 1:1 or better• Lump / Fines ratio of approximately 50:50• 60.7% Fe, 4.79 SiO2, 1.61 Al2O3, 0.06 P• Immediate cash generator• Utilise knowledge and approvals from Extension Hill Magnetite Project• Targeting production early 2008 predicated on completion of feasibility

study, approval (board and statutory) and the commissioning of facilities at the Geraldton Port i.e. GPA berth 5 ship loader and rail unloader

Page 20: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200620

Extension Hill – 2006 interpretation

Page 21: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200621

Extension Hill hematite mine layout

Page 22: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200622

Extension Hill hematite desktop results

• Capital expenditure $67M• Average LOM Cash cost $34/t• NPV $106M• IRR 115%• EBITDA $281M• All estimates are based on the level of accuracy provided by desktop

evaluation• Feasibility study due for completion by year end

Page 23: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200623

Recent evolution—Mount Gibson’s current profile

…Mount Gibson’s investment case will be solid but does the market get it yet?

Excellent leverage to strong iron ore price

Premium direct ship iron ore strategy

Post-Aztec portfolio balanced between near

term cash flow and growth

Optionality

Value

• Independent pure-play iron ore producer• Iron ore is currently in a robust price environment and demand from China is expected to

result in high prices to be maintained in the medium term• Tallering Peak provides direct exposure through its currently producing mine (3 Mtpa)• Aztec transaction to provide exposure to iron ore prices for longer

• Mount Gibson pursues hematite strategy allowing it to focus on premium products. Benefits of this include low level of contaminants in iron ore making it a more attractive direct shipped product and low capex/operating requirements

• Higher proportion of lump ore production: can take advantage of lump ore premium pricing of ~28% (expected to be maintained until 2012)

• Tallering Peak provides cash flow certainty by increasing production to 3Mtpa• Extension Hill and Koolan Island provide growth potential with limited capex requirement• Extension Hill: on completion of the feasibility study and approval, first production

expected in early 08• Koolan Island: first production expected in 2H06

• Currently enjoys a strategic advantage with access to services and infrastructure. Member of Geraldton Iron Ore Alliance: effectively plan for the infrastructure needs of the region and reduce the cost and time required for implementation

• Lower capex requirements for development compared to peers• Low gearing and improving financial flexibility to position the company to benefit from

opportunities (e.g., M&A, investment for growth if price environment persists)

• Still value upside to be gained in NPV terms• Potentially trading discount to peer group

InvestorunderstandingContentionKey themes

Page 24: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200624

Determining the broader strategic direction

There are three strategies which Mount Gibson could potentially pursue from an acquisition perspective

Premium iron ore strategy

Steel supply chain strategy

Diversified strategy

Page 25: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200625

Summary

• Mount Gibson Iron– has retained and enhanced its first mover status– is growing production– enjoys long term access agreements to services and infrastructure– is focusing on accretive low risk assets– has excellent leverage to strong iron ore prices– has exposure to quality assets and products– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth– has significant optionality– has further value upside and is being recognised by large sophisticated

investors– has a clear and deliverable growth strategy– will be a larger, longer life and lower cost pure play Australian iron ore

producer

Page 26: Established and Growing Taking the next step...– portfolio is balanced between near term cash flow and growth – has significant optionality – has further value upside and is

30/11/200626

Competent Person

The information in this report relating to Mineral Resources is based on information compiled by Rolf Forster, who is a member of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy and holds a Bachelor of Applied Science in Geology.

Rolf Forster is a consultant to Mount Gibson Mining Limited, and has sufficient experience which is relevant to the styles of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking, to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the December 2004 Edition of the “Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves”. Rolf Forster has consented to the inclusion of the matters in this report based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.