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Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.p pt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan Koomey, Ph.D. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [email protected], 510/486-5974, http://enduse.lbl.gov/ For more details on the analysis discussed here, go to http://N4E.LBL.gov Download: http://enduse.lbl.gov/shareddata/internetdatatalk0110 10.ppt Presented at the Site Uptime Network Conference Atlanta, GA October 10, 2001

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Page 1: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom

Jonathan Koomey, Ph.D.Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

[email protected], 510/486-5974, http://enduse.lbl.gov/

For more details on the analysis discussed here, go to

http://N4E.LBL.gov

Download:

http://enduse.lbl.gov/shareddata/internetdatatalk011010.ppt

Presented at the Site Uptime Network Conference Atlanta, GA

October 10, 2001

Page 2: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Background The Internet Begins with Coal, by Mark

Mills, was published in Forbes in May 1999.

Results were widely cited and have become conventional wisdom

— Internet = 8% of all electricity use— All office equipment = 13% of all electricity use — Total projected to grow to 50% of all electricity

use in 10-20 years

Page 3: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Mills’ broader claims He says electricity demand growth will

accelerate because of increased numbers and use of computers and office equipment (he equates importance in $ to importance in kWh)

He says alternative sources cannot meet this increased demand, only coal can.

He says that any attempt to constrain demand will kill the information economy.

Page 4: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

The reality The importance of information technology

to the economy does NOT imply that it must use a lot of electric power.

Actual total for all office equipment is 3% of all electricity use, Internet electricity (using Mills’ own definitions) is only 1%.

Alternative sources are growing quickly and becoming an important industry (e.g., wind).

Page 5: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Recent developments Mills’ claims are becoming less widely

believed, but many people still cite them, and some people still pay many $ to hear them.

— Many institutions have backed away from using Mills’ numbers.

— I and my colleagues have educated dozens of reporters on this topic.

Page 6: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Mills’ analysis was flawed

Bad data: 1-2 kW PCs, 500 kW central offices, 250 kW mainframes, 1 kW routers in LANs.

Bad boundary definitions: Just what part of a PC or a server is “associated with the internet”, anyway?

Overlooked systemic effects: information tech. can affect the efficiency of many processes.

Page 7: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Mills’ electricity “used by the internet”, corrected by LBNL

TW

h p

er y

ear

Page 8: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Data needs Equipment sales Power use (W) by operating mode Usage (Hours) by operating modes

Equipment stocks (estimate using sales and lifetimes, and/or assess using surveys)

Materials use, reuse, and recycling

Estimate energy use and emissions

Systemic effects (e.g., telecommuting, e-commerce)

Page 9: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Latest estimate of office equipment electricity use by sector in 1999

Residential 12%Industrial 13%

Network 4%

Commercial 71%

Total = 74 TWh

http://enduse.lbl.gov/Projects/InfoTech.html

Page 10: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Comparison of Estimates of Energy Use for Commercial Office Equipment in 1999

Printer

Desktop/Portable/Server Computer

Display/Terminal

Mainframe/Minicomputer

Copier/Fax

An

nual

Ene

rgy

Use

(T

Wh)

http://enduse.lbl.gov/Projects/InfoTech.html

Page 11: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

A key uncertainty: Data centers/server hotels

Some utilities receiving requests for tens to hundreds of MW of power from proposed data centers

Estimates for power use almost certainly too large— One facility maximum = 90 W/sf, actual <40W/sf. — Another facility claimed 65 W/sf, but floor area defined

incorrectly to exclude aisles and other common areas, leading to an overestimate of power use (this definition is critical)

— Still another facility took direct server load and multiplied by three (!) to account for cooling, lighting, and other uses (implies a COP of about 0.5, 3-4 times too low)

Page 12: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

local distribution lines

to the building, 480 V

HVAC system

lights, office space, etc.

UPS PDU computer racks

backup diesel generators

Electricity Flows in Data Centers

computerequipment

uninterruptible

load

Page 13: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Defining metrics for data centersPower Loads

(in watts)Footprint

(in square feet)

computerequipment

(e.g., server)

one rack(e.g., rack of servers)

all racks

all core datacenter space

(net floor space)

whole building(gross floor space)

computers

HVAC (in data centerand for whole facility)

lights (in data centerand for whole

facility)

mechanical equipmentexcluding HVAC (e.g.,

UPS, PDU)

single data centerfloor within a multipurpose office building

other (e.g., copiersand faxs in office space)

Utilities

Data center designers, media

total power load

W/ft2

Page 14: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Results from one data center based on measured data

Power useTerm Definition Watts/sf

Computer Power Density

Power drawn by the computer equipment (in watts) divided by the computer room floor area (in square feet) 16

Total Computer Room Power Density

Power drawn by the computer equipment and all of the supporting equipment such as PDUs, UPSs, HVAC, and lights (in watts) divided by the computer room floor area (in square feet) 33

Building Power DensityTotal power drawn by the building (in watts) divided by the total floor area of the building (in square feet) 11

(1) Source: Mitchell-Jackson, Jennifer. 2001. Energy Needs in an Internet Economy: A Closer Look at Data Centers. M.S. Thesis, Energy and Resources Group, University of California, Berkeley. http://enduse.lbl.gov/projects/infotech.html

Contact: [email protected], 510/486-5974.

Page 15: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Total computer room power densities based on billing data

(1) Source: Mitchell-Jackson, Jennifer. 2001. Energy Needs in an Internet Economy: A Closer Look at Data Centers. M.S. Thesis, Energy and Resources Group, University of California, Berkeley. http://enduse.lbl.gov/projects/infotech.html

Contact: [email protected], 510/486-5974.

0

10

20

30

40

A B C D E

Data center

Page 16: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Electricity used by data centers in the U.S

(1) Source: Mitchell-Jackson, Jennifer. 2001. Energy Needs in an Internet Economy: A Closer Look at Data Centers. M.S. Thesis, Energy and Resources Group, University of California, Berkeley. http://enduse.lbl.gov/projects/infotech.html

(2) Power density estimates ignore the possibility that server loads are shifted from existing installations and not new loads.

(3) Electricity use calculated assuming 8760 hours per year operation, flat load curve.

(4) Total U.S. electricity use taken from EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2001.

Contact: [email protected], 510/486-5974.

Low Best estimate HighUnits 2000 2003 2003 2003

Floor area at end of year Msf 9.5 20 25 30Data center total power density W/sf 50 35 60 85Data center total power GW 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.6Data center electricity use TWh 4 6 13 22

Data centers as % of total use 0.12% 0.17% 0.36% 0.62%

Total U.S. electricity use TWh 3364 3608 3608 3608

Page 17: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Possible systemic effects of information technology (IT)

Commercial floor space— Reduced office space— Reduced warehouse space

Changes in travel patterns

More efficient use of energy and materials

IT + utility deregulation = energy service markets for big service providers

Page 18: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Something unusual may be going on

Source: Joe Romm, Center for Energy and Climate Solutions

ANNUAL GROWTH RATES

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

5.0%

Electricity Energy CO2 GDP

1992-1996 1996-2000

Page 19: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Conclusions Misinformation seems to spread more

quickly than truth.

Bad data = wrong decisions

Computers and other office equipment are NOT the cause of the California power crisis.

Electricity used by computers and network equipment, including telecommunications and manufacturing energy = 3% of U.S. electricity use U.S., not 13%.

Page 20: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Conclusions (p.2) No evidence that a Palm VII uses as

much as a refrigerator (Mills has ignored nine data requests from me on this issue).

Electricity used by data centers is relatively small in the aggregate; in certain cities such centers can be important contributors to load.

Page 21: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

Conclusions (p.3) Understanding the systemic effects of

information technology is critically important (CECS, CMU, UCB, and others)

Please spread the word!

Credible data are urgently needed. Join our network for energy, environment, efficiency, and the information economy

(N4E) at http://n4e.lbl.gov

Page 22: Environmental Energy Technologies Internetdatatalk010522.ppt Electricity used by the Internet: How an urban legend became conventional wisdom Jonathan

Environmental Energy TechnologiesInternetdatatalk010522.ppt

If you really want to get the numbers right http://www.numbersintoknowledge.com

New book, just released!

Analytics Press, 2001

ISBN 0-9706019-0-5