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TRANSCRIPT
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End of life or afterlife?
Susan GourvenecUniversity of Western AustraliaOceans Institute, Centre for Offshore Foundation Systems, OFFshore Hub
23rd February 2017Australasian Oil and Gas Conference
Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Who cares?
Operators
Tourism operators
RegulatorsLocal
industryCommercial
fishers
Rec fishers Rec diversGeneral public
Who cares?
Leckie, White, Draper & Cheng 2016, ASCE J Pipeline Systems Engineering Practice
Why do we care?
Over 600 fields expected to cease production in the next 10 years across the Asia-Pacific WOOD MACKENZIE, 2016
Australia has a future liability USD $21bn over next 50 yearsNERA, 2016
NERA Oil and Gas Industry Competitive Assessment“Australia scored poorly in abandonment - below the world median and significantly below the world best, Norway”
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Local landscape
Expected operational life of selected Western Australian offshore oil and gas
projects (WAMSI 2015)
http://www.wamsi.org.au
Options
Gourvenec & White (2017)Conference on Maritime EnergyDecommissioning of Offshore Geotechnical Structures
Operational project
Complete removalPartial removal & relocation
Partial removal & in situ decomm Augmentation
Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Engineering• A solution can be found to most engineering challenges with sufficient
investment.
AllseasPioneering Spiritwww.allseas.com
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Engineering• A solution can be found to most engineering challenges with sufficient
investment. • But just because we can - should we?
Challenges, risks & costs of removal (even for relocation).
Challenges, risks & costs of disposal onshore, landfill or recycling.
Destruction/disruption of established ecosystem around infrastructure.
Image from: Decommissioning in the North Sea, Arup
Engineering
Asgard subsea compression unit75 m x 45 m 5000t
www.statoil.comPhoto: Elin A/Statoil
Engineering
Gorgon projectSubsea mudmat40 m × 32 m, ~ 1000t(Epstein & Abelenet2014, Subsea7)mcedd.com/wp-content/uploads/ Subsea%207%20-%20MCED%20 REP%20presentation%20-%20% 209%20April%202014%20-%20PvA.pdf
Engineering
• If cost and risk of engineered removal are to be eliminated – the alternativemust be demonstrated to be safe from an engineering and ecological perspective.
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Engineering
• BOD for the afterlife is different to that for the production life
H
V
MT
• e.g. subsea structure• Less stringent tolerances on differential movements• No risk from loss of containment (once cleaned and flushed)• Avoid dispersal of structure in large or small parts
Engineering
• BOD for the afterlife• Less stringent tolerance requirements on differential movements• No risk from loss of containment (once cleaned and flushed)• Avoid dispersal of structure in large or small parts
V
• Loading less onerous in afterlife – absence of operational loads
Engineering
• BOD for the afterlife• Less stringent tolerance requirements on differential movements• No risk from loss of containment (once cleaned and flushed)• Avoid dispersal of structure in large or small parts
• Loading less onerous in afterlife – absence of operational loads• Resistance may increase relative to design state due to marine growth, burial/
embedment and increased seabed strength.
su ↑V
Engineering
• Viewed through lens of removal - increased resistance increases the challenge• Viewed through lens of in situ decommissioning - increased resistance is beneficial.
Potential retrieval resistance, or stability for the afterlife, for a subsea mudmat at end of field life (B = 5 m, B/L = 0.5 and d/B = 0.2, su (kPa) = 1+ 1.5z)
Gourvenec & White (2017)Conference on Maritime Energy,
Decommissioning of Offshore Geotechnical Structures
In situ decommissioning of subsea structures
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Engineering
Gourvenec et al. (2017)Offshore Technology Conference,
HoustonA toolbox for optimizing geotechnical
design of subsea foundations
• Same research informs different decommissioning options
Engineering
• Pipe self-burial• Harder to retrieve from seabed• Less likely to float away or disperse in an afterlife and cause a hazard
Temporal changes in the seabed topography around a pipeline on the NWS (Scale compressed in the along-pipe axis) (Leckie et al., 2015a)
Engineering
• Augmentation – artificial reef modules
courtesy of Subcon Pty Ltd
http://www.famer.unsw.edu.au/research.html
Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Marine science
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Marine science
Dr Diane McLean, Oceans Institute, UWA
• Fish diversity and abundance on pipelines;• Variability in fish assemblages on
pipelines;• Pipeline habitats;• How are fish utilising pipelines; and• Whether pipelines attract or enhance fish
stocks.• Create scientific data to assist in
assessing the value of pipelines to fish and fisheries on the north-west shelf.
Marine science
Implications for what to do with the pipelines after decommissioning
Cou
rtesy
of D
r Dia
ne M
cLea
n
Marine science
Courtesy of Dr Diane McLean
Marine science
Courtesy of Dr Diane McLean
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• Demonstrated benefits of offshore oil and gas infrastructure as part of the marine ecosystem.
• Can it do more harm than good removing infrastructure?• What are the risks associated with leaving the infrastructure in situ?
Marine science
Short term Long term
Known benefits Unknown risks
Evidence base required to maximize benefits and minimize negative impacts.
Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Society
Society• Who might be affected by decision about what to do with offshore
infrastructure at the end of production life? • What are the concerns? • Can they be addressed?
Operators consider gains from better policy to be important; other stakeholders and community will not support shift in policy without evidence, and the current state of relevant evidence is vastly insufficient.
• A review of stakeholder issues and concerns about decommissioning of offshore oil and gas facilities in WA has been undertaken as part of the WAMSI Blueprint for Marine Science.
• More than 100 individuals and organizations consulted. • Fishers, tourism operators, consultants, oil and gas operators, State
and Commonwealth regulators, management agencies.
Society• Learning from other sectors
Interactions between user groups and policy makers Coastal communities
Marine archeology Experience of things left of the seafloor for a long time Insight into human interaction with oceans
Could offshore oil and gas infrastructure decommissioned in situ form part of our industrial heritage in the future?
A/Professor Julian CliftonSchool of Agriculture and Environment, and Oceans
Institute, UWA
Professor Alistair PatersonSchool of Archaeology and
Oceans Institute, UWA
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Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Economics Economics• How much does each decommissioning option cost? • Cost who?
• operator• tax-payer• local industry• general public• environment
• Financial and non-financial consequences need to be assessed• Multi-variate life-cycle modelling
• What are the opportunities in decommissioning?• What is the value of the industry – domestically and to export expertise?• What is the effect of decommissioning policy and capability on future
investment?
• Learning from other sectors e.g. Mine site reclamation
What are the costs and benefits to the nation of offshore decommissioning?
Economics
A/Professor Ben WhiteSchool of Agriculture and
Environment, UWA
A/Professor Michael BurtonSchool of Agriculture and
Environment, UWA
Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Law, policy and governance
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Law, policy and governance
• Geneva convention on the Continental Shelf (1958) requires complete removal of disused marine infrastructure.
• United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea states that decisions should take into account generally accepted international standards established … by the competent international organization.
• International Maritime Organisation (1989) allows structures to be left in place on a case-by-case basis and refers to new use or other reasonable justification for in situ disposal.
• Due consideration must have been given to• safety of navigation• rate of deterioration• risk of structural movement• environmental effects
• costs• technical feasibility and• risks of injury associated with removal.
Law, policy and governance
• Who owns liability if oil and gas infrastructure is left in situ?
• Work being done in this area …
Prof. Erika Techera, UWALawyer & Director of
Oceans Institute
Prof. John ChandlerCo-Director of Centre for
Mining, Energy and Natural Resources Law, UWA
Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Back to the question … Decision framework
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Decision framework
Optimal solution
The answer?
Architecture/infrastructureOffshore environment
Ocean usersPublic
National and regional policy
Complete removalPartial removal & relocation
Partial removal & in situ decomm
Augmentation
Moving forward
Forum theme How the Australian subsea industry can adjust to the evolving market
Ensure robust and effective regulations that support the industry;
Collaborate and invest in industry-led research –develop next generation of equipment and technology;
Collaborate with other countries – learn from best practice;
Innovate solutions to reduce risk, time and cost of decommissioning;
Grow local workforce capability.
The opportunity and business rational is clear for Australia to invest and build the relevant capability before the wave of decommissioning activities commences.
Moving forward
Create the scientific evidence base, develop technology and develop and deliver a decision tool across all stakeholders and relevant disciplines.
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Moving forward
Get in touch!
• Call to action!
• What are your challenges facing the upcoming wave of offshore decommissioning?
• What are your ideas & products to contribute towards making Australia more competitive in offshore decommissioning?
Acknowledgements
• UWA Oceans Institute • Centre for Offshore Foundation Systems• OFFshore Hub
• NERA• WAMSI
• Australian Research Council
• Australian Oil and Gas Exhibition and Conference• Society for Underwater Technology, Subsea Energy Australia and
Subsea UK
End of life or afterlife?
Susan GourvenecUniversity of Western AustraliaOceans Institute, Centre for Offshore Foundation Systems, Offshore Hub
23rd February 2017Australasian Oil and Gas Conference
Is it more rational to leave offshore infrastructure in situ after decommissioning?
Further info
Bernadette Cullinane, Partner and National Oil and Gas Leader
Deloitte Australia
Conference & Exhibition Perth, 14-17 May 2017
“Decommissioning – the next Australian oil and gas boom?
http://www.oceans.uwa.edu.auhttp://www.theconversation.com