electronic components industry report in q1/2018
TRANSCRIPT
2
Content
Section Page Section Page
Abbreviations 3 2.2.2. Value chains in electronics industry 26
Executive summary 4 2.2.3. Production 30
1. Business environment 6 2.2.4. Consumption 39
1.1. Macroeconomic situation 6 2.2.5. Import and export 42
1.2. Legal framework 13 2.3. Industry development planning 52
2. Industry overview 19 2.4. Outlook and forecasts 57
2.1. Global market 20 2.4.1. Driving forces for industry development 58
2.1.1. Production and consumption 21 3. Enterprise analysis 62
2.2. Vietnam market 24 3.1. Introduction of enterprises 63
2.2.1. History of industry establishment and development 25 3.2. Financial analysis 66
3
Abbreviations
CIEM Central Institute for Economic Management SIA Semiconductor Industry Association
IT Information technology SIDEC Supporting industries development enterprises center
SI Supporting industries IP Intellectual Property
HT High technology SMT Surface Mount Technology
EI Electronic industry SMD Surface Mount Device
DBS Development bank of Singapore IP Industrial production
FIA Foreign investment agency MC Multinational corporations
FTA Free trade agreements GSO GENERAL STATISTICS OFFICE of VIET NAM
VA Value added GDVC General Department of Vietnam Customs
JEITAJapan Electronics and Information Technology
Industries AssociationLtd Limited
JETRO Japan External Trade Organization TPP Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement
IA Industrial area VEIA Vietnam Electronic Industries Association
MFN Most favored nation WTO World Trade Organization
SBV State Bank of Vietnam WTST Trung tâm thống kê thương mại chất bán dẫn
NBS Nation Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China
4
Executive Summary
•
Vietnam is shifting its industry to processing and manufacturing sectors, reducing its reliance on mining because of increasingly depleted natural
resources and more difficult conditions for mining and also fluctuating prices.
• The world electronics market has long been dominated by industrialized countries such as the United States, Japan and some EU countries.
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5
• Supporting industries, components production in Vietnam has not developed because this is a sector that requires large capital investment.
• Vietnam's participation in many trade agreements in the future will help attract foreign investment, especially for direct investment, promote
technology transfer, improve the level of business management, and increase productivity of business.
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Executive Summary
7
1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
• Gross domestic product in 2017 is estimated to increase by 6.81%
compared to 2016.
•
In 2017, although mining declined sharply from the previous
year, industrial production continued to grow positively thanks to the
contribution of the processing and manufacturing industry.
Billion VND
Production value of the electronics industry, 2009-2017e
GDP growth rate, 2011 – 2017
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8
Average interest rates have the tendency to decrease
In 2017, the VND / USD exchange rate was quite stable around VND
22,400.
%
Sources: VIRAC, SBV
VND/USD exchange rates, 2013 – December/2017
Interest rates, 2011 – 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
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9
• The gold population structure with the population in the working age by the end of 2017 is still high with 54.8 million people accounting for 58.5% of
the total population of Vietnam, which is one of the competitive advantages of Vietnam compared with the trend of aging population of the world
today.
Labor productivity in Vietnam, 2011-2017e
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Million VND/laborTotal population and population structure in working age from
2010 to 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Million people
1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
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10
Vietnam is gradually becoming a
factory producing and assembling components for electronic products of many
big companies in the world such as Samsung, LG, Canon, Toshiba
The proportion of import-export value of electronics, computers,
phones and components, 2010 – 2017e
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Billion USD
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Most imported goods, 2017e
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Billion VND
Most exported goods
, 2017e
1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
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11
• FDI in 2017 has a strong growth
Sources: VIRAC, FIA
Sources: VIRAC, FIA
Billion USD
FDI attraction by sectors, 2017e
FDI capital, 2015-2017
• In 2017, foreign investors invested in 19 industries,
1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
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12
Major FDI projects in electronics industry of Vietnam
Sources: VIRAC, SIDEC, FIA
No. Projects LocationInvestment
capitalMain products Operating year
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework
14
1.2.1. Tax polices
In terms of import and export
In terms of value added tax
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1.2.1. Tax policies
In terms of corporation tax
1.2.2 Labor policies
1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework
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1.2.3 Credit policies
1.2.4. Land policies
1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework
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1.2.5 Technology policies
1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework
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1.2.6. Policies related to environment and food safety
1.2.7. Other policies
1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework
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19
Content
2 Industry overview
2.1 Global market
2.2 Vietnam market
2.3 Industry development planning
2.4 Outlook and forecasts
20
Total production value has increased sharply since 2012, but there are signs of
slowing down since 2014. Semiconductor equipment accounts for a large share of
global electronic components production, which is in surplus situation and falling in
demand.
Sources: VIRAC, JEITA, SIA
• The semiconductor industry contributes over 60% of the structure of production
value of electronic component industry in the period of 2010-2016.
Sources: VIRAC, JEITA
Billion USD
Billion USD
Total production value of electronic component
worldwide, 2010 – 2016f
Production value and consumption of
semiconductor equipment, 2010 – 2016f
2 . Industry overview
2.1. Global market – 2.1.1 Production and consumption
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• Over the past two decades, industrialized nations have turned to
manufacture low and middle integrated electronic components in
developing countries through foreign investment to establish facilities.
Sources: VIRAC, SIA
Sources: VIRAC, WSTS
Growth rate %Billion USD
Market share of semiconductor devices, 2016e
Sales of semiconductor devices by type of products, 2016e
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2 . Industry overview
2.1. Global market – 2.1.1 Production and consumption
22
Consumption of passive components by quarter, 2012 - 2016
In addition to the semiconductor devices (which belongs to active component group), the other group also accounts for a large proportion of passive
components including capacitors, resistors, inductors and transformers, switches and printed circuit boards (PCs).
Sources: VIRAC, Paumanok Publications, Inc.
Million USD
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2 . Industry overview
2.1. Global market – 2.1.1 Production and consumption
23
Input price (aluminum, copper, iron) for electronic
components, 2012 - 2017
Sources: VIRAC, Worldbank
USD/mt USD/dmtu
Input price (gold, silver, palladium) for electronic components,
2012 - 2017
Sources: VIRAC, Worldbank
USD/troy oz USD/troy oz
Prices of important input materials for producing
electronic components in 2017 tend to be reversed and sharply increased.
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2 . Industry overview
2.1. Global market – 2.1.1 Production and consumption
24
Content
2 Industry overview
2.1 Global market
2.2 Vietnam market
2.3 Industry development planning
2.4 Outlook and forecasts
• Most of these factories produce household electronics, making joint venture with
Japanese companies such as Sony, National, Sanyo, etc. and some small repairing enterprises. These factories together with some factories in the North
formed the nascent electronics industry of Vietnam at this time.
25
2. Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market– 2.2.1. History of industry establishment and development
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Value chain of electronics industry
Sources: VIRAC collected
•
With simple assembly work,
Vietnam's productivity in electronic products now
accounts for an average of 5-10% of the product value
2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.2. Value chains in electronics industry - Vietnam's position in the electronic supply chain
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• The locally-made electronic components are growing, but underdeveloped, the localization rate of electronic products is very low, on average 13%,
which are mainly packages with plastic and simple metal parts
Sources: VIRAC collected
The localization rate of Japanese electronics companies in some countries, 2015
2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.2. Value chains in electronics industry - Localization rate of Vietnam electronics industry
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• Vietnamese enterprises have not yet provided specific electronic parts for the electronics industry.
Global value chain of Sam Sung and Vietnam
Sources: VIRAC tổng hợp
2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.2. Value chains in electronics industry - Localization rate of Vietnam electronics industry
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No. Problem Main assessment
Requirements of multinational corporations for components vendors• According to the standard of modern production management,
the competitiveness of the components and accessories depends
on three basic factors: quality, cost and delivery time (QCD).
Sources: VIRAC, SIDEC
• Causes of the weakness of the electronic components industry in Vietnam:
2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.2. Value chains in electronics industry – The reasons why Vietnamese enterprises remain outside the supply chain
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• However, the production of auxiliary products in general and
electronic components in particular is not encouraged.Sources: VIRAC, SIDEC
Sources: VIRAC, SIDEC
Billion VND
Production value of electronics component industry, 2011 – 2017e
Production structure of the electronics industry, 2015
2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
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%
31
• According to a report by the Ministry of Industry and Trade, the Index-
Industry Products of electronic components in 2017 fluctuated, especially
in February because of the Tet holiday, all production activities stagnated,
however, it gradually recovered and increased sharply in Q3 and Q4 of
2017.
• Supporting industries, components production in Vietnam has not
developed because this is a sector that requires large capital investment
Nguồn: VIRAC, SIDEC
Sources: VIRAC , GSO
Monthly Index-Industry Products of electronic component industry,
2016 – 2017(Calculated by original year 2010)
Supply structure of electronic components in 2015
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
32
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Name of the components Đơn vị 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e
Production of electronic components in Vietnam, 2010 – 2017e
• The production of electronic components increased sharply with the participation of many large electronic corporations, Vietnam electronics industry
in general and supporting industries in particular will continue to attract a large number of enterprises.
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
33
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Production of mobile phones over the months, 2016-2017
Million phones
The structure of phone production in Vietnam is concentrated in Bac Ninh
and Thai Nguyen.
The structure of phone production in Vietnam by region, 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Million phones
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
34
Name of products Unit Made in 2017
Nguồn: VIRAC, GSO
Production of some types of computers, electronic products and components by region, 2017
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
35
According to primary data from the General Statistics Office, in 2017, output of various types of electronics and components reached a high level.
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
36
• In the past few years, instead of being taken over, many Vietnamese companies
have done the opposite things, which is spending money to own foreign
enterprises, typically Duc Long Gia Lai Group.
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Number of enterprises and laborers in the electronic components
industry, 2010 - 2016
Classification of electronic components businesses by region, 2016
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
37
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
• The revenue of electronic components enterprises has been growing
continuously over the years due to the expansion of production activities of
domestic and FDI enterprises. At the same time, the consumption market
has been extended to many countries and areas.
Trillion VND
Trillion VND
Revenue and profit of electronic components business, 2010 - 2016
Total investment capital and fixed assets of
electronic component industry
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
38
Company name Country Location
Investment
capital
(million USD)
Production Capacity / Sector
Some FDI projects invested in electronic components industry, 2014 - 2016
Source: VIRAC
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.3 Production
39
• The proportion of smartphone users compared to regular phones in major
cities tends to increase steadily between 2012 and 2017.
Sources: VIRAC, GSO
Million USD
Consumption of electronic component, 2010 – 2017e
Sources: VIRAC, Nielsen
Rate of using smart phones in Vietnam by region, 2017
2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.4 Consumption
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Source: VIRAC
• In the top 10 enterprises have the largest revenue of electronic component
industry, there is no contribution of domestic enterprises but they are from
FDI enterprises of Korea, Japan, etc.
Sources: VIRAC, SIDEC
Billion VND
Major customers of electronic components industry, 2015
Top 10 largest electronic component enterprises in revenue of 2016
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.4 Consumption
41
• Multinational corporations specializing in the manufacture of electronic
products also have a high demand for electronic components.
Sources: VIRAC, SIDEC
No. Name of component Material, technology Amount/month
1
2
3
4
Sources: VIRAC, SIDEC
Demand for electronic components of Canon Vietnam
Demand for electronic components of Intel
Direc
Indirect
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.4 Consumption
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Types of phone and components
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
• Phone and component exports in 2017 reached 45.27 billion USD,
• In 2017, exports of phones and components to most of the markets
have an increasing turnover, while there are 10 markets have export
turnover decreased compared to the previous year.
Exports of all types of phones and components of Vietnam
through months from 2015 to 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Billion USD
Structure of phone and component export market, 2017
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Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
%Million USD
Vietnam's cell phone exports, 2017
Vietnam’s phone component exports, 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Million USD %
In 2017, Viet Nam exported cell phones with total turnover of 29.76 billion
USD,
In 2017, the total export turnover of phone components in Vietnam
reached over 15.5 billion USD,
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Types of phone and components
44
In the coming time, Vietnam's phone exports will face
more challenges, especially in Southeast Asia market
No. Company name
Top 20 enterprises export all types of phones and components with
over 5 million USD of turnover, 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Types of phone and components
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Sources: VIRAC, Uncomtrade, GDVC
Imports of phones and component,
2010 – 2017eMillion USD
• In terms of import from the FDI enterprises
• By the end of 2017, import turnover of phones and components of Vietnam
from China has reached the highest level, accounting for 53.38%.
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Supply market structure of phone and phone components to
Vietnam, 2017
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Types of phone and components
46
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Imports of phones and components, 2017
Million USD
No. Company name
Top 20 enterprises import all types of phones and components with
over 10 million USD of turnover, 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Vietnam mainly imports phone components from South Korea, China and
Hong Kong
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Types of phone and components
47
By the end of 2017, export turnover of computers, electronic products
and components has reached 25.94 billion USD,
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Export structure of computers, electronic products and
components by enterprises of Vietnam, 2017
Exports of computers, electronic products and components of
Vietnam, 2010 – 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Billion USD %
2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Computers, electronic products and components
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• Export turnover of computers, electronic products and components of Vietnam to China in 2017 reached
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Top 10 export markets of computers, electronic products and
components of Vietnam, 2017e
Unit: Million USD
Top 10 export items with the highest FDI, 2017e
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Computers, electronic products and components
49
Imports of computers, electronic products and components of Vietnam over the months, 2016-2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
Billion USD
•
The large trade deficit is the result of the slow development of supporting industries, the
expansion of foreign investment to the domestic economic sector is still weak and need to be overcome.
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Computers, electronic products and components
50
Top 10 markets supply computers, electronic products and components of Vietnam, 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
• Imports of computers, electronic products and components from the South Korean market in 2017 reached
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Computers, electronic products and components
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Types
In 2017
(Million
USD)
Compared
to the
same
period in
2016 (%)
Proportion
in 2017(%)
No. Company name
Top 20 enterprises import computers, electronic products and
components with high turnover, 2017Imported computers, electronic products and components, 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GDVC Sources: VIRAC, GDVC
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2 . Industry overview
2.2. Vietnam market – 2.2.5 Import and export – Computers, electronic products and components
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Content
2 Industry overview
2.1 Global market
2.2 Vietnam market
2.3 Industry development planning
2.4 Outlook and forecasts
53
On January/18th/2017, the Prime Minister has issued Decision No. 68 / QD-TTg on Supporting Industry Development Program from 2016 to 2025.
2 . Industry overview
2.3. Industry development planning
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• Specifically for electrical and electronic component sector:
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2 . Industry overview
2.3. Industry development planning
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Until 2020
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2 . Industry overview
2.3. Industry development planning
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Until 2030
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2 . Industry overview
2.3. Industry development planning
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Content
2 Industry overview
2.1 Global market
2.2 Vietnam market
2.3 Industry development planning
2.4 Outlook and forecasts
2. Industry overview
2.4 Outlook and forecasts – 2.4.1 Driving forces for industry development
58
From the general situation of electronic components industry in the world
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From geographic location and population of Vietnam
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2. Industry overview
2.4 Outlook and forecasts – 2.4.1 Driving forces for industry development
60
From the Government of Vietnam
From the potential demand of the domestic marketNumber of smart phones and function phones, 2013-2019e
Sources: VIRAC, GfK
Million phones
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2. Industry overview
2.4 Outlook and forecasts – 2.4.1 Driving forces for industry development
61
•
Thus, the domestic market
has a huge growth potential for e-businesses, thereby boosting
electronic production, which is the driving force for the electronics
manufacturing industry. Sources: VIRAC, GfK
Billion VND
Revenue of domestic electronics technology groups, 2017
Sources: VIRAC, GfK
Trillion VND
Revenue and growth of electronics market in Vietnam,
Q3/2014 – Q4/2017
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2. Industry overview
2.4 Outlook and forecasts – 2.4.1 Driving forces for industry development
63
3 Enterprise analysis
3.1. Introduction of enterprises
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3 Enterprise analysis
3.1. Introduction of enterprises
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3 Enterprise analysis
3.1. Introduction of enterprises
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• Most of the companies in the group have sales growth in 2016
compared to 2015
• Gross profit margin of the enterprises in the group is very low.
Billion VND
Source: VIRAC
Sources: VIRAC
Net revenue from sales and services, 2015 - 2016
Billion VND
Gross profit and gross profit margin of enterprises, 2016
3 Enterprise analysis
3.2. Enterprise analysis
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Enterprises Cost of salesEnterprise cost
management
Net
revenue
Cost of
sales/net
revenue
ECM/net
revenue
Foster Electric
Vietnam
Doosung Tech
Vietnam
Hosiden Vietnam
Intel Products
Vietnam
Saigon STEC
Sumiden Vietnam
Meiko Vietnam
Haesung Vina
Cost of sales and enterprise cost managementUnit: Billion VND
Billion VND
Source: VIRAC
Source: VIRAC
Asset structure, 2016
3 Enterprise analysis
3.2. Enterprise analysis
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• Capital structure of most companies in the group is paying debt,
mainly borrowing and short-term debt. Billion VND
Source: VIRAC
Source: VIRAC
Capital structure, 2016
Solvency, 2016
3 Enterprise analysis
3.2. Enterprise analysis
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ROS ROA ROE
Profit-
after-tax
(billion
USD)
Net
revenue
(billion
USD)
Average
owner’s
equity(billion
USD)
Total average
asset (billion
USD)
Foster Electric
Vietnam
Doosung Tech
Vietnam
Hosiden
Vietnam
Intel Products
Vietnam
Saigon STEC
Sumiden
Vietnam
Meiko Vietnam
Haesung Vina
Source: VIRAC
Source: VIRAC
Indicators of performance assessment, 2016
Efficiency of asset using, 2016
3 Enterprise analysis
3.2. Enterprise analysis
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