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Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy Turner, Jim Nixon

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Page 1: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in

whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic

Review

Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy Turner, Jim Nixon

Page 2: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Rationale – Why a WHO Safe Communities

Systematic Review?

• WHO Safe Communities formally initiated in 1989

• At least 80 communities world-wide have been designated, with many more under preparation

Page 3: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Rationale – cont.

Given the global interest and effort being afforded the Safe Community concept, it is of public health interest to determine to what degree the model is successful, i.e.

Are injury rates reduced in the communities to which it is applied?

Page 4: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

•Web-accessed database of peer-reviewed systematic reviews

•Entails a rigorous methodology that provides a framework for high quality assessment of interventions

Page 5: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Objectives

To conduct a Cochrane Systematic review to determine the effectiveness of the 'Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations, or targeted sub-groups of populations.

Page 6: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Searching for Evidence – Inclusion Criteria

1. Designated WHO Safe Community

2. Appropriate control community 3. Objective injury outcomes 4. Original data

Page 7: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Studies Located

61 studies written about Safe Communities

41 reported intervention outcomes

16 met the inclusion criteria 8 Individual Safe Communities

Page 8: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Included communities - Scandinavia

FalkopingFalunLidkopingMotalaHarstad

Page 9: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Included communities - Australasia

La TrobeShire of BullaWaitakere

Page 10: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Summary of Results• Mainly “positive”• 11 studies (4 communities) report

significant decrease in injuries compared to control communities

• 2 studies report ‘no change’ while injury rates in control areas rose

• 1 study reports no overall change but decrease in pediatric sub-group

• 2 studies report no significant effect

Page 11: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

1983 1984

1989

Community 1

1987 1991/92

1995/96

Community 2

Limitations to Validity

Arbitrary base-line / follow-up periods (particularly for those of short duration in small communities)

Page 12: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Limitations to Validity cont.

• Reliance on administrative databases to ascertain injury rates

• Not always taking pre-existing trends into account

• Publication bias

• Only small number of communities evaluated to date

Page 13: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy
Page 14: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy
Page 15: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Conclusions

• Cochrane methodology provides a framework to evaluate the Safe Communities Model

• There is evidence that Safe Communities model does reduce injuries in whole populations

• Not many communities have been formally evaluated

• Limitations in evaluation methodology

Page 16: Effectiveness of the 'WHO Safe Communities' model to prevent injury in whole populations: a Cochrane Systematic Review Anneliese Spinks, Rod McClure, Cathy

Review available at:

http://www.cochrane.org/index0.htm