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THAILAND EQUITY RESEARCH
Page | 1 | PHILLIP SECURITIES (THAILAND)
Dynasty Ceramic FY15 net profit up 12%
THAILAND | SET | CONMAT | COMPANY RESULTS BLOOMBERG DCC TB l REUTERS DCC.BK
FY15 net profit up 12% on flat revenue, weak margin, lower SG&A expense, lack of extra expense DCC reported a 12% growth in FY15 net profit on effective cost management. Stripping out a Bt103mn goodwill impairment charge, core profit grew a mere 3% to Bt1,372mn. Sales were flat at Bt7,172mn while sales volume fell 2%, blaming sluggish market due to lower agricultural prices, which damped consumer spending power. Average selling price edged up 2%, driven by its strong product mix strategy with a larger size of tile and innovative product “digital printing tile” that offers buyers many beautiful designs. Although energy cost dropped by 31% as natural gas price declined along with lower oil price, gross margin narrowed down just a tiny pace to 41.9% from 42.3% a year earlier as its kilns maintenance shutdown and machinery installation for digital printing tile production (to serve growing demand) caused a 1% reduction in production, thereby pushing fixed cost higher. However, the company’s effective cost management pushed SG&A to sales down to 17% from 18%, which drove net margin up to 19% from 17%. FY16 net profit seen up 2% on stronger margin and growing demand DCC’s major market in the upcountry is likely to suffer from falling agricultural prices. The government imposed multiple measures to help financially farmers, but we do not think a quick recovery will be likely in the near term. We thus take conservative approach to 2016 and forecast a 4% revenue growth on potential increase in sales volume. Gross margin would improve on lower energy cost along with a collapse in oil price, and the earlier shutdown kilns likely to begin operations. SG&A expense will likely increase. Based on the assumptions, net profit would grow a mere 2% to Bt1,402mn in 2016. DCC is expected to pay an annual dividend of Bt0.21/share. Demanding P/E amid lackluster growth outlook, ‘SELL’ rating maintained with target price of Bt3.40 In view of a slight growth outlook in 2016 amid expensive valuation with the stock trading at 20x P/E, above its seven‐year historical average of 15x, and below 5% dividend yield, we reiterate a ‘SELL’ rating on DCC with a target price of Bt3.40, based on forward P/E of 15x.
Ref. No.: CO2016_0077
Closing Price(Bt) 4.40
Target Price(Bt) 3.40 (‐17.85%)
COMPANY DATA
O/S Shares (mn) : 6,528
Market Cap. (Btmn) :
Market Cap. (USDmn) :
52‐WK Hi/Lo (Bt) : 4.48/3.44
3M Average Daily T/O (mn) : 3.19
Par Value (Bt) : 0.10
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (%)
1. Roongroj Sansarthra 24.5
2. Viboon Watcharasurung 8.6
3. Maruth Sansarthra 7.4
PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
1MTH 3MTH 1YR
ABS 4% 15% 26%
REL TO SET INDEX 5% 29% 57%
PRICE VS SET INDEX
Source: Bloomberg, PSR
KEY FINANCIALS
FYE Dec FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Sales(Btmn) 7,177 7,172 7,477 7,852
Net Profit(Btmn) 1,227 1,372 1,402 1,500
EPS (Bt) 0.30 0.23 0.21 0.23
P/E (X) 14.6 19.0 20.5 19.1
BVPS (Bt) 0.69 0.48 0.48 0.48
P/B (X) 6.4 9.2 9.2 9.1
DPS (Bt) 0.30 0.18 0.21 0.22
Dividend Yield (%) 6.8 4.1 4.9 5.0
ROE (%) 44.82 47.04 45.67 48.66
Debt/Equity (X) 1.67 1.66 1.26 1.54
Source: Company, PSR Est.
**Multiples and yields are based on latest closing price
VALUATION METHOD
P/E'16 (15x)
Danai Tunyaphisitchai, CFA
Capital Market Investment Analyst # 2375
Tel: 66 2 635 1700 # 481
27 January 2016
28,723
801
11 November 2015
Sell (Maintain)
0
2
4
6
Jan‐13 Jan‐14 Jan‐15 Jan‐16
DCC TB EQUITY SETI (rebased)
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THAILAND EQUITY RESEARCH
PHILLIP SECURITIESS (THAILAND) | 2 | P a g e
Dynasty Ceramic COMPANY RESULTS
Income Statement
Btmn 4Q15 3Q15 4Q14 q‐q+/‐ y‐y+/‐ 2015 2014 y‐y+/‐
Sa l e s and s e rvi ce s 1,762 1,555 1,614 13% 9% 7,172 7,177 0%
Cos ts of s a le s 1,024 897 832 14% 23% 4,161 4,141 0%
Gross profit 738 657 782 12% ‐6% 3,011 3,036 ‐1%
Se l l i ng expens es 147 145 155 1% ‐5% 648 724 ‐10%
Admini s tra ti ve expens es 151 159 143 ‐5% 6% 626 626 0%
Operating profit 440 353 484 25% ‐9% 1,737 1,686 3%
Other i ncome 2 2 7 ‐2% ‐71% 12 21 ‐40%
Ga in/los s from a ffi l i a te s 0 0 0 n.m. n.m. 0 0 n.m.
Other expense 0 0 0 n.m. n.m. 0 0 n.m.
EBIT 442 355 491 24% ‐10% 1,749 1,707 2%
Inte res t expens e 7 5 10 29% ‐31% 26 33 ‐22%
EBT 435 350 482 24% ‐10% 1,724 1,674 3%
Ta xa tion 88 74 97 19% ‐10% 348 342 2%
EAT 347 276 384 26% ‐10% 1,376 1,332 3%
Minori ty 0 1 0 ‐53% ‐40% 3 2 50%
Net profit before extra 347 275 384 26% ‐10% 1,372 1,330 3%
Extraordina ry i tems 0 0 0 n.m. n.m. 0 ‐104 100%
Net profit 347 275 384 26% ‐10% 1,372 1,227 12%
EPS (Bt) 0.05 0.04 0.07 25% ‐27% 0.21 0.18 17%
Key Financial Ratio
% 4Q15 3Q15 4Q14 q‐q+/‐ y‐y+/‐ 2015 2014 y‐y+/‐
Cos t of s a l e s /s a l e s 58.09% 57.72% 51.53% 1% 13% 58.02% 57.70% 1%
SG&A exp/s a l e s 16.96% 19.60% 18.47% ‐13% ‐8% 17.76% 18.81% ‐6%
Gros s margin 41.91% 42.28% 48.47% ‐1% ‐14% 41.98% 42.30% ‐1%
Opera ti ng profi t margin 24.94% 22.68% 30.00% 10% ‐17% 24.22% 23.49% 3%
Net profi t margin 19.67% 17.70% 23.78% 11% ‐17% 19.14% 17.09% 12%
Balance Sheet
Btmn 4Q15 3Q15 4Q14 q‐q+/‐ y‐y+/‐ 2015 2014 y‐y+/‐
As se ts 5,134 4,905 5,194 5% ‐1% 5,134 5,194 ‐1%
Li a bi l i ti e s 2,014 1,767 2,389 14% ‐16% 2,014 2,389 ‐16%
Pa id ‐up (mn s hrs ) ‐ Pa r Bt0.1 6,528 6,528 4,080 0% 60% 6,528 4,080 60%
Equi ti e s 3,121 3,138 2,805 ‐1% 11% 3,121 2,805 11%
BVPS (Bt) 0.48 0.48 0.69 ‐1% ‐30% 0.48 0.69 ‐30%
Debt/equi ty (x) 0.6 0.6 0.9 15% ‐24% 0.6 0.9 ‐24%
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THAILAND EQUITY RESEARCH
PHILLIP SECURITIESS (THAILAND) | 3 | P a g e
Corporate Governance ‐2015
ADVANC BAFS BCP BIGC BTS CK CPN DRT DTAC DTC
EASTW EGCO GRAMMY HANA HMPRO INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCE
KKP KTB LHBANK LPN MCOT MINT MONO NKI PHOL PPS
PS PSL PTT PTTEP PTTGC QTC RATCH ROBINS SAMART SAMTEL
SAT SC SCB SCC SE‐ED SIM SNC SPALI THCOM TISCO
TKT TMB TOP VGI WACOAL
AAV ACAP AGE AHC AKP AMATA ANAN AOT APCS ARIP
ASIMAR ASK ASP BANPU BAY BBL BDMS BECL BKI BLA
BMCL BOL BROOK BWG CENTEL CFRESH CHO CIMBT CM CNT
COL CPF CPI CSL DCC DELTA DEMCO ECF EE ERW
GBX GC GFPT GLOBAL GUNKUL HEMRAJ HOTPOT HYDRO ICC ICHI
INET IRC KSL KTC LANNA LH LOXLEY LRH MACO MBK
MC MEGA MFEC NBC NCH NINE NSI NTV OCC OGC
OISHI OTO PAP PDI PE PG PJW PM PPP PR
PRANDA PREB PT PTG Q‐CON QH RS S & J SABINA SAMCO
SCG SEAFCO SFP SIAM SINGER SIS SITHAI SMK SMPC SMT
SNP SPI SSF SSI SSSC SST STA STEC SVI SWC
SYMC SYNTEC TASCO TBSP TCAP TF TGCI THAI THANA THANI
THIP THRE THREL TICON TIP TIPCO TK TKS TMI TMILL
TMT TNDT TNITY TNL TOG TPC TPCORP TRC TRU TRUE
TSC TSTE TSTH TTA TTCL TTW TU TVD TVO TWFP
TWS UAC UT UV VNT WAVE WINNER YUASA ZMICO
2S AEC AEONTS AF AH AIRA AIT AJ AKR AMANAH
AMARIN AP APCO AQUA AS ASIA AUCT AYUD BA BEAUTY
BEC BFIT BH BIG BJC BJCHI BKD BTNC CBG CGD
CHG CHOW CI CITY CKP CNS CPALL CPL CSC CSP
CSS CTW DNA EARTH EASON ECL EFORL ESSO FE FIRE
FOCUS FORTH FPI FSMART FSS FVC GCAP GENCO GL GLAND
GLOW GOLD GYT HTC HTECH IEC IFEC IFS IHL IRCP
ITD JSP JTS JUBILE KASET KBS KCAR KGI KKC KTIS
KWC KYE L&E LALIN LHK LIT LIVE LST M MAJOR
MAKRO MATCH MATI MBKET M‐CHAI MFC MILL MJD MK MODERN
MOONG MPG MSC MTI MTLS NC NOK NUSA NWR NYT
OCEAN PACE PATO PB PCA PCSGH PDG PF PICO PL
PLANB PLAT PPM PRG PRIN PSTC PTL PYLON QLT RCI
RCL RICHY RML RPC S SALEE SAPPE SAWAD SCCC SCN
SCP SEAOIL SIRI SKR SMG SOLAR SORKON SPA SPC SPCG
SPPT SPVI SRICHA SSC STANLY STPI SUC SUSCO SUTHA SYNEX
TAE TAKUNI TCC TCCC TCJ TEAM TFD TFI TIC TIW
TLUXE TMC TMD TOPP TPCH TPIPL TRT TSE TSR UMI
UP UPF UPOIC UREKA UWC VIBHA VIH VPO WHA WIN
XO
Score Range
< 50%
50‐59%
60‐69%
70‐79%
80‐89%
90‐100%
The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD)
regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to the Office of the Securities and
Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company
l isted on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Market for Alternative disclosure to the
public and able to be accessed by a general public investor. The results, therefore, is from
the perspective of a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on
inside information.
The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate Governance Report of Thai
Listed Companies. As a result, the survey result may be changed after that data. Phil l ip
Securities (Thailand) of securities company does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of
such survey result.
No logo given
Number of Logo
Results Presentation
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THAILAND EQUITY RESEARCH
PHILLIP SECURITIESS (THAILAND) | 4 | P a g e
Industry Group Name Sector Name Sector Index
Agro & Food Industry[AGRO] Agribusiness AGRI
Food & Beverage FOOD
Consumer Products[CONSUMP] Fashion FASHION
Home & Office Products HOME
Personal Products & Pharmaceuticals PERSON
Financials [FINCIAL] Banking BANK
Finance & Securities FIN
Insurance INSUR
Industrials [INDUS] Automotive AUTO
Industrial Materials & Machinery IMM
Packaging PKG
Paper & Printing Materials PAPER
Petrochemicals & Chemicals PETRO
Steel STEEL
Property & Construction[PROPCON] Construction Materials CONMAT
Construction Services CONS
Property Development PROP
Property Fund & REITs PF&REIT
Resources [RESOURC] Energy & Util ities ENERG
Mining MINE
Services [SERVICE] Commerce COMM
Media & Publishing MEDIA
Health Care Services HELTH
Tourism & Leisure TOURISM
Professional Services PROF
Transportation & Logistics TRANS
Technology [TECH] Electronic Components ETRON
Information & Communication Technology ICT
PSR Rating SystemCapital Gain Recommendation
> 15% BUY
> 5% ‐ 15% ACCUMULATE / TRADING BUY
> 0% ‐ 5% NEUTRAL
0 <= SELL
Remarks
We do not base our recommendations entirely on the above quantitative return bands. We consider qualitative factors l ike (but
not l imited to) a stock's risk reward profi le, market sentiment, recent rate of share price appreciation, presence or absence of
stock price catalysts, and speculative undertones surrounding the stock, before making our final recommendation
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22776846
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