ecr europe forum ‘08. shopper-based assortment planning
TRANSCRIPT
Shopper Based Assortment Planning1 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
‘Crash Course’
Shopper Based Assortment Planning
Tuesday 27th May 2008
Chris Leach, Peter Lloyd – Partners, TPG Europe
[email protected]@thepartneringgroup.com
Shopper Based Assortment Planning2 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
1.Introduction & Objectives1.1 The Partnering Group
• Introductions• Peter Lloyd, Partner, The Partnering Group (TPG)• Chris Leach, Partner, The Partnering Group (TPG)
• Who are The Partnering Group?• International strategy and general management consulting
firm • Working with Retailer & Suppliers since the mid 1990s
delivering consulting and skills development solutions• 50+ partners globally with broad cross functional ‘hands on’
industry experience• Intellectual capital that is regarded as Best Practice –
Category Management – Brian Harris• Clients that span the globe in broad array of categories• Working with ECR since the mid 90’s
Shopper Based Assortment Planning3 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
InterfaceConsulting
Strategy “Go to Market”
Category Management and Shopper Marketing
Strategic Customer Management
Supply Chain Optimization
Integrated Business Planning
Brand Marketing Innovation
ManufacturerBest Practices
RetailerBest Practices
Strategy
Category Management
Supplier Management
Consumer Partnerships
Supply Chain Optimization
Organisation Design
Expert Training
Organisation Design
Process Improvement
Expert Training
TPG Consulting Scope
Shopper Based Assortment Planning4 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment - Discussion
Group Discussion:
What are the key deliverables that your partners challenge you with when developing Assortment proposals?
Retailers?Suppliers?
What are the drivers of this?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning5 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment
Retailers• Grow Share• Grow Sales• Grow Profit
Manufacturers• Grow Share• Grow Sales• Grow Profit
Shoppers• Meet my Needs• Make it Easy• Give me Value
Strategies:• Accelerated NPD cycle• Increased Promotion / Trade Spend• Fragmenting Media Plans• Supply Efficiency Drives
Strategies:• New Channels• Store Expansion• Increase in # Categories• Own Brand Development• Traditional Category Space
Reduction• Supply Efficiency Drives• Loyalty Schemes• Promotion
Behaviour Changes:• Changing
Consumption Needs• Changing Shopping
Patterns• Value & Promotion
Sensitivity• Environmental
concerns etc
Shopper Based Assortment Planning6 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment
In this environment our Business Plans need to meet the needs of all three groups to have a chance of succeeding in the long term..
Shopper/ User
RetailerSupplier
“TRIPLE WIN”
Shopper Based Assortment Planning7 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Efficient and Effective Assortment
Meet ShopperNeeds
Consumer TrendsVarietyIn StockDifferentiation
Reduce Costs
Retailer Operating CostsTradingDistributionMarketing
Supplier's Operating Costs
ManufacturingDistributionMarketing
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment
Shopper Based Assortment Planning8 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Factory Supplier'sDepots
Supplier'sShipping
Supplier'sOrder & Billing
Retailer’sReceiving
Retailer’sDepot
Retailer’sShipping
In-Store Ordering& Stocking
Check-out
Supplier's Costs
Retailer Costs
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment
Assortment (SKUs) Drives Operating Costs..
Shopper Based Assortment Planning9 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
1970 2008
“Shall I have Coca Cola in a can or a bottle?”
“Do I want Coke or Pepsi or Own Brand in 330ml or 500ml or 750ml or 1 litre or 2 litre in Diet or Regular and which flavour”
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment
But changing tastes and Innovation have exploded what is available to shoppers..
Shopper Based Assortment Planning10 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Unique attributesFlavour, size, package, etc.
Meeting each genuine separate shopper need
Payoff/reward if limited Assortment
Lower retail priceConsistently availableClarity at point of sale
Same attributes
Undifferentiated products meeting the same shopper needs
Penalty for unnecessary duplicated products
Higher costsOut of stocksConfusion at point of sale
Source: TPG Research
“Choice”
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment
“Duplication”
Shoppers are looking for choice - not duplication
Shopper Based Assortment Planning11 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment
1. Maximise Number of Shopper
Needs Met
2. Scorecard Win for Retailers
3. Scorecard Win for
Suppliers
Shopper Based
Assortment Opportunity
1. Maximise the number genuinely different shopper needs met with Resources Available
2. Minimise the amount of Duplication (meeting the same shopper needs twice)
3. Make Assortment choices that support Retailer and Supplier Scorecards
Shopper Based Assortment Planning12 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Introduction to Shopper Based AssortmentThe Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment – Summary
1. Shopper Based Assortment combines improving operational Efficiency with better meeting Consumer/Shopper needs
2. Inefficient Assortment drives cost, particularly poorly positioned NPD
3. The last 3 decades have seen an explosion in Assortment for Shoppers which can drive duplication as well as choice
4. The Opportunity for Shopper Based Assortment is therefore to
1. Maximise the number genuinely different shopper needs met with Resources Available
2. Minimise the amount of Duplication3. Make Assortment choices that support Retailer and Supplier Scorecards
Shopper Based Assortment Planning13 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
A Retailer- Supplier process to determine the optimal product offer, within a category, that achieves target shopper fulfillment and enhanced business results, including lower costs and improved sales.
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment ProcessDefinition
The process is collaborative & retailer specific..
..with a focus on the shopper
..to both reduce costs and increase sales by better meeting shopper needs
..has a category management background
Shopper Based Assortment Planning14 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment Process Shopper Based Assortment is part of Category Management
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Objectives & Context
Implement
8.
Cate
go
ry R
evi
ew
5. Category Strategies
4. Category Scorecard
3. Category Assessment
2. Category Role
1. Category Definition
6. Category Tactics
7. Implementation
Merchandising
Assortment
Price
Promotion
Category Management Business Process
Assortment Process
Shopper Based Assortment Planning15 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment Process The Shopper Based Assortment Process
Determine performance of SKUs against key measures
Do we have the right representation of attributes in our new Assortment?
What are the benefits/costs of the new Assortment?
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Identify the implications of Role & Strategy & Set Objectives
Objectives & Context
Ensure efficient implementationImplement
We will run throughthis processstep by step
Determine broad vs. narrow Assortment driven by key Strategic inputs
1. Market Coverage
Shopper Based Assortment Planning16 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment Process The Shopper Based Assortment Process
XX Market
€ Turnover
% of Family Dessertssub-category €
Turnover
% Cumulative
€ Turnover ofsub-category
€18,000€15,600€11,600€7,000€2,315€2,300€2,000€1,600
€500€250
€61,165
PRODUCT 1PRODUCT 2PRODUCT 3PRODUCT 4PRODUCT 5PRODUCT 6PRODUCT 7PRODUCT 8PRODUCT 9PRODUCT 10
TOTAL
29.4%25.5%18.9%11.4%3.8%3.8%3.2%2.6%0.9%0.5%
100%
29.4%54.9%73.8%85.2%89.0%92.9%96.0%98.6%99.5%100%
100%
sub-category: Family DessertsMarket: XX
Narrow Assortment?
‘Average’ Assortment?
Broad Assortment?
Step 1: Market Coverage− For each Sub Category - setting the percentage of total
market sub-category sales we wish to ‘cover’ with our Assortment
Shopper Based Assortment Planning17 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment Process The Shopper Based Assortment Process
Step 2: Assortment AssessmentFor each sub category looking carefully at all of the ‘Question Mark’ SKUs following the setting of a Target Coverage level..
Delete?
Retain?
Add?
Selected Market Coverage Line
XX Market
€ Turnover
% of Family Dessertssub-category €
Turnover
% Cumulative
€ Turnover ofsub-category
€18,000€15,600€11,600€7,000€2,315€2,300€2,000€1,600
€500€250
€61,165
PRODUCT 1PRODUCT 2PRODUCT 3PRODUCT 4PRODUCT 5PRODUCT 6PRODUCT 7PRODUCT 8PRODUCT 9PRODUCT 10
TOTAL
29.4%25.5%18.9%11.4%3.8%3.8%3.2%2.6%0.9%0.5%
100%
29.4%54.9%73.8%85.2%89.0%92.9%96.0%98.6%99.5%100%
100%
sub-category: Family DessertsMarket: XX
Currently Listed?
YesNoYesYesYesYesYesNoNoYes
Decisions to make:
Shopper Based Assortment Planning18 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment Process The Shopper Based Assortment Process
Step 3: Assortment FinalisationReferring to the Shopper Purchase Decision ProcessDoes the new working Assortment adequately meet shopper needs?Are there gaps or areas of duplication?What adjustments do we need to make to align with our selected strategies?
?
? ?
Assortment Attribute Matrix Tool
Shopper Based Assortment Planning19 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment Process The Shopper Based Assortment Process
Step 4: Assortment QuantificationWhat is the estimated € impact on the scorecard from the proposed Assortment changes?
-
+Will the we net
100% of the projected turnover or
profit gains from product additions in the
segment or category?
Will we net 100% of the projected
turnover and profit losses from the product deletions?
What is the turnover and profitcontribution of the deleted
SKUs?
What is the projected turnover and profit contribution
of the added SKUs?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning20 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment ProcessThe Shopper Based Assortment Process
Shopper Based Assortment combines three different data sets to ensure informed, fact based Assortment decisions..
Market DataRetailer DataConsumer HH Panel Data
The majority of ranging decisions are made with publicly available data..
Shopper Based Assortment Planning21 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment ProcessThe Shopper Based Assortment Process
What are the implications of incorrect Definition or Structure?
Key Principle #1: Valid Shopper based Definition & Structure..
French Italian Spanish New World
Wine
Red White
Appellation
Brand
O/B
Size
1st Decision Level - Switching unlikely
2nd Decision Level- Switching more likely
3rd Decision Level – Switching highly likely
• Shopper Purchase Decision Hierarchy drives structure
• The proper structure helps us determine where switching is more/less likely
Shopper Based Assortment Planning22 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment ProcessThe Shopper Based Assortment Process
Key Principle #2: Assortment Decisions are made at sub-category level
i.e. for groups of SKUs that meet similar needs
Healthy Desserts
Organic
Pack size
Low Fat
Brand
Speciality
Pack size
Functional
Benefit
Family Desserts
Pots
Brand
Other
Brand
Special Desserts
For One
Flavour
Sharing
Type
KidsDesserts
Organic
Format
Regular
Format
Chilled Desserts
Shopper Based Assortment Planning23 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Shopper Based Assortment ProcessSummary
1. The Assortment process is Retailer specific and part of the broader Category Management process
2. At its heart the process aims to optimise the offering to the shopper whilst maximising sales and minimising costs
3. The Shopper Based Assortment process relies on access to Market Data, Household panel data and Retailer specific productivity data
Most of the decisions can be made without Retailer specific data
4. Each stage of the Assortment Process involves making decisions based on multiple Category Inputs
Shopper Based Assortment Planning24 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Understanding the ProcessThe Objectives & Context Stage
Determine broad vs. narrow Assortment driven by key Strategic inputs
Determine performance of SKUs against key measures
Do we have the right representation of attributes in our new Assortment?
What are the benefits/costs of the new Assortment?
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Identify the implications of Role & Strategy & Set Objectives
Objectives & Context
Ensure efficient implementationImplement
Shopper Based Assortment Planning25 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Objectives & Context Stage Complete the Objectives & Context Check List
Five Questions to Answer:
1. What is our most robust view of the Category Definition and Structure?
2. What are the category role & scorecard measures for this category & how does this impact on Assortment?
3. What Category strategies should direct the Assortment?
4. What is the scope of our project?1. Space/ Assortment size (increasing/ decreasing)?2. Store Formats?
5. What are the themes from the Retailer & Supplier goals & corporate strategies that must be reflected in Assortment?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning26 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Objectives & Context Stage Complete the Objectives & Context Check List
Q1: What is our most robust view of the Category Definition and Structure? (fictional example)
Refresh Me Drinks
Waters Fizzy Drinks
Functional Drinks
Energy Drinks
Sport Drinks
Drink Later
Still Drinks
Healthy Drinks
Soft Drinks
Refresh Me Drinks
Waters Fizzy Drinks
Functional Drinks
Energy Drinks
Sport Drinks
Drink Now (Chilled)
Still Drinks
Healthy Drinks
Category
Occasion
Need state
Type
Various
Shopper PurchaseDecision Hierarchy Category Structure
Shopper Based Assortment Planning27 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Objectives & Context Stage Complete the Objectives & Context Check List
Q2: What are the category role & scorecard measures for this category & how does this impact on Assortment?
Role Name(names may vary by
retailer)
Typical% Portfolio Description Scorecard Impact on Assortment
“Destination” 5-10%
• Drive footfall• Be the primary provider• Help define the image of the
retailer
• Above Fair Share Growth• Reduced Profit due
to investment
Category breadth & depth to appeal to highest # of CustomersInvest in new items
“Core”“Routine”“Preferred” 50-70%
• To be the preferred provider of these products to shoppers
• Consistent, competitive value to the target shopper
• Fair Share Growth• Fair Share Profit
Category breadth vs. competitive AssortmentFocus on new items
“Convenience”“Distress” 10-20%
• Reinforce the image of the retailer for one-stop shopping
• Good, everyday value
• Fair Share Growth or below• Higher than Fair
Share ProfitLimited Assortment
“Seasonal” 5-15%
• Help reinforce the shopper’s image of the retailer
• To deliver timely, competitive value
• Varies depending on Seasonal Destination or Seasonal Convenience
Category breadth & depth during peak seasonLimited Assortment off season
Shopper Based Assortment Planning28 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Objectives & Context Stage Complete the Objectives & Context Check List
Q3: What Category strategies should direct the Assortment?
What Strategies does our Category Work Suggest?
Demand Strategies
1. Get New Shoppers
a. Increase Penetrationb. Increase Conversion
2. Get Existing Shoppers to Spend More
a. Increase AWOP (Average Weight of Purchase)
i. Increase Frequency of Purchase
ii. Increase Spend per Visit
3. Get Shoppers to Buy More Profitable Products
a. Trade into a more profitable product
Supply Strategies
4. Make the Category More Efficient & Effective
a. Improve availabilityb. Reduce resources used
Category Strategy Types – Simplified summary
Shopper Based Assortment Planning29 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Objectives & Context Stage Complete the Objectives & Context Check List
Q4: What is the scope of our project?
Understand the practical ‘Givens & Guidelines’ from the Business:
• “This Assortment exercise must reduce SKU count by 10%”
• “There will be a merchandising space increase of 1 bay across all stores for the category”
• “This Assortment exercise must ensure that we exclude all but essential SKUs without SRP”
and
• “This exercise must deliver solutions for all store formats”
• “This exercise is purely for C-stores in the business”
Shopper Based Assortment Planning30 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Objectives & Context Stage Complete the Objectives & Context Check List
Q5: What are the themes from the Retailer & Supplier goals & corporate strategies that must be reflected in Assortment?
Understand the big ideas from corporate strategy that are so big they could be missed!
• “..we want to build the everyday loyalty of our family shoppers”
• “..we want to surprise and delight our shoppers with new ideas”
• “..we will ensure the products shoppers want are always available”
Shopper Based Assortment Planning31 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Objectives & Context Stage Complete the Objectives & Context Check List
Objectives & Context Check-list - EXAMPLE
Business Questions Source Answers Assortment
Implication
1. What is our most robust view of the Category Definition and Structure?
1. Supplier Consumer & Shopper Research
1. Yes – our view on structure has been updated to include ‘Healthy’ as a separate sub category
1. Need to prepare assortment for new category structure
2. What are the category role & scorecard measures for this category & how does this impact on Assortment?
1. Retailer Corporate Strategy / Category Scorecard
1. Role is core2. Main aim of Scorecard is to increase
Cash Profit
1. Ensure focus on productivity measures in the largest sub-categories
3. What Category strategies should direct the Assortment?
1. Existing Category Strategy work 1. ‘Trade up to something Healthy’
1. Need to ensure that we bias towards Healthy products identified by the strategy
4. What is the scope of our project?
Space/ Assortment size (increasing/ decreasing)?Store Formats?
1. Retailer & Supplier Direction
2. Judgement
1. Superstore Assortment2. Prepare overlay for ‘affluent’ store
profiles
1. Build standard Assortment for 12m bay *
2. Develop affluent overlay based upon brand shopper demographics *
5. What are the themes from the Retailer & Supplier goals & corporate strategies that must be reflected in Assortment?
1. Retailer & Supplier Corporate Strategy
2. Judgement
1. Focus is on everyday family value1. Ensure Children & Everyday
sub-categories reflect the joint target areas
Shopper Based Assortment Planning32 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Overview of the Objectives and Context StageSummary
1. The Objectives & Context stage is all about understanding how high level strategy impacts on the Assortment exercise and building an appropriate project plan
2. The Objectives & Context check list is the tool used to summarise the implications of
Category DefinitionRoleCategory Strategy workPre-determined issues and guidelines (Scope)Corporate Strategies of Supplier & Retailer
Shopper Based Assortment Planning33 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Understanding the ProcessStage 1 – Market Coverage
Determine broad vs. narrow Assortment driven by key Strategic inputs
Determine performance of SKUs against key measures
Do we have the right representation of attributes in our new Assortment?
What are the benefits/costs of the new Assortment?
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Identify the implications of Role & Strategy & Set Objectives
Objectives & Context
Ensure efficient implementationImplement
Shopper Based Assortment Planning34 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 1: Market CoverageWhy use Market Coverage?
Discussion
It’s all about strategic direction..
• Some sub categories are more important than others, why?
• What are the challenges with this concept?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning35 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Key Question: What is the appropriate market coverage for the Family Desserts sub-category?
Stage 1: Market CoverageUnderstand Market Coverage
XX Market
€ Turnover
% of Family Dessertssub-category €
Turnover
% Cumulative
€ Turnover ofsub-category
€18,000€15,600€11,600€7,000€2,315€2,300€2,000€1,600
€500€250
€61,165
PRODUCT 1PRODUCT 2PRODUCT 3PRODUCT 4PRODUCT 5PRODUCT 6PRODUCT 7PRODUCT 8PRODUCT 9PRODUCT 10
TOTAL
29.4%25.5%18.9%11.4%3.8%3.8%3.2%2.6%0.9%0.5%
100%
29.4%54.9%73.8%85.2%89.0%92.9%96.0%98.6%99.5%100%
100%
sub-category: Family DessertsMarket: XX
Narrow Assortment?
‘Average’ Assortment?
Broad Assortment?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning36 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Put another way - where do we draw the coverage ‘cut off’ line?
100%
% o
f C
ate
go
ry T
urn
ove
r (C
ove
rag
e)
In
Mark
et
% of SKUs Available in Market
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Stage 1: Market CoverageUnderstand Market Coverage
Shopper Based Assortment Planning37 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 1: Market CoverageUnderstand Market Coverage
Market Coverage is a Strategic DecisionA High Coverage = A Broad AssortmentA Medium Coverage = A competitive Assortment A Low Coverage = A Narrow Assortment
‘High’ ‘Medium’ ‘Low’ is retailer specific and dictated by store sizes & formats. Typically for Grocery categories:
High Market Coverage = 90% +Medium Market Coverage = c.75%Low Market Coverage = <60%
When building Category plans we typically talk in terms of ‘High’, Medium’ & ‘Low’ until setting retailer specific coverage levels
Shopper Based Assortment Planning38 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 1: Market CoverageDetermine the right Market Coverage
Area Question Source
Impact on Market Coverage (High / Medium / Low)
Sub Category #1
Sub Category #2
Sub Category #3
Sub Category #4
Category Plan
Direction
1.What is the Category role and what coverage does this suggest?
Category Plan
2.What coverage do the selected Category Strategies suggest for this sub-category?
Category Plan
3.How important to the target shopper is the sub-category & what does this imply for coverage?
Category Plan
Assortment Analysis
4.How fragmented is the sub-category and what does suggest for coverage?
Range Analysis –Mkt Data
5.How productive is the sub-category and what does this suggest for coverage?
Range Analysis –Mkt Data
6.What are coverage positions of the Retailers competition and what does this suggest for coverage?
Own Analysis
7.What is the sub-category's past and predicted performance and how does this impact coverage?
Range Analysis –Mkt Data
Implied Market Coverage Level:
There are 7 key questions that will help us determine what level of market coverage we should choose for a sub-category.
Do we need to answer all of these questions to proceed?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning39 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 1: Market CoverageSummary & Key Learning
1. Setting Coverage is a balance of Science and Art
2. Category Management Strategy work is critical to make sustainable decisions
3. Market Coverage decisions can be made in a minimal data situation by answering Business Questions
4. Coverage should vary by sub-categoryBut could also vary by market, profile or store/outlet
Shopper Based Assortment Planning40 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Understanding the ProcessThe Assortment Assessment Stage
Determine broad vs. narrow Assortment driven by key Strategic inputs
Determine performance of SKUs against key measures
Do we have the right representation of attributes in our new Assortment?
What are the benefits/costs of the new Assortment?
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Identify the implications of Role & Strategy & Set Objectives
Objectives & Context
Ensure efficient implementationImplement
Shopper Based Assortment Planning41 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Key Question: Which SKU's should be deleted, retained or added to the Retailer's Assortment?
Stage 2: Assortment AssessmentUnderstand Assortment Assessment
Delete?
Retain?
Add?
Selected Market Coverage Line
XX Market
€ Turnover
% of Family Dessertssub-category €
Turnover
% Cumulative
€ Turnover ofsub-category
€18,000€15,600€11,600€7,000€2,315€2,300€2,000€1,600
€500€250
€61,165
PRODUCT 1PRODUCT 2PRODUCT 3PRODUCT 4PRODUCT 5PRODUCT 6PRODUCT 7PRODUCT 8PRODUCT 9PRODUCT 10
TOTAL
29.4%25.5%18.9%11.4%3.8%3.8%3.2%2.6%0.9%0.5%
100%
29.4%54.9%73.8%85.2%89.0%92.9%96.0%98.6%99.5%100%
100%
sub-category: Family DessertsMarket: XX
Currently Listed?
YesNoYesYesYesYesYesNoNoYes
Decisions to make:
Shopper Based Assortment Planning42 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 2: Assortment AssessmentUnderstand Assortment Assessment
Discussion
How and Why would you make decisions around:
1. Should all of the SKUs below the cut-off line in the existing Assortment be DELETED?
2. Should the SKUs just above the cut–off line be RETAINED?
3. Should all of the missing SKUs above the line be ADDED?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning43 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 2: Assortment AssessmentUndertaking Assortment Assessment for each SKU
Area Question – asked for each SKU being Assessed Source
Market Data
Questions
1. What is the (National) Loyalty level for this SKU (brand) as an index of average loyalty in this sub-category?
Panel Data Analysis
2. What is the (National) Shopper Worth for this SKU (Brand) as an index of average worth in this sub-category?
Panel Data Analysis
3. What is the (National) €WROS for this SKU as an index of average SKU €WROS in this sub-category?
Audit Data via coverage tables
Retailer Data
Questions
4. What is the Turnover (€) for this SKU in this Retailer as an index of average SKU turnover in this sub-category?
Retailer Data
5. What is the Profitability for this SKU in this Retailer as an index of average SKU Profitability in this sub-category?
Retailer Data if available (could be H/M/L)
Other Questions
6. Are there Competitive Reasons or any other unique reasons why the SKU should be included/excluded in this Retailers Assortment?
Distribution Data & Judgement
There are 6 key questions that will help us decide on the SKUs to include or exclude from the Assortment.
Do we need to answer all of these questions to proceed?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning44 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 2: Assortment AssessmentMake addition, deletion and retention decisions
1. Assortment Assessment is where we look at the SKUs ‘in question’ in more detail, following the Market Coverage stage
2. We are looking to for evidence to confirm if we should1. ADD SKUs above the coverage line that are currently not stocked2. DELETE SKUs below the coverage line currently stocked3. RETAIN SKUs currently stocked that sit just above the coverage line
3. We use a mixture of Shopper, Productivity and Competitive data to help make our decisions
4. There are some practical watch outs:1. Limited distribution is a “watch-out”2. Annualise new items (or make them exempt from deletion)
5. At this stage we are only addressing what exists today
Shopper Based Assortment Planning45 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Understanding the ProcessThe Assortment Finalisation Stage
Determine broad vs. narrow Assortment driven by key Strategic inputs
Determine performance of SKUs against key measures
Do we have the right representation of attributes in our new Assortment?
What are the benefits/costs of the new Assortment?
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Identify the implications of Role & Strategy & Set Objectives
Objectives & Context
Ensure efficient implementationImplement
Shopper Based Assortment Planning46 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationUnderstand Principles of Assortment Finalisation
Discussion
We are only half way through the process – what else do we need to consider to ensure we deliver a ‘Triple Win’ Assortment?
How do we do this?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning47 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Key Question: Does our preliminary Assortment have the right representation of the product attributes important to our shoppers?
Sizes?Forms?Flavours?BrandsPrices?Performance?
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationUnderstand Principles of Assortment Finalisation
Shopper Based Assortment Planning48 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationUnderstand Principles of Assortment Finalisation
An Assortment Finalisation Matrix is constructed for each sub-category in the Category, based on the Shopper Purchase Decision Hierarchy
Each box therefore represents a Shopper need
• Purchase Decision 1
• Purchase Decision 1
• Purchase Decision 1
• Purchase Decision 1
PD 3 PD 3 PD 3 PD 3 PD 3 PD 3 PD 3 PD 3
• Purchase Decision 2
• Purchase Decision 2
• Purchase Decision 2
• Purchase Decision 2
Shopper Based Assortment Planning49 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
By plotting onto the matrix the SKUs identified from Steps 1, the gaps and duplication areas can be identified
This in turn suggests whether further adjustments to the Assortment are needed
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationUnderstand Principles of Assortment Finalisation
Sub Category: Drink Now Drinks
•Refresh Me Drinks (1) •Functional Drinks (1)
330ml (3) 500ml (3) Pouch (3) Carton (3) 330ml (3) 500ml (3) Pouch (3) Carton (3)
• Waters (2) • SKU 1• SKU 16 • SKU 18
• SKU 2• SKU 8• SKU 10
• SKU 15• SKU 20• SKU 22• SKU 28
• SKU 13 • SKU 27
• Fizzy Drinks (2) • SKU 12 • SKU 9
• SKU 21• SKU 23 • SKU 29
• SKU 31
• Still Drinks (2) • SKU 4 • SKU 17
• SKU 24• SKU 33 • SKU 25 • SKU 30
(Occasion)
1. Need state
2. Type
3. Flavour
Shopper Based Assortment Planning50 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Where are there genuine gaps that, if closed, will increase choice?
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationUnderstand Principles of Assortment Finalisation
Sub Category: Drink Now Drinks
•Refresh Me Drinks (1) •Functional Drinks (1)
330ml (3) 500ml (3) Pouch (3) Carton (3) 330ml (3) 500ml (3) Pouch (3) Carton (3)
• Waters (2) • SKU 1• SKU 16 • SKU 18
• SKU 2• SKU 8• SKU 10
• SKU 15• SKU 20• SKU 22• SKU 28
• SKU 13 • SKU 27 ? ?
• Fizzy Drinks (2) • SKU 12 ? ? • SKU 9
• SKU 21• SKU 23 • SKU 29
• SKU 31 ? ?
• Still Drinks (2) ? • SKU 4 ? • SKU 17 ?
• SKU 24• SKU 33 • SKU 25 • SKU 30
(Occasion)
1. Need state
2. Type
3. Flavour
Shopper Based Assortment Planning51 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Where is there potential duplication that needs examination?
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationUnderstand Principles of Assortment Finalisation
Sub Category: Drink Now Drinks
•Refresh Me Drinks (1) •Functional Drinks (1)
330ml (3) 500ml (3) Pouch (3) Carton (3) 330ml (3) 500ml (3) Pouch (3) Carton (3)
• Fizzy Drinks (2)
• SKU 1• SKU 16
• SKU 15• SKU 20• SKU 22• SKU 28
• SKU 2• SKU 8• SKU 10
• SKU 13 • SKU 27 ? ?
• Waters (2) • SKU 12 • SKU 18 ? • SKU 9• SKU 21• SKU 23 • SKU 29
• SKU 31 ? ?
• Still Drinks (2) ? • SKU 4 ? • SKU 17 ?
• SKU 24• SKU 33 • SKU 25 • SKU 30
(Occasion)
1. Need state
2. Type
3. Flavour
Shopper Based Assortment Planning52 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationValidate the changes
Gaps: Shopper/ Consumer Rationale
Productivity Rationale Proposed SKU Action
Functional Fizzy Pouch Unmet Need in the market currently
Functional drinks are the fastest growing segment
NPD – ‘Boost Me’ Pouch –aimed at teenagers
Functional Pouch Water None – bottles fulfil the need
None – Bottles fulfil the need
No Action
Duplication: Shopper/ Consumer Rationale
Productivity Rationale Proposed SKU Action
Refresh Me 500ml Fizzy High duplication and confusion for shoppers
Poor productivity in this segment
Delete SKU
Refresh Me Pouch Fizzy Two duplicated sku’s Both have higher than average ROS
Retain the SKU
Assortment Finalisation Validation Summary
Will filling the gaps and/or removing duplication deliver shopper and productivity benefits?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning53 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 3: Assortment FinalisationKey Learning
1. Assortment finalisation is where we overlay the needs of the Shopper onto the provisional Assortment
We look for gaps to fillWe look for Duplication to remove
2. The tool used is the Assortment Attribute Matrix – built at a sub category level using the shopper purchase decision hierarchy
3. Typically leads to some changes and often the catalyst for new product development
Shopper Based Assortment Planning54 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Understanding the ProcessThe Assortment Quantification Stage
Determine broad vs. narrow Assortment driven by key Strategic inputs
Determine performance of SKUs against key measures
Do we have the right representation of attributes in our new Assortment?
What are the benefits/costs of the new Assortment?
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Identify the implications of Role & Strategy & Set Objectives
Objectives & Context
Ensure efficient implementationImplement
Shopper Based Assortment Planning55 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Understanding the ProcessStage 4 – Assortment Quantification
Discussion
We now have a proposed new Assortment
How could we quantify the potential impact?
Why would this be important?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning56 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 4: Assortment QuantificationSummarise Assortment Decisions
• What is the Coverage?–Old –New
• What are the SKU changes?–Additions–NPD–Deletions–Retention
Market Coverage #SKUsOld New* Deleted Added/NPD Retained
Sub Cat #1 82% 87% 8 4 27Sub Cat #2 56% 65% 6 12 32Total Category 14 16 59
*Calculated by evaluating the new proposed Assortment in the coverage tables
Summary of Assortment Changes
Create a summary of the proposed changes for all sub categories and the category at a total level..
Shopper Based Assortment Planning57 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 4: Assortment QuantificationDetermine Scorecard Impact of Decisions
-
+Will the we net
100% of the projected turnover or
profit gains from product additions in the
segment or category?
Will we net 100% of the projected
turnover and profit losses from the product deletions?
What is the turnover and profit
contribution of the deleted SKUs?
What is the projected turnover and profit
contribution of the added SKUs?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning58 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Current Turnover:
Loyalty:
A conservative estimate would be all turnover lost due to deletion
A line with high loyalty would lose a greater % of turnover when deleted than a line with low loyalty
Factors in estimating turnover or profit loss:
Stage 4: Assortment QuantificationDetermine Scorecard Impact of Decisions
What is the projected Scorecard impact of a deletion decision?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning59 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Market Turnover:
Loyalty:
Factors in estimating turnover or profit gains:
A conservative estimate based on achieving a fair share of market turnover or benchmark sales vs. competing retailer or brand
A line with high loyalty would net the sub-category a greater % of projected turnover
Stage 4: Assortment QuantificationDetermine Scorecard Impact of Decisions
What is the projected Scorecard impact of an addition decision?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning60 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 4: Assortment Quantification Determine Scorecard Impact of Decisions
Are the Sku’s added or deleted: 1. Adding a completely new supplier to the Assortment for 1 or 2 sku’s?2. Deleting a currently large supplier down to 1 or 2 sku’s?3. Packaged in a costly way to handle for the retailer?
These questions may make you think again about their inclusion in the Assortment
What are the estimated other costs of the new Assortment?
Shopper Based Assortment Planning61 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Stage 4: Assortment QuantificationKey Learning
Quantification
Is used to make sense of and ‘sell’ the Assortment changes
Requires some assumptions and won’t be perfect
May drive additional Assortment changes
Drives implementation
Defends decision making
Can be enhanced by Household data (to help estimate likely ‘Cannibalization’)
Tends to help bring more category focus & objectivity
Shopper Based Assortment Planning62 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
Understanding the ProcessThe Implementation Stage
Determine broad vs. narrow Assortment driven by key Strategic inputs
Determine performance of SKUs against key measures
Do we have the right representation of attributes in our new Assortment?
What are the benefits/costs of the new Assortment?
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Identify the implications of Role & Strategy & Set Objectives
Objectives & Context
Ensure efficient implementationImplement
Shopper Based Assortment Planning63 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Implementation StageImplement the Assortment proposal in conjunction with Merchandising teams
DoUse simple communication to explain the logic behind your Assortment recommendationsUse the Assortment Attribute matrices to steer decision makingRecord deviations from recommended Assortment to allow you to check back and revise your quantification if necessary
Don’tAllow the rigour of the process to break down at the last minute!
Shopper Based Assortment Planning64 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
The Implementation StageKey Learning
1. The main challenge is adapting the core Assortment proposal to the different store formats that exist in the Retailer’s portfolio
This can effect your whole approach to the project and should be considered from the start of the project
2. Use the Assortment Attribute Matrix as a tool to aid adaptation to the retailer’s preferred merchandising & implementation approach, without losing the Assortment rigour
3. It is important to ‘sell’ the Assortment solution to ensure full commitment from all involved and a successful implementation
Shopper Based Assortment Planning65 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
In summary, we have covered....
1. Market Coverage
2. Assortment Assessment
3. Assortment Finalisation
4. Assortment Quantification
Objectives & Context
Implement
8.
Cate
go
ry R
evi
ew
5. Category Strategies
4. Category Scorecard
3. Category Assessment
2. Category Role
1. Category Definition
6. Category Tactics
7. Implementation
Merchandising
Assortment
Price
Promotion
Category Management Business Process
Assortment Process
Shopper Based Assortment Planning66 ECR Europe 2008 – Berlin – Crash Courses
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