economic impacts of salinity in the central valley sacramento regional water quality control board...
TRANSCRIPT
Economic Impacts of Salinity in the Central Valley
Sacramento Regional Water Quality Control Board
State Water Resources Control Board
Richard HowittResource Economist, University of California, Davis
Jonathan Kaplan Economist, California State University, Sacramento
Doug Larson Resource Economist, University of California, Davis
Duncan MacEwan Graduate Assistant, University of California, Davis
Josué Medellin-Azuara Post Doctoral Researcher, University of California, Davis
Nancy Lee Consulting Economist, Amherst
Gerald Horner Economist, State Water Resources Control Board
Objective• Economic Impacts of Salinity Accumulations in the
Central Valley to 2030
Geographic Scope• Major Central Valley Watersheds• State
Economic Scope• General Equilibrium
Direct Economic Effects• Major Sectors
Non-market Economic Effects
• Estimate the Economic Effects of Salinity in the Central Valley to 2030
• Assuming:– Current Policy Parameters
• Environmental• Development-Water and Land Use• Economic• International
– Existing Hydrogeology – No Specific Constituent Analysis
• One Year Project
Central Valley Regional Water Quality Control Board
Sacramento River Basin
San Joaquin River Basin
Tulare Lake Basin
Friant Kern Canal
Delta-Mendota Canal
Sacramento Basin REMI Model County Configuration
Population
37,294
8,754
3,595 2,851 2,308
46,648
11,406
4,795 3,744 2,866
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
California Central Valley Sacramento San Joaquin Tulare
2008
2030
Population
25%
30%33%
31%
24%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
California Central Valley Sacramento San Joaquin Tulare
% change
Relative change in the shallow groundwater table
(0.46 - 0.58% /pa-- Shoups 2004).
Saline Affected Areas (DWR 2001)
Central Valley Production Model
(19 Cells)
Baseline Annual Animal Numbers by Basin
Basin Dairy Hog Cattle Broiler Layer
Sacramento River 36,014 6,270 51,228 130,690 21,347
San Joaquin River 623,896 5,138 67,246 4,156,572 8,618,585
Tulare 843,750 8,290 49,005 14,005,610 13,257
Total 1,503,660 19,698 167,479 18,292,871 8,653,189
Total Economic Impacts
• Output
• Gross Regional Product
• Income
• Employment
• Population
• Labor Force
California: -2.148
Decrease in Output: 2030California: $2.148 (Bil 2000$)
0.294
(0.000)0.024
0.153
0.365
0.124
0.212
0.036
0.103
0.135
0.209
0.146
0.0380.055
0.013
0.112
0.0310.052 0.049
-$0.050
$0.000
$0.050
$0.100
$0.150
$0.200
$0.250
$0.300
$0.350
$0.400
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Man
ufact
uring
Who
lesale
Tra
de
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter
, Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Manufacturing Output: 2030 (Bil 2000$)
Area Basin Region State
Sacramento $0.030 ----- -----
San Joaquin $0.069 ----- -----
Tulare $0.063 ----- -----
Total Central Valley ----- $0.162 -----
Rest of California ----- $0.203 -----
California ----- ----- $0.365
Rest of California
Decrease in Output: 2030Rest of California: $.992 (Bil 2000$)
0.003 0.0010.010
0.039
0.203
0.0750.062
0.023
0.079
0.102
0.140
0.104
0.027 0.032
0.0090.022 0.018 0.024 0.017
$0.000
$0.050
$0.100
$0.150
$0.200
$0.250
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Manufa
cturin
g
Wholes
ale T
rade
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervi
ces
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter,
Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: 2030Rest of California: $.992 (Bil 2000$)
0.08%
0.01%
0.02%
0.03%
0.01%
0.02%0.02% 0.02% 0.02%
0.03% 0.03% 0.03%
0.02%0.02%
0.03%
0.01%
0.03%0.02%
0.02%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Manufa
cturin
g
Wholes
ale T
rade
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter,
Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030Rest of California: $.203 (Bil $2000)
0.0020.0030.0010.0080.008
0.098
0.0030.0050.0020.0050.0090.008
0.0050.0000.0020.0040.0000.0030.0030.002
0.025
0.005
$0.000
$0.020
$0.040
$0.060
$0.080
$0.100
$0.120
Woo
d pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pr
od mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod
mfg
Mac
hiner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
pplianc
e mfg
Mot
or ve
hicle
mfg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel
mfg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030Rest of California:$.203 (Bil $2000)
0.02%
0.02%
0.01%
0.02%0.02%
0.01%
0.02%0.02%
0.00%
0.03%
0.02%0.02%
0.02%
0.01%
0.03%
0.02%
0.02%
0.02%
0.02%
0.01%
0.03%
0.02%
0.000%
0.005%
0.010%
0.015%
0.020%
0.025%
0.030%
0.035%
Wood
pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pro
d mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod m
fg
Mach
iner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
ppliance
mfg
Moto
r veh
icle m
fg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel m
fg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Central Valley
Decrease in Output: 2030Central Valley: $1.155 (Bil 2000$)
0.290
(0.001)0.014
0.114
0.162
0.049
0.150
0.0130.023
0.032
0.068
0.042
0.0100.023
0.004
0.089
0.0130.028 0.031
-$0.050
$0.000
$0.050
$0.100
$0.150
$0.200
$0.250
$0.300
$0.350
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Man
ufact
uring
Who
lesale
Tra
de
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter
, Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: 2030Central Valley: $1.155 (Bil 2000$)
7.07%
-0.01%0.13% 0.26% 0.09%0.11% 0.19% 0.06% 0.05%0.06% 0.08% 0.11% 0.07%0.11% 0.11% 0.13% 0.20%0.16% 0.15%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Manufa
cturin
g
Wholes
ale T
rade
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter,
Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030Central Valley: $.162 (Bil $2000)
0.0020.0030.0010.0040.004
0.009
0.0000.0010.0010.0010.003
0.087
0.019
0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0040.002
0.0100.0070.004
$0.000
$0.010
$0.020
$0.030
$0.040
$0.050
$0.060
$0.070
$0.080
$0.090
$0.100
Woo
d pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pr
od mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod
mfg
Mac
hiner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
pplianc
e mfg
Mot
or ve
hicle
mfg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel
mfg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030Central Valley:$.162 (Bil $2000)
0.04%
0.08%
0.03%
0.07%0.10%
0.01%
0.04%0.05%
0.02%
0.06%0.07%
0.29%0.30%
0.06%0.08%0.08%
0.25%
0.13%0.12%
0.03%
0.09%0.11%
0.000%
0.050%
0.100%
0.150%
0.200%
0.250%
0.300%
0.350%
Wood
pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pro
d mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod m
fg
Mach
iner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
ppliance
mfg
Moto
r veh
icle m
fg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel m
fg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Tulare Lake Basin
Decrease in Output: 2030Tulare: $.766 (Bil 2000$)
0.228
(0.001)0.012
0.083
0.063
0.033
0.110
0.0070.012 0.016
0.0370.025
0.0050.016
0.002
0.068
0.0080.0200.023
-$0.050
$0.000
$0.050
$0.100
$0.150
$0.200
$0.250
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Man
ufact
uring
Who
lesale
Tra
de
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter
, Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: 2030Tulare: $.766 (Bil 2000$)
11.48%
-0.02%0.38%
1.07%
0.21% 0.36%0.72%
0.12% 0.22%0.22% 0.31% 0.49%0.21% 0.41%0.42% 0.50%1.00%
0.58% 0.56%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Manufa
cturin
g
Wholes
ale T
rade
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter,
Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030Tulare: $.063 (Bil $2000)
0.0010.0010.0000.0020.0020.001
0.0000.0000.0000.0000.001
0.037
0.004
0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0020.001
0.0050.0020.002
$0.000
$0.005
$0.010
$0.015
$0.020
$0.025
$0.030
$0.035
$0.040
Woo
d pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pr
od mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod
mfg
Mac
hiner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
pplianc
e mfg
Mot
or ve
hicle
mfg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel
mfg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030Tulare: $.063 (Bil $2000)
0.10%
0.19%
0.04%
0.18%
0.12%
0.04%
0.10%
0.14%
0.00%
0.14%0.15%
0.32%
0.45%
0.13%
0.21%0.24%
0.37%
0.26%
0.33%
0.11%
0.38%
0.20%
0.000%
0.050%
0.100%
0.150%
0.200%
0.250%
0.300%
0.350%
0.400%
0.450%
0.500%
Wood
pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pro
d mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod m
fg
Mach
iner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
ppliance
mfg
Moto
r veh
icle m
fg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel m
fg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Per
cent
Cha
nge
San Joaquin River Basin
Decrease in Output: 2030San Joaquin: $.269 (Bil 2000$)
0.056
(0.000)0.001
0.022
0.069
0.010
0.028
0.0030.007 0.008
0.017
0.011
0.003 0.0040.001
0.015
0.003 0.0050.006
-$0.010
$0.000
$0.010
$0.020
$0.030
$0.040
$0.050
$0.060
$0.070
$0.080
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Man
ufact
uring
Who
lesale
Tra
de
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter
, Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: 2030San Joaquin: $.269 (Bil 2000$)
6.00%
0.00%0.04% 0.14%0.09% 0.07%0.11%0.04% 0.03%0.03% 0.06%0.07%0.06% 0.06%0.07% 0.07%0.15% 0.09%0.08%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Manufa
cturin
g
Wholes
ale T
rade
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter,
Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030San Joaquin: $.069 (Bil $2000)
0.0010.0010.0000.0020.0020.002
0.0000.0010.0010.0010.001
0.038
0.008
0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0010.001
0.0050.003
0.001
$0.000
$0.005
$0.010
$0.015
$0.020
$0.025
$0.030
$0.035
$0.040
Woo
d pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pr
od mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod
mfg
Mac
hiner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
pplianc
e mfg
Mot
or ve
hicle
mfg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel
mfg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: Manufacturing 2030San Joaquin: $.069 (Bil $2000)
0.06%0.07%
0.04%
0.07%
0.14%
0.02%
0.07%0.05%
0.08%
0.06%0.06%
0.30%0.30%
0.20%
0.12%
0.06%
0.25%
0.10%0.10%
0.02%
0.09%0.10%
0.000%
0.050%
0.100%
0.150%
0.200%
0.250%
0.300%
0.350%
Wood
pro
duct m
fg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pro
d mfg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod m
fg
Mach
iner
y mfg
Compute
r, ele
ctro
nic pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
ppliance
mfg
Moto
r veh
icle m
fg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc.
moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Apparel m
fg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chemica
l mfg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Sacramento River Basin
Output: 2030Sacramento River Basin
1.2 0.74.5
21.1
78.4
21.2
37.0
9.6
19.3
26.7
41.0
19.6
6.9 9.8
1.6
30.1
3.48.5 9.7
$0.000
$10.000
$20.000
$30.000
$40.000
$50.000
$60.000
$70.000
$80.000
$90.000
Fores
try, F
ishin
g, Oth
er
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uction
Man
ufactu
ring
Whole
sale
Trade
Retail
Trade
Transp
, War
ehou
sing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state,
Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profes
s, Tec
h Serv
ices
Mngm
t of C
o, Ent
er
Admin
, Was
te Ser
vices
Educat
ional
Servi
ces
Health
Car
e, Soc
ial A
sst
Arts, E
nter
, Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Other
Serv
ices (
excl
Gov)
Bill
ion
s F
ixed
200
0$
Decrease in Output: 2008-2030Sacramento River Basin
0.006
0.0000.001
0.009
0.030
0.006
0.013
0.003
0.005
0.009
0.014
0.006
0.002 0.0030.001
0.006
0.0010.003 0.003
$0.000
$0.005
$0.010
$0.015
$0.020
$0.025
$0.030
$0.035
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Man
ufact
uring
Who
lesale
Tra
de
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter
, Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$
Decrease in Output: 2008-2030Sacramento River Basin
0.53%
0.02%0.03%0.04%0.04%0.03%0.03%0.03%0.03%0.03%0.03%0.03%0.03%0.03%0.04%
0.02%0.04%0.03%0.03%
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
0.60%
Forestr
y, Fish
ing,
Other
Min
ing
Utiliti
es
Constr
uctio
n
Manufa
cturin
g
Wholes
ale T
rade
Retail
Tra
de
Transp
, Ware
housing
Info
rmat
ion
Finan
ce, I
nsura
nce
Real E
state
, Ren
tal, L
easin
g
Profe
ss, T
ech S
ervice
s
Mngm
t of C
o, Enter
Admin
, Was
te S
ervice
s
Educatio
nal S
ervi
ces
Hea
lth C
are,
Socia
l Ass
t
Arts,
Enter,
Rec
Accom
, Foo
d Ser
vices
Oth
er S
ervi
ces (
excl
Gov
)
Per
cent
Cha
nge
Output: 2030Sacramento River Basin
3.61.4 0.3
2.4 1.2
48.6
0.7 0.9 1.4 1.2 1.35.3
2.60.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.7
3.71.2
$0.000
$10.000
$20.000
$30.000
$40.000
$50.000
$60.000
Woo
d pro
duct
mfg
Nonm
etal
lic m
iner
al pr
od m
fg
Primar
y meta
l mfg
Fabricat
ed m
etal p
rod
mfg
Mac
hiner
y mfg
Compu
ter,
elect
roni
c pro
d mfg
Electri
cal e
quip, a
pplianc
e mfg
Mot
or ve
hicle m
fg
Transp
equip
mfg
. exc
. moto
r veh
Furnitu
re, r
elate
d pro
d mfg
Misc
ellan
eous m
fg
Food m
fg
Bever
age,
tobac
co p
rod m
fg
Textil
e mill
s
Textil
e pro
d mill
s
Appare
l mfg
Leath
er, a
llied
pro
d mfg
Paper m
fg
Printin
g, re
l supp ac
t
Petro
leum
, coa
l pro
d mfg
Chem
ical m
fg
Plasti
cs, r
ubber p
rod m
fg
Bill
ions
Fix
ed 2
000$