east regional biomass roadmap update workshop · the vision for bioenergy and biobased products ......

25
2 East Regional Biomass Roadmap Update Workshop Federal Biomass R&D Technical Advisory Committee, U.S. DOE and USDA, SUNY ESF Marx Hotel Conference Center Syracuse New York, September 19-20 1 Current status of Update Process Biomass Vision and Roadmap Update 1

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Click to edit Master title style

2

East Regional Biomass Roadmap Update Workshop

Federal Biomass RampD Technical Advisory Committee

US DOE and USDA SUNY ESF

Marx Hotel Conference Center Syracuse New York

September 19-20

1

Current status of Update Process

Biomass Vision and Roadmap Update

1

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What is the Vision

bull The Vision for Bioenergy and Biobased Products in the United States was created in 2002

bull It established far-reaching goals to increase the role of biobased energy and products in our nationrsquos economy

bull It represented the collective vision of the Biomass Research and Development Technical Advisory Committee established by the Biomass RampD Act of 2000

3

Vision Update

bull The Energy Policy Act of 2005 mandated an update of the Vision and Roadmap

bull The updated Vision does not change the original 2010goals but recognizes that in some cases the US is not on track to meet them

bull The Vision makes minor changes to its 2020 and 2030 goals and establishes 2015 goals which describe the types of activities that must occur to reach that goal and move down the path to the aggressive targets for 2020 and 2030

bull Updated Vision was reviewed by 74 experts in the field including an independent peer review

bull The Vision update will be available in October 2006

4

2

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

5

Updated Vision Goals

6

Roadmap to this Future

3

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Vision Goals relative to Other High Profile Recommendations

2010 2020 2025 2030 BIOFUELS GOALS Vision (billion gallons) 11 17 34 68 Presidents Biofuels Initiative (billion gallons) -- -- -- 60 Aspen ldquoA High Growth Strategy for Ethanolrdquo (billion gallons) -- -- 100 --

TOTAL ENERGY GOALS Vision ndash Quads 4 5 7 10 25x25 quads -- -- 32 --

BIOBASED PRODUCTS GOALS Biobased Products (billion lbs) 24 36 45 55

25xrsquo25 includes solar wind and biofuels across all sectors Committee Vision includes only biomass in transportation industrial and utility sectors It does not include residential and commercial sectors

7

Comparison of Approaches of Various National Efforts

Goal Areas

Approach Outcomes

National Biomass Initiative

Biofuels Biopower Bioproducts

Vision workshop to update goals followed by peer review (final Sept rsquo06) Three Region-specific Roadmap workshops

bullRoadmap of RampD and policy strategies and timelines (regional and national perspective) bullGuidance to RampD Board bullGuidance for annual joint USDADOE solicitation bullUsed to monitor progress by agencies

Presidentrsquos Biofuels Initiative

Cellulosic ethanol

Convened 30xrsquo30 workshop Compiling outputs from multiple strategic planning sessions

bullRampD amp policy strategies to provide basis for DOE RampD planning bullFederal Posture Plan to map agency roles

Aspen Institute

Ethanol Convened experts for 3-4 day dialogue

Generated 16 unanimous recommendations on RampD policy and incentives

25 x lsquo25 Wind Solar Biofuels

Holding planning meetings and established workgroups

Roadmap of RampD and policy recommendations (draft Oct lsquo06)

Includes National Biomass Initiative Roadmap workshops regional feedstock partnership workshops etc 8Work groups include Biofuels Electric Generation from RE Outreach amp Education RE in other Sectors amp

Natural Resources amp Wildlife

4

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What is the Roadmap

bull Developed to map RampD needed to achieve original Vision goals

bull Used to guide annual joint DOEUSDA solicitation under the Biomass Initiative

bull Provides guidance to federal agencies on direction for biomass related RampD

9

Roadmap Update Process

bull Roadmap Update Workshops are planned by Regional Chairs with BCSDOE support

bull Workshops incorporate regional experts pertaining to the Roadmap categories Feedstocks Processing and Conversion Product Uses and Distribution Public Policy

10

5

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Regional Roadmap Workshops

bull Update Roadmap language bull Incorporate New federalstate activities

ndash Renewable Fuels Standards bull Produce 8 million gallons of ethanol by 2012

ndash Biofuels Initiative bull Decrease cost to $107 per gallon of ethanol by 2010 bull Displace 40 billion gasoline equivalent gallons by 2030

bull Revisit path towards achieving Vision Goals bull Invitation only with regional experts

11

Roadmap Timeline

bull Midwest Regional Roadmap ndash Chair Tom Binder ADM ndash Chicago IL April 11-12 2006

bull West Regional Roadmap ndash Ralph Cavalieri Washington State ndash Sacramento CA August 8-9 2006

bull East Regional Roadmap ndash Douglas Hawkins Rohm amp Haas ndash New York September 19-20 2006

12

6

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

14

Why have a Roadmap

13

7

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What is the Vision

bull The Vision for Bioenergy and Biobased Products in the United States was created in 2002

bull It established far-reaching goals to increase the role of biobased energy and products in our nationrsquos economy

bull It represented the collective vision of the Biomass Research and Development Technical Advisory Committee established by the Biomass RampD Act of 2000

3

Vision Update

bull The Energy Policy Act of 2005 mandated an update of the Vision and Roadmap

bull The updated Vision does not change the original 2010goals but recognizes that in some cases the US is not on track to meet them

bull The Vision makes minor changes to its 2020 and 2030 goals and establishes 2015 goals which describe the types of activities that must occur to reach that goal and move down the path to the aggressive targets for 2020 and 2030

bull Updated Vision was reviewed by 74 experts in the field including an independent peer review

bull The Vision update will be available in October 2006

4

2

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

5

Updated Vision Goals

6

Roadmap to this Future

3

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Vision Goals relative to Other High Profile Recommendations

2010 2020 2025 2030 BIOFUELS GOALS Vision (billion gallons) 11 17 34 68 Presidents Biofuels Initiative (billion gallons) -- -- -- 60 Aspen ldquoA High Growth Strategy for Ethanolrdquo (billion gallons) -- -- 100 --

TOTAL ENERGY GOALS Vision ndash Quads 4 5 7 10 25x25 quads -- -- 32 --

BIOBASED PRODUCTS GOALS Biobased Products (billion lbs) 24 36 45 55

25xrsquo25 includes solar wind and biofuels across all sectors Committee Vision includes only biomass in transportation industrial and utility sectors It does not include residential and commercial sectors

7

Comparison of Approaches of Various National Efforts

Goal Areas

Approach Outcomes

National Biomass Initiative

Biofuels Biopower Bioproducts

Vision workshop to update goals followed by peer review (final Sept rsquo06) Three Region-specific Roadmap workshops

bullRoadmap of RampD and policy strategies and timelines (regional and national perspective) bullGuidance to RampD Board bullGuidance for annual joint USDADOE solicitation bullUsed to monitor progress by agencies

Presidentrsquos Biofuels Initiative

Cellulosic ethanol

Convened 30xrsquo30 workshop Compiling outputs from multiple strategic planning sessions

bullRampD amp policy strategies to provide basis for DOE RampD planning bullFederal Posture Plan to map agency roles

Aspen Institute

Ethanol Convened experts for 3-4 day dialogue

Generated 16 unanimous recommendations on RampD policy and incentives

25 x lsquo25 Wind Solar Biofuels

Holding planning meetings and established workgroups

Roadmap of RampD and policy recommendations (draft Oct lsquo06)

Includes National Biomass Initiative Roadmap workshops regional feedstock partnership workshops etc 8Work groups include Biofuels Electric Generation from RE Outreach amp Education RE in other Sectors amp

Natural Resources amp Wildlife

4

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What is the Roadmap

bull Developed to map RampD needed to achieve original Vision goals

bull Used to guide annual joint DOEUSDA solicitation under the Biomass Initiative

bull Provides guidance to federal agencies on direction for biomass related RampD

9

Roadmap Update Process

bull Roadmap Update Workshops are planned by Regional Chairs with BCSDOE support

bull Workshops incorporate regional experts pertaining to the Roadmap categories Feedstocks Processing and Conversion Product Uses and Distribution Public Policy

10

5

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Regional Roadmap Workshops

bull Update Roadmap language bull Incorporate New federalstate activities

ndash Renewable Fuels Standards bull Produce 8 million gallons of ethanol by 2012

ndash Biofuels Initiative bull Decrease cost to $107 per gallon of ethanol by 2010 bull Displace 40 billion gasoline equivalent gallons by 2030

bull Revisit path towards achieving Vision Goals bull Invitation only with regional experts

11

Roadmap Timeline

bull Midwest Regional Roadmap ndash Chair Tom Binder ADM ndash Chicago IL April 11-12 2006

bull West Regional Roadmap ndash Ralph Cavalieri Washington State ndash Sacramento CA August 8-9 2006

bull East Regional Roadmap ndash Douglas Hawkins Rohm amp Haas ndash New York September 19-20 2006

12

6

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

14

Why have a Roadmap

13

7

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

5

Updated Vision Goals

6

Roadmap to this Future

3

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Vision Goals relative to Other High Profile Recommendations

2010 2020 2025 2030 BIOFUELS GOALS Vision (billion gallons) 11 17 34 68 Presidents Biofuels Initiative (billion gallons) -- -- -- 60 Aspen ldquoA High Growth Strategy for Ethanolrdquo (billion gallons) -- -- 100 --

TOTAL ENERGY GOALS Vision ndash Quads 4 5 7 10 25x25 quads -- -- 32 --

BIOBASED PRODUCTS GOALS Biobased Products (billion lbs) 24 36 45 55

25xrsquo25 includes solar wind and biofuels across all sectors Committee Vision includes only biomass in transportation industrial and utility sectors It does not include residential and commercial sectors

7

Comparison of Approaches of Various National Efforts

Goal Areas

Approach Outcomes

National Biomass Initiative

Biofuels Biopower Bioproducts

Vision workshop to update goals followed by peer review (final Sept rsquo06) Three Region-specific Roadmap workshops

bullRoadmap of RampD and policy strategies and timelines (regional and national perspective) bullGuidance to RampD Board bullGuidance for annual joint USDADOE solicitation bullUsed to monitor progress by agencies

Presidentrsquos Biofuels Initiative

Cellulosic ethanol

Convened 30xrsquo30 workshop Compiling outputs from multiple strategic planning sessions

bullRampD amp policy strategies to provide basis for DOE RampD planning bullFederal Posture Plan to map agency roles

Aspen Institute

Ethanol Convened experts for 3-4 day dialogue

Generated 16 unanimous recommendations on RampD policy and incentives

25 x lsquo25 Wind Solar Biofuels

Holding planning meetings and established workgroups

Roadmap of RampD and policy recommendations (draft Oct lsquo06)

Includes National Biomass Initiative Roadmap workshops regional feedstock partnership workshops etc 8Work groups include Biofuels Electric Generation from RE Outreach amp Education RE in other Sectors amp

Natural Resources amp Wildlife

4

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What is the Roadmap

bull Developed to map RampD needed to achieve original Vision goals

bull Used to guide annual joint DOEUSDA solicitation under the Biomass Initiative

bull Provides guidance to federal agencies on direction for biomass related RampD

9

Roadmap Update Process

bull Roadmap Update Workshops are planned by Regional Chairs with BCSDOE support

bull Workshops incorporate regional experts pertaining to the Roadmap categories Feedstocks Processing and Conversion Product Uses and Distribution Public Policy

10

5

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Regional Roadmap Workshops

bull Update Roadmap language bull Incorporate New federalstate activities

ndash Renewable Fuels Standards bull Produce 8 million gallons of ethanol by 2012

ndash Biofuels Initiative bull Decrease cost to $107 per gallon of ethanol by 2010 bull Displace 40 billion gasoline equivalent gallons by 2030

bull Revisit path towards achieving Vision Goals bull Invitation only with regional experts

11

Roadmap Timeline

bull Midwest Regional Roadmap ndash Chair Tom Binder ADM ndash Chicago IL April 11-12 2006

bull West Regional Roadmap ndash Ralph Cavalieri Washington State ndash Sacramento CA August 8-9 2006

bull East Regional Roadmap ndash Douglas Hawkins Rohm amp Haas ndash New York September 19-20 2006

12

6

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

14

Why have a Roadmap

13

7

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Vision Goals relative to Other High Profile Recommendations

2010 2020 2025 2030 BIOFUELS GOALS Vision (billion gallons) 11 17 34 68 Presidents Biofuels Initiative (billion gallons) -- -- -- 60 Aspen ldquoA High Growth Strategy for Ethanolrdquo (billion gallons) -- -- 100 --

TOTAL ENERGY GOALS Vision ndash Quads 4 5 7 10 25x25 quads -- -- 32 --

BIOBASED PRODUCTS GOALS Biobased Products (billion lbs) 24 36 45 55

25xrsquo25 includes solar wind and biofuels across all sectors Committee Vision includes only biomass in transportation industrial and utility sectors It does not include residential and commercial sectors

7

Comparison of Approaches of Various National Efforts

Goal Areas

Approach Outcomes

National Biomass Initiative

Biofuels Biopower Bioproducts

Vision workshop to update goals followed by peer review (final Sept rsquo06) Three Region-specific Roadmap workshops

bullRoadmap of RampD and policy strategies and timelines (regional and national perspective) bullGuidance to RampD Board bullGuidance for annual joint USDADOE solicitation bullUsed to monitor progress by agencies

Presidentrsquos Biofuels Initiative

Cellulosic ethanol

Convened 30xrsquo30 workshop Compiling outputs from multiple strategic planning sessions

bullRampD amp policy strategies to provide basis for DOE RampD planning bullFederal Posture Plan to map agency roles

Aspen Institute

Ethanol Convened experts for 3-4 day dialogue

Generated 16 unanimous recommendations on RampD policy and incentives

25 x lsquo25 Wind Solar Biofuels

Holding planning meetings and established workgroups

Roadmap of RampD and policy recommendations (draft Oct lsquo06)

Includes National Biomass Initiative Roadmap workshops regional feedstock partnership workshops etc 8Work groups include Biofuels Electric Generation from RE Outreach amp Education RE in other Sectors amp

Natural Resources amp Wildlife

4

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What is the Roadmap

bull Developed to map RampD needed to achieve original Vision goals

bull Used to guide annual joint DOEUSDA solicitation under the Biomass Initiative

bull Provides guidance to federal agencies on direction for biomass related RampD

9

Roadmap Update Process

bull Roadmap Update Workshops are planned by Regional Chairs with BCSDOE support

bull Workshops incorporate regional experts pertaining to the Roadmap categories Feedstocks Processing and Conversion Product Uses and Distribution Public Policy

10

5

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Regional Roadmap Workshops

bull Update Roadmap language bull Incorporate New federalstate activities

ndash Renewable Fuels Standards bull Produce 8 million gallons of ethanol by 2012

ndash Biofuels Initiative bull Decrease cost to $107 per gallon of ethanol by 2010 bull Displace 40 billion gasoline equivalent gallons by 2030

bull Revisit path towards achieving Vision Goals bull Invitation only with regional experts

11

Roadmap Timeline

bull Midwest Regional Roadmap ndash Chair Tom Binder ADM ndash Chicago IL April 11-12 2006

bull West Regional Roadmap ndash Ralph Cavalieri Washington State ndash Sacramento CA August 8-9 2006

bull East Regional Roadmap ndash Douglas Hawkins Rohm amp Haas ndash New York September 19-20 2006

12

6

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

14

Why have a Roadmap

13

7

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What is the Roadmap

bull Developed to map RampD needed to achieve original Vision goals

bull Used to guide annual joint DOEUSDA solicitation under the Biomass Initiative

bull Provides guidance to federal agencies on direction for biomass related RampD

9

Roadmap Update Process

bull Roadmap Update Workshops are planned by Regional Chairs with BCSDOE support

bull Workshops incorporate regional experts pertaining to the Roadmap categories Feedstocks Processing and Conversion Product Uses and Distribution Public Policy

10

5

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Regional Roadmap Workshops

bull Update Roadmap language bull Incorporate New federalstate activities

ndash Renewable Fuels Standards bull Produce 8 million gallons of ethanol by 2012

ndash Biofuels Initiative bull Decrease cost to $107 per gallon of ethanol by 2010 bull Displace 40 billion gasoline equivalent gallons by 2030

bull Revisit path towards achieving Vision Goals bull Invitation only with regional experts

11

Roadmap Timeline

bull Midwest Regional Roadmap ndash Chair Tom Binder ADM ndash Chicago IL April 11-12 2006

bull West Regional Roadmap ndash Ralph Cavalieri Washington State ndash Sacramento CA August 8-9 2006

bull East Regional Roadmap ndash Douglas Hawkins Rohm amp Haas ndash New York September 19-20 2006

12

6

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

14

Why have a Roadmap

13

7

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Regional Roadmap Workshops

bull Update Roadmap language bull Incorporate New federalstate activities

ndash Renewable Fuels Standards bull Produce 8 million gallons of ethanol by 2012

ndash Biofuels Initiative bull Decrease cost to $107 per gallon of ethanol by 2010 bull Displace 40 billion gasoline equivalent gallons by 2030

bull Revisit path towards achieving Vision Goals bull Invitation only with regional experts

11

Roadmap Timeline

bull Midwest Regional Roadmap ndash Chair Tom Binder ADM ndash Chicago IL April 11-12 2006

bull West Regional Roadmap ndash Ralph Cavalieri Washington State ndash Sacramento CA August 8-9 2006

bull East Regional Roadmap ndash Douglas Hawkins Rohm amp Haas ndash New York September 19-20 2006

12

6

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

14

Why have a Roadmap

13

7

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

14

Why have a Roadmap

13

7

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

15

Click to edit Master title style

What role can biomass play

16

8

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

17

Biodiesel USA

Year Production Gallons

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 18Source CCC Data Estimate

9

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

19

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

20

10

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

21 According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006US Corn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

US Corn Ethanol Production

22

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

11

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

24

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

23

12

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

25

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

26Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available

13

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

28

27Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Willow Production Areas with data available

14

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

What conversion technologies are available

29

30

Thermo-Chemical Platform

Bio-Chemical Platform

Biomass

Conditioned Gas Oils Residues Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Integration

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

The Integrated Biorefinery

15

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004

ndash Biochemical conversion technology 31

ndash Existing technology

32

16

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

Conclusion

bull Vision for Biomass ndash long way to go bull We need a good roadmap to get us there

bull Time to get to work

33

Backup slides with additional information

34

17

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

35

Click to edit Master title style

36

Crop Yields

Energy Potential of Crops

18

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

37

Click to edit Master title style

38

19

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

39

Click to edit Master title style

40

20

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

41

US Corn Yield

Click to edit Master title style

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

42

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

21

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

43

Click to edit Master title style

Ethanol Use Requirements

Law enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

44

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 2008 10

2007 10 2010

10 2008 10

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

22

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

46

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

LShap

Kim

oDale

Shapouriorenz

Agri-Furi et

et alMorri Wood C

la

Shap

s ang et al

anada rabo

WaG

sk

ng et alouri et al

i

Pim

Piment

entelPatze

Piment

el k

el

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International

23

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master title style

48

47

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600

Million dry tons per year

Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

24

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25

Click to edit Master title style

49

Click to edit Master title style

50

25