dws17 - plenary session : technological bets - vincent bonneau - idate digiworld
TRANSCRIPT
Time for big technology bets
Innovation 2025
Plenary sessions
15 November 2017
Vincent BONNEAU, Head of Innovation Unit
Bertrand COPIGNEAUX, Head of R&D
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Flagship Report on Digital Innovation in 2025
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Flagship Report on Digital Innovation in 2025
Methodology
Third party reports IDATE Digiworld Teams Interviews with Members and R&D experts
Digital Innovations in 2015-2020
Results from previous equivalent works(Conducted in 2014)
Mobile
Cloud Big Data
Source : IDATE DigiWorld
(Pure) Digital Innovations in 2015-2020
Digital Interfaces
# 1
# 7
# 12
# 13
Digital Infrastructure
# 2
# 3
# 6
# 10
Mobile
Social
AR & VR
Cloud
Big Data
Superfast Broadband
Video deliveryCommunication
Two main types of innovation in the past
(Non exhaustive results)
Source : IDATE DigiWorld
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Major shift in Top 3
(in line with selection of speakers)
Source : IDATE DigiWorld
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025Major shift in Top 3
• Back in the spotlight with VPA and DeepMind
• Fast growth of investments since 2012
• Benefiting from cloud and Big Data
• Already close to 30 million service robots in use
• Strong acceleration of adoption from 2020
• 24% CAGR for the next 10 years
• 27 billion connected objects by 2025
• 13% CAGR for the next 10 years
• Automotive and utilities as the main markets
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, BloomBerg, Berg Insight, Tractica
IoT
AI
Robots
Innovation in transition
2020 : Connected People 2025 : Smart Machines
Innovation DAshboard of TEchnologies (= IDATE)
Maturity(tech)
Adoption level
3D
Mainstream
Wild Cards
Usual
suspects
Biggest bets
The bigger the image, the higher in the ranking
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Mainstream
Fast maturation of some technologies; No more in Top 15 (Non exhaustive results)
• 135 minutes spent per day per internet user
• 20% of all online & mobile time
• 32 Billion EUR from paid mobile apps in 2016
• Usage dominated by communication services and games
• M-commerce already close to 30% of e-commerce
• 1,8 billion users of 4G in 2016 (CAGR of 26%)
• Coverage above 70% of territory
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, Statista
Mobile
Social
Networks
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Usual suspects (and indeed Late bloomers)
Still seen more as the future than the present (Non exhaustive results)
• Industry 4.0 getting some traction
• Consumer solutions showing limited adoption
• Huge expectations around connected cars (43% CAGR next 15 years)
• Considered as a top concern by most companies with new threats
• Slow uptake, especially by consumers despite explosion of usage
• Mobile security and biometrics on the rise
• 19 billion USD invested in 2015, more than 150 by 2021
• Plenty of initiatives in crowdfunding, chatbots, new banking models
• Adoption remains limited so far, even for mobile payments
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, PwC
IoT
Cybersecurity
Fintech
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Wild cards
Huge impacts but unclear timeline; Not ranked in Top 15 in the last years (Non exhaustive results)
• Disruption in the security models through decentralization
• Essentially adopted in the financial services industry
• Only 2 billion USD revenues by 2021
• Disruption for care and monitoring of patients
• Additional growth coming from silver economy initiatives
• Only 90 million connected devices by 2020, limited by business model issues
• Already 83 billion USD markets in 2014
• Huge needs for better batteries and consumption optimization
• Development of energy storage and harvesting
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, GrandView Research, Freedonia
Blockchain
E-Health
Energy storage
Innovation in transition
Moving from DIGITAL to PHYGITAL (Physical&Digital)
Source : Deloitte
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Emerging Techs for next rounds ?
Quantum Computing Li-Fi Implantable Tech
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