driver shortage study - naptfor pupil transportation • the number of routes run in the am or pm...
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1
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
Driver Shortage Study
Fall 2016
2
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
7%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
5%
68%
Other
School Board Member
Industry Association Director/Officer
Purchasing Agent/Manager
Government Official (State/Local/Federal)
Mechanic/Maintenance Technician
School Superintendent/Administrator
Maintenance/Shop Manager/Supervisor
Operations Managers/Supervisor
Safety Manager/Supervisor
Executive or Other Managers
Driver Trainer
Bus Driver
Transportation/Fleet Director/Mgr./Supervisor
All Respondents
Q1. What is your job title/position?
• Two-thirds of respondents have the job title of transportation/fleet director, or transportation/fleet manager or transportation/fleet supervisor.
Job Title/Position – All Respondents
N=1053
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National Association for Pupil
Transportation
• The number of routes run in the am or pm was used as a proxy for the number of buses that a company or school district has, and that number was divided into quintiles (20% increments). The bottom 20% of respondents cover up to 13 routes in the am or pm, while the largest 20% cover more than 150 routes.
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
Up to 13 14 - 30
31 - 60 61 - 150
More than 150
Number of Routes – All Respondents
Q20. How many routes do you run on a daily basis?
N=1012
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National Association for Pupil
Transportation
• The drivers for most respondents’ companies and school districts do not belong to a union.
23%
21%56%
Fully Unionized Partially Unionized Non-Unionized
Union vs. Non-Union – All Respondents
Q22. Do any of your school bus drivers belong to a labor union?
N=1032
5
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
• Roughly one-third of respondents work in the Midwest region, and another third work in the South region.
18%
32%32%
18%
Northeast Midwest
South West
Geographic Regions – All Respondents
Q23. In which state do you work?
N=1004
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National Association for Pupil
Transportation
Driver Shortage -Overview
7
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
45%
28% 28%36%
47%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
First Quintile ofRoutes
( Up to 13)(A)
Second Quintile ofRoutes(14-30)
(B)
Third Quintile ofRoutes(31-60)
(C)
Fourth Quintile ofRoutes
(61-150)(D)
Fifth Quintile ofRoutes
( More than 150)(E)
Severe / Desperate
• The driver shortage is reportedly a more severe problem among the smallest 20% of companies and school districts as well as the largest 20% of companies and school districts, compared to those that are medium sized.
N=1012
Degree of School Bus Driver Shortage – Number of Routes
Q2. How would you describe your degree of school bus driver shortage?
BC BCD
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National Association for Pupil
Transportation
59%
37%
25%
14% 11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Driver retention isgetting much more
difficult(A)
Driver retention isgetting a littlemore difficult
(B)
Driver retention isstaying about
the same(C)
Driver retention isgetting a little
easier(D)
Driver retention isgetting much
easier(E)
Severe / Desperate
• There is a positive correlation between those who believe the problem is severe or desperate, and their perception that driver retention is getting more difficult.
N=1040
Degree of School Bus Driver Shortage – Driver Retention
Q2. How would you describe your degree of school bus driver shortage?
BCDE
CDE
9
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
56%
25% 23%
12%8%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Driver shortage isgetting much worse
(A)
Driver shortage isgetting a little worse
(B)
Driver shortage isstaying about the same
(C)
Driver shortage isgetting a little better
(D)
Driver shortage isgetting much better
(E)
Severe / Desperate
N=1044
Degree of School Bus Driver Shortage – Shortage Trend
Q2. How would you describe your degree of school bus driver shortage?
BCDE
D
• More than half of respondents (56%) who indicated that driver shortage is getting to be much worse, also indicated that driver shortage is severe or desperate for their company or school district.
10
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
Driver Shortage -Magnitude of the Problem
11
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
52%
34%
13%
1%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Driver shortage is my number oneproblem/concern
Driver shortage is amajor problem, but not
my worst problem
Driver shortage is a minor problem
Driver shortage is noproblem for me
% of Respondents
• For more than half of all respondents (52%), dealing with a shortage of bus drivers is their number one problem or concern.
Q3. Which of the following best describes the degree that driver shortage is a problem.
School Bus Driver Shortage Problem
N=992
12
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
44%49% 50% 53%
62%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
First Quintile ofRoutes
( Up to 13)(A)
Second Quintile ofRoutes(14-30)
(B)
Third Quintile ofRoutes(31-60)
(C)
Fourth Quintile ofRoutes
(61-150)(D)
Fifth Quintile ofRoutes
( More than 150)(E)
Number One Problem/Concern
• Sixty-two percent (62%) of respondents from the largest companies and school districts report that dealing with a shortage of bus drivers is their number one problem or concern, compared to those in the bottom three quintiles.
N=942 ABC
School Bus Driver Shortage Problem – Number of Routes
Q3. Which of the following best describes the degree that driver shortage is a problem.
13
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
Driver Shortage –Trend
14
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
43%
27%22%
5% 2%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Driver shortage isgetting much worse
Driver shortage isgetting a little worse
Driver shortage isstaying about the same
Driver shortage isgetting a little better
Driver shortage isgetting much better
% of Respondents
• Seventy percent (70%) of all respondents believe the trend for having a shortage of bus drivers is getting a little worse, or much worse.
School Bus Driver Shortage – Trend
Q5. How would you describe the school bus driver shortage trend for your company/school district?
N=1044
15
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
Factors in Ability to Recruit and Retain Drivers
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National Association for Pupil
Transportation
88%
89%
30%
33%
43%
59%
77%
38%
57%
50%
38%
Bus Driver (K)
Mechanic/Maintenance Technician (J)
Executive or Other Manager (I)
Industry Association Director/Officer (H)
Government Official (State/Local/Federal) (G)
Safety Manager/Supervisor (F)
Driver Trainer (E)
Operations Manager/Supervisor (D)
Maintenance/Shop Manager/Supervisor (C)
Transportation/Fleet Director/Mgr /Supervisor (B)
School Superintendent/Administrator (A)
Major Factor
• The chart below shows the percentage of respondents in each job classification who believe that the rate of pay is a major factor in their ability to recruit and retain bus drivers.
N=976
Major Factor – Pay – Job Title
I
I
I
ABDI
ABDI
ABCDFGI
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
17
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
47% 45%
62%55%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Northeast(A)
Midwest(B)
South(C)
West(D)
Major Factor
• A larger percentage of respondents in the South and West regions believe the rate of pay is a major factor in their ability to recruit and retain bus drivers, compared to respondents in the Northeast and Midwest regions.
N=999
AB
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
B
Major Factor – Pay – Region
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National Association for Pupil
Transportation
53%58%
39%44%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Northeast(A)
Midwest(B)
South(C)
West(D)
Major Factor
• A higher percentage of respondents in the Northwest and Midwest regions believe benefits are a major factor in their ability to recruit and retain drivers, while a previous slide showed that those in the South and West are more likely to believe that pay is a major factor.
N=996
C
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
CD
Major Factor – Benefits – Region
19
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
62%
33%
41%
33%
43%
50%
56%
59%
57%
44%
44%
Bus Driver (K)
Mechanic/Maintenance Technician (J)
Executive or Other Manager (I)
Industry Association Director/Officer (H)
Government Official (State/Local/Federal) (G)
Safety Manager/Supervisor (F)
Driver Trainer (E)
Operations Manager/Supervisor (D)
Maintenance/Shop Manager/Supervisor (C)
Transportation/Fleet Director/Mgr /Supervisor (B)
School Superintendent/Administrator (A)
Major Factor
• Bus drivers are more likely than transportation/fleet directors to believe that the number of hours that are available to work is a major factor in their ability to recruit and retain drivers.
N=974
Major Factor – Hours Available to Work – Job Title
B
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
20
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
46%50%
41%
51%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Northeast(A)
Midwest(B)
South(C)
West(D)
Major Factor
• A larger percentage of respondents in the Midwest and West regions believe that the availability of hours is a major factor in recruiting and retaining bus drivers.
N=997
C
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
C
Major Factor – Hours Available to Work – Region
21
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
48% 51% 49% 45%37%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
First Quintile ofRoutes
( Up to 13)(A)
Second Quintile ofRoutes(14-30)
(B)
Third Quintile ofRoutes(31-60)
(C)
Fourth Quintile ofRoutes
(61-150)(D)
Fifth Quintile ofRoutes
( More than 150)(E)
Major Factor
• Respondents from larger organizations are less likely than those in the bottom three quintiles to believe that the availability of hours is a major factor in recruiting and retaining bus drivers.
N=1005
E E E
Major Factor – Hours Available to Work – Number of Routes
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
22
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
52%
42%
51%
31%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Northeast(A)
Midwest(B)
South(C)
West(D)
Major Factor
• Obtaining the CDL is believed to be less of a factor in recruiting and retaining drivers in the West region than in other regions.
N=997
BD
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
D
Major Factor – Obtaining a CDL – Region
BD
23
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
38%43%
48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
All Drivers in a Union(A)
Some Drivers in a Union(B)
No Drivers in a Union(C)
Major Factor
• Nearly half of all respondents from non-union companies and school districts (48%), believe obtaining the CDL is a major factor in their ability to recruit and retain bus drivers.
N=1023
A
Major Factor – Obtaining a CDL – Union
Q6. For each of the following, please indicate whether it is a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor in your ability to recruit and retain school bus drivers.
24
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
Recruiting Drivers
25
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
72%
61%
44%38%
17%
41%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Internet Newspaper ads Bulletin boards inlocal community
Flyers Billboards Other
% of Respondents
• Most respondents advertise for bus drivers on the Internet (72%) and in newspaper ads (61%).
Advertising For School Bus Drivers
Q10. Where do you advertise for bus drivers? (Check all that apply)
N=1053
26
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
73%
59%
6%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Online Paper applications Other
% of Respondents
• Most respondents accept electronic applications online as well as paper applications, with online applications being more prevalent.
Accepting Applications
Q11. How does your company/school district accept applications for drivers? (Check all that apply)
N=1053
27
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
82%
42%
25%
14%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Transportationdepartment
HR department Board of Education Other
% of Respondents
• Most respondents indicated that their transportation department has hiring authority.
• The percentages below total to more than 100% as respondents were invited to select all applicable options.
Hiring Decision Authority
Q12. Who has the authority to make the hiring decisions for drivers in your company/school district? (Check all that apply)
N=1053
28
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
27
2321
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
All Drivers in a Union(A)
Some Drivers in a Union(B)
No Drivers in a Union(C)
Average Number of Days
• Respondents whose drivers belong to a union report that their application and hiring process takes about one week longer, on average, than for those whose drivers do not belong to a labor union.
• The overall average (mean) for all respondents is 23 days, while the median (mid point) number of days is 14.
N=908
C
Length of Hiring Process – Union
Q13. On average, how long is your hiring process (number of days from submission of application until new hire is informed)?
29
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
Retaining Drivers
30
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
• More than half of all respondents (58%) believe the trend in driver retention is getting a little more difficult, or much more difficult for their company or school district.
25%
33%
34%
6%
2%
Driver retention is getting much more difficult Driver retention is getting a little more difficult
Driver retention is staying about the same Driver retention is getting a little easier
Driver retention is getting much easier
Trend in Driver Retention
Q17. How would you describe the trend in driver retention for your company/school district?
N=1040
31
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
52% 52%
65%57%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Northeast(A)
Midwest(B)
South(C)
West(D)
Much more difficult / Little more difficult
• A significantly larger percentage of respondents from the South region believe it is getting more difficult to retain drivers than respondents from the Northeast and Midwest regions.
N=995
Trend in Driver Retention – Region
Q17. How would you describe the trend in driver retention for your company/school district?
AB
32
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
59%54%
43%
63%69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
First Quintile ofRoutes
( Up to 13)(A)
Second Quintile ofRoutes(14-30)
(B)
Third Quintile ofRoutes(31-60)
(C)
Fourth Quintile ofRoutes
(61-150)(D)
Fifth Quintile ofRoutes
( More than 150)(E)
Much more difficult / Little more difficult
• A smaller percentage of respondents whose company or school district covers 31-60 routes every am or pm believe that it is getting more difficult to retain drivers, compared to other respondents.
N=942
C
Trend in Driver Retention – Number of Routes
Q17. How would you describe the trend in driver retention for your company/school district?
C
CBC
33
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
48%
65%59%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
All Drivers in a Union(A)
Some Drivers in a Union(B)
No Drivers in a Union(C)
Much more difficult / Little more difficult
• Organizations whose drivers belong to a labor union are the most optimistic about the future of retaining school bus drivers.
N=1032
A
Trend in Driver Retention – Union
Q17. How would you describe the trend in driver retention for your company/school district?
A
34
National Association for Pupil
Transportation
64% 61%
51%44%
29%
20%14%
19%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
RetirementPlan
MedicalInsurance
DentalInsurance
VisionInsurance
AttendanceBonus
Referral Bonus
SafetyBonus
Other
% of Respondents
• The chart below shows the percentage of respondents who offer the various types of financial incentives in order to retain their bus drivers.
Financial Incentives to Retain Drivers
Q18. What financial incentives do you have in place to retain drivers? (Check all that apply).
N=1053