“dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. hard work is of little value...

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“Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable on the Environment and the Economy

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Page 1: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

“Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream.

Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.”

- Canadian National Roundtable on the Environment and the Economy

Page 2: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Transportation Issues Identified by the Community Capacity Lack of Grid/Connectivity Multiple Inter-related Plans Insufficient Transit/Bike/Pedestrian Facilities Roadway Capacity Increases Degrades

Neighborhoods Universities and Community College New Developments and Travel Patterns Tallahassee as a Regional Center Concurrency Exception Areas

Page 3: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Challenge: Population Growth

Our county’s population is estimated to increase by 100,000 in the next 25 years

and double to half a million by 2060.

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2006 2030 2060

What exactly does this mean to infrastructure needs & costs?

(we’ll get back to that a little later)

Page 4: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Challenge: Rising Costs/Less Revenue

Now, the same projects are estimated at $10-15 million per mile

In 2000, widening a road from 2 to 4 lanes was approximately $2 million per mile

According to FHA, gas taxes from a lane during rush hours = $60K / year

FDOT has a deficit of $2 billion & is removing most capacity projects

In 2000, widening a road from 2 to 4 lanes was approximately $2 million per mile

Now, the same projects are estimated at $10-15 million per mile

According to FHA, gas taxes from a lane during rush hours = $60K / year

New roadway capacity is generally used within 5 years

FDOT has a deficit of $2 billion & is removing most capacity projects

Page 5: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Concurrency Map

Based on state standards, close to 40% of our roads are at or near capacity

Page 6: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Challenge (& Opportunity): Changing Demographics

AARP reports that 71% of older households want to live within

walking distance of transit.

Today’s fastest growing households are:

• Young professionals

• Empty nesters

• Single parents

• Couples without children

• Senior citizens

Would you personally prefer:

To live in a suburban setting with larger lots and houses and a longer drive to work and most other places?

Or in a more central urban setting with smaller homes on smaller lots, and be able to take transit or walk to work and other places?

Suburban setting……………………… 37%

Central urban setting…………………. 55%

NOT SURE/NA…………………………. 7%

Surveyed: City of Houston, 2003

University of Houston Center for Public Policy

Page 7: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

2-car households spend twice as much yearly

income on transportation costs than heavy transit

users

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistic's

Consumer Expenditure Survey 2002-2003

Heavy Transit Users

10%2-car Households

19%

Challenge:Personal Choice

Source: DRIVEN TO SPEND: Pumping Dollars out of Our Households and Communities; Center for Neighborhood Technology: Strategies for Livable Communities

Page 8: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Context of the 2005 Growth Management Bill Requires development to show how roads will be

made concurrent before permit is issued Development can pay proportionate share if we

can match it in 5 years We don’t have enough matching funds to correct

all over capacity roads Need short run solution to allow developments to

pay for their impacts Meanwhile, in next 3 years will develop long range

plans to use proportionate share payments for local & regional transit infrastructure

Page 9: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

What has the Board & City Commission already done to

start dealing with this?

Page 10: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate

Share (until Master Transportation Plan

is complete)

50-yearCommunityVisioning

2

0

0

7

2

0

0

8

2

0

0

9

2

0

1

0

RegionalPublic/ Private Organization

To Guide Policy Development

Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic

Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)

Regional Cooperation

Agreement On Regional Issues

(Visioning Steering Committee could serve as initial Executive Committee for Regional Organization)

Evaluation of MMTD

Boundaries

Outreach to Subareas

Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD

Project List

Adoption of MMTD LOS Standards

Implement MMTD Land Use

Code Changes

2060 Regional Master Transportation

Plan

(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR

Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)

User FeesProportionate Share

Sales TaxImpact Fees

(Funding Mechanisms)

InterlocalAgreements

RegionalCIP Project

List

LocalCIP Project

List(s)

Regional TransitDevelopment Plan

Long Range Transportation Plan

(state projects)

Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan

Local RoadsNeeds &Priorities

Rewrite of the Transportation

Element

Transportation Planning Efforts Flowchart Outreach to

Community & surrounding counties + Education on Interrelatedness of issues

(transportation, land use, densityurban design)

Why we are here today.

And this – short term pipelining.

Page 11: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Significant Benefit Concept “(f) In the event the funds in an adopted 5-year capital

improvements element are insufficient to fully fund construction of a transportation improvement required by the local government's concurrency management system, a local government and a developer may still enter into a binding proportionate-share agreement authorizing the developer to construct that amount of development on which the proportionate share is calculated if the proportionate-share amount in such agreement is sufficient to pay for one or more improvements which will, in the opinion of the governmental entity or entities maintaining the transportation facilities, SIGNIFICANTLY BENEFIT the impacted transportation system.”

FS 163.3180(16)(f) (added by SB360)

Page 12: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Significant Benefit Concept Map

Proportionate Share Zones

Development

Significant Benefit Project

Impacts to Projects in CIP - $ goes to build those projects

Impacts to Projects NOT in CIP - $ goes to build Significant Benefit Project

Because projects are so expensive, City & County need

to pool prop share funds to have enough $ to do anything.

We need to sell this concept to DOT, and a unified approach

will be more convincing.

Page 13: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

How is Visioning Connected to Infrastructure Funding?Recognizes interrelatedness of issuesCreates community consensus:

in prioritizing expenditure of scarce monetary resources

Page 14: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate

Share (until Master Transportation Plan

is complete)

50-yearCommunityVisioning

2

0

0

7

2

0

0

8

2

0

0

9

2

0

1

0

RegionalPublic/ Private Organization

To Guide Policy Development

Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic

Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)

Regional Cooperation

Agreement On Regional Issues

(Visioning Steering Committee could serve as initial Executive Committee for Regional Organization)

Evaluation of MMTD

Boundaries

Outreach to Subareas

Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD

Project List

Adoption of MMTD LOS Standards

Implement MMTD Land Use

Code Changes

2060 Regional Master Transportation

Plan

(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR

Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)

User FeesProportionate Share

Sales TaxImpact Fees

(Funding Mechanisms)

InterlocalAgreements

RegionalCIP Project

List

LocalCIP Project

List(s)

Regional TransitDevelopment Plan

Long Range Transportation Plan

(state projects)

Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan

Local RoadsNeeds &Priorities

Rewrite of the Transportation

Element

Transportation Planning Efforts Flowchart Outreach to

Community & surrounding counties + Education on Interrelatedness of issues

(transportation, land use, densityurban design)

Page 15: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Remember those 100,000 people in the next 20 years? What will it cost to provide them roads,

sewer, water, transit, schools, fire and police protection?

Will the way those homes are built affect the infrastructure costs?

If development truly pays for its impacts, will the way those homes are built affect the cost of those homes?

Page 16: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Population Increase by 2030: 105,000 Average Household Size: 2.3 New Households by 2030: 45,914

How many square miles of land will these new

households need?

And how many roads will be needed to serve them?

4-lane arterials each mile

2-lane collectors each ½ mile

Page 17: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Future Land Use 2007

Page 18: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Increase in Households:

Lane miles to serve:

Cost for arterials/collectors:

Cost per Household:

45,914

795

$9,552,000,000

$208,040

Land Needed in 2030 for 1 unit per acre

Page 19: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Increase in Households:

Lane miles to serve:

Cost for arterials/collectors:

Cost per Household:

45,914

384

$4,608,000,000

$100,361

Land Needed in 2030 for 2 units per acre

Page 20: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Increase in Households:

Lane miles to serve:

Cost for arterials/collectors:

Cost per Household:

45,914

84

$1,008,000,000

$21,954

Land Needed in 2030 for 8 units per acre

Page 21: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Increase in Households:

Lane miles to serve:

Cost for arterials/collectors:

Cost per Household:

45,914

48

$576,000,000

$12,545

Land Needed in 2030 for 20 units per acre

Page 22: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

So why is the housing so expensive?

Why did the free market provide affordable housing in

the past?

It wasn’t really a free market.

Page 23: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

``

Housing Costs

Other Costs to the Community

We’ve subsidized or ignored many costs for decades…

So what happened to these costs?

Page 24: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Bannerman Rd Widening:

$60,000,000

Lake Jackson Cleanup: $12,000,000

Sprayfield Retrofits: $160,000,000

Page 25: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Why did we let this happen? Partly, we just didn’t know all the costs. Partly, we chose to give the subsidies in order to

support the American Dream of homeownership, and to be globally competitive.

But now the market is correcting itself, the costs have caught up with us, and the rules are changing.

To remain globally competitive, and to provide the young people of today and tomorrow their version of the American Dream, we must adapt our policies.

Page 26: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

"We can't solve problems by using the same

kind of thinking we used when we created

them."

- Albert Einstein

Page 27: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

So if we have to think about density now, why do we also have to think about design?

Condominiums

Condominiums

Page 28: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

8 units per acre, built 2005

8 units per acre, built 20058 units per acre, built 20068 units per acre, built 2005

Page 29: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Small Retail Viewed from SidewalkSmall Retail Viewed from Sidewalk

Parking still provided on the side

Connected by an attractive walkway

Shared with adjacent offices during the day, then the pub & coffee house use it at night

We need to amend our codes make this type of solution easier.

Page 30: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

How Quickly Can Infill Happen & How Does Zoning Affect It?

Historically, a very auto oriented corner.

Without pedestrian oriented zoning, this exact spot was going to be the

base of a billboard.

Page 31: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

How is Visioning Connected to Infrastructure Funding?Recognizes interrelatedness of issuesCreates community consensus:

in prioritizing expenditure of scarce monetary resources

on role of density and design in preservation of environmental features and sense of community

Page 32: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Nationally, we expect 94,000,000 more people in 2030 than there were in 2000

About half the homes, office buildings, stores, and factories needed do not exist today.

Source: Brookings Institute

Page 33: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

With Less Money for Roads, Need to Develop a New Model

Smaller lots are needed to do this, but good design can make them attractive and even raise property values

Clustering saves meaningful greenspaces

Provides opportunities for affordable housing

Shopping, work, schools, and houses close & interconnected enough to walk or bike

Enough housing and mix of uses so transit can be provided efficiently

Good design also makes walking/biking safer and more enjoyable

Allows aging and disabled opportunity to lead an independent life

Page 34: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

So what might this new model look like???

In future decades, development might be oriented around intersections, which serve

as transit nodes for park-and-rides, bus rapid transit, or light rail stations….` …retail, office and apartments/

townhouses are located closest to the intersections…

…while more traditional single family homes are located a little further away, but still within walking distance…

…and meaningful greenspaces are incorporated all along the way.

Page 35: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

All the same uses we build now, but built outward from central nodes.

STUFF HAPPENS

HERE

Page 36: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

The Knight Creative Communities Initiative…

EducationWell-being of Children & FamiliesHousing & Community DevelopmentEconomic DevelopmentCivic Engagement/Positive RelationsVitality of Cultural Life

Creating a

SENSE OF PLACE

to draw and keep talented citizens.

Page 37: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

We shape our buildings,

and afterwards

our buildings shape us.

- Winston Churchill

Page 38: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Find what you have.

Decide what you want.

Figure out how to get it.

(Ted Bacon, University of Massachussets, Amherst)

So How Do We Get There?

Page 39: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate

Share (until Master Transportation Plan

is complete)

50-yearCommunityVisioning

2

0

0

7

2

0

0

8

2

0

0

9

2

0

1

0

RegionalPublic/ Private Organization

To Guide Policy Development

Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic

Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)

Regional Cooperation

Agreement On Regional Issues

(Visioning Steering Committee could serve as initial Executive Committee for Regional Organization)

Evaluation of MMTD

Boundaries

Outreach to Subareas

Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD

Project List

Adoption of MMTD LOS Standards

Implement MMTD Land Use

Code Changes

2060 Regional Master Transportation

Plan

(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR

Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)

User FeesProportionate Share

Sales TaxImpact Fees

(Funding Mechanisms)

InterlocalAgreements

RegionalCIP Project

List

LocalCIP Project

List(s)

Regional TransitDevelopment Plan

Long Range Transportation Plan

(state projects)

Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan

Local RoadsNeeds &Priorities

Rewrite of the Transportation

Element

Transportation Planning Efforts Flowchart Outreach to

Community & surrounding counties + Education on Interrelatedness of issues

(transportation, land use, densityurban design)

Funding

So what happens if we don’t get this part right?

Page 40: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

2

0

0

8

2060

Regional Master

Transportatio

n

Plan

RegionalPublic/ Private Organization

To Guide Policy Development

Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate

Share (until Master Transportation Plan

is complete)

Regional TransitDevelopment Plan

Long Range

Transportation Plan

(state projects)

Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan

Local RoadsNeeds & Priorities

Evaluation of

MMTD

Boundaries

(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR

Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)

Outreach to Subareas

Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD

Project List

Adopt

ion

of M

MTD

LOS

Stan

dard

sInterlocalAgreements

50-y

ear

Com

mun

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sion

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20

07

2

0

0

9

2

0

1

0

Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic

Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)

Regi

onal

Co

oper

atio

n Ag

reem

ent O

n

Regi

onal

Issu

es

Implement MMTD Land Use

Code Changes

(Visi

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as in

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Exec

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RegionalCIP ProjectList

LocalCIP Project

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Prop

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Sha

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Sales

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Impa

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(Fun

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Rewrite of th

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Transportatio

n

Element

Transportation Planning Efforts

FlowchartOutre

ach to

Community & surrounding counties +

Education on Interrelatedness of is

sues

(transporta

tion, land use, density

urban design)

uh oh.

Page 41: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Potential Local Funding Sources (for Long Term)

Early projects pay nothing Unevenly burdens later developmentsDoes not prevent future backlogs

Development pays to correct backlog

ConPro

Proportionate Share Mitigation

(We are required by statute to allow this, but have some flexibility in how to structure it.)

User Fees (i.e. tolls)

Pro Con

Places cost directly on userTies cost to vehicle miles traveled

Also tends to burden lower income households

Sales TaxPro Con

Readily available revenue sourceSpreads burden evenly across the population

Tends to burden lower incomes moreDoes not reduce vehicle miles traveled / fee is unrelated to travel behaviorThose who do not drive still pay tax

Gas TaxPro Con

Readily available revenue source

Tends to burden lower incomes moreReduced dependency on gas = declining revenue

Impact Fees

Pro ConAllows upfront calculation of mitigation costs so less uncertaintyAll development pays equally, so new backlogs are less likelyAllows fairer distribution of costs

Costs will be passed directly to the customers, further tightening affordable housing supply (incentives can be structured to support affordable housing, though)

Page 42: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

It all fits together…

CommunityVisioning

Good UrbanDesign

DiverseWorkforce

Sustainability

Sense ofCommunity

Affordable Housing

EnvironmentalProtection

TransportationChoices

EconomicDevelopment

Land Use

Mobility forDisabled &

Elderly

BalancedBudgets

Page 43: “Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.” - Canadian National Roundtable

Actions of the Leon County Commission (3/27/07) & Tallahassee City Commission (4/11/07)

1. Work with with each other to finalize a joint list of projects that will provide “significant benefit” to the transportation system.

2. Formalize and bring back to the Commissions an Interlocal Agreement regarding collection and expenditure of proportionate share funds for projects on this significant benefit list.

3. Include a visioning effort and the Master Transportation Plan in the FY2008 Capital Improvements Program, and to use proportionate share mitigation to partially fund these efforts.

4. Bring back to the Commissions a report on comprehensive funding strategies for transportation capital improvements.

5. Work together to develop standards for a countywide transportation impact fee that would enhance the development community’s ability to estimate the upfront mitigation costs associated with a proposed project.