“dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream. hard work is of little value...
TRANSCRIPT
“Dreaming is of little value without hard work to fulfill the dream.
Hard work is of little value if not driven by a dream.”
- Canadian National Roundtable on the Environment and the Economy
Transportation Issues Identified by the Community Capacity Lack of Grid/Connectivity Multiple Inter-related Plans Insufficient Transit/Bike/Pedestrian Facilities Roadway Capacity Increases Degrades
Neighborhoods Universities and Community College New Developments and Travel Patterns Tallahassee as a Regional Center Concurrency Exception Areas
Challenge: Population Growth
Our county’s population is estimated to increase by 100,000 in the next 25 years
and double to half a million by 2060.
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2006 2030 2060
What exactly does this mean to infrastructure needs & costs?
(we’ll get back to that a little later)
Challenge: Rising Costs/Less Revenue
Now, the same projects are estimated at $10-15 million per mile
In 2000, widening a road from 2 to 4 lanes was approximately $2 million per mile
According to FHA, gas taxes from a lane during rush hours = $60K / year
FDOT has a deficit of $2 billion & is removing most capacity projects
In 2000, widening a road from 2 to 4 lanes was approximately $2 million per mile
Now, the same projects are estimated at $10-15 million per mile
According to FHA, gas taxes from a lane during rush hours = $60K / year
New roadway capacity is generally used within 5 years
FDOT has a deficit of $2 billion & is removing most capacity projects
Concurrency Map
Based on state standards, close to 40% of our roads are at or near capacity
Challenge (& Opportunity): Changing Demographics
AARP reports that 71% of older households want to live within
walking distance of transit.
Today’s fastest growing households are:
• Young professionals
• Empty nesters
• Single parents
• Couples without children
• Senior citizens
Would you personally prefer:
To live in a suburban setting with larger lots and houses and a longer drive to work and most other places?
Or in a more central urban setting with smaller homes on smaller lots, and be able to take transit or walk to work and other places?
Suburban setting……………………… 37%
Central urban setting…………………. 55%
NOT SURE/NA…………………………. 7%
Surveyed: City of Houston, 2003
University of Houston Center for Public Policy
2-car households spend twice as much yearly
income on transportation costs than heavy transit
users
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistic's
Consumer Expenditure Survey 2002-2003
Heavy Transit Users
10%2-car Households
19%
Challenge:Personal Choice
Source: DRIVEN TO SPEND: Pumping Dollars out of Our Households and Communities; Center for Neighborhood Technology: Strategies for Livable Communities
Context of the 2005 Growth Management Bill Requires development to show how roads will be
made concurrent before permit is issued Development can pay proportionate share if we
can match it in 5 years We don’t have enough matching funds to correct
all over capacity roads Need short run solution to allow developments to
pay for their impacts Meanwhile, in next 3 years will develop long range
plans to use proportionate share payments for local & regional transit infrastructure
What has the Board & City Commission already done to
start dealing with this?
Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate
Share (until Master Transportation Plan
is complete)
50-yearCommunityVisioning
2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
RegionalPublic/ Private Organization
To Guide Policy Development
Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic
Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)
Regional Cooperation
Agreement On Regional Issues
(Visioning Steering Committee could serve as initial Executive Committee for Regional Organization)
Evaluation of MMTD
Boundaries
Outreach to Subareas
Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD
Project List
Adoption of MMTD LOS Standards
Implement MMTD Land Use
Code Changes
2060 Regional Master Transportation
Plan
(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR
Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)
User FeesProportionate Share
Sales TaxImpact Fees
(Funding Mechanisms)
InterlocalAgreements
RegionalCIP Project
List
LocalCIP Project
List(s)
Regional TransitDevelopment Plan
Long Range Transportation Plan
(state projects)
Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan
Local RoadsNeeds &Priorities
Rewrite of the Transportation
Element
Transportation Planning Efforts Flowchart Outreach to
Community & surrounding counties + Education on Interrelatedness of issues
(transportation, land use, densityurban design)
Why we are here today.
And this – short term pipelining.
Significant Benefit Concept “(f) In the event the funds in an adopted 5-year capital
improvements element are insufficient to fully fund construction of a transportation improvement required by the local government's concurrency management system, a local government and a developer may still enter into a binding proportionate-share agreement authorizing the developer to construct that amount of development on which the proportionate share is calculated if the proportionate-share amount in such agreement is sufficient to pay for one or more improvements which will, in the opinion of the governmental entity or entities maintaining the transportation facilities, SIGNIFICANTLY BENEFIT the impacted transportation system.”
FS 163.3180(16)(f) (added by SB360)
Significant Benefit Concept Map
Proportionate Share Zones
Development
Significant Benefit Project
Impacts to Projects in CIP - $ goes to build those projects
Impacts to Projects NOT in CIP - $ goes to build Significant Benefit Project
Because projects are so expensive, City & County need
to pool prop share funds to have enough $ to do anything.
We need to sell this concept to DOT, and a unified approach
will be more convincing.
How is Visioning Connected to Infrastructure Funding?Recognizes interrelatedness of issuesCreates community consensus:
in prioritizing expenditure of scarce monetary resources
Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate
Share (until Master Transportation Plan
is complete)
50-yearCommunityVisioning
2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
RegionalPublic/ Private Organization
To Guide Policy Development
Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic
Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)
Regional Cooperation
Agreement On Regional Issues
(Visioning Steering Committee could serve as initial Executive Committee for Regional Organization)
Evaluation of MMTD
Boundaries
Outreach to Subareas
Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD
Project List
Adoption of MMTD LOS Standards
Implement MMTD Land Use
Code Changes
2060 Regional Master Transportation
Plan
(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR
Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)
User FeesProportionate Share
Sales TaxImpact Fees
(Funding Mechanisms)
InterlocalAgreements
RegionalCIP Project
List
LocalCIP Project
List(s)
Regional TransitDevelopment Plan
Long Range Transportation Plan
(state projects)
Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan
Local RoadsNeeds &Priorities
Rewrite of the Transportation
Element
Transportation Planning Efforts Flowchart Outreach to
Community & surrounding counties + Education on Interrelatedness of issues
(transportation, land use, densityurban design)
Remember those 100,000 people in the next 20 years? What will it cost to provide them roads,
sewer, water, transit, schools, fire and police protection?
Will the way those homes are built affect the infrastructure costs?
If development truly pays for its impacts, will the way those homes are built affect the cost of those homes?
Population Increase by 2030: 105,000 Average Household Size: 2.3 New Households by 2030: 45,914
How many square miles of land will these new
households need?
And how many roads will be needed to serve them?
4-lane arterials each mile
2-lane collectors each ½ mile
Future Land Use 2007
Increase in Households:
Lane miles to serve:
Cost for arterials/collectors:
Cost per Household:
45,914
795
$9,552,000,000
$208,040
Land Needed in 2030 for 1 unit per acre
Increase in Households:
Lane miles to serve:
Cost for arterials/collectors:
Cost per Household:
45,914
384
$4,608,000,000
$100,361
Land Needed in 2030 for 2 units per acre
Increase in Households:
Lane miles to serve:
Cost for arterials/collectors:
Cost per Household:
45,914
84
$1,008,000,000
$21,954
Land Needed in 2030 for 8 units per acre
Increase in Households:
Lane miles to serve:
Cost for arterials/collectors:
Cost per Household:
45,914
48
$576,000,000
$12,545
Land Needed in 2030 for 20 units per acre
So why is the housing so expensive?
Why did the free market provide affordable housing in
the past?
It wasn’t really a free market.
``
Housing Costs
Other Costs to the Community
We’ve subsidized or ignored many costs for decades…
So what happened to these costs?
Bannerman Rd Widening:
$60,000,000
Lake Jackson Cleanup: $12,000,000
Sprayfield Retrofits: $160,000,000
Why did we let this happen? Partly, we just didn’t know all the costs. Partly, we chose to give the subsidies in order to
support the American Dream of homeownership, and to be globally competitive.
But now the market is correcting itself, the costs have caught up with us, and the rules are changing.
To remain globally competitive, and to provide the young people of today and tomorrow their version of the American Dream, we must adapt our policies.
"We can't solve problems by using the same
kind of thinking we used when we created
them."
- Albert Einstein
So if we have to think about density now, why do we also have to think about design?
Condominiums
Condominiums
8 units per acre, built 2005
8 units per acre, built 20058 units per acre, built 20068 units per acre, built 2005
Small Retail Viewed from SidewalkSmall Retail Viewed from Sidewalk
Parking still provided on the side
Connected by an attractive walkway
Shared with adjacent offices during the day, then the pub & coffee house use it at night
We need to amend our codes make this type of solution easier.
How Quickly Can Infill Happen & How Does Zoning Affect It?
Historically, a very auto oriented corner.
Without pedestrian oriented zoning, this exact spot was going to be the
base of a billboard.
How is Visioning Connected to Infrastructure Funding?Recognizes interrelatedness of issuesCreates community consensus:
in prioritizing expenditure of scarce monetary resources
on role of density and design in preservation of environmental features and sense of community
Nationally, we expect 94,000,000 more people in 2030 than there were in 2000
About half the homes, office buildings, stores, and factories needed do not exist today.
Source: Brookings Institute
With Less Money for Roads, Need to Develop a New Model
Smaller lots are needed to do this, but good design can make them attractive and even raise property values
Clustering saves meaningful greenspaces
Provides opportunities for affordable housing
Shopping, work, schools, and houses close & interconnected enough to walk or bike
Enough housing and mix of uses so transit can be provided efficiently
Good design also makes walking/biking safer and more enjoyable
Allows aging and disabled opportunity to lead an independent life
So what might this new model look like???
In future decades, development might be oriented around intersections, which serve
as transit nodes for park-and-rides, bus rapid transit, or light rail stations….` …retail, office and apartments/
townhouses are located closest to the intersections…
…while more traditional single family homes are located a little further away, but still within walking distance…
…and meaningful greenspaces are incorporated all along the way.
All the same uses we build now, but built outward from central nodes.
STUFF HAPPENS
HERE
The Knight Creative Communities Initiative…
EducationWell-being of Children & FamiliesHousing & Community DevelopmentEconomic DevelopmentCivic Engagement/Positive RelationsVitality of Cultural Life
Creating a
SENSE OF PLACE
to draw and keep talented citizens.
We shape our buildings,
and afterwards
our buildings shape us.
- Winston Churchill
Find what you have.
Decide what you want.
Figure out how to get it.
(Ted Bacon, University of Massachussets, Amherst)
So How Do We Get There?
Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate
Share (until Master Transportation Plan
is complete)
50-yearCommunityVisioning
2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
RegionalPublic/ Private Organization
To Guide Policy Development
Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic
Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)
Regional Cooperation
Agreement On Regional Issues
(Visioning Steering Committee could serve as initial Executive Committee for Regional Organization)
Evaluation of MMTD
Boundaries
Outreach to Subareas
Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD
Project List
Adoption of MMTD LOS Standards
Implement MMTD Land Use
Code Changes
2060 Regional Master Transportation
Plan
(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR
Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)
User FeesProportionate Share
Sales TaxImpact Fees
(Funding Mechanisms)
InterlocalAgreements
RegionalCIP Project
List
LocalCIP Project
List(s)
Regional TransitDevelopment Plan
Long Range Transportation Plan
(state projects)
Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan
Local RoadsNeeds &Priorities
Rewrite of the Transportation
Element
Transportation Planning Efforts Flowchart Outreach to
Community & surrounding counties + Education on Interrelatedness of issues
(transportation, land use, densityurban design)
Funding
So what happens if we don’t get this part right?
2
0
0
8
2060
Regional Master
Transportatio
n
Plan
RegionalPublic/ Private Organization
To Guide Policy Development
Significant Benefit Project List for Proportionate
Share (until Master Transportation Plan
is complete)
Regional TransitDevelopment Plan
Long Range
Transportation Plan
(state projects)
Regional Bike/Ped Master Plan
Local RoadsNeeds & Priorities
Evaluation of
MMTD
Boundaries
(Master Plan should generate consensus on whether Regional Concurrency System OR
Concurrency Exception Area is the best method for implementation)
Outreach to Subareas
Comp Plan Amend.& Finalize MMTD
Project List
Adopt
ion
of M
MTD
LOS
Stan
dard
sInterlocalAgreements
50-y
ear
Com
mun
ityVi
sion
ing
20
07
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
Subcommittees on Initiatives (Economic
Dev., Sustainable Growth, etc.)
Regi
onal
Co
oper
atio
n Ag
reem
ent O
n
Regi
onal
Issu
es
Implement MMTD Land Use
Code Changes
(Visi
oning
Stee
ring C
ommi
ttee c
ould
serve
as in
itial
Exec
utive
Com
mitte
e for
Reg
ional
Orga
nizati
on)
RegionalCIP ProjectList
LocalCIP Project
List(s)Use
r Fee
s
Prop
ortio
nate
Sha
re
Sales
Tax
Impa
ct F
ees
(Fun
ding M
echa
nisms)
Rewrite of th
e
Transportatio
n
Element
Transportation Planning Efforts
FlowchartOutre
ach to
Community & surrounding counties +
Education on Interrelatedness of is
sues
(transporta
tion, land use, density
urban design)
uh oh.
Potential Local Funding Sources (for Long Term)
Early projects pay nothing Unevenly burdens later developmentsDoes not prevent future backlogs
Development pays to correct backlog
ConPro
Proportionate Share Mitigation
(We are required by statute to allow this, but have some flexibility in how to structure it.)
User Fees (i.e. tolls)
Pro Con
Places cost directly on userTies cost to vehicle miles traveled
Also tends to burden lower income households
Sales TaxPro Con
Readily available revenue sourceSpreads burden evenly across the population
Tends to burden lower incomes moreDoes not reduce vehicle miles traveled / fee is unrelated to travel behaviorThose who do not drive still pay tax
Gas TaxPro Con
Readily available revenue source
Tends to burden lower incomes moreReduced dependency on gas = declining revenue
Impact Fees
Pro ConAllows upfront calculation of mitigation costs so less uncertaintyAll development pays equally, so new backlogs are less likelyAllows fairer distribution of costs
Costs will be passed directly to the customers, further tightening affordable housing supply (incentives can be structured to support affordable housing, though)
It all fits together…
CommunityVisioning
Good UrbanDesign
DiverseWorkforce
Sustainability
Sense ofCommunity
Affordable Housing
EnvironmentalProtection
TransportationChoices
EconomicDevelopment
Land Use
Mobility forDisabled &
Elderly
BalancedBudgets
Actions of the Leon County Commission (3/27/07) & Tallahassee City Commission (4/11/07)
1. Work with with each other to finalize a joint list of projects that will provide “significant benefit” to the transportation system.
2. Formalize and bring back to the Commissions an Interlocal Agreement regarding collection and expenditure of proportionate share funds for projects on this significant benefit list.
3. Include a visioning effort and the Master Transportation Plan in the FY2008 Capital Improvements Program, and to use proportionate share mitigation to partially fund these efforts.
4. Bring back to the Commissions a report on comprehensive funding strategies for transportation capital improvements.
5. Work together to develop standards for a countywide transportation impact fee that would enhance the development community’s ability to estimate the upfront mitigation costs associated with a proposed project.