Context As the impact digital increases and new business models emerge, the
world of connected cars, truck and other vehicles is undergoing significant change and how this is manifested is of interest to many.
Future Agenda The Future Agenda is the world’s largest open foresight program
that accesses mulIple views of the next decade so all can be beKer informed and sImulate innovaIon.
Looking Forwards OrganisaIons increasingly want to idenIfy and understand
both the anIcipated and unexpected changes so that they can be beKer prepared for the future.
Future Agenda 1.0 Top Insights for 2020 From the 2010 program, 52 key insights on the next decade
were shared widely via books, cards and online and have been extensively used by organisaIons around the world.
Future Agenda in Numbers The first Future Agenda programme engaged a wide range of views in 25 countries. Future Agenda 2.0 is doubling the face-‐to-‐face interacIon
and significantly raising online sharing, debate and discussion.
Future Agenda 1.0 1 HOST 16 TOPICS 25 COUNTRIES 50 WORKSHOPS 1500 ORGANISATIONS
Future Agenda 2.0 50 HOSTS 20+ TOPICS 40 COUNTRIES 100 WORKSHOPS 2500 ORGANISATIONS
Future Agenda 2.0 Topics The second version of the Future Agenda program is taking place
during 2015 and is addressing 20 topics via 100 events in 50 ciIes in 40 countries with around 50 core hosts.
Ageing
CiNes
Company
ConnecNvity
Data
EducaNon
Energy
Food
Government
Health
Learning
Loyalty
Payments
Privacy
Resources
Transport
Travel
Water
Wealth
Work
The Process 20 iniIal perspecIves on the future kicked off the Future Agenda discussions taking place across 5 conInents from Feb to July 2015. These are iniIal views to be shared, challenged and enhanced.
IniIal PerspecIves Q4 2014
Global Discussions Q1/2 2015
Insight Synthesis Q3 2015
Sharing Output Q4 2015
The Future of the Connected Vehicle From the discussions so far, there are many issues that relate to the
future of the connected car both from within and outside the automoIve sector. These will be built upon in Munich on 29th July.
Intelligent Highways Mesh networks and ubiquitous mobile connecIons deliver automated highways to improve safety,
increase capacity and reduce congesIon.
Autonomous Vehicles Led by urban delivery pods and long distance trucks, the rise of automaIcally driven vehicles leads to the
reinvenIon of the travel experience around infotainment.
Digital Showrooms Vehicle selecIon and purchase takes place on the high street
and in shopping malls with immersive digital experience replacing edge of town physical car dealerships.
Smart Cars Every vehicle has thousands of sensor-‐connected computers that collecIve provide the intelligent car able to monitor
itself, its environment and its passengers.
Declining Cost of Ownership Increased compeIIon, system efficiency and more open
pricing leads to a net decline in the ongoing cost of ownership of a vehicle acer purchase.
Pervasive Leasing Driven by a combinaIon of sustainability, new business model and convenience factors, leasing becomes the predominant mode of vehicle access for all: By the hour, day or year.
Electric Car Services The growth in electric vehicles brings with it the advent of a
completely new service experience with remote socware uploads, super-‐fast diagnosis and plug-‐and-‐play component swap.
Automated Trucks Autonomous and driverless trucks are now starIng to have impact. The vision of long-‐distance platoons of trucks all running on intelligent highways without
drivers has been a topic for some years... but the reality is not far away.
Last Mile Efficiency The benefits to be gained from bringing the same level of efficiency to the last mile as there is to the first thousand is aKracIng aKenIon: There will be more focus on reducing inefficiencies around the final part of delivery.
PredicNve Remote Maintenance F1 and satellite technology is applied at scale enabling car manufacturers to conInuously monitor vehicles, diagnose any future faults in advance and remotely update socware.
Drive Thru Servicing With pre-‐arrival diagnosis the norm, drivers opt to take their vehicles to locaIons able to do a full service in 30 minutes
while they have a coffee, relax and browse the net.
Uninformed Customers As efficiency improves and automaIon grows, drivers are
ignorant of how vehicles work and, especially in fast growing economies, unaware of anything under the bonnet.
The Fourth Space As tradiIonal tasks become more automated and Ime is freed up, the
ability to do other acIviIes within the vehicle environment is embraced by all – it enables the car to be as producIve as home or work spaces.
Insuring the System As cars no longer crash and nothing is stolen, vehicle insurance shics from the individual and their car to whole fleets and, ulImately, the
enIre system. This significantly changes how risk is managed and shared.
OpNmal Experience Demand growth will be driven by new data apps, device types and connected objects all sharing the same network. Every user -‐ human, machine or object -‐ will expect a personalised and consistent experience across all touch points.
Perfectly Informed Consumers BeKer informaIon of cost, quality, benefit and availability enables consumers to set the right price for products and
services and buyers pay sellers what they want.
Transparent Pricing Consumers, supply chains and regulators share informaIon openly and force manufacturers and retailers to be more
transparent about costs and accountable for errors.
Everything Connected By 2025, >50 billion objects and >1 trillion sensors will be connected to
networks – many of which are mobile. These generate diverse use-‐cases from mulI-‐cast / broadcast of live video feeds across mulIple areas of applicaIon.
Access Not Ownership Rising sustainability imperaIves and increasing cost of ownership all shic the balance from
ownership to access and we prefer to rent than buy.
Value of Data There is undoubtedly a huge economic incenIve to generate and collect data from whatever sources it becomes available. As more data from more things becomes available, we can expect to see a data “land grab” by organisaIons.
A Data Marketplace Data is a currency, it has a value and a price, and therefore requires a market place. An ecosystem for trading data is emerging and anything
that is informaIon is represented in a new data marketplace.
BeWer Storage Improvements in baKery and hydrogen energy storage make renewable energy more reliable and so accelerate electric vehicle growth and support greater distributed generaIon. This has the potenIal to enable a behaviour change.
5G Era The 5G era encompasses Gbps mobile broadband but evolves to an opImsied architecture that integrates mulIple fixed and wireless
networks and supports flexible spectrum usage with high spectral efficiency.
Security and Privacy by Design The trust of users is fragile and can only be sustained by embedding
privacy and security in products and processes to provide transparency, choice and individual parIcipaIon.
CogniNve Networks In using big-‐data analyIcs and machine learning, networks become cogniIve enough to operate themselves at the most opImal cost -‐ while understanding user’s needs and automaIcally delivering the best experience in real-‐Ime.
Linkability of Open Data No data will be truly anonymous: Current open data pracIce assumes that
technology will be not be able to relink it to its source. This is not the case and so, by 2025, we will see different levels of de-‐idenIficaIon.
Paying for Privacy We do not currently understand the value of our data or how it is
being used and so are giving it away. In the future we might be willing to pay more for our privacy than the data we share.
Data Islands Some economies seek to maintain closed or parallel networks, independent of global systems. Different approaches from the standard are developed for
major populaIon centres and, in Ime, could have global reach.
CiNes Not Countries CiIes are more important than countries and increasingly set the standards as cultural connecIons predominate over naIonal idenIIes and urban markets group around common issues.
Rising Cyber Security Greater interconnecIvity and the Internet of Things creates new
vulnerabiliIes for governments and corporaIons -‐ as the unscrupulous and the criminal increasingly seek to exploit weakness and destroy systems.
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