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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltdhttp://www.globalchange.com
SustainAgility
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Related Issues
Agile Ideas 2
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Strategies of many corporations are
being overtaken by events
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Wild Cards: Risk Management
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Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million
� Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
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• Click to edit Master text styles
11
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Huge bets on future price
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13
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You need more than
one strategy
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16
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$40bn a month
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•
£1 trillion debt 33% bought back
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23
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Text
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Touch, Voice, Gesture,
Thought Control
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The future is about
EMOTION
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30
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80% lost in 10 seconds
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1 billion children à cities
1 billion children alive today
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300 million à cities in China by 2020$4 trillion infrastructure in next 5 years
Commodity pressures
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Emissions
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� IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
37
>40% WDP Asia by 2015
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1 billion over 60s in 10 years
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1 week every 4
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Europe Dying
4 couples needed to produce just one
great-grandchild
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Computersknow more than
physicians
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•Ottawa Hospital, Ontario, Canada - 3,000 iPads.
•Mayo Clinic - 10,000 iPhones and 2,000 iPads
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Read Human Genome in an Hour for $1000($100 million in 2000)
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46
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• Harvard Bioscience
• Bioreactor
• Bone m stem cells
• Polymer scaffold
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•lexmark print new skin
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• Diabetes, congestive heart failure, obstructive pulmonary
• 2.2 million at home
• > $22bn by 2015
•Mobile telephony
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Home Oxygen$2bn pa by 2018
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Can we stop ageing ?
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Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improves heart failure – and helps wrinkled skin.
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Grow New Teeth
• Pigs teeth grown inside rats
• Mice grow new teeth from nerve cells / gum tissue
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Successful Heart repair
• Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass
• Improves heart function
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Monkeys on diet live longer• After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories• Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay
55
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Slow or no ageing is a reality
• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales
• No signs of getting old
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1 trillionpages a month
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Why had to change
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Would they recommend to a friend ?
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"Perfection!," TripAdvisor Member, Sept 13, 2012 This was the most beautiful hotel. Delightful, all perfect. We will stay again v soon. "Terrible! TripAdvisor Member, Nov 10, 2011 Terrible place, rats, dirty, noisy - sick with food poisoning for 2 weeks. Nearly died.
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Rebalancing Portfolio
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5-10% increase in efficiency from nanotech
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33% in UK don’t watch live TV
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70% UK bandwidth = YouTube + BBC Neflix video streams = 25% US bandwidth (27m users)
•Allow or Block ?
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Some users in France > 30 gig in days
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Google Mobile Wallet Monetise (mobile payments for banks) Square startup $3bn valuation
Mobile Payments
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•PayPal -‐ $141m to $4bn from 2009-‐11
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• Kenya -‐ 15m people• $9bn pa -‐ 33% GDP•
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79
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Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / pay
2010 2013 2015
TelcoBanks
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$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
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Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”
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Shale gas 33% US supplies
200 years global supplyUp from 60 years in 5 years
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5 coal plants replace with gas = 9000 megawatts wind
57 will close in US in 2012
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� 30 million acres lost
� EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food
25% of 2010 US grain fuel
30% US grain burnt in cars
86
30% US grain
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120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert
“40% EU power = wind by 2050”Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?
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120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use
Power whole Europe from 20km x 80km desert
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•Only 5% EU power crosses borders
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Solar cell generation parity
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Fuel cell shipments up 300% in 2012
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Australia Power Shortage• 10% capacity used 4 days a year• Average $50 à peak $10,000 per MWhr
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Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week
94
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95
Burning in oxygen
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LIFE IS SHORT - only sell what you believe in
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BeyondCompliance
Future revenue from legislation Rapid changes in regulations
and public mood
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�For individuals�For family�For community �For whole earth
Building a Better WorldConnecting with passion for life
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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
http://www.globalchange.com4 MILLION VIDEO VIEWS
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�How did you feel ?�Immediate thoughts�Big questions
Groups
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�Key issues impacting strategy�Major opportunities
�Which ones can you fix yourselves ?�Imagine opportunity for 3 minute conversation with your Chairman about an issue / opportunity and a solution....
Groups