DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 29.06.2017
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA,
Last update:
Period:2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 504 237 490 196 - 2.8 %Hong Kong 40 779 53 910 + 32.2 %
Ukraine 30 150 44 279 + 46.9 %
Saudi Arabia 40 568 37 809 - 6.8 %
Benin 44 417 36 727 - 17.3 %
South Africa 82 916 34 602 - 58.3 %
Ghana 23 364 34 257 + 46.6 %
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 7 882 21 330 +++
Other 234 160 227 281 - 2.9 %
POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Apr
Pri
ces
Wo
rld
Qu
ota
tio
ns
Pro
du
ctio
nTr
ade
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2015 / 16 )
Wo
rld
Tra
de
- 0.1%
Ove
rall
Po
ult
ry M
eat
Pla
cin
gs B
roile
r
+ 2.8% + 1.2%
Period: 2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 299 671 283 678 - 5.3%
Brazil 168 328 157 518 - 6.4 %
Thailand 99 034 88 136 - 11.0 %
Ukraine 11 149 16 988 + 52.4 %
Chile 11 473 8 518 - 25.8 %
China 5 606 6 041 + 7.8 %
Argentina 1 934 2 358 + 21.9 %
South Africa 58 1 938 +++
Other 2 090 2 181 + 4.4 %
POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Apr
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2015 / 16 )
11
35
4
11
65
6
12
12
1
12
36
0
12
69
4
12
78
3
13
26
1
13
77
5
14
38
4
14
48
2
14
59
6
11
33
0
11
58
8
11
76
7
11
90
1
12
22
9
12
28
2
12
75
1
13
28
4
13
79
2
13
89
3
13
98
9
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f
10
00
To
nn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
EUW E E K P R I C E S 25
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
Broiler82%
Turkey15%
Duck3%
Forecast and Production of poultry meat
2017 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.81 (kg)
184.51
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
g
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017
184.51
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 15 | 16 | 17 |
€/
10
0 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
212.66
85.50
184.51
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
PL2 70918%
FR1 83812%
DE1 78912%
UK1 69911%
ES1 49510%
IT1 390
9%
Other4 20728%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2017Total = 5 127
(+5.6% over 2016)
6 MSs =
72% of total production
53
7 9
07
50
2 8
80
55
5 6
97
57
3 6
68
55
5 9
94
54
0 8
14
59
5 2
96
53
6 6
21
53
7 8
69
57
1 1
74
47
0 7
53
55
5 5
67
51
7 2
71
52
3 3
88
56
0 5
33
57
5 5
70
56
4 9
04
55
6 1
87
55
5 5
95
55
9 8
06
54
4 9
54
55
6 2
53
49
8 9
83 57
1 0
98
58
6 7
25
53
0 7
89
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2015 2016 2017
62
8 4
93
78
6 5
59
83
4 8
16
79
4 5
10
86
8 8
97
89
4 9
63
86
6 8
40
84
9 9
15
92
5 4
05
83
9 6
17
84
2 8
85
88
6 1
48
73
7 4
83
.60
86
4 8
61
.25
80
9 8
78
.57
82
2 4
06
.11
87
7 7
30
.42
90
3 6
73
.02
88
7 7
76
.75
87
0 1
04
.06
86
8 1
05
.67
87
9 1
81
.46
85
6 2
30
.06
86
9 4
95
.58
76
7 8
83 8
92
74
5
91
3 0
55
83
5 9
35
0 0 0 0 0 0
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forecast and Production of broiler( Tonnes )
2015 2016 2017
88
7
82
1
85
5
80
7 84
6
87
5
90
0
30
0
28
4
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Apr16
Jan-Apr17
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1 0
16 1
26
5 1 4
31
1 4
28
1 5
04
1 4
89
1 6
16
50
4
49
0
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Apr16
Jan-Apr17
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1 4
15
1 3
63
1 1
26
1 1
86
46
9
45
7
33
6 39
5
22
1
24
1
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
2016 2017
In 1
00
0 t
on
ne
s P
W
World Main Exporters(88% of Total Exports)
Brazil United States EU Hong Kong & China Thailand
2016= 4 1422017= 4 027
Source: GTA
48
3 50
6
31
5
30
8
27
9
27
1
22
4
22
6
15
5
14
1
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2016 2017
In 1
00
0 t
on
ne
s P
W
World Main Importers(69% of Total Imports)
Hong Kong + China Japan EU Mexico China
Source: GTA
2016 = 2 0182017 = 2 009
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Pric
es
- 0.1% + 2.8% + 1.2%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 25
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
184.51
€/ 1
00 kg
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
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Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
gBROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017
184.51
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Broiler82%
Turkey15%
Duck3%
Forecast and Production of poultry meat
2017 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.81 (kg)
Source: MSs notifications – Expert group
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Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 15 | 16 | 17 |
€/
100
kg
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
212.66
85.50
184.51
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Source: ECB (European Central Bank)
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
EUR / USD
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
EUR / BRL
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
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PageNext
Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
537
907
502
880
555
697
573
668
555
994
540
814 595
296
536
621
537
869
571
174
470
753
555
567
517
271
52
3 3
88
56
0 5
32
57
5 5
70
56
4 9
04
55
6 1
87
55
5 3
63
55
9 8
15
54
4 8
74
55
6 1
70
49
8 9
01 57
1 0
28
58
2 7
11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2015 2016 2017
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
628
493
786
559
834
816
794
510
868
897
894
963
866
840
849
915
925
405
839
617
842
885
886
148
737
483.
60 864
861.
25
809
878.
57
822
406.
11
877
729.
46
903
673.
02
887
776.
75
870
104.
06
867
729.
32
879
130.
82
856
113.
30
869
377.
86
767
774 89
2 69
5
907
141
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forecast and Production of broiler( Tonnes )
2015 2016 2017
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Source: Eurostat
PL2 70918%
FR1 838
12%DE
1 78912%
UK1 69911%
ES1 49510%
IT1 390
9%
Other4 20728%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2017Total = 5 127(+5.6% over
2016)
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11 3
54
11 6
56
12 1
21
12 3
60
12 6
94
12 7
83
13 2
61
13 7
75
14 3
84
14 4
82
14 5
96
11 3
30
11 5
88
11 7
67
11 9
01
12 2
29
12 2
82
12 7
51
13 2
84
13 7
92
13 8
93
13 9
89
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f
1000
Ton
nes
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: Eurostat
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1 41
5
1 36
3
1 12
6
1 18
6
469
457
336 39
5
221
241
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
2016 2017
In 1
000
tonn
es P
W
World Main Exporters(88% of Total Exports)
Brazil United States EU Hong Kong & China Thailand
2016= 4 1422017= 4 027
Source: GTA
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483 50
6
315
308
279
271
224
226
155
141
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2016 2017
In 10
00 to
nnes
PW
World Main Importers(69% of Total Imports)
Hong Kong + China Japan EU Mexico China
Source: GTA
2016 = 2 0182017 = 2 009
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1 01
6 1 26
5 1 43
1
1 4
28
1 5
04
1 4
89
1 6
16
50
4
49
0
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Apr16
Jan-Apr17
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2016 /17 )
Period:2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 504 237 490 196 - 2.8 %Hong Kong 40 779 53 910 + 32.2 %
Ukraine 30 150 44 279 + 46.9 %
Saudi Arabia 40 568 37 809 - 6.8 %
Benin 44 417 36 727 - 17.3 %
South Africa 82 916 34 602 - 58.3 %
Ghana 23 364 34 257 + 46.6 %
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 7 882 21 330 +++
Other 234 160 227 281 - 2.9 %
EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2016/17)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Apr
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887
821 85
5
807 84
6
875
900
300
284
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Apr16
Jan-Apr17
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2016 /17 )
Period: 2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 299 671 283 678 - 5.3%
Brazil 168 328 157 518 - 6.4 %
Thailand 99 034 88 136 - 11.0 %
Ukraine 11 149 16 988 + 52.4 %
Chile 11 473 8 518 - 25.8 %
China 5 606 6 041 + 7.8 %
Argentina 1 934 2 358 + 21.9 %
South Africa 58 1 938 +++
Other 2 090 2 181 + 4.4 %
EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2016/17)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Apr