Confidential 1
Coming up
‣ The Old policing profession
‣ From the Old, to the New
‣ Evidence. Myths. Legends
‣ Politics and Police
‣ Developing the New policing professionalism
Confidential 2
What do we teach our police?
Confidential 3
Confidential 4
What influences our police?
Confidential
5
Politicians‘Clinical experience model’
TraditionsBureaucrac
yMedia
Law
Confidential 6
What are standard police tactics?
Confidential 7
‣ Patrol
‣ Arrest
‣ Prosecute
‣ Supervise
Confidential 8
Do standard police tactics work?
Confidential 9
Confidential 10
What are the active ingredients?
Confidential 11
Deterrence
Defiance
Desistance
Legitimacy
‣ Rewards
‣ Crime Commission costs
‣ Formal sanctions
‣ Informal sanctions
‣ Perceived cost of apprehension
‣ Perceived chance of success
‣ Perceived chance of apprehension
Confidential 12
What about burglary, for example?
Confidential 13
Traditional
? Detect
? Patrol
? Communicate
Evidence-based
Predictive patrols
Focus on solvability
Targeted offenders
Repeat victims
Turning point approach
Johnson and Bowers: Use data to identify time/place/route/risk/focus
Confidential 14
Study or Subgroup
Offence DurationTime to Police attend
Total (95% CI)
Heterogeneity: Chi² = 3.43, df = 1 (P = 0.06); I² = 71%Test for overall effect: Z = 3.51 (P = 0.0004)
Mean
20.08171.26
SD
104.42492.97
Total
91749826
19000
Mean
13.14132.26
SD
60.93532.75
Total
11061051
2157
Weight
98.5%1.5%
100.0%
IV, Fixed, 95% CI
6.94 [2.76, 11.12]39.00 [5.35, 72.65]
7.43 [3.28, 11.57]
Undetected Detected Mean Difference Mean DifferenceIV, Fixed, 95% CI
-100 -50 0 50 100Favours undetected Favours detected
Confidential 15
Risk%
High3%
Neither High or Low36%
Low61%
Categorising Offenders
Confidential 16
Focus ….. Previous victims and
areas
Target ….. Cocoon victims
Leverage ….. Neighbourhood
Watch
Repeat Victimisation Strategy
Confidential 17
‣ Deterrence and desistance approach for first time/low harm
‣ Deferred prosecution linked to conditions for desistance
• Curfews
• Drugs treatment
• Non-association
‣ Certainty and Celerity linked to desistance support
Operation Turning Point
Confidential 18
Coming up
‣ The Old policing profession
‣ From the Old, to the New
‣ Evidence. Myths. Legends
‣ Politics and Police
‣ Developing the New policing professionalism
Confidential 19
Confidential 20
Confidential 21
Confidential 22
‣ Pre-entry, Level 4: New entrants properly prepared to police
‣ Management, Level 5: Managers qualified to manage
‣ Senior Management, Level 7: Senior Mgt prepared to lead
Confidential 23
Leadership & Management + Science = A Better Society