Confidential 1

Coming up

‣ The Old policing profession

‣ From the Old, to the New

‣ Evidence. Myths. Legends

‣ Politics and Police

‣ Developing the New policing professionalism

Confidential 2

What do we teach our police?

Confidential 3

Confidential 4

What influences our police?

Confidential

5

Politicians‘Clinical experience model’

TraditionsBureaucrac

yMedia

Law

Confidential 6

What are standard police tactics?

Confidential 7

‣ Patrol

‣ Arrest

‣ Prosecute

‣ Supervise

Confidential 8

Do standard police tactics work?

Confidential 9

Confidential 10

What are the active ingredients?

Confidential 11

Deterrence

Defiance

Desistance

Legitimacy

‣ Rewards

‣ Crime Commission costs

‣ Formal sanctions

‣ Informal sanctions

‣ Perceived cost of apprehension

‣ Perceived chance of success

‣ Perceived chance of apprehension

Confidential 12

What about burglary, for example?

Confidential 13

Traditional

? Detect

? Patrol

? Communicate

Evidence-based

Predictive patrols

Focus on solvability

Targeted offenders

Repeat victims

Turning point approach

Johnson and Bowers: Use data to identify time/place/route/risk/focus

Confidential 14

Study or Subgroup

Offence DurationTime to Police attend

Total (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Chi² = 3.43, df = 1 (P = 0.06); I² = 71%Test for overall effect: Z = 3.51 (P = 0.0004)

Mean

20.08171.26

SD

104.42492.97

Total

91749826

19000

Mean

13.14132.26

SD

60.93532.75

Total

11061051

2157

Weight

98.5%1.5%

100.0%

IV, Fixed, 95% CI

6.94 [2.76, 11.12]39.00 [5.35, 72.65]

7.43 [3.28, 11.57]

Undetected Detected Mean Difference Mean DifferenceIV, Fixed, 95% CI

-100 -50 0 50 100Favours undetected Favours detected

Confidential 15

Risk%

High3%

Neither High or Low36%

Low61%

Categorising Offenders

Confidential 16

Focus ….. Previous victims and

areas

Target ….. Cocoon victims

Leverage ….. Neighbourhood

Watch

Repeat Victimisation Strategy

Confidential 17

‣ Deterrence and desistance approach for first time/low harm

‣ Deferred prosecution linked to conditions for desistance

• Curfews

• Drugs treatment

• Non-association

‣ Certainty and Celerity linked to desistance support

Operation Turning Point

Confidential 18

Coming up

‣ The Old policing profession

‣ From the Old, to the New

‣ Evidence. Myths. Legends

‣ Politics and Police

‣ Developing the New policing professionalism

Confidential 19

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Confidential 22

‣ Pre-entry, Level 4: New entrants properly prepared to police

‣ Management, Level 5: Managers qualified to manage

‣ Senior Management, Level 7: Senior Mgt prepared to lead

Confidential 23

Leadership & Management + Science = A Better Society