disconnected youth september 16 power point final

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    Presentation Agenda

    1. Defining the challenge of disconnected youth in the

    in the Triangle region, particularly in Durham2. Critical analysis of factors causing disconnection

    3. A framework for strategic action

    4. Durham Connected by 25

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    Defining the Challenge

    What are the characteristics of disconnected youth?

    No diploma, but not in school

    Unmarried mother

    Incarcerated/on probation

    Exiting foster care

    Long-term unemployed

    There are an estimated 3,672 disconnected youth in Durham.

    Source: Wald and Martinez, 2003; publicly

    available data, 2005-2007 .

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    There are 2.8million

    disconnected

    young people

    nationwide

    nearly 10

    percent of

    youth

    between the

    ages of 16 and

    24.

    Defining the Challenge

    Source: Wald and Martinez, 2003.

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    The South is home to 35%

    of 18- to 24-year-olds, but

    it accounts for 43% of all

    disconnected youth.

    West: 23% of all

    youth; 20% of

    all disconnected

    youth

    Northeast: 17% of all youth; 13% ofall disconnected youth

    Defining the Challenge

    Source: Wald and Martinez, 2003.

    Midwest :25%of all youth;

    24% of all

    disconnected

    youth

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    Youth in the Triangle

    An average of 227,572 youth lived in the Triangle during the period

    2005-07. Of these, 36,494 lived in Durham.

    Durham is the one Triangle county where the majority of the youthpopulation is minority:

    - 45% Caucasian

    - 43% African American

    - 5% Asian

    -7.5% Other

    - 10% of youth population identifies as Hispanic

    Source: American Community Survey.

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    Youth in the Research Triangle

    Of the 36,494 youth

    aged 15-24 living in

    Durham in 2005-

    2007, an estimated

    3,672more than

    10%were

    disconnected.

    Unlike the Triangle

    as a whole, there

    are more

    disconnected youth

    aged 20-24 than

    15-19 in Durham.

    Source: Publicly available data, 2005-2007.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    EducationalAttainment

    The Durham MSAcomprised of Durham, Orange, Chatham, and Personcountieshas the second highest number of professional, scientific, andtechnical employees per 1,000 residents in the Southeast, surpassed only by

    metropolitan Washington, D.C.

    However,

    In Durham, 33.7% of youth aged 15-24 are not enrolled in any type education,exceeding the percentage of students not enrolled in the Raleigh-Durham area asa whole.

    More than 35% of Durhams youth aged 18-24 either lack a high school credentialor have a high school diploma as their terminal degree.

    Source: 2002 US Economic Census; American Community

    Survey, Three-Year Estimates, 2005-2007.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    EducationalAttainment

    Despite recentprogress,

    graduation rates forstudents of colorare particularlytroubling inDurham.

    63.0%

    54.7%

    71.3%

    57.7%

    37.4%

    81.4%

    48.3%

    33.7%

    Four Year Cohort Graduation Ratesfor 9th Graders Entering in 2004-2005, by Selected Characteristics,Durham County Public schools

    Source: North Carolina Department of Public Instruction.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    Youth Poverty

    The estimatedyouth poverty ratein the DurhamMSA was 29.7%,

    exceeding both thestate and nationalrates.

    18.4%

    22.7%

    29.7%

    17.8%

    21.9%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    US North Carolina Durham MSA Raleigh MSA Raleigh-Durham CSA

    Percent of Youth Ages 15-24 Below the Poverty Level,2005-2007 Period

    Research Triangle

    Source: American Community Survey.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    High UnemploymentRates

    Even in good times, youth have

    high unemployment rates. During

    the 2005-2007 period, the overall

    unemployment rate in Durhamwas between 4% and 6%.

    26.0%

    13.1%

    16.7%16.3%

    8.4%

    10.6%

    Youth 16-19 Youth 20-24 All Youth 16-24

    Unemployment by Age, Durham and

    Wake Counties, 2005-2007 Period

    Durham Wake

    Source: American Community Survey.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    High UnemploymentRates:Race and Gender Disparities

    Among older youth ages 20-24,

    unemployment for African

    Americans was 21%, nearly doublethe overall unemployment rate for

    this age group.

    Source: American Community Survey.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    Juvenile JusticeDurham made up 16% ofthe regions total youthpopulation in 2007, but28% of the regionalprobation population.

    Source: North Carolina State Bureau of Investigation.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    Social Factors:Youth Mortality

    Durham was the onlycounty in the region inwhich assaults surpassed

    accidents as the leadingcause of death foryouth.

    Selected Causes of Death for YouthAges 15-24, 2005-2007 Period

    32.4%

    52.2%

    8.8%11.2%

    44.1%

    18.7%

    14.7%

    17.9%

    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    30.0%

    40.0%

    50.0%

    60.0%

    Durham Research Triangle

    Accident

    Self Harm

    Assault

    Other

    Source: North Carolina State Center for Health Statistics.

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    Critical Factor Analysis

    Social Factors:Youth Pregnancy

    Durham County hasthe highest regionalpregnancy rate. 93.2

    83.4

    78.5

    114.1

    104.9

    91

    0.0

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    100.0

    120.0

    Durham Raleigh MSA Research Triangle

    Pregnancy Rates per 1000

    Women (All Races)

    Pregnancy Rates per 1000

    Women (Minority)

    Pregnancies per 1000 Women 15-24,2005-2007 Period

    Source: North Carolina State Center for Health Statistics.

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    Number of Disconnected Youth

    3,672 disconnected youth are the equivalent of:

    40% of high school students in Durham Public Schools

    47% of the students in Durham Techs curriculum programs

    57% of the undergraduate population at Duke

    61% of the undergraduate population at NCCU

    136% of the capacity of the Durham Performing Arts Center

    147% of the capacity of the Durham Bulls Athletic Park, or 1,200

    more youth than would fit into park

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    A Framework for Strategic Action

    How Durham Can Reengage 3,672 Disconnected Youth andPrevent Additional Disconnection

    Goal One: Promote Educational Attainment

    - Multiple Pathways to Graduation

    - Credit Recovery Options

    Goal Two: Develop Workforce Connections

    - Expand Access to Entry-Level Jobs and Career Ladders

    - Transitional Jobs for Out-of-School Youth

    - Summer Jobs for In-School Youth

    Goal Three: Support Youth in Transition from Criminal Justice and Foster Care

    - Provide Alternatives to Criminal Prosecution

    - Create transitions to college

    Goal Four: Develop City/Region-Wide Systems

    Source: National League of Cities.

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    Where Are We Now?

    Lack of systemic response to disconnection- Community-based efforts overwhelmed by magnitude of problem

    - Gaps in critical services and poorly integrated programs

    Underdeveloped workforce connections- Expand Access to Entry-Level Jobs and Career Ladders

    - Transitional Jobs for Out-of-School Youth

    - Summer Jobs for In-School Youth

    Criminal justice as a default solution

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    Durham Connected by 25

    Key Lessons from Portland, Oregon

    After the August 2008 publication ofDisconnected Youth: An Ominous

    Problem Hidden in Plain Sight, MDC convened a group of Durham citizens to

    begin discussing solutions to the problem, resulting in a learning tour of

    Portland, a city nationally recognized for prevention and re-engagement of

    disconnected youth.

    Key lessons from Portland:

    1. Collective leadership and accountability for results

    2. Data-driven change: cohort study and inventory of services

    3. Wide variety of educational options and multiple pathwaysto graduation

    4. Systemic action

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    Durham Connected by 25

    Progress to Date

    Durham Connected by 25 is a collaborative composed of concerned Durham

    citizens that aims to implement evidence-based initiatives to close the gaps in

    Durhams network of programs and services for youth. Our members are

    working to address gaps in services:

    Gateway to College: Focuses on the gap in services for youth in Durham 16 to 18years old, letting them enter Durham Tech to complete a high school credential

    while simultaneously working toward a college degree

    Young Adult Basic Education: Remedial education for young adults who are not able

    to test into Durham Techs Gateway to College program or other GED programs in

    the city; after increasing their skills, these students move on to another program

    East Durham Childrens Initiative: Based on the successful Harlem Childrens Zone,

    this neighborhood-level program intends to provide one of Durhams poorest

    areas with services supporting youth from birth through college

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    Durham Connected by 25

    Join Us

    You can help Durham Connected by 25 by:

    - Advocating for and raising awareness of disconnected

    youth.

    - Supporting action on the issue in Durham through policyand systems change.

    - Committing to address employment by creating summer

    jobs and work pathways for youth.

    - Funding DCx25 to provide leadership on the issue throughadvocacy, coordination, and resource development to

    draw more federal and national foundation resources into

    Durham.

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