disaster sea dali english version2
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 1
Disaster Risk Management inDisaster Risk Management in
SouthSouth --East AsiaEast AsiaCould a BhopalCould a Bhopal --like accident happen again ?like accident happen again ?Alex Dali
Managing PartnerRisk Management division
ATLASCOPE SARL Paris, France
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 3
Natural disasters
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 4
Man-made
disasters
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 6
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 7
Source : CRED database, Munich Re R&D/Geo
Number of people killed or injured after a natural disaster
1,4763,04234,301
332,663
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
European Union South-east Asia
KilledInjured
2,000
300,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Katrina -USA-August2005
Tsunami Asia-December2004
Source : ReliefWeb
Between 1990 and 2000
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 8
Cost of damage by natural disasters
53.8 billions
27.8 billions
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.025-35%insured
1-2%insured
billions
115 b
35 b
146 b
4 b
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Katrina -USA-August2005
Tsunami Asia-December2004
Insured
Non-insured
Source : CRED database, Munich Re R&D/Geo Source : ReliefWeb
Between 1990 and 2000
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 9
Number of industrial accidents around the
world between 1990-2005
N or t hE a s t
We s t
C e nt r a lSouth
N o r t h
C e n t r a l
South
Car ibbeanE a s t
S o u t h - e a s t
South
West
We s
E U
N o n - E U
R u s s i a n Fe d .
O c e a n i a0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Africa America As ia Euro p e Oceania
2-Singapore3%
20-Philippines29%
5-Malaysia7%
20-Indonesia29%
22-Thailand32%
EU-89 accidents SEA- 69 accidents
17-Others19%
6-Belgium7%
20-France23%
12-Germany12%
7-Italy8%
8-NL9%
11-Spain12%
9-UK10%
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 10
Hazardous substances Deaths Injuries Place and date
Methyl isocyanateGunpowder
LPG explosionFireworksAmmoniaFlammable chemicalsGunpowderChemical reactionEthylene
Potassium chloratePetrolCarbonyl chlorideGas explosion
>25009
3540
75
6315
9
35714
>200 00059
156030
>2005225
6
10412
101>1 ?
India, 1984Korea, 1987
India, 1990Malaysia, 1991Bangladesh, 1991Thailand, 1991China, 1993China, 1993China, 1997
Thailand, 1999Thailand, 1999Thailand, 2000Malaysia 2002
Major industrial accidents in Asia
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 12
APELLPROCESS
APELLAPELLPROCESSPROCESS
INTEGRATEDINTEGRATED
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYEMERGENCYEMERGENCYRESPONSERESPONSE
PLANPLAN
Local Government
Industry
Community
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 13
Officials
64
6
39
6
47
13 91
26
111
28
120
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Others
No response Respondants
IndustryInstitutes
Methodology and responses
99 211
133
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 14
Ammonia Principal use : Agriculture (80%)
FertilizerProduction of ureaAnti-fungal agent
Commercial use :
NOx reduction and SOx neutralization
Production of explosivesRefrigerantSewage treatment plants
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 15
Chlorine ( Applications in SE Asia )
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
V C M P u l
p & P a p e
r T D
I
P o l y c a
r b o n a t e
S y n t h e s
i s H C l
O t h e r s
H y p o c h l o r i t
e
W a t e r
t r e a t m e n t
T i t a n i u m
d i o x i d e
A l l y l d i o x i d
e
ThailandSingapore
Philippines
Malaysia
Indonesia
VCM for PVCproduction
Bleaching inpulp & paper,mainlyIndonesia
Total dailyintake -
Polycarbonate forresins
HCL synthesismainly in Thailand Water
treatment,mainly inThailand
Source : TECHNON
In 1,000 metric tons year 2000
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 16
240
60
27
27
22121110
117
258
1514
4186
6
265
20
94
229
30
18
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand
Allyl dioxide
Tita nium dioxide
Wat er t reat ment
Hypochlorite
Others
Synt hesis HCl
Polycarbonate
TDI
Pulp & Pa per
VCM
Chlorine ( countries in SE Asia )
Source : TECHNON
In 1,000 metric tons year 2000
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 17
West European chlorine production in 2001totalled 9.26 million tonnes in 84 plants
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 18
Key indicators in the oil industry
1445
930
612
374
25
389
0 125 136
713
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Mb/d
Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand
Oil production Refining capacity
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 19
Estimation of the level of riskAmmonia
1 tonne released up to 4000 metres in 90 seconds
LPG
100 tonnes created a BLEVE at 680 metres
600 tonnes created a BLEVE at 1200 metres
Chlorine
1 tonne released up to 5800 metres in 90 seconds
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 20
R e l e a s e S c e n a r i o s f o r Am m o n
i a
R e f r i g e r a t i o n S y s t e m s
Leaking valve packing/flange/seal Vessel overfill/relief due to solenoid failure Catastrophic vessel failure Outdoor/rooftop equipment corrosion/failure Level bridle/sight glass failure Relief valve failure Improper isolation of liquid full piping/equipment
Condenser tube corrosion/failure Forklift accident- indoor or outdoor Oil draining error
Fitting/piping failure due to liquid-hammer Cleaning cycle error-overpressure Transfer hose failure during unloading
Improper hose connection during unloading
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 21
PVC production and its risks
Salt1050 Kg
H2190 m3
Caustic680 kg
Ethylene250 kg
Ethylene230 kg
Chlorine620 kg EDC
860 kgVCM
1000 kg
PVC1000 kg
Chlorine unit EDC unit VCM unit PVC unit
=> Organochlorine=> HCl, phosgene => Organochlorine
Electricity1920 KWh
ExplosionFireToxic gases
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 22
Oil & Gas
Boiling-Liquid-Expanding-VaporExplosion (BLEVE)
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 23
Indonesia Locations O&G and Chlorine
Gas processing plant
Refining center
Petrochemical center
Chlorine producers
Bojonegara- Anyer
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 24
Bangkok
Chiang Mai
Rayong
ThailandLocations at risk
Nakhon Pathon
Samut Sakhon
Samut PrakarnChonburi
Cha-choengsoaPathumthani
Nonthaburi
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 25
Chlorine products in the Philippines
LBataan.complex
Philippines Resins
MBatangas(100.000 p.)
MVCDepot-Hypo
HBislig150.000 p.
PICPpaper
MDavao city(1,5 million p)
MVCDepot-Cl2
HPasig cityManila
Ajinimoto (MSG)
MBulacan(60.000 p.)
InchemHypochlorite
HNorth harbor -Manila
MVCstock-Cl2
MLagunaTechno park
MVCHypochlorite
LBataan.complex
BataanPP
HLlegan city,(330.000 p.)
MVCChlorine
Levelof risk
LocationConsumers
Levelof risk
LocationProducers
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 26
Land-use planning in the Philippines
Batangas
Limay
LagunaTechno
park
ChlorineInchemfactory
SHELL, CALTEX
Petrochemical storage -
Pandacan
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 27
The case of Singapore
O&G : JurongIsland and Tuas
Chlorine : Yes !
Ammonia : No ?
PVC
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 28
MLHLLInformationdisclosure
HLHLMPublic awareness
MLMLLPublic participation
MMHLMAccessibility to
information
Thailand
Singapore
Philippines
Malaysia
Indonesia
Openness towards information
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 29
Explosionleaves three
dead
Factoryworkersstruck bytoxic gas
leak 55 needtreatmentafter inhalingfumes
Toxicgasfactoryorderedto closeChemical
drums foundnear school
B50 billion needed to manage hazardous waste
CHEMICAL EXPLOSION
Villagers demand justice
EXPLOSION
Formalde
hydesmelllingersoverestate
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 30L-MHLMLOHS standard
L-MHLMLand use planning
LM-HEIA audit
MLRisk managementcodes
L-MHLL ?Pollution prevention
LHL-MMLLegal enforcementM-HHLM-HLLegal framework
MHLMLFinancial resources
Thailand
Singapore
Philippines
Malaysia
Indonesia
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 31
Level of prevention in the industry
LMLMLEmergency responseHLHMHTraining needs
MLMMMImproper storage of products
MLMMHMisdeclaration
M-LHLMLPrevention program
Thailand
Singa
pore
Philippines
Malaysia
Indonesia
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20 th September 2007 ATLASCOPE sarl . Paris, France Slide No 32
Training needs
HighMediumThailand
MediumLowSingapore
HighHighPhilippines
MediumMediumMalaysia
HighHighIndonesia
Mitigation andrehabilitation
Prevention andpreparedness
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