digital transformation in thepublic sector · automation eu wide employment accountability...
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Digital Transformation in the Public Sector
SeizingthedigitaladvantageforgovernmentDinand Tinholt – VicePresidentCapgeminiConsulting
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CapgeminiConsultingconducteda3-yearresearchprogramme withtheMITtounderstandtheimpactofdigitalinorganisations
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400Organisations 30Countries5Continents
200publicly-tradedfirms
C-levelexecutives11Industry-specificbenchmarks
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Whatisdigitalmaturity?
DigitalIntensity TransformationManagementIntensity
Technology-enabledinitiativesin:• CustomerExperience• InternalOperations
Leadershipcapabilitiesincluding:• Vision• Governance• Engagement• IT-BusinessRelationships
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Fourlevelsofdigitalmaturity
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Digitalinten
sity
Transformationmanagementintensity
CONSERVATIVES•Overarchingdigitalvisionexists,butmaybeunderdeveloped
•Fewadvanceddigitalfeatures,buttraditionalcapabilitiesmaybe
•Stronggovernanceacrosssilos•Takingactivestepstobuilddigitalskillsandculture
BEGINNERS•Managementskepticalofthebusinessvalueofadvanceddigitaltechnologies
•Maybecarryingoutsomeexperiments
• Immaturedigitalculture
FASHIONISTAS•Manyadvanceddigitalfeatures(suchassocial,mobile)insilos
•Nooverarchingvision•Underdevelopedcoordination•Digitalculturemayexistinsilos
DIGIRATI•Strongoverarchingdigitalvision•Goodgovernance•Manydigitalinitiativesgeneratingbusinessvalueinmeasurableways
•Strongdigitalculture
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DIGIRATI
CONSERVATIVES
FASHIONISTAS
BEGINNERS
Digitalmaturityvarieswidely
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+6% +9%
-4% -10%
Basketofindicators:• Revenue/Employee• FixedAssetTurnover
RevenueGenerationEfficiency
-11% +26%
-24% +9%
Basketofindicators:• EBITMargin• NetProfitMargin
Profitability
-12% +12%
-7% +7%
Basketofindicators:• Tobin’sQRatio• Price/bookratio
MarketValuation
Digitally-matureorganisationshavesignificantlybetterfinancialperformanceRevenuegeneration,profitabilityandmarketvaluation
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Someindustriesaremorematurethanothers…
Banking
ConsumerPackagedGoods
Insurance
Manufacturing
Pharmaceuticals
Retail
HighTechnology
Telecoms
Travelandhospitality
Utilities
Average industrymaturity:
PublicSector
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Digitalgovernmentshavefocusedtheirdigitalinitiativesoninternaloperationsattheexpenseofmoreinvestmenttoenhancethedigitalcitizenexperience
Copyright©201
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iniC
onsultingandMIT-CDB.AllRightsReserved
Cross-channel,self-service,personalizedexperience
(Figure6)
Clientunderstandingthroughdigitalchannels
(Figure7)
Clientanalytics(Figure8)
Useofmobilechannelswithclients
(Figure9)
Useofsocialmediawithclients
(Figure10)
Workerenablement(Figure11)
Processdigitization(Figure12)
Self-service/personalizedexperience
Citizenunderstandingthroughdigitalchannels
Citizenanalytics
UseofmobilechannelswithcitizensUseofsocialmediawith
citizens
Workerenablement
ProcessDigitization
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Europeangovernmentsaremovingintherightdirection
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FordetailedinsightsontheEUE-GovernmentBenchmark,see:
https://ec.europa.eu/digital-single-market/en/news/eu-egovernment-report-2016-shows-online-public-services-improved-unevenly
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Whatabout
OpenDatabenefits?
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€325 BillionDirectMarketSize2016– 2020fortheEU28+
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OpenDatahasbothadirectandanindirectimpactontheeconomy
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Indirecteconomicbenefitsarei.e.newgoodsandservices,timesavingsforusersofapplications
usingOpenData,knowledgeeconomygrowth,increasedefficiencyinpublic
servicesandgrowthofrelatedmarkets.
DirectbenefitsaremonetisedbenefitsthatarerealisedinmarkettransactionsintheformofrevenuesandGrossValueAdded(GVA),thenumberofjobsinvolvedinproducingaserviceorproduct,andcostsavings. 73%
27%
>€1.7BninsavingsinPublicAdministration
>2,549hourswastedfindingparking
>16%lessenergyused
>25,000JobscreatedinOpenDatain2020
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OpenDatamattersbecauseitrepresentvalueforbusinesses,citizensandpublicadministrations… itisthefoundationofbeinga“smart”nation/city/region…
Geospatial
25.8%
Statistical
27.3%
Companies
19.5%
Top 3 Open Data domains re-used most
Clear popularity of three types of Open Data domainsDomains expected to have the highest economic impactMore data on companies requested most
Transport
Regions & Cities
Environment
Population & Societiy
Top 4 combinations of Open Data categories
Regions & Cities data is often combined with the other 3 categoriesOn average companies use 5 categories of Open Data36% of the companies aggregate the data, regardless of its nature
St
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TheoverallOpenDataMaturityscoresin2016amongsttheEU28+countrieshaveincreasedsignificantlycomparedto2015
More advanced featured on portals, better Open Data policies in place, more activities to stimulate re-use
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The European Data Portal - facts & figures -
745,806datasets
Metadatain24Languages
34countries73 catalogues
www.europeandataportal.eu
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ThenextevolutioninE-GovernmentisanArtificiallyIntelligentGovernment
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Artificial intelligence is technology which allows digital systems to perform one or more of the following tasks:
Source:Capgemini
The ability to execute orders (set certain processes in motion)
The ability to detect patterns and recognize trends
The ability to watch and record key data
The ability to listen, read, talk, write and respond to users of the AI solution
The ability to store and find information
First generation AI (AI 1.0) has the ability to perform one or two of the abovementioned tasks
Second generation AI (AI 2.0) has the ability to perform three or four of the abovementioned tasks
Third generation AI (AI 3.0) has the ability to perform all six abovementioned tasks
AI Generations
Password reset
CCTV
Order placement
IoTsensors
Chatbots Voicebots
Cloud software
Data crawlers
Algorithms Big data analytics
Act
Analyse
Monitor
Interact
Remember
Examples
Anticipate The ability to pre-emptively recognize patterns and issues Predictive maintenance
Video games
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AI is able to give itself orders and create processes from scratch
AI machines are aware of their existence and the fact that they are not human
CurrentlyAI3.0isthemostadvancedtechnology,butmorecomplexAIwithlargerpotentialvaluewillbecreatedinthefuture
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Cognitive analysis
Conscious process
Process automation
Learning
ReasoningAI proactively provides new and innovative insights by being able to analyse and learn from its previous actions
AI is able to adapt to and learn from changes in the automated process
AI is able to automate processes that are routine and do not change over time
Emotional awarenessAI machines acknowledge that humans feel emotions and incorporate this input in their decision making, causing a sense of moralityImagination
Feeling
AI 6.0
Complexity
AI 4.0
AI 5.0
AI 1.0
Pote
ntia
l Val
ue
AI 2.0
AI 3.0Currently the most advanced AI technology
Self awareness
Creating
Knowing
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Artificialintelligencewillhaveaprofoundpositiveimpactonsociety,buttheimplementationofAIalsoawakesconcerns
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Benefits
§ Automation of processes increases production rate
§ Rational decision making with help of AI
§ Complex tasks can be simplified with support of AI
Productivity gains
§ Complex customer analytics allow businesses to better understand customers’ needs
§ Prediction-based maintenance scheduling
Service personalization
Efficiency gains§ Improved logistics through supply
chain optimisation§ Inventory optimisation allows
business to better serve customers§ Waste reduction because of
maximised use of resources
Product quality§ Advanced quality can be assured
because of AI§ Production can be customised§ Software bugs can be tracked down
Business driven Customer drivenConcerns
Low income jobs have a 83% probability of automation, opposed to 4% for high income
jobs
Inequality
It is expected 1.86 million FTEs will be displaced in the public sector due to
automation EU wide
Employment
AccountabilityAutonomous AI has the ability to draw its
own conclusions and act upon it. Potentially, resulting in unforeseen and undesirable
outcomes
AI may be reinforcing discrimination and segmentation when trying to predict the
future by looking at the past
Biases
Economicconcerns
Ethical concerns
Copyright © 2017 Capgemini Consulting. All rights reserved.
AIpresentsanopportunityforthepublicsectortoreachtheirgoalsthroughamultitudeofAIusecases
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→ The government is the largest employer in most countries. Implementing artificial intelligence has not only the potential to radically change how this organization operates, but also support and broaden public sector goals. Especially since the public sector holds some of the most valuable data.
Protection of citizens
Maintaining societal stability
Providing general welfareHealthcare
EducationSocial welfare
AgricultureFinancial regulation
Public safety
Transport/Infrastructure
DefenceJustice
Goals public sector Department (not exhaustive)
Energy & sustainability
Use cases
Source: P.R. Openshaw (2014), Promises Of The Constitution: Yesterday Today Tomorrow
AI farming system that uses machine learning to constantly monitor an plant growth to maximize a farm’s productivity3
Equipping trains sensors that can monitor the tracks, be more efficient, and operate with less downtime4
Natural language processing and machine learning to analyse hundreds of data points to create crime heat maps1
AI monitoring of data about firefighters’ environments to detect danger and help them recover from disorientation2
1) Hitachi; 2) AUDREY; 3) Moterleaf; 4)Autohaul; 5) Autoscope; 6) Microsoft Tacoma
AI neural network to rapidly analyse blood samples in the field and diagnose malaria with 90 percent accuracy5
Analysing student data to predict which students are at risk of dropping out and in need of early intervention6
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AcrossvariousgovernmentdepartmentsAIhasbeenimplementedwithsecondgenerationAIbeingthemostadvanced
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The Cincinnati Fire Department has developed an AI system that is able to classify emergency calls based on their urgency
Public safety
Enfield London Borough Council implemented an virtual agent to improve its service delivery
Transport/Infrastructure
The Australian Taxation Office (ATO) implemented a virtual agents to answer their customers most frequent questions.
Social welfare
The Ministry of Justice (MOJ) used an AI system to sort and classify millions of documents in a case
Justice
The NHS used Google deep mind to analyse and diagnose patients with a rare eye disease
Healthcare
AI 1.0
AI 2.0
AI 3.0
AI 1.0
AI 2.0
AI 3.0
AI 1.0
AI 2.0
AI 3.0
AI 1.0
AI 2.0
AI 3.0
AI 1.0
AI 1.0
AI 1.0
AI 2.0
AI 3.0
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AI 1.0
Pote
ntia
l Val
ue
Complexity
AI 2.0
AI 3.0
Currently,thepublicsectorhasadoptedAImainlyforitsabilitytoautomateprocesseswithoutmakinguseofitspredictiveanalyticcapabilities
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§ Governments have the capabilities to implement AI solutions
§ Benefits of AI overrule the concerns
§ AI creates significant productivity gains and efficiency gains
Takeaways
Improvement opportunities§ Scalability, as most AI project are targeted at a
specific process
§ Security concerns due to sensitive data (health, financial, among others)
§ Long implementation period of AI solutions should be shortened
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ByimplementingmoreadvancedAIindifferentdepartmentsofgovernmenthigherpotentialvaluecanbereached
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General public service
Health
Economic affairs
Education
Public order and safety
Social Protection
Defence
Recreation, culture & religion
Environment protection
Housing & community amenities
Functions of government
Greatest AI impact
Complexity
AI 4.0
AI 5.0
AI 1.0
PotentialValue
AI 2.0
AI 3.0
AI 6.0