deustche case 11

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    Deutsche

    Brauerei

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    Company Background

    Ukraine Market Expansion

    Sales and Marketing

    Strategies Issues

    Recommendations

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    Name says it all

    GERMAN BREWERY

    Family owned since 1737 Located close to Munich

    Produces two varieties of award

    winning beer Greta Schweitzers recent

    appointment to the board of directors

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    Capacity 1.2 million hectoliters per year

    equipment acquired in 1994 to replace

    equipment destroyed in a fire German Market

    an independent distributor networksupplies retail customers with inventory

    purchased from Deutsche

    Ukraine Market same type of distributor network, but

    Deutsche holds substantial part of theinventory

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    1998 - the Shweitzers decide toexpand into Ukraine market: Excess Capacity in Germany

    recent dissolution of the USSR

    1995 1996 Ukrainian governmentmarket reform and privatization

    Larger population (52 million) Strategic location within Central and

    Eastern Europe

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    2000 Performance Oleg Pinchuk, sales and marketing

    manager, hired in 1998 1.173 million

    hectoliters sold in Germany and Ukraine close to capacity

    Sales and Profit: approximately EUR92.1million and EUR2.9 million respectively

    Ukraine customers account for 28% ofsales by early 2001

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    Initially plan was to use thesame distribution structure

    Pinchuks strategy in Ukraine distributorships

    Relaxed credit terms from 2%,10net 40 to 2%,10 net 80

    Plans to extend to net 90 days(with 2% allowance for bad debt)

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    Pinchuk also suggests: Give opportunity to those

    entrepreneurs turned away by banks

    EUR7 million investment for new plantand equipment in 2001

    EUR6.8 million investment forwarehouse and distribution center inUkraine in 2002

    Increase inventories held by Deutschefor Ukraine distributors

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    Financial Plan

    Stock Dividend Declaration

    New Compensation Plan for OlegPinchuk

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    Current Financials 1.173 million hectoliters sold in Germany

    and Ukraine

    Sales and Profit: approximately EUR92.1million and EUR2.9 million respectively

    Ukraine customers account for 28% ofsales by early 2001

    Note: Capacity available at entry, noadditional capital invested

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    Actual Sal

    $0

    $20,000

    $40,000

    $60,000

    $80,000

    $100,000

    1997 1998 1999 2000

    (in

    1,

    000's)

    Sales: German

    Sales: Ukraine

    Total Sales

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    Pinchuks formula for determiningthe required marginal investment(aka investment in accounts

    receivable)

    IAR = (VC/Sales) x Change in AR

    Projected Return on MarginalInvestment 123% in 2001

    132% in 2002

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    Pinchuks Analysis re: Return onInvestment Assumes fixed costs have been covered

    ROI = After-tax Profit/IAR

    Additional investment in fixed assets Increase in Ukraine inventories

    Allowance for bad debt

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    Deutsche BrauereiReturn on Investment Projections (in 1,000s)

    Pinchuk Revised

    2001 2002 2001 2002

    Sales 37479 48722 37479 48722

    Change in Sales 11631 11244 11631 11244

    Variable costs (7752) (7494) (7752) (7494)

    Contribution on Marginal Sales 3879 3750 3879 3750

    Taxes on Marginal Contribution (1358) 1312 (1358) (1312)

    Marginal After-tax Profit 2521 2437 2521 2437

    Variable Costs/Sales 67% 67% 67% 67%

    Change in Accounts Receivable 3074 2772 3074 2772

    proposed investment in fixed assets n/a n/a (7000) (6800)

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    Proposed quartlery EUR698,000 (2.8million for 2001 (projected))

    Traditional 75% dividend payout

    Rapid sales growth does not alwayspay off in terms of more profits ordividends

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    2000 compensation EUR81,440:

    Base Salary EUR40,040

    plus EUR41,440 (.5% on sales increase

    over 1999)

    5 distributorships, 211 customeraccounts on small budget and

    increasing sales Proposed Increase:

    Base Salary EUR48,000

    Plus .6% of annual sales increase in

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    Financial Plan

    Slow down Ukraine expansion

    Sales growth rate is increasing faster

    than Asset growth (see RatioAnalysis)

    Capacity available in 1998 but hascaught up quickly

    Avoid borrowing due to increasingdebt/equity and debt/total capital(see Ratio Analysis)

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    Reduce dividend and retain more of theearnings to avoid borrowing

    Pinchuks focus should be redirected to

    collections (tighten credit to Ukrainedistributors), profits and efficient use ofassets

    Increase Pinchuks base salary New base salary EUR44,000 plus bonus

    of 1.5% of net earnings

    Focus on profit instead of sales

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