department of energy office of science hep fy08 budget status and issues robin staffin precrb...
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Department of Energy
Office of Science
HEP FY08 Budget HEP FY08 Budget Status and IssuesStatus and Issues
Robin StaffinpreCRB Discussion
April 4 2006
Department of Energy
Office of Science
HEP Priorities FY08 and HEP Priorities FY08 and beyond beyond
• Support current world-leading U.S. user facilities:– Tevatron Collider through 2009, and NuMI/MINOS through
2010– Sustain B-factory to run as long as scientifically competitive,
but no later than 2008
• Develop new facilities in targeted areas that will establish a U.S. leadership role in these areas in the coming decade: – Enable U.S. researchers to take leading roles in LHC physics – Support the Joint Dark Energy Mission with NASA and
explore options for ground-based dark energy experiments with NSF
– Invest in neutrino initiatives to address outstanding questions:
• EvA/NOvA and reactor neutrino experiments– Invigorate R&D for International Linear Collider
• Restore core research and long-term R&D activities
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceHEP Highest Priority : ILCHEP Highest Priority : ILC
• The proposed International Linear Collider (ILC) is HEP’s highest priority.
• The Department has expressed its interest in siting the ILC at Fermilab, should it be built and the United States be chosen as the host country.
• The out-year budget profile includes support for technology R&D activities aimed at technical design goals while reducing project risk and cost– R&D profile is much improved vs. FY07 but still lags behind
Europe – Will support an international decision-making process near
the end of this decade. • A future decision to proceed with construction rests on two
conditions: – the ILC is deemed a priority and affordable by its
international partners; and– the anticipated new science at the ILC is supported by
clear physics results at the LHC.
Department of Energy
Office of Science
High Energy Physics 5-year High Energy Physics 5-year budgetbudget
• User Facility Operations includes Tevatron/NuMI and B-factory operations and support
• Construction is the Electron Neutrino Appearance (EνA) experiment
• Research is everything else
B/A (dollars in thousands)
FY 2006 Approp.
FY 2007 Request
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011
User Facility Operations309,139 308,647 277,000 241,400 215,000 215,000
Construction —— 10,300 18,900 51,200 43,500 26,100
Research 407,555 456,152 489,100 517,400 631,500 733,900
Total, HEP 716,694 775,099 785,000 810,000 890,000 975,000
Department of Energy
Office of Science
HEP Outyear Trends by HEP Outyear Trends by ActivityActivity
HEP Outyear Trends
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R&D and New Initiatives
Const and MIEs
Facilities and Support
Core Research
Other
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceOverarching IssuesOverarching Issues
• The HEP program in 2010-2015 is a combination of:– LHC (including upgrades)– Neutrinos (MINOSEvA, Reactor Nu, Double Beta
Decay?…)– Dark Energy and Dark Matter – ILC R&D construction?
• Is this a “leadership” program? • Does it provide enough opportunities for
students? For the rest of the community?• If ILC does not happen, what then?
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceOutyear HEP ProgramOutyear HEP Program
FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016Tevatron Collider
B-factory
NuMI/MINOSNumI/EvA
Reactor NeutrinoDouble Beta Decay
LHCLHC Upgrade
ILC
JDEMGround-based Dark Energy
LSST Dark Matter Expt
R&D PED ConstPlanned
OpsOptional
Ops
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceFY08 Issue: ILC R&DFY08 Issue: ILC R&D
• ILC R&D and pre-construction budget has evolved from a “technically-driven” one with construction start in 2011-2 to a budget-driven one with construction start in 2013-4– Partly due to overall SC budget constraints– Also partly due to OMB/OSTP “optics” constraints
• See following slides– Shortfall relative to technically-driven schedule is $38M in
FY08 [FY08 ILC R&D budget is $75M vs. est. need of $113M]• Most of shortfall is in ramp-up of US industrialization effort
• International partners/competitors (Europe, Asia) are investing at least this much in near term:– Estimated European FY08 expenditure: $130M
• Includes test facilities and industrialization– Japanese effort is ~comparable to U.S. plan (no detailed #s
yet); plus growing efforts in Korea, China, India• Impact of shortfall is that we will not be ready in time with
industrially-produced components that can verify technical readiness
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceNominal ILC ProfileNominal ILC Profile
ILC Profile -- Start 2011
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ILC Construction (US share, escalatedFY07 dollars)
ILC US siting studies andindustrialization
ILC Pre-construction R&D and design(US share)
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceRange of ILC ProfilesRange of ILC Profiles
ILC Profiles
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PG1 -- Start 2011
PG2 -- Start 2012
PG3 -- Start 2013
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceILC Profile SurgeryILC Profile Surgery
ILC Profile Comparison
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Ray
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Department of Energy
Office of SciencePretty Pictures from PaulPretty Pictures from Paul
• [insert here]
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceBroader Impacts of ILCBroader Impacts of ILC
• (Money makes the World go ‘round)• But SRF also has broader applications…
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceOther FY08 IssuesOther FY08 Issues
• There are other (smaller) FY08 resource issues that we are handling within the HEP Target:– Fermi RunII +$6M projected power rate increase in FY08 vs
07– Revised EvA profile (TPC was $150M, now ~$250M)– Funding for SLAC advanced accelerator R&D facility
(SABER)– Division of SLAC GPP and maintenance activities (with BES,
TBD)• To solve these problems we had to make priority decisions:
– Slowed recovery of core research and R&D programs– Stretched-out or deferred dark energy initiatives– Drop or find other funding sources for small neutrino
experiments– Dropped participation in NP-led double beta decay
experiment
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceA Future without ILCA Future without ILC
• Cue the violins
Department of Energy
Office of Science““Decrement” ItemsDecrement” Items
• B-factory Operations– To generate a 1.5% SC-1 reserve, we would eliminate $10M
from FY08 SLAC Ops budget, severely reducing B-factory run time [need estimate]
– Additional reductions could be taken (up to ~$20M) but this implies significant RIFs, end of Bfactory program
• EvA/NoVA construction– Could reduce funding profile for EvA construction (up to
$20M)– Consistent with “wait and see” approach on ILC– Incurs schedule delay, risks some loss of competitiveness
with respect to Japanese experiment • Core Research and R&D
– Hold at FY07 dollars (-$15M)– Inadequate to fully cover research needs of both Tevatron
and LHC while closing out B-factory analysis– No funding for small but important efforts in: dark energy,
neutrinos, advanced accelerator R&D (SABER)
Department of Energy
Office of Science
backupsbackups
Department of Energy
Office of ScienceFY08/Outyear IssuesFY08/Outyear Issues
Construction EvA/NoVA profile is back-loaded; not much $$ available
until B-factory Ops starts to roll off in FY09 Also total cost issues; may need a lot more resources
(nominal TPC $150M; current estimate ~$200M+) Plus incremental NuMI upgrades… Front-loading profile as much as possible will reduce
cost and schedule risk Need to consider de-scope options
No other construction projects in pipeline until ILC
$ in M FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11
Nominal ProfileTPC=150M
10.3 18.9 51.2 43.5 26.1
Current EstimateTPC=210M
10 50 50 50 50