Decadal Survey Mission PlanningDecadal Survey Mission Planning

Presentation to CLARREO Workshop

Steve Volz

October 21, 2008

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AgendaAgenda

Decadal Survey Missions

Overall Decadal Survey study objectives

Mission Development Approach

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Mission Mission Description Orbit Instruments

CLARREO (NASA portion)

Solar and Earth radiation: spectrally resolved forcing and response of the climate system

LEO, Precessing

Absolute, spectrally-resolved interferometer

SMAP Soil moisture and freeze/thaw for weather and water cycle processes

LEO, SSO L-band radarL-band radiometer

ICESat-II Ice sheet height changes for climate change diagnosis

LEO, Non-SSO

Laser altimeter

DESDynI Surface and ice sheet deformation for understanding natural hazards and climate; vegetation structure for ecosystem health

LEO, SSO L-band InSARLaser altimeter

NASA Near-Term Missions (4/15 total) NASA Near-Term Missions (4/15 total)

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Mission Mission Description Orbit Instruments

HyspIRI Land surface composition for agriculture and mineral characterization; vegetation types for ecosystem health

LEO, SSO

Hyperspectral spectrometer

ASCENDS Day/night, all-latitude, all-season CO2 column integrals for climate emissions

LEO, SSO

Multifrequency laser

SWOT Ocean, lake, and river water levels for ocean and inland water dynamics

LEO, SSO

Ka-band wide swath radarC-band radar

GEO-CAPE

Atmospheric gas columns for air quality forecasts; ocean color for coastal ecosystem health and climate emissions

GEO High and low spatial resolution hyperspectral imagers

ACE Aerosol and cloud profiles for climate and water cycle; ocean color for open ocean biogeochemistry

LEO, SSO

Backscatter lidarMultiangle polarimeterDoppler radar

NASA Mid-Term Missions (5/15 total) NASA Mid-Term Missions (5/15 total)

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*Cloud-independent, high temporal resolution, lower accuracy SST to complement, not replace, global operational high-accuracy SST measurement

Mission Mission Description Orbit Instruments

LIST Land surface topography for landslide hazards and water runoff

LEO, SSO Laser altimeter

PATH High frequency, all-weather temperature and humidity soundings for weather forecasting and SST*

GEO MW array spectrometer

GRACE-II High temporal resolution gravity fields for tracking large-scale water movement

LEO, SSO Microwave or laser ranging system

SCLP Snow accumulation for fresh water availability

LEO, SSO Ku and X-band radarsK and Ka-band radiometers

GACM Ozone and related gases for intercontinental air quality and stratospheric ozone layer prediction

LEO, SSO UV spectrometerIR spectrometerMicrowave limb sounder

3D-Winds(Demo)

Tropospheric winds for weather forecasting and pollution transport

LEO, SSO Doppler lidar

NASA Late-Term Missions (6/15 total) NASA Late-Term Missions (6/15 total)

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NRC Decadal Survey RecommendationsNRC Decadal Survey Recommendations

NRC made 29 different recommendations in many areas for Earth Science

NASA is working to address the many recommendations

Within the Flight group we are addressing only a few of them DS missions Venture class development TSIS & CERES recovery Completion of current portfolio

Other ESD groups are addressing Technology development (ESTO) R&A issues Applications science

Recommendation

1 Recommendation: The U.S. government, working in concert with the private sector, academe, the public, and its international partners, should renew its investment in Earth-Recommendation: NOAA should restore several key climate, environmental, and weather observation capabilities to its planned NPOESS and GOES-R missions; namely:

2 • Measurements of ocean vector winds and all-weather sea-surface temperatures descoped from the NPOESS C1 launch should be restored to provide continuity until the CMIS

3• The limb sounding capability of the Ozone Monitoring and Profiling Suite (OMPS) on NPOESS should be restored.

4• Ensure the continuity of measurements of Earth’s radiation budget (ERB) and total solar irradiance (TSI) through the period when the NPOESS spacecraft will be in orbit by:

5Incorporating on the NPOESS Preparatory Project (NPP) spacecraft the existing “spare”

CERES instrument, and, if possible, a TSI sensor, and6

Incorporating these or similar instruments on the NPOESS spacecraft that will follow NPP, or ensuring that measurements of TSI and ERB are obtained by other means.

7• Develop a strategy to restore the previously planned capability to make high-temporal- and high-vertical-resolution measurements of temperature and water vapor from geosynchronous Recognizing the technological challenges and accompanying potential for growth in acquisition costs for HES, the committee recommends consideration of the following

8• Working with NASA, complete the GIFTS instrument, deliver it to orbit via a cost-effective launch and spacecraft opportunity, and evaluate its potential to be a prototype for the HES

9• Extend the HES study contracts focusing on cost-effective approaches to achieving essential sounding capabilities to be flown in the GOES-R time frame.Recommendation: NASA should ensure continuity of measurements of precipitation and land cover by:

10 • Launching the GPM mission in or before 2012, and

11• Securing before 2012 a replacement for collection of Landsat 7 data. The committee also recommends that NASA continue to seek cost-effective, innovative means for obtaining Recommendation: In addition to implementing the re-baselined NPOESS and GOES program and completing research missions currently in development, NASA and NOAA

12 • NOAA should transition to operations three research observations. These are vector sea-surface winds; GPS radio occultation temperature, water vapor, and electron density

13 • NASA should implement a set of 15 missions phased over the next decade. All of the appropriate low Earth orbit (LEO) missions should include a Global Positioning System (GPS) Recommendation: U.S. civil space agencies should aggressively pursue technology development that supports the missions recommended in Tables ES.1 and ES.2; plan for

14 • NASA should increase investment in both mission-focused and cross-cutting technology development to decrease technical risk in the recommended missions and promote cost

15 • To restore more frequent launch opportunities and to facilitate the demonstration of innovative ideas and higher-risk technologies, NASA should create a new venture class of low-

16• NOAA should increase investment in identifying and facilitating the transition of demonstrably useful research observations to operational use.

17 The committee endorses the recommendation of a 2006 National Research Council report that stated, “NASA/SMD [Science Mission Directorate] should develop a science strategy for

18 Recommendation: The Office of Science and Technology Policy, in collaboration with the relevant agencies and in consultation with the scientific community, should develop and

19Recommendation: Earth system observations should be accompanied by a complementary system of observations of human activities and their effects on Earth.

20Recommendation: Socioeconomic factors should be considered in the planning and implementation of Earth observation missions and in developing an Earth knowledge and

21 Recommendation: Critical surface-based (land and ocean) and upper-air atmospheric sounding networks should be sustained and enhanced as necessary to satisfy climate and

22 Recommendation: To facilitate the synthesis of scientific data and discovery into coherent and timely information for end users, NASA should support Earth science research via Recommendations:

23• Teams of experts should be formed to consider assimilation of data from multiple sensors and all sources, including commercial providers and international partners.

24 • NOAA, working with the Climate Change Science Program and the international group on Earth Observations, should create a climate data and information system to meet the

25 • As new Earth observation missions are developed, early attention should be given to developing the requisite data processing and distribution system, and data archive.

26 • NASA should increase support for its research and analysis (R&A) program to a level commensurate with its ongoing and planned missions. Further, in light of the need for a

27 • NASA, NOAA, and USGS should increase their support for Earth system modeling, including provision of high-performance computing facilities and support for scientists working

28 Recommendation: A formal interagency planning and review process should be put into place that focuses on effectively implementing the recommendations made in the present

29 Recommendation: NASA, NOAA, and USGS should pursue innovative approaches to educate and train scientists and users of Earth observations and applications. A particularly

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Michael Freilich, Director

Peg Luce, Deputy Director, Flight

Randy Friedl, Deputy Director, Science

Michael Freilich, Director

Peg Luce, Deputy Director, Flight

Randy Friedl, Deputy Director, Science

Research Flight Programs Applied Sciences

Jack Kaye, Associate Director

Lucia Tsaoussi, Deputy Associate Director

Steve Volz, Associate Director

Steve Neeck, Deputy Associate Director

Teresa Fryberger, Associate

Director

(Vacant), Deputy Associate Director

Nov. 28, 2007

Earth Science Technology Office (@

GSFC)

George Komar,Associate Director

Amy Walton, Deputy

SMD-wide Education

Stephanie Stockman, Head

1 CS Mgmt Analyst, 2 Program Support, 1 Secretary

2 IPAs

14 CS Program Scientists, 5 IPA PS, 2 Detailee PS In, 1 Detailee PS Out, 1 Secretary

6 CS Program Executives,1 IPA PE, 2 Detailees, 1 Secretary (w/Applied)

4 CS Program Officers 10 CS Technologists (badged to GSFC)

Earth Science Division OrganizationEarth Science Division Organization

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Michael Freilich, Director

Peg Luce, Deputy Director

Steve Volz, Associate Director

Steve Neeck, Deputy Associate Dir

Michael Freilich, Director

Peg Luce, Deputy Director

Steve Volz, Associate Director

Steve Neeck, Deputy Associate Dir

Flight Program ManagementFlight Program Management

ESTOIIP, AIST, ATI

R&A

Airborne Science

Applied Sciences

DevelopmentPhase A/B/C/D

OperationsMulti-Mission

Ops

ESSP Program

Ed Grigsby, PM

ESSP Program

Ed Grigsby, PM

Decadal SurveyPre-Formulation

Climate Sensors POES/GOES

NPPLDCMGPMSMAP (JPL)Glory

Terra EO-1Aqua ICESatAura QuikSCATSORCE Jason (JPL)TRMM Acrimsat (JPL)OSTM (JPL)

ICESat IIDESDynI (JPL)

CLARREO (LaRC)

Multi-Mission OpsEOSDIS

TSISCERES (LaRC)

NOAA N’GOES-O, -P

GRACE (JPL)CloudSat (JPL)

CALIPSO Venture ClassOCO (JPL)Aquarius (JPL)

ESM Program

Gil Colon, PM

ESM Program

Gil Colon, PMJPLLaRC

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SMAP & ICESat IISMAP & ICESat II

SMAP and ICESat II are the first two Decadal Survey (DS) missions the ESD and NASA will implement.

SMAP project is being conducted out of JPL, and completed its transition to Formulation in September 2008. The projected / planning launch date is now early 2013.

ICESat II project is being conducted out of GSFC, and is working to its Mission Confirmation Review in early 2009. The launch date is under study, expected between 2014 and 2016

Both missions (and all DS named missions) are directed science missions with individual budget lines. They are managed out of the Earth Systematic Missions (ESM) Program Office located at GSFC.

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CLARREO & DESDynICLARREO & DESDynI

CLARREO & DESDynI are the next Decadal Survey missions to be addressed by the ESD Both missions are directed science missions with individual

budget lines. They are managed out of the Earth Systematic Missions (ESM) Program Office located at GSFC

The CLARREO mission is led by LaRC, with GSFC support Draft level 1 requirements & initial international partnership discussions, Fall

2008 Initial mission concepts, Spring 2009, Full technology readiness assessment, MCR October 2009

The DESDynI is led by JPL, with a significant GSFC contribution Draft level 1 requirements & initial international partnership discussions, Fall

2008 Mission configuration down select, Spring 2009 Full technology readiness assessment, MCR October 2009

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What about the Venture Class?What about the Venture Class?

NRC Decadal Survey recommended a “Venture Class” line of small, cost- and schedule-constrained, competitively selected “missions” to complement the identified strategic missions Higher risk posture allowed, Class C missions, single string

instruments allowed High risk, high return demonstration technology a consideration Creative spacecraft & launch options considered

FY09 budget does allow a “Mission of Opportunity” with start in FY10 and launch NET FY14 -- with only a small amount of money

The named missions in the Decadal Survey will not be Venture Class, but will be executed through the Earth Systematic Missions Program Office Class B or Class C missions NASA certified launch vehicles 3+ year mission life, with commensurate reliability requirements High TRL for instruments required at confirmation

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Technology Readiness LevelTechnology Readiness Level

Technology Readiness

Level - (TRL)

Definition

9 Final product validated through successful mission operations (ground, airborne or space).

8 Final product in mission configuration qualified through test and evaluation

7 High-fidelity functionality and scaled form/fit demonstrated in its operational environment

6 Mid-fidelity functionality and scaled form/fit demonstrated in a relevant environment

5 Mid-fidelity functionality demonstrated in a relevant environment

5 Mid-fidelity functionality demonstrated in a relevant environment

4 Low-fidelity functionality demonstrated in laboratory

3 Analytical and/or experimental proof-of-concept demonstrated

2 Application and/or operating concept formulated

1 Basic principles observed and reported.

Low Maturity

High Maturity

TRL levels defined in

NPR 7123.1A

TRL 6 is the desired

minimum level for

integration of new

technology

TRL required fordirected missions at

Confirmation Review

TRL possible forexploratory mission at Confirmation Review

New Decadal Survey-Related IIP Awards

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Where do we expect to be by October 1, 2009?Where do we expect to be by October 1, 2009?

For each of the Near- and Mid-Term missions in the Decadal Survey: Quantitative assessment of the readiness to proceed to Formulation

(Phase A) Draft level 1 science requirements, baseline mission concept, draft formulation

authorization document, partnership evaluations, technology readiness level assessments

Mission Confirmation Review (MCR) readiness expected for CLARREO and DESDynI based on FY09 budget, but to be determined by teams’ demonstrated progress

Mission maturation plan for FY10 and beyond, through launch and ops Life Cycle Cost, independent cost and schedule estimates

Decadal Survey ProgramProgram assessment, including: Cross cutting mission analyses, constellation measurement requirements,

ground systems, platform, and ground networks

Definition of scope and implementation approach for the Venture Class of small mission opportunities

BACKUPBACKUP

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Chief Scientist (Paul Hertz)

- Lead for Research(Max Bernstein)- Lead for E/PO

(Stephanie Stockman)

Strategic Integration & Management Division

Dir. (R. Maizel-Act)Dep. (Vacant)

HeliophysicsDivision

Dir. (R. Fisher)Dep. (V. Elsbernd)

AstrophysicsDivision

Dir. (J. Morse)Dep. (R. Howard)

Associate Administrator (AA) (Ed Weiler)Deputy AA (Chuck Gay)

Deputy AA for Programs(Mike Luther)

Draft: July 22, 2008

Chief Engineer (K. Ledbetter)

Safety & Mission Assurance(P. Martin)

AAA for Strategy, Policy & International(Marc Allen)

Senior Advisor(Colleen Hartman)

Deputy AA for Management(Roy Maizel)

Resource Management Division

Dir. (R. Maizel-Act)Dep. (Vacant)

Earth Science DivisionDir. (M. Freilich)

Dep. Programs (M. Luce)Dep. Science (R. Friedl)

Applied Science (T. Fryberger)

Flight (S. Volz)

Research (J. Kaye)

Planetary ScienceDivision

Dir. (J. Green)Dep. (J. Adams)

Mars Program(D. McCuistion)

Programmatic Implementation within SMDProgrammatic Implementation within SMD

Earth Systematic MissionsProgram OfficeG. Colon, PM

Goddard Space Flight Center

Earth Science System Pathfinder(ESSP) Program Office

E. Grigsby/PMLangley Reseach Center

Decadal Survey Directed Missions

Competitively SelectedVenture Class missions

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ESD Execution of Decadal Survey MissionsESD Execution of Decadal Survey Missions

All Decadal Survey Missions concepts studies are directed by the ESD and will be managed by the Earth Systematic Missions (ESM) Program Office at GSFC

All mission development will have a study management team, led from HQ ESD by the HQ Program Scientist and Program Executive, and including representatives from ESTO, data systems, applied sciences, and the ESM program office

All members of the mission study ESD teams should be involved in all relevant study discussions, and the PS and PE are expected to participate in cross mission science and mission trades

ESTOPrimary Backup Technology

ICESat II Martin Wickland Grigsby TurnerSMAP Entin Kakar Ianson HaynesDESDynI Labrecque Wickland Volz Ambrose Bob SmithCLARREO Anderson Kakar Carson Friedl Parminder GSWOT Lindstrom Entin HaynesHyspIRI Turner LaBrecque HaynesASCENDS Jucks Emanuel TurnerGEO-CAPE Jucks Bontempi FriedlACE Maring Bontempi FriedlLIST Wickland Emanuel AmbrosePATH Kakar Maring HaynesGRACE-II LaBrecque Martin AmbroseSCLP Entin Martin AmbroseGACM Jucks Hilsenrath Friedl3D-Winds Kakar Anderson Ambrose

Bob Smith

Pasciuto

Tier 1

Tier 2

Applied Science

Black

Maiden

Bauer

Black

Maiden

Lindsay

Data Systems

Study

Tier 3

Neeck

Mission ResourcesProgram Scientist Program Executive

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NASA Hierarchy of Directives NASA Hierarchy of Directives

NPR 7120.5D - NASA Space Flight Program and Project Management Requirements governs the processes associated with formulating and implementing a new flight project

Important details for GEO-CAPE:Defines the Major Milestones Identifies all requirements for each phase of the

Project Identifies all gate products for each phaseDefines roles and responsibilities Identifies all major reviews

NPR 7120.5D - NASA Space Flight Program and Project Management Requirements governs the processes associated with formulating and implementing a new flight project

Important details for GEO-CAPE:Defines the Major Milestones Identifies all requirements for each phase of the

Project Identifies all gate products for each phaseDefines roles and responsibilities Identifies all major reviews

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Flight Project Life CycleFlight Project Life Cycle

Extracted fromNPR 7120.5D

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Mission Requirements for Pre-Phase AMission Requirements for Pre-Phase A

Headquarters Approve a Formulation Authorization Document Develop DRAFT Level 1 Requirements Conduct Acquisition Strategy Planning MeetingTechnical Activities: Develop and document preliminary mission

concepts Conduct internal Reviews Conduct Mission Concept Review Project

Planning, Costing and Scheduling Develop and document a DRAFT Integrated

Baseline, including: High level WBS Assessment of Technology Readiness Levels Assessment of Infrastructure and Workforce needs Identification of potential partnerships Identification of conceptual acquisition strategies for

proposed major procurements

KDP Readiness Obtain KDP A Readiness products Approval through the governing PMC

Development of DRAFT Level 1 Science Requirements

Support development of preliminary mission concepts

Support the assessment of Technical Readiness Levels

Identify potential partnerships

Areas the Science Community must work:

Scope of Major Pre-Phase A Activities:

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Key Pre-Phase A QuestionsKey Pre-Phase A Questions

What science MUST this mission achieve? What specific measurements? To what accuracy? What are the required data products?

What mission parameters can achieve the science? What orbit (inclination/altitude)? Which instruments? What is the baseline mission duration?

How can NASA achieve these measurements? Are there other missions required/desired to achieve

the science? Who can NASA partner with to achieve this mission?

Should be resolved ~ 12 months prior to KDP A

Should be resolved ~ 6 months prior to KDP A

Year

Notional MissionSchedule

Major Reviews

N+9 N+10N+8N N+5 N+6 N+7N+1 N+2 N+3 N+4

CDRPDRSRR PLAR

KDP A KDP B KDP C

MCR MDR SIR TRR ORR

LAUNCH

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Year

Pre-Phase APre-Formulation

Major Reviews

Phase AFormulation

Major Reviews

Phase BFormulation

Major Reviews

Phase C/DImplementation

Major Reviews

Phase EOperations

Major Reviews

N+9 N+10N+8N N+5 N+6 N+7N+1 N+2 N+3 N+4

CDR

PDR

SRR

PLAR

KDP A

KDP B

KDP C

LAUNCH

MCR

MDR

SIR TRR ORR

Notional Mission TimelineNotional Mission Timeline

NOTE: The time for each phase is considered nominal - could be

accomplished earlier