daniela jacob - unfccc · pdf filedaniela jacob schalke arena ... ¾operational center...
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Regional climate information and services
Daniela Jacob
Schalke ArenaDAPD_Welt Online_28.12.2010
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Regional Climate Information
Demand
Climate services
Services and products: 2 Examples
European and international context
First lessons learned
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Regional Climate Information
It is of utmost importance to observe climatic changes in regions(challenge for monitoring infrastructure)
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Emission Scenarios (IPCC)
Concept
Global climate change simulations (GCMs)
Regional climate change simulations (RCMs)
Regional climate change signals
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Addressing the Bandwidth of the Climate Projections
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Demand
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Electrical tower in eastern Thuringia
dpa_kreiszeitung.de 09.12.2010
Electrical tower close to MünsterSueddeutsche.de 04.12.2005
where and how often?
Product: combination analyses on ice loadsSector: infrastructure, construction sector
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Climate Services
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Linking with the Users
Climate modelling
Regional
Impact assessment
Adaptation policy
Global
Local
Earth system modellers
Statistical/ dynamic
downscaling
Impact researchers
Adaptation policy
makers
Practitioners
Climate services
Account for a diverse group of users.Distinguish between non-specialized and specialized, niche users
Public Public and Private
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Role of climate services (CS)
Climate informationCS as a facilitator, integrator, communicator and community builder
Private-Public PartnershipCS as a neutral reference for the interpretation of climate data
Operational CenterCS as an information/data provider to address the needs of private and public institutions
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Attributes of a Climate Service
Provide balanced, credible, cutting edge scientific and technical information
Engage a diversity of users in meaningful ways to ensure their needs are being met
Provide and contribute to science-based products and services to minimize climate-related risks
Strengthen observations, standards, and data stewardship
Improve regional and local projections of climate change
Identify, quantify and price the direct and indirect risksassociated with climate changes. Inform policy options
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Titel, Autor, 03.06.2011 13
Many Sectors will benefit from and contribute to Climate Services:
• Energy• Agriculture• Forestry and land management• Water management• Coastal management• Fisheries• Transport• Tourism• Trade and Commerce• Human health• Financial services and insurances• Construction and urban development• Civil protection and environmental security
Partnerships with stakeholders will have to be developed.
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Service and Products: 2 examples
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Significance und Robustness
66 % of all models 90 % of all models
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Nilson et al. (2010)
Multi-model chain to assess navigation conditions in the Rhine River
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Nilson et al. (2010): CHR report
Change in water flow of the Rhine River
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European and international context
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• The EU Global Monitoring for the Environment and Security (GMES)is developing atmospheric, ocean and land services, and is considering the development of a European Climate Service.
• The FP7-ECLISE project attempts to define what a European Climate Service should be, building on lessons learned from several EU projects (eg ENSEMBLES, COMBINE, STARDEX, MICE, CLAVIER, NeWater, ACQWA,
SAFELAND, FP6 and FP7)
• Other EU-FP7 projects and EU initiatives are developing concrete approaches towards the transfer of information to society (eg CLIMRUN,
CLIMSAVE, IMPACT2C, ClimateforCulture, Mediation, ERA Circle, IS-ENES)
• The Climate Service Center in Germany sees itself as part of a broader European Climate Service Initiative
The European Context
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JOINT PROGRAMMING INITIATIVE“Connecting Climate Knowledge for Europe”
Clik'EU
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USA• National Climate Service (NOAA)• Climate Central, Princeton• International Research Institute for
Climate and Society at Columbia Univ.
Canada• OURANOS, Montreal• Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions
(PICS), Victoria
UK• Hadley Centre• Walker Institute• Acclimatise and Willis
At the World Climate Conference‐3Geneva, 2009, WMO proposed to organize a Global Framework for Climate Services
The International Context
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First lessons learned
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1. There is a tremendous research potential distributed among research centers as well as in universities.
2. The Community is somewhat fragmented and strong interdisciplinary partnerships with strong links with economic sectors need to be developed.
3. The market for mitigation (climate protection, carbon neutrality, legal aspects) is large; it is smaller, although growing in the case of adaptation.
First Lessons Learned
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4. The scientific community is not sufficiently committed to address the needs of the stakeholders. (Curiosity vs demand driven research)
5. The public sector is not sufficiently flexible and agile to respond rapidly to the needs of the private sector
6. The private sector prefers to support small private companies
7. The information has to be given in the local/national languages in an understandable and usable way. (for day to day operations and decisions on long term investments)
First Lessons Learned
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Thank you for your attention!