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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan

DAILY SITUATION REPORT 12 JULY 2010

SAFETY AND SECURITY ISSUES RELEVANT TO SSSI PERSONNEL AND CLIENTS

Various Threat Reports were received of possible attacks in Kabul over the past few days, and the insurgent’s intent and capability to conduct attacks in the Kabul City remains elevated. There are daily Threat Reports, but the received reports are mainly generic and lacking detail. It is possible that suicide attacks and indirect fire attacks can be expected in the city, but no time frames and/or specific targets were reported. Any attack in the city can be seen as a success for the insurgents, and they will make maximum use of the propaganda value of such an attack.

MAJOR COUNTRY WIDE EVENTS

IED: 12 Jul, Paktya Province, Gardez District, Gardez-Khost Highway, km 8.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Threat Reports Received Last 5 Days

INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR PERIOD 11 JULY TO 12 JULY 2010

BOLO: 08 Jul, reportedly the following VBIEDs are in the Kabul area. 633110, 53610, 122114 and 54222. Targets are reported to be ISAF installations and convoys. No time line given.

BOLO: 11 Jul, Kabul, reportedly four insurgents infiltrated into Bini Hesar area, planning IDF attacks on GIRoA installations and Serena hotel before the Kabul Conference. The likely attack site is from Zemburek Shah Hill.

10 Jul, Howz-E-Madad District, Kandahar Province, an elevated IED threat in area on Highway 1 South.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Killed and Wounded, Captured and Arrested as per the reporting’s of the SSSI DSR.

(Kindly note that these are from the SSSI DSR and are not official statistics and may differ from those released by ISAF or other agencies and organisations.)

SECURITY INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR PERIOD 11 JULY TO 12 JULY 2010

CENTRAL REGION

Attack: 09 Jul, Ghazni Province, Khwajahuri District, a district attorney was murdered by insurgents during a small arms fire attack near his house in Qaleh-Ye Now Village. Success: COIN OP: 10 Jul, Ghazni Province, Andar District, Tangi Bala Village, during an IM operation in the village twenty one insurgents got killed. Success: COIN OP: 10 Jul, Ghazni Province, Khwajah Omari District, Markol area, an ANP patrol was ambushed by insurgents. Three ANP wounded. Three insurgents killed and two insurgents wounded.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Attack: 10 Jul, Ghazni Province, Khwajah Omari District, Noburja area, insurgents attacked an area ANP checkpoint. Demonstration: 11 Jul, Logar Province, Pol-E Alam District, at 11h00 group of 800 demonstrators staged a protest at the Governor of Logar Province’s office. The protest was staged in response to the murder of eleven local civilians by insurgents in Chamkani District. Success: IED Find: 10 Jul, Parwan Province, Bagram District, ANP found and defused one IED under a bridge in the area. IED: 09 Jul, Uruzgan Province, Chorah District, an ANSF/IM patrol was hit by an IED during an incident in Chorah Valley. One IM member killed and another wounded. IED: 10 Jul, Uruzgan Province, Deh Rawud District, Zahrak area, an IED detonated in the area. One civilian killed and one wounded. IED: 10 Jul, Uruzgan Province, Chorah District, Nyazai area, an IED detonated prematurely and killed two insurgents. Ambush: 10 Jul, Wardak Province, Sayidabad District, Dak Boghraw area, insurgents ambushed an IM convoy in the area. Two IM wounded. IED: 10 Jul, Wardak Province, Sayidabad District, Salar area, a bicycle born IED detonated close to an IM vehicle. Kidnap: 10 Jul, Wardak Province, Daymirdad District, a local civilian who is an employee of MTN Communication Company was kidnapped by insurgents from his home. Success: IED Find: 10 Jul, Wardak Province, Jalrayz District, ANP found and defused explosives in the Zewolat area. Kidnap: 10 Jul, Wardak Province, Sayidabad District, Mangalai area, reportedly road construction company employees were kidnapped by insurgents. WESTERN REGION

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Attack: 10 Jul, Herat Province, Kushk Kohnah District, insurgents attacked a PSC in the district. One local security guard wounded. Success: Cache Find: 10 Jul, Herat Province, Guzarah District, from an area near the Guzarah District Airport the ANP located and seized Five RPG rounds. NORTHERN REGION

IED: 10 Jul, Badakhshan Province, Kishim District, three ANP members were killed when their patrol vehicle was hit by an IED. Demonstration: 11 Jul, Balkh Province, Mazar-E Sharif District, at 09h30 a large group of people staged a demonstration in Mazar-E Sharif City Centre in order to voice local anger at a recent ANSF/IM operation when two security guards got killed. Kidnap: 10 Jul, Baghlan Province, Pul-e Khumri City, reportedly local nationals travelling in two Surf vehicles from the City to Balkh Province was kidnapped by insurgents. IDF Attack: 10 Jul, Baghlan Province, Pul-e Khumri City, Share Kohana area, insurgents launched an IDF attack on an area ANP checkpoint. Ambush: 10 Jul, Baghlan Province, Pul-e-Khumri City, Chashma Shar area, a local national vehicle came under attack in the area. Three civilians wounded. Ambush: 10 Jul, Baghlan Province, Balkh Highway, an IM convoy came under attack by insurgents. Five insurgents wounded. Attack: Kidnap: 10 Jul, Kunduz Province, Imam Sahib District, Satar area, eight ABP were poisoned and then attacked by insurgents. Seven ABP killed and one ABP missing.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan IED: 10 Jul, Kunduz Province, Chahar Darrah District, Pol Shanghais Village, two IEDs detonated close to an IM vehicle. IED: 10 Jul, Kunduz Province, Khan Abad District, Hot Khail area, a local national vehicle was hit by an IED. Three civilians wounded. IED: 10 Jul, Kunduz Province, Qal’ah Ye Zal District, the convoy of Governor of Emam Saheb was hit by an IED. He and one of his bodyguards were killed. Attack: 10 Jul, Kunduz Province, Imam Sahib District, a group of insurgents attacked an ANP checkpoint in the area of Satir, near the international border with Tajikistan. Six ANP members were killed. EASTERN REGION

Insurgency: 10 Jul, Kunar Province, Sarkani District, Laram Chalai area, various reports on insurgent’s intended attacks on the ANP checkpoints as well as to emplace IEDs along district roadways. Success: Arrest: 10 Jul, Nangarhar Province, Jalalabad City, an insurgent got injured when an IED detonated prematurely while emplacing it. One insurgent arrested. IDF Attack: 10 Jul, Nuristan Province, Barg-e Matal District, insurgents launched an IDF attack on the ABP District HQ and District ABP checkpoints. IDF Attack: 10 Jul, Nuristan Province, Barg-e-Matal District, insurgents launched an IDF attack on the ANP District HQ. One ANP killed and two ANP wounded.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan SOUTH EASTERN REGION

IED: 12 Jul, Paktya Province, Gardez District, Gardez-Khost Highway, km 8. It is reported that an IED detonated which had been emplaced on the shoulder of the road at the entrance to bridge#3, approximately 8km from Gardez City on the Gardez-Khost highway detonated at 08h00. No injuries reported. IED: 10 Jul, Khost Province, Manduzai District, Shodal area, a Surf vehicle of a construction company was hit by an IED. One local guard killed and one wounded. IED: 10 Jul, Khost Province, Manduzai District, Del Pora area, an ANP Ranger was hit by an IED. One ANP wounded. Attack: 10 Jul, Khost Province, Sabari District, insurgents attacked the ANP District HQ with heavy and small arms. No casualties reported. IDF Attack: 10 Jul, Khost Province, Balk District, insurgents launched an IDF attack on the ANP District HQ. IED: 11 Jul, Khost Province, Nadir Shah Kot District, Gardez-Khost Highway, km 80. It is reported that an IM vehicle patrol discovered an IED, along with a secondary IED, emplaced ivo of a causeway on the said route at approximately 14h30. The devices were destroyed by an EOD team in a controlled detonation. Attack: 10 Jul, Paktika Province, Jani Khail District, the Jani Khel ANP District HQ came under attack by insurgents.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan SOUTHERN REGION

Success: COIN OP: 10 Jul, Zabul Province, Shah Joy District, thirteen insurgents were killed during an ANSF/IM operation. Amongst the dead was an important insurgent commander, responsible for bringing foreign fighters and explosives to into Zabul Province from Pakistan. IED: 10 Jul, Zabul Province, Daychopan District, Bandoza Village, an IM vehicle was hit by an IED. One IM wounded, another IED was defused by the IM. Success: Air Strike: 10 Jul, Kandahar Province, Zharay District, Loya Adera area, during an IM conducted airstrike three insurgents got killed while they were emplacing IEDs. IDF Attack: 11 Jul, Kandahar Province, Kandahar City, at 08h00 insurgents launched three rockets towards the Sayed Toti Shrine in Police District 9. No casualties were reported. Miscellaneous: 10 Jul, Helmand Province, Nahr-E Saraj District, ANP members at two checkpoints south of Gereshk opened fire at each other for an undisclosed reason. Twelve ANP members got wounded. IED: 10 Jul, Helmand Province, Marjah District, an IM patrol was hit by an IED in the area of Kariz-E Saydi, in the north of the district. One IM member killed. Ambush: 10 Jul, Helmand Province, Nahr-E Saraj District, an IM patrol came under insurgent’s attack with small arms and RPG-fire. One IM member wounded. Attack: 10 Jul, Helmand Province, Nahr-e-Saraj District, Yak Lang area, an ANP checkpoint was attacked by insurgents. Six ANP killed and two ANP missing. IED: 10 Jul, Helmand Province, Sangin District, Nezam Din area, an ANP foot patrol was hit by an IED. One ANP and two civilians wounded.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan IED: 10 Jul, Helmand Province, Garmser District, an IED concealed on a motorcycle exploded close to the ANP District HQ. Four civilians wounded. Attack: 10 Jul, Helmand Province, Nad Ali District, Loya Hahira area, an ANP checkpoint in the area was attacked by insurgents. No casualties reported.

SPECIAL INTEREST NEWS

U.S. TROOPS FACE AFGHAN ENEMY TOO YOUNG TO KILL

Reuters By Jonathon Burch Sun Jul 11, 2010 ARGHANDAB Afghanistan

U.S. Staff Sergeant Aaron Best made no apologies as his soldiers escorted 14-year-old Ahmad, blindfolded and handcuffed, onto their outpost in southern Afghanistan for questioning.

"Don't be fooled," said Best, "I have detained so many teenagers. These fighters are getting younger and younger."

Ahmad, whose real name has been concealed to protect his identity, was picked up by a U.S. patrol along with a 15-year-old boy in Arghandab, in southern Kandahar province, one of Afghanistan's most volatile regions, because they were behaving suspiciously.

Ahmad and his friend were hiding in vegetation, observing the soldiers, when they were spotted. The boys scurried away and when Best's men finally caught up to them they tried to resist arrest, making the soldiers even more suspicious.

Both boys, along with several older detainees picked up on the patrol, tested positive for traces of ammonium nitrate on their hands, a chemical found in gunpowder and explosives. Ammonium nitrate is also found in certain fertilizers and, although they are banned in Afghanistan because they can be used to make homemade bombs, they are still used by some farmers. The detainees could simply have been farm laborers.

Ahmad and the others were kept overnight for questioning by Afghan police and released the next day to village elders who said they would vouch for them.

Whether or not Ahmad and his 15-year-old friend had been laying homemade bombs or had even fired weapons at U.S. troops before, Best's men will probably never find out, but the arrests illustrate a worrying trend reported from soldiers on the ground: that they are encountering an increasingly younger fighter.

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan "Over the last eight to nine years there has been a dynamic change in the age of fighters. Most fighters now are between 14 and 18 years-old," said Lieutenant Colonel Guy Jones, commander of 2-508th Parachute Regiment, 82nd Airborne Division, based in Arghandab.

"In 2002, fighters were 22 to 30-years-old and commanders were between 32 and 40," said Jones who is on his fourth tour in Afghanistan.

Jones pulls out a piece of paper from his pocket to illustrate his point. On the paper are the names of recently captured detainees with their photographs beside them. Their ages range from 14 to 20.

One wounded boy caught firing a weapon at U.S. forces is now recovering in hospital at the main foreign air base in Kandahar. He is only 13, said Jones.

"EMULATING THEIR GRANDFATHERS"

Jones said the young fighters were being coerced into joining the insurgency.

"These kids are looking at their elders and grandfathers as the great mujahideen, with respect, and they want to emulate them," said Jones, referring to the men who fought against the Soviet occupation during the 1980s.

"The Taliban are pressuring young fighters to fight like their grandfathers and telling them: 'Hey, be like them.'"

Whatever the reasons, it makes Best and his men wary of nearly everyone they meet on their patrol, and Afghanistan has one of the youngest populations in the world.

Each time the soldiers patrol out of their outpost in Arghandab, a white kite is hoisted up from a nearby village.

The soldiers know they have Taliban "spotters" around the area and that these are most likely children, but when they have challenged the kite fliers they claim ignorance. For the soldiers it has happened too many time to be a coincidence.

This time Staff Sergeant Best agreed with the Afghan police to let the detainees go, saying it could help build up a rapport with the community, but the platoon commander's frustration was palpable.

"At the end of the day we don't have enough evidence on them and keeping them in for another two days will only turn the village against us," he said.

"It's like you really have to catch them putting the bomb in or firing a gun at us for something to happen."

(Editing by David Fox and Alex Richardson)

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan WEATHER FORECAST

Afghanistan Weather for Tuesday 13 July 2010

Kabul Jalalabad Mazar Kandahar Herat

Clear

33° C | 20° C T- Storms

35° C | 21° C Clear

39° C | 21° C Clear

39° C | 27° C Clear

35° C | 21° C

Farah Khost Kunduz Gardez Faizabad

Clear

40° C | 26° C T- Sorms

29° C | 20° C Clear

37° C | 22° C Rain

26° C | 16° C Clear

37° C | 12° C

CALENDAR 20 Jul 10 - Kabul Conference 19 Aug 10 - National Day. 11/12 Aug-10/11 Sep 10 - Ramadan 18 Sep 10 - Parliamentary Election 08 Oct 10 - Parliamentary Election Preliminary Results Expected 30 Oct 10 – Parliamentary Election Final Results Expected 16 Nov - 17 Nov 10 - Eid-al-Adha (Feast of the Sacrifice).

Note. Muslim festivals are timed according to local sightings of various phases of the moon and the dates given above are approximations. During the lunar month of Ramadan that precedes Eid al-Fitr, Muslims fast during the day and feast at night and normal business patterns may be interrupted. Some disruption may continue into Eid al-Fitr itself. Eid al-Fitr and Eid al-Adha may last up to several days, depending on the region.

NEWS / INFORMATION

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan NATO soldiers in line of fire on weekend A NATO soldier and 11 Afghan policemen were killed in weekend Taliban attacks across the...

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Afghan civilian deaths rise, but NATO kills fewer KABUL, Afghanistan � Escalating violence in Afghanistan is now the worst since the early months of the nearly 9-year-old war, killing 1,074 civilians so far this year as international forces...

Taliban militants destroy another girls' school in FATA Islamabad, July 12 : Taliban militants on Monday destroyed another girls school by detonating explosives in Sheikh Baba area of Bajaur tribal Agency of the Federally Administered Tribal Areas...

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Strategic SSI - Afghanistan ACRONYMS: AA Anti-Aircraft AGE Anti-Government Elements (Generic term for

insurgent groups) ABP AFGHAN Border Police ADZ AFGHAN Development Zone (in Central

HELMAND around LKG) AEF AFGHAN Eradication Force ANA AFGHAN National Army ANP AFGHAN National Police ANSF AFGHAN National Security Forces ANSO AFGHAN NGO Safety Office AMF AFGHAN Militia Forces AO Area of Operations AP Anti-Personnel APC Armoured Personnel Carrier AQ Al Qaeda ASF AFGHAN Special Forces AT Anti-Tank BBRCIED Bicycle Borne Remote Controlled Improvised

Explosive Device BBIED Body Borne Improvised Explosive Device BDA Battle Damage Assessment BME Bomb Making Equipment BP Border Post CAS Close Air Support CASEVAC Casualty Evacuation CNP Counter Narcotic Police CivPop Civilian Population COIN (Ops) Counter Insurgency (Operations) CoP Chief of Police CP Checkpoint CQA Close Quarter Assassination CWIED Command Wire IED DC District Centre DDR Disarmament, Demobilisation, Reintegration DF Direct Fire DIAG Disarmament of Illegal Armed Groups EF Enemy Forces (Generic term for insurgent

groups) EOD Explosive Ordnance Disposal FOB Forward Operating Base FP Firing Point GIRoA Government of the Islamic Republic of

AFGHANISTAN GOA Government of Afghanistan GR Grid Reference (Provided in MGRS – Military

Grid Reference System) GSK GERESHK (in HELMAND) HIG HEZB-I-ISLAMI GULBUDDIN HME Home-made explosives (usually fertiliser-

based) HMG Heavy Machine Gun HQ Headquarters HVT High Value Target IDF Indirect fire (Rockets and mortars) IEC Independent Election Commission IED Improvised Explosive Device IM (F) International Military (Forces) INGO International Non-governmental Organization INS Insurgent(s) ISAF International Security Assistance Force IVO In the Vicinity Of (i.e. mil-speak for near) JEMB Joint Election Management Body JTF Joint Task Force KAF KANDAHAR Airfield KAIA KABUL International Airport KCP KABUL City Police KIA Killed in action LKG LASHKAR GAH (in HELMAND Province) LN Local National (i.e. Afghan) MCIED Motor cycle improvised explosive device MCN Ministry of Counter Narcotics MEDIVAC Medical Evacuation MG Machine Gun MIA Missing in action

MNF Multi National Forces MO Modus Operandi MOD Ministry of Defence MOI Ministry of Interior NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organisation NBC Nuclear, Biological and Chemical NBD Non-Battle Death NBI Non-Battle Injury NDA NAD-e ALI (in HELMAND Province) NFDK No Further Details Known NGO Non-Governmental Organisation NSTR Nothing Significant to Report NDS National Directorate of Security (Afghan) OEF Operation Enduring Freedom (US Operation

with a separate command structure and remit to ISAF, predominantly operating in the EASTERN region)

OP Observation Point OPCEN Operations Centre OPSEC Operational Security P2K PAKTIKA, PAKTIA & KHOWST PAK PAKISTAN PB Patrol Base PBIED Person Born Improvised Explosive Device PD Police District PEF Poppy Eradication Force PPIED Pressure plate IED PRT Provincial Reconstruction Team PSAF Precision Small Arms Fire PSC Private Security Company PSD Protective Security Detail QRF Quick Reaction Force Recce Reconnaissance RC Radio controlled / Remote controlled (as in RCIED) RL Rocket Launcher RPG Rocket Propelled Grenade RTA Road Traffic Accident SAF Small Arms Fire SAFIRE Surface-to-Air Fire SAM Surface-to-Air Missile SF Special Forces / Security Forces SIOC Security Information Operations Centre SOP Standard Operational Procedure SRA Security Risk Assessment SVBIED Suicide Vehicle Born Improvised Explosive

Device S Suicide i.e. SIED – suicide IED, SVBIED –

suicide VBIED TB TALIBAN TBD To be determined TTPs Tactics, techniques and procedures UGV Upper GERESHK Valley (HELMAND

Province) UN United Nations UN DSS United Nations Department of Safety and

Security USV Upper SANGIN Valley (HELMAND Province) UXO Unexploded Ordnance VBIED Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Device VCP Vehicle Check Point (Also, IVCP – Illegal

VCP) VOIED Victim Operated IED WB World Bank WFP World Food Program WIA Wounded in action WHO World Health Organisation