crime analysis and the critical
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Application
technical
PositionIT – October 2009 61
Crime analysis and the criticalrole of location intelligenceby Ian Broadbent, Pitney Bowes Business Insight
Crime analysis is a law enforcement profession dedicated to the identification of patterns, trends and problems
in crime and disorder. It has become an increasingly important part of policing and crime prevention and
thousands of specialist crime analysts are now employed by police forces worldwide.
Crime analysts work at all levels
in policing the study of crime,
incident, and intelligence
information. The role is to identify,
predict and forecast occurrences and
suggest solutions, effective strategies
and tactics to address crime and
disorder. Other duties include preparing
statistics, data queries and the use
of geographical information systems
(GIS) for the identification of local,
regional, national and international crime
concerns.
Effective crime analysis employs a whole
host of tools and skills, including: data
mining, crime mapping, statistics and
research methods, desktop publishing,
charting and presentation skills, critical
thinking and understanding of criminal
behaviour.
There are two main types of crime
analysis: tactical crime analysis and
strategic crime analysis. Within these
areas crime analysts are able to use
their training and skills to predict
crime, forecast future crime trends and
make predictions using statistics and
geographical information systems to
assist their organisations in decision
making, proactive enforcement and
determining how future risk and harm to
communities can be managed.
Crime analysis in practice
Crime mapping is the direct application
that comes from considering the inherent
geography in crime. It supports a
number of key processes that include:
l Responding and directing police for
service, and information collection.
Many police forces use detailed
gazetteers of addresses and
locations with computer mapping to
help them identify where a response
is needed and become consistent
in address data capture. This also
helps to solve any ambiguity over
the exact location where an incident
has happened.
l Supporting the briefing of operational
police officers by identifying crimes
and incidents that have recently
occurred in the areas they have
patrolled or are soon to patrol, and
what may happen in the future.
l Identifying hotspots for targeting,
deploying and managing responses
is crucial (see Fig.1). Additionally, it
has been used by many police forces
to help identify, target and prioritise
suitable areas for prevention
initiatives, managing risk and
reducing harm.
l Monitoring the impact of operational
initiatives and evaluation is pivotal;
this is an area where crime mapping
is extensively used to help monitor
and evaluate what has worked and
what has not.
Crime analysis is a law enforcement
function that involves systematic
analysis for identifying and analysing
patterns and trends in crime and
disorder. Information on patterns can
help law enforcement agencies deploy
resources in a more effective manner,
and assist detectives in identifying and
apprehending suspects. Crime analysis
also plays a role in devising solutions to
crime problems, and formulating crime
prevention strategies.
With the 2010 World Cup rapidly
approaching, it is pivotal that resources
are maximised and coordinated in the
most appropriate way. Often many
people from different agencies will be
involved to support security at a major
event. These include the police, fire
and rescue, ambulance service, health,
military, environment agency, as well
as utilities, transport, local and national
government, not to mention the high
profile media attention it will attract.
Consequently, effective command and
control plans need to be put in place.
Fig. 1: Identifying hotspots for targeting, deploying and managing responses is crucial.
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technicalApplication
62 PositionIT – October 2009
The prioritisation of what you are
dealing with is crucial and the setting of
prioritised lines of enquiry and gathering
as much intelligence about what has
happened is paramount while at the
same time managing risk, reducing
harm and protecting the public. The
projection of further threats needs to be
managed and exclusion areas set up to
reduce harm to members of the public.
As 85% of actions have a location
component, location intelligence is
vital in supporting the decision making
process. Location intelligence is an
investigative and preventative tool which
allows agencies to analyse and prepare
an impact assessment to develop a
planning strategy.
Location intelligence can be used:
l In the control and command centre
to coordinate agencies, provide visual
representation of an area, project
further threats.
l It can be linked to CCTV to detect
and prevent criminal activity, record
and archive video footage.
l In a public order automation system
to manage calls, identify callers
and their location, dispatch units,
coordinate units such as the Mobile
Operation Management Unit. The
mobile unit can be deployed to any
major incident. It contains radio and
satellite communications, camera
displays, connection to police
networks.
Solution for crime analysis
In recent years, crime analysis and
mapping has become an essential tool
for effective law enforcement – not only
to aid detection rates, but also to support
operational efficiency and effectiveness,
management reporting and other
enterprise-wide tasks.
Pitney Bowes Business Insight, a
provider of location intelligence solutions,
integrating software, data and services,
has recently launched a fully automated
crime analysis and visualisation solution
called MapInfo Crime Profiler.
The solution automates much of the
statistical legwork that sits behind crime
analysis and visualisation, allowing users
to perform sophisticated analyses more
quickly and easily through an intuitive
dashboard interface. The product is
expected to play a major role in helping
improve policing effectiveness.
This solution helps police forces get the
right resources in the right place at the
right time, helping to improve detection
rates, minimising the number of victims
of crime, and reducing the analysis of
patterns of crime from a wide variety of
different perspectives thereby assisting
in directing law enforcement efforts to
where they can be most effective.
It breaks new ground in providing
ready-to-use crime analysis software
components that save analysts’ time by
making analysis tools available at one
common point in one common format
(see Fig. 2). Analyst training is made
easier and quicker (high analyst turnover
rates are costly in terms of training
and short term resource pressures).
Speedier response to operational
requirements is enabled. Management
and performance reporting is improved
through consistency of output and better
information sharing to help improve
decision making.
The product is an easily scalable
“platform” to which new components
can be added as new techniques
are developed, as a police force’s
enterprise needs grow, and as budgets
become available. Analysing patterns
of crime from a wide variety of
different perspectives helps to direct
law enforcement efforts where they
can be most effective. However, these
patterns are in a constant state of flux,
and the professional crime analyst
often has to explore a number of
different data combinations, scenarios
and geographical aspects in order
to provide law enforcement teams
with the intelligence they need to be
operationally effective. In short, this
solution is said to provide analysts
and other power users within law
enforcement with an advanced analytical
toolset to meet their geospatial and
crime analytical requirements.
The offering is a new module from the
company's MapInfo Professional solution,
which is at the core for geographical
information systems and is not just a
mapping application. As such it also
provides a wide range of capabilities of
use within a police force beyond simple
mapping including:
l Geospatial query (Spatial SQL) and
analysis tools
l Analysis, information, statistics and
statistical analysis functions
l Redistricting and interpolation
l Built in geocoding
l Standard emergency icon sets
l Data management
l Geoprocessing tools
l Geometry editing capabilities
including powerful CAD based edit
tools
l Extensive publishing and reporting
options
l Charts and graphs
l Vector and raster support
l 3D Views and prism mapping
l Support for OGC Web Service
Standards (WFS-T, WMS)
l Support for a range of data formats
including Excel and ESRI SHP
l Integration with web services for
routing, drive times and geocoding.
The Engage3D software, another
component of MapInfo Crime Profiler,
will insert itself in the main menu bar
of MapInfo Professional and provide the
user with a range of useful crime analysis
tools such as: Choropleth mapping
and advanced Choropleth techniques,
grid analysis and contour mapping,
circle analysis, cluster mapping,
link analysis and geodemographic
Fig. 2: Ready-to-use crime analysis software components save analysts time by making
analysis tools available at one common point in one common format.
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technicalApplication
PositionIT – October 2009 63
analysis. It will enable interactive crime
analysis, allowing the user to conduct
complex crime analysis within MapInfo
Professional, without the need to run
additional external programs. This
direct connection will also allow faster
visualisation and analysis. It will enable
the user to undertake complex crime
analysis by using a tool bar, making the
functionality simple, thus negating the
need for complex training. The solution
contains a great amount of functionality
and analytical ability, facilitated by a
relatively simple user interface. One of
the problems of many analytical tools
for generating continuous surfaces
(hotspots) is that the user is faced
with many complex decisions before an
analysis can be generated, this proposal
would effectively provide options.
The product is said to be an effective
and advanced solution which meets
the geospatial and analytical crime
requirements of the modern day police
force. It provides a single package
of capabilities for applying common
operations and a toolkit to enable
investigative or research based analysis.
It removes the need for analysts to
devote a substantial proportion of their
efforts to time-consuming statistical
manipulation, such as creating macros
or pivot tables in SPSS or MS Excel.
Instead, these tasks are automated
through a dashboard interface. Pilot
studies have shown that analyst
efficiency can be greatly improved using
the product. This solution allows the
analyst to choose automated options
including:
l Multiple real-time hotspotting options
and kernal density visualisation
l Integrated 3D imagery including
CCTV footage
l User-specified temporal analysis
(contrasting day/night or other time
profiles)
l Automatic graphing and mapping
creation, linking and updates
l Automated data, table and
workspace utilities
The company is committed to working
with police forces around the world,
providing technologies required to
share, analyse and present information
(GIS), modelling software, web mapping
services and visualisation tools.
It has worked in partnership with
some of the largest police forces in the
world, including Australian police forces
such as Queensland, Victoria and New
South Wales. In the United States the
company designed and implemented the
real time command and control crime
analysis centre at the New York Police
Department. In Europe they have
coverage across Germany, Nordics,
Netherlands, Spain and Italy. Over the
last year they have provided solutions
and software to thirty UK police forces
including West Midlands Police, Greater
Manchester and the Metropolitan
Police, in addition to presenting
applications to be used to investigate
at a strategic and tactical level for
serious and organised crime.
In its latest report on the use of
geographical information in the public
sector, the UK’s Department for
Communities and Local Government
has highlighted the urgent need
for automation to improve the
efficiency and effectiveness of crucial
analytical output. The report notes
that, “Current users of geographic
information spend 80% of their time
collating and managing the information
and only 20% analysing it to solve
problems and generate benefits. We
need to address this imbalance.” This
comment reveals the great efficiency
gains that could be possible by
utilising such a solution.
Contact Lisa de Kock, ST Group,
Tel 011 314-0788, [email protected]
Fig. 3: Incidents by time, category, day of the week and geographical district.