creating a new ecosystem- the future of the music industry

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    Gerd Leonhard

    Futurist, Author, Musician& CEO

    TheFuturesAgency

    Creating a newEcosystem:The Future of the Music Industry

    @gleonhard@music2dot0

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    The Future of the Music Industry The music business seems alot like the energy business :(

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    The Music Industry has been ruledby EGOsystemsfor way too long

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    The current Music Ecology is

    unsustainable:Rampant inequalityTotal lack of transparency

    Cartels & monopolies still prevail

    Laws & policies paid for by lobbyistsIncreasing enclosure of The Common

    Criminalizationof Consumers

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    Piracy is now de nedas any act of non-

    compliancewith rules policies,pricing, restrictions

    and TPMs / DRMs...?

    ....whose economic losses...?

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    They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a littletemporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety

    *Benjamin Franklin

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    Piracy...?

    is the result of the 1% trying to enforceoutdated business models on the 99% is a temporary consequence of radical

    consumer empowerment driven by ever-faster data networks and cheaper but evensmarter devices

    the consequence of total market failure as a

    result of pervasive ignorance and blindcontrol obsession by the incumbent players

    CEO of MacMillan UK, April 2011, via PaidContent.org

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    Restricting, protecting, preventing,disabling ... is asuicidal strategy

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    But: the music business is entering a whole new era:

    Mobile | Social | Cloud

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    Welcome to the

    SoLoMo-Cloud

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    2017:5 Billion people, 75% mobile Internet,50+ major platforms, a250 Billion ad market

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    We must rede ne the meaning ofSelling- in the future, what will it mean to sell music?

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    Everyscreen is becoming somekind ofconnected TV or Radio

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    A huge opportunity for bundlingmusic - andthen offer premiums

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    By 2017, between 50% to 75% + of all mediaconsumption will bevia mobile devices (Gerds prediction)

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    Total Unbundlingis inevitable

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    With some exceptions, the business model ofmerelyselling copies of musicis

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    Music .Toast Music. Future

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    From one-to-many toMany to Many

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    Like it or not: Free Access / Listening / Streaming / Downloading of music has become

    a de-facto standard and a universal practice

    h l h

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    Touch. Play. Connect. Share.Access not ownership *

    Th d fDi ib i h k

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    The end ofDistributionas the keysuccess factor, metric and gate-keeper

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    Access *not ownership

    I i if3 Billi l it h d t l l t i

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    Imagine if3 Billion peopleswitched to legal streaming*clearly, this will never happen without a collective, standardized, public, EU-widelicense

    Lik it tf th t t t

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    Like it or not:for the consumer,access to contentwill be muchcheaper than copies i.e. ownership

    Source: Huf ngton Post

    P i S i

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    Up-SellingPremium-Services

    New GenerativesAdded Values

    Th N G i

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    * Thanks to Kevin Kelly kk.org

    Packaging and Interfaces

    Curation, Filtering and SelectionSocial Context & RelevanceIntelligent AggregationAssisted Serendipity

    Timeliness and Personal RelevanceQuality and Trust Guarantee

    Customization and PersonalizationLocalization / ContextualizationCloud-to-Device Management

    Advertising as Content (Branded Content)Gami cation

    ... and many more

    The New Generatives*thanks to Kevin Kelly

    Fl id F l Lik F F i |U lli

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    Fluid + Feels-Like-Free + Freemium |Upselling

    +

    Build income streamsaround the Music

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    Build income streamsaround the Music.Invent added values, pursuecollaborative business models

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    33/45Hyper-Collaboration Creators & Artists: we must embrace change and

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    Creators & Artists: we must embrace change andfocus on solutions based on Collective Objectives

    Th bl i t th

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    The problem is not the pay -its the wall!

    Source:

    !

    I th $ i d ti i g t d i ?

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    Is there $ in advertising-supported music?

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    Big Data will help to fundBig Music

    W l d

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    We are already..Paying with our Data

    G i Di ti b i l

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    Going Directis becoming...real

    Ease of use + Choice + Price +

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    Ease of use + Choice + Price +Added Values + Brand =$

    It b t V l & E i t j t P i

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    Its about Value & Experiences not just Price

    We urgently need a Public Rights Logic that

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    We urgently need a Public Rights Logic thatts our Digital Ecosystem

    Without a public open standardized license

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    Without a public, open, standardized licensefor digital music this is very unlikely to last..

    The free markets wont x this

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    The free markets won t x this.We need must-license provisions, public

    oversight, regulation for acommongoal

    T k b k th M i B i !

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    Take back the Music Business!Business

    CultureInnovation