cps safety and security initiative

8/14/2019 CPS Safety and Security Initiative

1/26

SAFETY ANDSECURITY STRATEGY

September 3, 2009


2/26

Violence Involving CPS Students Unacceptable

OutsideSchool

Hrs.

80%

500+ Shooting Incidents Over Two Years

Outside ofSchools

100%

CPS Students ShootingBy Time and Location


3/26

IdentifyStudents at

Risk ofBecomingVictims ofViolence

Analysis Led To 3 Key Areas:

Creating aSchool

Culture ofCalm

Creating aSafe

Passage toand fromSchool


4/26

Creating aSchoolCulture of

CalmCreating a

Safe


IdentifyStudents at

Risk ofBecomingVictims ofViolence


5/26

CPS Shooting Victim Study

80+% of shootings occur during times

outside of CPS' controlAll shootings occurred outside of school

BUT, there is a very predictable pattern of

victims; most had a common set of riskfactors

These risk factors are identifiable using

basic CPS dataIt is possible to identify students thathave a high probability of falling victim


6/26

Uncontrollable Risk Factors

African American and Hispanic males are at a

higher risk of becoming shooting victims

Gender

91

49

951

% within group

Victims Total HSPopulation

Male

Female

Race

8051

19

36

91

4 OtherWhite

Hispanic

% within group


AfricanAmerican


7/26

More Controllable Risk FactorsVictims attending school

Selective

MagnetMilitary

Career Academy

Charter

Alternative

Neighborhood

LEGEND

School Type% within School Type

55 58

2759

10

610

132

111



8/26

UltraHighRisk

Probability Of Being A Gun Violence Victim*

20+%

7.5 - 20%

1 - 7.5%

Model predicts that ~200

students have a greater than

20% chance

Minimal

Model predicts that ~1,000

students have a 7.5 to 20%

chance


students have a 1 to 7.5%

chance


students have minimal chance


9/26

In-school

Behavior

.57

.07

Avg. # of 4-6 incidentsPer 100 days of school


Academic

Performance

Victims

% of students>2 credits "off track"2

Total HSPopulation

53

9

AttendanceAvg. % of days absent1


42 16

More Controllable Risk FactorsAnalysis reveals ability to predict victims

75

Victims Total HS

population

Percent

Homeless

24

16

Victims Total HS

population

Percent

Special

Education


10/26

Intervening With At Risk Students

Student assigned community-basedadvocate/mentor and placed into a job

Advocate is on call 24-7 and is required tospend 16+ hours a week with their assigned

students

Advocate works with the students family and

links them to assistance and support services

Students routinely assessed by social workersand counselors to monitor progress and needs


11/26

IdentifyStudents at

Risk of

BecomingVictims ofViolence Creating a

Safe


Creating aSchool

Culture ofCalm


12/26

Develop a school safety score and analyzeperformance across schools

Creating a Culture of Calm in Schools

About 70% of schools' variation in safetyperformance is outside principal's control -based on environmental risk factors

30% is within a principal's controlA different safety philosophy exists for schoolsthat are performing well

Outperforming schools tend to favor mental

health and prevention whereas underperformingschools favor policing and punishment/discipline


13/26

Victims Attended 89 High Schools

0

2

46

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

Totalincidents

# HS89

38 schools compose

~80% of total incidents

Homicides

Aggravated Batteries

25% of CPS High Schools experienced

80% of the total homicide and aggravatedbattery incidents


14/26

ABSOLUTESAFETYSCORE

EXPECTEDSAFETYSCORE

VALUE ADDSAFETY SCORE

Calculating The School Safety Index

Environmental circumstancesoutside the schools control

(prevalence of IEP students, crimerates where students live, and

school type)

40%Safe Climate Index

40% Serious Misconduct Index20% Victim Index


15/26

y = x + 5E-13

R2

= 0.6945

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Expected Safety Score

Safety

Score

Safety Value Add

Estimates impact of every schools safety and

security practices

SchoolAbsolute

Safety ScoreExpected

Safety ScoreSafety

Value Add

High School 1 80 69 12

High School 2 36 53 -17Absolute Safety Score- Expected Safety Score= Safety Value Add(distance from expectation line)

Safety Value Add calculation

Absolute Safety Score: 80Expected Score: 69Value Add: 80-69 =

11

Example: High School 1

Absolute Safety Score: 36Expected Score: 53Value Add: 36-53=

-17

Example: High School 2

High School1 = (11)

High School2 (-17)


16/26

Underperformer have up to 15% fewercounselors and social workers per student

0.0

1.0

2.0

14%

Social Workers*

0.0

2.0

4.012%

Counselors*

All Schools Would Like More Professional Help

* Professionals Per Thousand Students

OutperformingUnderperforming


17/26

Do Underperformers Over Rely On Police?

38 14 49 37 68 50 54 61 5462 37 63 67 78 38 66 78 77

Display ofGangAffiliation

Fightingwithoutinjury

FightWithInjury

FalseAlarmPull

Theft> $500Theft< $500

% of Time Misconduct Reported to the Police

63%

173%

27%81%

15%

22%29%

44%

Poss. OfWeapon

Poss. OfDrugs

Poss. OfAlcohol

24%



18/26

Outperformers Allocate More To Safety/Security

Underperformers spend more safety $s on

personnel and less on programs, equipment

and training

Annual safety $s per student

62%

82%

Personnel

13% 7%

Equipment

4% 1%

Training

12%3%

Programs


Percent Allocation ofSafety and Security $s

$501

$328

35%

OutperformingSchools

UnderperformingSchools


19/26

DisciplineMore severe discipline is used at

underperforming schools for student misconduct

Fighting without a weapon

246%

27 80 7 78 92 23 0

ShortSuspend

LongSuspend

Expel Other

Repeat Violation

Percent

2080

2000 85

2315

Warn,Detention,In-schoolSuspend

ShortSuspend

Longsuspend

Expel

1st Violation

15%

Percent

P P i i i


20/26

Parent Participation

Less participation in parent-teacher

conferences reported by underperformers

Participated in parent-teacher conferences0-25%

26-50%

51-75%

76-100%

Average % of participating Parents

17%

Outperforming Underperforming

C i A C l Of C l


21/26

Creating A Culture Of Calm

School culture action plans for 38 high schools

Increased staffing of social workers andcounselors

Enhanced training and hiring standards forschool security guards

Overhauling expulsion and disciplinaryprocesses to include parent/guardianengagement

Social and emotional learning programs

instituted at the 38 focus high schools


22/26

IdentifyStudents at

Risk of

BecomingVictims ofViolence

Creating a

SchoolCulture of

CalmCreating a

SafePassage toand fromSchool

S f P I K T S


23/26

EXTRACURRICULARPARTICIPATION

% of students Participating inExtracurricular Activities

0

20

40

60

80

100

"Somewhat safe" "Mostly safe"

Safe Passage Is Key To Success

Feeling Safe precursor to academic success

ATTENDANCE

18

15 14 14

Very safeSomewhat safe

Avg. % of days absent

Not safe Mostlysafe

ACADEMICPERFORMANCE

0

20

40

60

80

100

"Somewhat safe" "Mostly safe"

% Students Making

Expected Gains

S f P A l i


24/26

Safe Passage Analysis

Students surveyed to determine their

feeling of safety

Students Selecting

"Not Safe" or"Somewhat Not Safe"

50% or More

35% or MoreLess Than 35%

H t t D i B G B d i


25/26

Hotspots Driven By Gang Boundaries

Gang A

Gang B

Gang C

High School

Students living inGang A territory feelunsafe crossing into

Gang B territory

"Not safe" to"somewhat safe"

"Somewhat safeto mostly safe"

"Mostly safe" to"very safe"

High School at intersection of 3 gang territories

Note: Gang boundaries based on Chicago Crime Commission "The Gang Book" (2006)

S f P At All Hi h S h l


26/26

Safe Passage At All High Schools

School by school review using gang

boundaries and student surveyinformation to plan community basedsafe passage strategies

Bus service in areas where students feelunsafe

Boosting parental, community and policeinvolvement in focus areas

cps safety and security initiative

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