Coordination in BMD Area as an Element of Military Cooperation

Missile Defence as a Factor in Establishing a New Security Environment International Conference Moscow, 3-4 May 2012

Colonel E.Yu. Ilyin

Briefing Objectives

Highlighting the shooter system’s tech performances whose enhancement might serve to help create a threat to the Strategic Deterrence Force

Demonstrating an opportunity for an objective assessment of mutual missile threats

BMD Nontargeting Criteria

European segment

Tech criteria for nontargeting Velocity of interceptor Fixed BMD sites and patrol areas for

mobile BMD shooters Number of deployed interceptors Size of killing zone Propellant budget and angular coverage of

BMD radar

Sea-Launched, Baltic Sea, Velocity 3 km/s

Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Norwegian Sea, Velocity 3 km/s

Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Baltic Sea, Velocity 4 km/s

Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Norwegian Sea, Velocity 4 km/s

Trajectory is out of killing zone, interception is impossible

Sea-Launched, Baltic Sea, Velocity 5 km/s

Interception is possible

Sea-Launched, Norwegian Sea, Velocity 5 km/s

Interception is possible

Conclusions

Velocity of the interceptor and deployment site of BMD assets – crucial factors

Interceptor critical velocity – 5 km/sec Exceeding this velocity’s parameter creates a real

threat to the Russian deterrence capability The US-Russian agreements on demarcation of

BMD assets (1997) feature the following velocities of interceptors: ground- and air-launched – 5.5 km/sec, sea-launched – 4.5 km/sec

Capabilities to Track Launches from the South

«Gabala» Radar

Conclusions. Provides capability to spot and track up to 75% of launches from the south.

«Armavir» Radar

Conclusion. Provides capability to spot and track 100 % of missile launches from the south.

Questions???