“Contributions of WMOCommision of Climatologyfor improved Humanitarian

Planning and Response”

Rodney Martínez GüinglaCo-Chair Open Panel of CCl Experts – 4

Climate Information for Adaptation and Risk Management

r.martinez@ciifen-int.org

Geneva, August, 2010

CCl-XV Management Structure

4.3 Task Team on CRM

OPACE 4 Overview:

The objective of OPACE 4 is to improve decision-making for planning, operations, risk management and for adaptation to both climate change and variability (covering time scales from seasonal to centennial) and will be achieved through a higher level of climate knowledge, as well as by access to and use of actionable information and products, tailored to meet their needs.

OPACE 4 Overview: Core activities

The activities to be undertaken under OPACE-4 should primarily focus on development of tailored climate information, products and services for user application in adaptation and risk management, and on interface with user groups.

These activities will provide key contributions to the Climate User Interface Programme (CUIP) component of the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS). The work of OPACE 4 is multidisciplinary, and requires close collaboration with experts from various socio-economic sectors.

Regional Climate Outlook Fora

6

Existing RCOFs worldwide

(http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/clips/outlooks/climate_forecasts.html)

“Climate Servicesto improve Early Warning,

Preparedness and Response: some positive

experiences in South America”

Rodney Martínez Güinglar.martinez@ciifen-int.org

August, 2010

MISSIONMISSION

“To promote, complement, and start scientific and application research projects, to improve El Niño as well as Climate variability comprehension and early warning at regional scale in order to reduce their social and economical impacts and generate a solid base to promote sustainable development policies to cope with new climate scenarios”

GENERATE GOVERNMENTAL AND LOCAL AUTHORITIES

RESPONSE

GENERATE GOVERNMENTAL AND LOCAL AUTHORITIES

RESPONSE

OPTIMIZEINFORMATION SYSTEMS

OPTIMIZEINFORMATION SYSTEMS

CLIMATE HYSTORICAL ANALYSIS-CLIMATE

FORECAST

Climate VariabilitySubseasonal (MJO)SeasonalInterannual (ENSO)Decadal

Climate VariabilitySubseasonal (MJO)SeasonalInterannual (ENSO)Decadal

CLIMATE CLIMATE EARLY EARLY

WARNINGWARNING

SECTORAL CLIMATE RISK

MAPS

SECTORAL CLIMATE RISK

MAPS

Martínez R., 2004

Communicate to end user is the “last mile” to build up a real people Centered Climate EW system.”.

International Research Centre on El Niño Sasakawa Mention of Merit 2009

From Early Warning to Climate Risk Management…

From Early Warning to Climate Risk Management…

SOCIAL AND ECONOMICAL

IMPACTS REDUCTION

Public PoliciesAnd other

Instruments

GovernmentsGovernmentsResponseResponse

GovernmentsGovernmentsResponseResponse

RISK TRANSFERENCE

EarlyEarlyWarningWarning

EarlyEarlyWarningWarning

SECTORAL PLANNING

LAND USEMANAGEMENT

DESCENTRALIZATION

LOCAL AUTHORITIESIncentives

SUSTAINABLESUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENTSUSTAINABLESUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT

Martínez R., 2004

DISASTERS RISK REDUCTION,

PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE,

CONTINGENCY FUNDS

International Research Centre on El Niño Sasakawa Mention of Merit 2009

RCOF:•Opportunity to identify sectoral needs in each country.• Mutual learning process between providers and users• Identify key partners.• Opportunity to review and coordinate further actions.

2002

2003 20042007

2009

The evolution of the Seasonal Forecast in WCSA

2010

Other Regional Climate and Ocean Information Products

Tailoring Climate Products:Some best practices

Climate Information as a regional public good

From Concept to Action

Application of Regional Public Goods principles for Climate information

1) To improve the existing capabilities on NMHSs through a collective action.

2) To share the knowledge of nation-specific benefits and the experience of NMHSs to improve the understanding and prediction of the regional climate but also providing benefits to each country.

3) To contribute on the reduction of asymmetries among countries.

4) To demonstrate through facts that a regional climate service can only be enhanced as a result of the improvement of the national components.

5) To agree on a regional coordination mechanism, in WCSA region this role has bee assumed by CIIFEN.

• First Data integration between NMHS from Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela .

• Online data display.

• 4’153.000 records .

• 171 meteorological stations with data from 1960 to 2009.

• Formal Protocol signed by the 6 NMHS and CIIFEN

WCSA Regional Climate Data Base

http://vac.ciifen-int.org

OPE

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ATI

STC

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SCA

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Statistical Regional Training Workshop. Maracay-Venezuela, October2007.

Dinamic Modeling Regional Training Workshop. Lima-Peru, November 2007.

Improving Climate Modeling capacities in WCSA

Numerical Modeling Regional Training Workshop. Guayaquil-Ecuador, May 2008

More than 150 experts from the region

have been trained since 2005.

Climate-Agriculture Risk Mapping System in the Andean Countries

ECUADOR

CHILE PERÚ

COLOMBIAVENEZUELA

BOLIVIA

CROPS:Venezuela: Rice, Corn, Sorghum and SesameColombia: Flowers (Roses), Rice.Ecuador: Corn, soybean and rice.Bolivia: Potato, haba y quinoa.Perú: Potato, corn and artichoke.Chile: citrus(orange, lemon and Mandarin orange), avocato.

Bolivia Colombia Ecuador Perú

The Atlas of the dynamics of the Andean territory is an approach for the knowledge integration and cartography in the sub region.

A Result of the interaction and cooperation of the statistics, geological, geographical, hidro-meteorological and seismologic services.

Financed by the European Commission, SG CAN, CAPRADE in the frame of the project PREDECAN.

Coordinated by the OSSO Corporation –Colombia in collaboration with CIIFEN –Ecuador, FUNDEPCO, OXFAM GB, and PREDES–Perú.

ATLAS OF THE DYNAMICS OF ANDEAN TERRITORY

The importance of Building dissemination networks

For climate products

Wide dissemination by

media

End User

Magazines

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Mobil Phones

Mo

del

ing

Clim

ate

Dat

a B

ase

Statistic

al

Analysis

Risk mapsBulletins

Media articles

Mo

vil m

es

sa

ge

sR

adio

Authorities –Private Sector –Rescue Groups - Community

Climate Information system in the Andean countries

Information translated into

simple language

InvolvingPrivate sector

Technical Information with added

value

Community-based Climate Information Network

Authorities and Community

Local Media Private Sector

Working with the Community ….. for Local Risk Reduction

Alliances Signed with Key

Stakeholders

Mobil Phone Company

Private Sector

Information Flow with the media

Ecuador: Los Ríos mar08Bolivia: El Alto dic08

Venezuela: Maracay sept/08

Chile: V Región oct/08

Including private sector

Perú, aug./08

Improving the Climate information Chain (1)

Installation of radio equipment for 10 locations of intervention area in Ecuador. Divided between the offices of INAMHI and COEs

ESMERALDAS

CHONE

BABAHOYO

MACHALA

MOVISTAR and MESSAGE PLUS, agreed to assign free messages to a group of 1000 users previously identified in areas prone to flooding.

Alliance with Telefónica MOVISTAR

INAMHI inform: intense precipitation over central zone of Manabí for the next 6 hours. WARNING.

Use of Climate Risk Maps Training Workshops. Ministry of Litoral-Ecuador

Applied to: Agriculture, Health, Education, Building, Human settlements and Biodiversity.

Installation of HF Radio Equipment for alternate emergency communications

BOLIVIA

Pachaqamasa radio (El Alto, Bolivia) interview about climate

information use in Aymará native language

NMS is working on translation and bulletins shipping with Forecast in Aymará through Pachaqamasa radio (Bolivia)

Improving the Climate information Chain (2)

Building up an educational Kit of Climate Risk to Local Comunities

• Learning to communicate and assimilate the climate information in a friendly way.

• Communicating on the basis of social and cultural profile of end users.

• Pilot experiences implemented in Ecuador, Bolivia, Peru and Chile.

Chapter I: The Virtual Core of Climatic Applications (NVAC)Chapter II:Implementation of statistical models for climatic predictionChapter III: Implementation of Numerical Models for climatic predictionChapter IV: Implementation of Agro-climatic Risk MapsChapter V:Implementation of local systems of climatic information dissemination Chapter VI: Strengthening building capacity in the in the South America west regionChapter VII: Performance Indicators.Chapter VIII: Learned lessonsChapter IX: future actionsChapter X: Elements of Sustainability

ftp://ciifen-int.org/Technical_Guide_of_a_Regional_Climate_Information_System.pdf

Published December 2009

A proposal to build a prototype where Seasonal Forecasts could be used for

Humanitarian Planning and Response

Seasonal Forecast

Sectoral climate sensitivity analysis + coping capacity

Specific Product (month to season)That allows to activate specific procedures for humanitarian and response planning

Final Remarks

Conclusions• WMO-CCl has established several activities that

could provide effective support to the expected outcomes of this Task Team within the Climate domain during the upcoming years.

• One of the best ways to start an effective implementation could be through a prototype design in a particular region where conditions allow to obtain results and generate benefits quickly and then replicate it in other parts of the world. (recognize and replicate best practices)