computational modelling of aerosol cycle an integrated environmental modelling system and its...

62
Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics The University of New South Wales Sydney, Australia Tel: 61 2 9385 5746; Fax: 61 2 9386 7123 email: [email protected]

Upload: abraham-perkins

Post on 12-Jan-2016

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle

An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications

Dr. Yaping Shao

CEMAP, School of MathematicsThe University of New South Wales

Sydney, AustraliaTel: 61 2 9385 5746; Fax: 61 2 9386 7123

email: [email protected]

Page 2: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Aerosols

– Aerosols are small particles suspended in air. The sizes of aerosols range between 0.1 - 20 microns;

– Aerosol sources include natural and human induced ones.

Page 3: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Aerosol Research: Climate and Weather

• Directly, aerosols affect atmospheric radiation budget through scattering and absorbing;

• Indirectly, aerosols modify the optical properties and lifetimes of clouds;

• Dust (global emission): ~ 3000 Mt/yr.• Sea salt: ~ 1300

Mt/yr.• Dust (mean column load): ~ 65 mg m-2

• Sea salt: ~ 7 mg m-2

Page 4: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Dust storm in Africa: 27 July 1998, Algeria and Mali

Page 5: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

A severe dust storm over China (16 April 1998)

Page 6: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Dust clouds seen from satellite picture (14 April 1998)

Page 7: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

• Aerosols cause air-quality hazards in populated areas, e.g., Beijing;

• Many contaminants which pose significant risks to human health and the environment are found or associated with dust, including metal, pesticides, dioxins and radionuclides.

Aerosol Research: Air quality

Page 8: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

A severe dust storm (acknowledgement)

Page 9: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

• In agricultural areas, soil erosion depletes fine particles which are rich in organic matters and soil nutrients. This leads to land degradation;

• Wind erosion also reduces water, resulting in desertification.

Land-Use Sustainability

Page 10: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

A dust storm in an agricultural area

Page 11: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Soil Erosion

Page 12: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Melbourne 08-02-1983 dust storm: Nutrient content in soil particles < 44 microns

SiteSoil Type

WamberraSand

Box CreekClay Loam

Montarna SandyLoam

Total N (%) 0.226 0.16 0.153

Totol P (%) 0.038 0.029 0.034

N enrichmentratio

19 2 2

P enrichmentratio

5.7 1.9 2.4

Mass fraction 0.003 0.11 0.06

Page 13: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Melbourne 08-02-1983 dust storm

Total loss of top soil M=2 million tonnes

Total loss of N M*0.0017=3400 tonnes

Total loss of P M*0.000055=110 tonnes

Cost of fertilizer(N:P:K=32:10:0)

0.37 dollars

Cost of N 3.9 million dollars

Cost of P 0.4 million dollars

Page 14: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Mineral Aerosol Cycle

– Entrainment: atmosphere and land-surface interactions; multi-disciplinary;

– Transport: atmospheric circulation; atmospheric boundary layers; turbulence; two phase flow problem

– Deposition: turbulent diffusion; clouds and precipitation.

Page 15: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Integrated Environmental Modelling

– How can such complex environmental problems be simulated and predicted?

– Computational environmental modelling: the integration of dynamic models with spatially distributed data

– Atmosphere-land surface interactions– Air quality– Aerosol cycle– Land surface hydrology and salinity

Page 16: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Framework I

Page 17: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Computational Environmental Modelling System (CEMSYS_3)

– Atmospheric prediction model (HIRES): high-resolution limited-area; nested in GCM, self-nested; 3rd order upwinding and semi-lagrangian schemes; clouds and radiation.

– Land surface (ALSIS): Soil moisture, temperature; fluxes of energy, mass and momentum;

– Aerosol cycle: entrainment, transport and deposition.

– Air quality, etc

Page 18: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Framework of CEMSYS_3 (partial)

Page 19: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Physical processes involved in wind erosion

Page 20: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Particle Motion

– Saltation: hop motion of sand particles;

– Suspension: small particles can remain suspended once airborne.

Page 21: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

• The capability of wind to cause erosion is quantified by surface friction velocity, u*,depending on wind speed and surface roughness

• The ability of the surface to resist erosion is quantified by threshold friction velocity u*t, depending on soil texture, compactness, moisture content and surface coverage

• Modeling u*t is difficult

Friction velocity & threshold friction velocity

Page 22: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Entrainment of Coarse Particles• Balance of aerodynamic, gravity and cohesive forces,

fa, fg and fi, determines the entrainment;• For coarse particles, fa overcome fg and fi;• Friction velocity u* measures aerodynamic forces;• Threshold friction velocity u*t measures retarding

forces. • Shao-Lu model for u*t is

) )( (Re* *d

gd f up t

Page 23: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Entrainment of Fine Particles

• The Entrainment mechanisms for coarse and fine particles differ as the importance of forces change.

• fg d3, fa d2 and fi d; fi

dominates.

Page 24: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Dust Emission Mechanisms• Fa, aerodynamic lift. Particles can be lifted

directly by fa, but emission is weak;

• Fb, saltation bombardment. Striking particles cause local impacts, overcome fi, result in strong emission;

• Fc, aggregates disintegration. Fine particles exist as aggregates. Weak events, they behave as grains. Strong events, they disintegrate.

• Dust-emission rate:

F = Fa + Fb + Fc

Page 25: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

• Soil particle size ranges: 0.1 m - 2 m• Gravel: 2000 m < d 2m• Sand: 63 < d 2000 m• Silt: 4 < d 63 m• Clay: d 4 m• Silt and clay particles are dust.

Particle-size Distribution

Page 26: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Particle-size Distributions

• ps(d): sediment particle-size distribution (psd);

• pm(d): in-situ soil psd; minimally dispersed analysis;

• pf(d): fully-disturbed soil psd; fully-dispersed analysis.

Page 27: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Model for ps(d)• Limiting cases

]n)t*

u*

u(kexp[Weight

)d(f

p)1()d(mp)d(spModel

t*u

*u)d(

fp)d(sp

t*u

*u)d(mp)d(sp

Page 28: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Example of ps(d)

Page 29: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Fractions of Fine Particles

dd

0d)d(mp)d(

fpc

dd

0d)d(sps

dd

0d)d(

fp

f

dd

0d)d(mpm

m: free dust, lower limit for dust emission from unit soil mass;f: not free dust, released through saltation impact and aggregates disintegration, upper limit for dust emission from unit soil mass;s: aerosol in suspension

Page 30: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Theory of Saltation• Saltation plays a critical role in the process of

dust emission. • Two quantities are of particular importance,

namely, the streamwise saltation flux, Q, and the number flux of striking particles, ns

)cosUcosU(umc

Qgn

)u

u1(u

gcQ

2211*0s

2*

2t*3

*0

Page 31: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Volume Based Model for Fb

Particle trajectory is (XT, YT) in soil, forms a crater of volume

Page 32: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Volume Based Model for Fb

•Trajectory from equation of particle motion;•cbf: fraction released;• (1-cb)f : fraction retained;

ssfbsb

pT

pT

yyp

x xp

Tt

0 T

n c )(dF

0 v- dY

0; u - dX

0; p a dv

m 0; pa dt

dum

dt dt

dXYb

c

dtdtdt

Page 33: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Volume Based Model for Fb

•Particle trajectory is (XT, YT) in soil, forms a crater of volume ;•Trajectory from equation of particle motion;•cbf: fraction released; (1-cb)f : fraction retained;

ssfbsb

pT

pT

yyp

x xp

Tt

0 T

n c )(dF

0 v- dY

0; u - dX

0; p a dv

m 0; pa dt

dum

dt dt

dXYb

c

dtdtdt

Page 34: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Aggregates Disintegration: Fc

• Aggregates disintegration occurs as they strike surface.

• Corresponding to ns, the mass flux of particles striking surface is mns.

Fc(ds) = cc fc m ns

• cc: a coefficient

Page 35: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Total Dust Emission: F• Divide particles into I size groups, mean di,

increment di; Consider emission of i group

)i(dI

iF F

d(d) s, d) pi(ddd F ) i(dF

m )ci b

fi

( Qgcc

. ) s, di(dFid

E cccbc

sm nci cc) s, di(dcFsnbfib

c ) s, di(db

F

1ˆ :Total

ˆ :group ith of Emission

056

~)(

~~

~~;~~

2

1

Page 36: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Model of Particle Size Distribution• Emission model requires pm(d) and pf(d).

• Express as sum of J log-normal pdfs with parameters wj, Dj and j; both for pm(d) and

pf(d) for sand, loam and silty clay.

22

2)ln(lnexp

121

j

jDd - •

J

j j

jw

d p(d)

Page 37: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

c

• Model requires ;

• cE fi /: fraction of release;

• cY = 1/7 co, order 0.1.

m)cifib(

muQg]

idf

pidmp

)-[(Yc)s,di(dF

idf

pidsp

fisiEc

sm)n b

(fi

Ec)s, di(dF

2*

)()(

1~

)()(

~

Page 38: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Quantities Required• u*: friction velocity;

• u*t: threshold friction velocity for surface;

• pm(d): minimally-dispersed psd;

• pf(d): fully-dispersed psd;

b, p: bulk soil and particle density;

• s: soil drag coefficient;

• pys:vertical component of plastic pressure.

Page 39: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Results

Page 40: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Conclusions for Emission Model• Concept: F is related to Q;• Mechanisms: saltation bombardment and aggregates

disintegration;

• Models for Fb and Fc;

• Soft soils, Fb dominates;Hard soils, Fc dominates;

• psds are used to eliminate empirical parameters;• psds modeled using log-normal pdfs;• Emission rates compare well with observations.

Page 41: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Transport: Lagrangian• Particles are individuals; Trajectories are

determined by integrating equations of motion;• Isentropic trajectories on surface of constant

potential temperature;

• Fluid parcel and particle are at height zft-1 = zp

t-1 at t-1, fluid moves to zf

t, particle to zpt=zf

t+wtt.

Page 42: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Transport: Eulerian• Particulate phase is a continuum;• Particle concentration obeys advection-diffusion type

of conservation equation;

• Kpx: particle eddy diffusivity; Sr: wet and dry removal; Sc: dry and wet convection; F0: dust flux at surface

00

zc pzK

Fzc

pzK)c - tw(w

c S rSzc

pzKz

yc

pyKyx

cpxK

xzc)tw(w

ycv

xcu

tc

Page 43: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Inertial and Trajectory Crossing

Page 44: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Particle Eddy Diffusivity

Page 45: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Deposition• Dry-deposition flux

Fd = -wd[c(z)-c(0)]

• c(0), c(z): concentration at surface and reference level; wd: dry-deposition velocity.

• Single-layer dry-deposition model

wd=-wt+gbb+gbm

• gbb: molecular conductance; gbm: impaction conductance; fr: ratio of pressure drag to total drag;

wd=-wt+ga[fr ap em+(1-fr)avSc-2/3]

Page 46: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Wet Deposition

Wet deposition is the removal of aerosols by precipitation. The processes is extremely complicated, but is commonly calculated using

Fw=w pr0s0c0

s0: scavenging ratio is a function of many parameters, but ranges from 100 to 2000.pr0: rain received at the surface;c0: concentration in rain water .

Page 47: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Example 1: How does the Scheme Work

Page 48: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Comparison with Field Measurements

Page 49: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Land Surface Data

Page 50: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Weather pattern

Page 51: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Feb. 1996

Page 52: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Soil Erosion

Page 53: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Threshold Friction Velocity

Page 54: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Friction Velocity

Page 55: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Concentration Cross Section

Page 56: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Total Suspended Dust Time Series

Page 57: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Comparison with Satellite Image

Page 58: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Aerosol Concentration

Page 59: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Surface Concentration: Birdsvill, Feb. 1996

Page 60: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

HigherResolution

Page 61: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

Higher Resolution

Page 62: Computational Modelling of Aerosol Cycle An Integrated Environmental Modelling System and Its Applications Dr. Yaping Shao CEMAP, School of Mathematics

• A comprehensively integrated system has been developed for the simulation and prediction of the entire mineral dust cycle, from entrainment, transport to deposition. CEMSYS_3 has a much wider range of applications;

• I have illustrated how the entire cycle can be modeled. Each of the modeling components constitutes an interesting research area. I have concentrated on dust emission in this talk;

• Coupling dynamic models with spatially distributed data has enabled the predictions of dust storm events.

Summary