compensating for the loss of a healthy tree: how many trees do you owe me?

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Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees Do You Owe Me? David J. Nowak US Forest Service Syracuse, NY

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Page 1: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees Do You Owe Me?

David J. Nowak US Forest Service

Syracuse, NY

Page 2: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

2004

Page 3: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Google goes Public

Page 4: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Invest $10,000

Boris Badenov

**ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN**

**118**

Page 5: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Invest $10,000 – Offer: $12,800 (inflation)

Boris Badenov

**ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN**

**118**

Page 6: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Invest $10,000 – Current Value = $95,000

Boris Badenov

**ONE HUNDRED EIGHTEEN**

**118**

Page 7: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Tree Value?

Page 8: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Tree Value?

Page 9: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Fallacy of Tree ValueThere is no NASDAQ for treesWe do not know the true value of treesWe may never know the true value of trees

Page 10: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Proposed SolutionCompensate on equal trees, not $Calculate number small trees = removed treeSize based methods:

Method No. 1” trees to replace 30” tree

DBH 30Basal area 900Leaf area ~70

Page 11: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Proposed SolutionCompensate based on leaf areaMany tree values associated with leaf areaTends to increase through time (predictable)

Page 12: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

IssueNeed to consider future values (lost or gained)

Net present value (NPV) of future leavesNPV of 1” DBH large, long-lived tree = 34,000 ft2Replace a 24” DBH large tree:

Years Remaining NPV leaves (3% rate) No. replacement trees1 6,000 ft2 0.250 187,000 ft2 5.6

Page 13: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Calculating Tree CompensationTree sizeLife spanGrowth rateDiscount rate

Page 14: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Tree SizeLarge: London planetree (Platanus hybrida) Small: crapemyrtle (Lagerostroemia indica).

0.2 in/yr; 100 years to death

Page 15: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Life SpanCombined DBH mortality curve with average DBH distribution

Page 16: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Life SpanAverage population mortality = 1,2,3 or 4%

Page 17: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Life Span

Long-lived = 87 years Mod. Long-lived = 50 yrs Mod. Short-lived = 34 yrs Short-lived = 26 yrs

Page 18: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Calculating Tree CompensationTree size (large vs. small)Life span (1-4% annual mortality rate)Growth rate (0.2 inches/year)Discount rate (2, 3, and 4%)

Page 19: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Compensation Rate by DBH (3%; Large Tree)

Replacing large tree with large tree

Page 20: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Maximum Compensation Values (3% rate)

Replacement tree : Large SmallExisting Tree L ML MS S L ML MS SLarge Long-lived (L) 6.6 12.2 20.9 31.5 13.6 19.5 29.9 41.1

Mod. Long-lived (ML) 4.4 8.1 14.0 21.1 9.1 13.0 20.0 27.5Mod. Short-lived (MS) 3.4 6.2 10.7 16.2 7.0 10.0 15.3 21.1Short-lived (S) 2.9 5.3 9.1 13.7 5.9 8.5 13.0 17.9

Small Long-lived (L) 0.9 1.6 2.8 4.1 1.8 2.6 3.9 5.4Mod. Long-lived (ML) 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.4 1.5 2.1 3.3 4.5Mod. Short-lived (MS) 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.9 1.3 1.8 2.8 3.8Short-lived (S) 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.5 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.3

Page 21: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Look-up TablesDBH (inch)

YRS TO DEATH 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

80 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 81 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 82 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1 83 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1 84 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.1 85 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 86 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 87 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 88 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 89 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 90 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2

Bold = large, long-lived treereplaced with comparable tree

Page 22: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Replacement trees: Mod Short-lived Large Tree

Page 23: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

LimitationsLikely minimum compensationDoes not include:

Social values (Grandpa planted tree; historical tree)Punitive damagesEffect of multiple surrounding trees (forests)Value of dead trees

Page 24: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

CompensationDetermine number of trees based on size and life span remaining (look-up tables or program)Replant the trees, orCompensation in dollars based on cost of planting trees (not value of tree)

Example: owed 10 trees; cost of planting = $1,000 per tree (compensation = $10,000)

Page 25: Compensating for the Loss of a Healthy Tree: How Many Trees do you Owe Me?

Summary

[email protected] nrs.fs.fed.us/units/urban

Tree compensation:Can be calculated based on NPV of leaf areaVaries with tree size and life span remainingCan be converted to dollars based on cost of planting new trees