comp survey 08-02-10
TRANSCRIPT
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CEOCompensation
CarolaFrydman1
Dirk
Jenter2
1Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
Cambridge,Massachusetts02142;email:[email protected]
2Graduate SchoolofBusiness, StanfordUniversity, Stanford,California94305;
email:[email protected]
KeyWords
Executivecompensation,managerialincentives,incentivecompensation,equity
compensation,optioncompensation,corporategovernance
Abstract
ThispapersurveystherecentliteratureonCEOcompensation. Therapidrisein
CEOpay
over
the
last
30
years
has
sparked
an
intense
debate
about
the
nature
of thepaysettingprocess. Manyviewthehigh levelofCEOcompensationas
the resultofpowerfulmanagers setting theirownpay. Others interprethigh
payastheresultofoptimalcontractinginacompetitivemarketformanagerial
talent. WedescribeanddiscusstheempiricalevidenceontheevolutionofCEO
payandontherelationshipbetweenpayandfirmperformancesincethe1930s.
Ourreviewsuggeststhatbothmanagerialpowerandcompetitivemarketforces
are important determinants of CEO pay, but that neither approach is fully
consistentwiththeavailableevidence. Webrieflydiscusspromisingdirections
forfutureresearch.
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected] -
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TableofContents:
Introduction
Section1:ThelevelandstructureofCEOcompensation
1.1
The
level
of
CEO
compensation
1.2ThemaincomponentsofCEOpay
1.3Otherformsofpay
1.4Briefsummary
Section2:ThesensitivityofCEOwealthtofirmperformance
2.1Quantifyingmanagerialincentives
2.2Whatistherightmeasureofthewealthperformancerelationship?
2.3Areincentivessetoptimally?
2.4Briefsummary
Section3:ExplainingCEOcompensation:Rentextractionorcompetitivepay?
3.1TheoreticalexplanationsfortheriseinCEOpay
3.2Theempiricalevidence
3.2.1Evidenceforandagainstthemanagerialpowerhypothesis
3.2.2Evidenceforandagainstcompetitivepay
3.3Briefsummary
Section4:
The
effect
of
compensation
on
CEO
behavior
and
firm
value
4.1:TherelationbetweenCEOincentivesandfirmvalue
4.2TherelationbetweenCEOincentivesandfirmbehavior
4.3Incentivecompensationandmanipulation
4.4Briefsummary
Conclusion
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Introduction
Executivecompensation isacomplexandcontentioussubject.Thehigh levelofCEOpay in the
U.S.hasspurredanintensedebateaboutthenatureofthepaysettingprocessandtheoutcomes
itproduces.Somearguethat largeexecutivepaypackagesaretheresultofpowerfulmanagers
settingtheirownpayandextractingrentsfromfirms.Othersinterpretthesameevidenceasthe
result of optimal contracting in a competitive market for managerial talent. This survey
summarizestheresearchonCEOcompensationandassessestheevidenceforandagainstthese
explanations.
Our review suggests thatbothmanagerialpowerand competitivemarket forcesare important
determinantsofCEOpay,but thatneitherapproachalone is fullyconsistentwith theavailable
evidence.TheevolutionofCEOcompensationsinceWWIIcanbebroadlydividedintotwodistinct
periods.Priortothe1970s,weobserve low levelsofpay, littledispersionacrosstopmanagers,
and moderate payperformance sensitivities. From the mid1970s to the early 2000s,
compensationlevelsgrowdramatically,differencesinpayacrossmanagersandfirmswiden,and
equity incentivestiemanagerswealthclosertofirmperformance.Noneoftheexistingtheories
offers a fully convincing explanation for the apparent regime change thatoccurredduring the
1970s, and all theories have trouble explaining some of the crosssectional and timeseries
patternsinthedata.
Many of the theoretical studies we review explore how various characteristics of realworld
compensation contracts can be consistent with either rent extraction or optimal contracting.
Whileobviouslyuseful,demonstratingthatagivencompensationfeaturecanariseinanoptimal
contracting(orrentextraction)frameworkprovideslittleevidencethatthefeatureisinfactused
forefficiencyreasons(ortoextractrents).Partlyasaresult,thereisnoconsensusontherelative
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importanceofrentextractionandoptimalcontractingindeterminingthepayofthetypicalCEO.
Tohelpanswerthisquestion,modelsofCEOpaywillhavetoproduce testablepredictionsthat
differbetweenthetwoapproaches.
WeexpectthattherenewedinterestintheoreticalworkonCEOpayandtheemergenceofnew
datawilldeliverboththepredictionsandthetestingopportunitiesneededtoresolvethisdebate.
Promising recent contributions have examined the effects of exogenous changes in the
contracting environment on CEO compensation, firm behavior, and firm performance. For
example, industryderegulationshavebeen linked tohigherCEOcompensation,suggestingthat
increased demand for CEO talent raises pay levels. On the other hand, declines in CEO
compensationfollowingregulationsthatstrengthenboardoversightsuggestrentextraction.
The literature on CEO compensation is vast, and this survey makes no attempt to be
comprehensive. Instead,weemphasize recentcontributions,andespeciallycontributionsmade
since the comprehensive reviewbyMurphy (1999).Our focus isonempiricalworkmore than
theory,on
U.S.
rather
than
foreign
evidence,
and
on
public
instead
of
private
firms.
The
large
segmentsoftheliteratureweignorehavebeenablycoveredinothersurveys,startingwithRosen
(1992)and followedby,amongothers,Finkelstein&Hambrick (1996),Abowd&Kaplan (1999),
Murphy (1999),Core,Guay&Larcker (2003),Aggarwal (2008),Bertrand (2009),andEdmans&
Gabaix(2009).
Thepaper
is
organized
as
follows.
Section
1describes
the
evidence
on
the
level
and
structure
of
CEOcompensation.Section2examinestherelationshipbetweenCEOpayandfirmperformance
anddiscusses themeritsofdifferentpayforperformancemeasures.Section3summarizesand
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critiquesexplanationsfortherise inCEOpay.Section4discussestheeffectsofCEOpayonfirm
behaviorandvalue.Thefinalsectionconcludes.
Section1:ThelevelandstructureofCEOcompensation
1.1ThelevelofCEOcompensation
The increase in CEOpay over the last 30 years, and in particular its rapid acceleration in the
1990s,hasbeenwidelydocumentedandanalyzed.Figure1providesalongerrunperspectiveon
theevolution
of
annual
compensation
for
the
three
highest
paid
executives
in
large
U.S.
firms
from1936to2005.Thedata is fromFrydman&Saks (2010),who identify the50 largestpublic
firms in 1940, 1960, and 1990 (for a total of 101 firms) and collect information on executive
compensationinthesefirmsforallavailableyearsfrom1936to2005.Totalcompensationisthe
sumoftheexecutivessalary,currentbonusesandpayoutsfrom longtermincentiveplans(paid
incashorstock),andtheBlackScholesvalueofstockoptiongrants.1
Figure 1 reveals a Jshaped pattern in executive compensation over the 1936 2005 period.
FollowingasharpdeclineduringWorldWar IIanda furtherslowdecline in the late1940s,the
realvalueoftopexecutivepayincreasedslowlyfromtheearly1950stothemid1970s(averaging
about0.8%growthperyear).Therapidgrowthinexecutivepayonlystartedinthemid1970sand
continuedalmostuntiltheendofthesample in2005. The increase incompensationwasmost
dramaticin
the
1990s,
with
annual
growth
rates
that
reached
more
than
10%
by
the
end
of
the
decade.Figure1alsoshowsthatCEOpaygrewmorerapidlythanthepayofothertopexecutives
1BlackScholesvaluesarelikelytooverstateboththecostofoptioncompensationtothefirmanditsvalue
to the executive (Lambert et al.1991,Carpenter1998,Meulbroek2001,Hall&Murphy2002, Ingersoll
2006,Klein&Maug2009,Carpenteretal.2010).
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during thepast30years,butnotbefore.ThemedianratioofCEOcompensationto thatof the
otherhighestpaidexecutiveswas stableatabout1.4prior to1980buthas since then risen to
almost2.6by200005.
The surge inexecutivepay in the last30 yearshasbeen replicated in larger crosssectionsby
manyotherstudies.2Table1zoomsinontheevolutionofcompensationlevelsfrom1992to2008
forCEOsandothertopexecutivesinS&P500firms,inasampleofmidcapfirms,andinasample
ofsmallcap firms.Executivecompensationhas increased for firmsofallsizes.ForCEOsofS&P
500firms,themedianlevelofpayclimbedrapidlyfrom$2.3min1992toapeakof$7.2min2001.
CEOpaydidnotresumeitsriseafter2001,andmedianpayintheS&P500hasremainedstableat
levelsbetween$6mand$7mthroughoutthe2000s.
Beyondtheoverallriseinpay,Table1revealsthreeimportantfacts.First,changesinCEOpayare
amplifiedwhenfocusingonaverageinsteadofmediancompensation,becausethedistributionof
compensationhasbecomemoreskewedovertime.Forexample,medianCEOpayintheS&P500
grewby
213
percent
from
1992
to
its
peak
in
2001,
while
the
increase
in
average
pay
was
amuch
steeper 310 percent. Focusingonmedians is therefore important if the goal is to analyze the
experienceofatypicalCEO.Second,comparingexecutivepayinlargecap,midcap,andsmallcap
firmsrevealsinterestingdifferences.Althoughexecutivepayhasincreasedacrosstheboard,the
growth has been much steeper in larger firms. As a result, the compensation premium for
managingalargerfirmhasincreased.Finally,thegrowthinpayhasbeenlargerforCEOsthanfor
othertopexecutives,raisingthecompensationpremiumforCEOs.
1.2ThemaincomponentsofCEOpay
2 See, for example, Jensen&Murphy (1990a),Hall& Liebman (1998),Murphy (1999), and Bebchuk&
Grinstein(2005).
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Despitesubstantialheterogeneityinpaypracticesacrossfirms,mostCEOcompensationpackages
contain five basic components: salary, annual bonus, payouts from longterm incentive plans,
restrictedoptiongrants,andrestrictedstockgrants.Inaddition,CEOsoftenreceivecontributions
todefinedbenefitpensionplans,variousperquisites,and, incaseoftheirdeparture,severance
payments. The relative importanceof these compensation elementshas changed considerably
overtime.
PanelAofFigure2illustratestheimportanceofthemajorpaycomponentsforCEOsoflargefirms
from1936 to2005,usingagain theFrydman&Saks (2010)data.From1936 tothe1950s,CEO
compensationwas composedmainly of salaries and annual bonuses. As today, bonuseswere
typicallynondiscretionary,tiedtooneormoremeasuresofannualaccountingperformance,and
paid in either cashor stock. Payments from longterm incentive plans,which arebonusplans
basedonmultiyearperformance,startedtomakeanoticeableimpactonCEOpayinthe1960s.
Theselongtermrewardsareoftenpaidoutoverseveralyears,againwithpaymentineithercash
orstock.
Themost strikingpattern inFigure2 is the surge in stockoption compensation starting in the
early1980s.Thepurposeofoptioncompensation istotieremunerationdirectlytoshareprices
andthusgiveexecutivesanincentivetoincreaseshareholdervalue.Theuseofstockoptionswas
negligibleuntil1950,whenataxreformpermittedcertainoptionpayoffstobetaxedatthemuch
lower capital gains rate rather than as labor income. Although many firms responded by
institutingstockoptionplans,thefrequencyofoptiongrantsremainedtoosmalltohavemuchof
animpactonmedianpaylevelsuntilthelate1970s.
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During the 1980s and especially the 1990s, stock options surged to become the largest
componentof topexecutivepay.PanelBof Figure2 illustrates thisdevelopment for S&P500
CEOsfrom1992to2008.3Optioncompensationcomprisedonly20%ofCEOpayin1992butrose
toastaggering49%in2000.Thus,asignificantportionoftheoverallriseinCEOpayisdrivenby
theincreaseinoptioncompensation,andanytheorythatattemptstoexplainthegrowthinCEO
payneeds toaccount for this important change in the structureofpay aswell.Thegrowth in
stockoptionusedidnotoccurattheexpenseofothercomponentsofpay;mediansalariesrose
from$0.8to$0.9million,andshort andlongtermbonusesfrom$0.6to$1millionoverthesame
period.Afterthestockmarketdeclineof200001,stockoptionsseemtohavelostsomeoftheir
luster,bothinrelativeandabsoluteterms,andrestrictedstockgrantshavereplacedthemasthe
mostpopularformofequitycompensationby2006.
Explainingthestarkchanges inthestructureofcompensationsincethe1980sremainsanopen
challenge.It ispossiblethattheexplosioninoptionusewaspromptedbytaxpoliciesthatmade
performancebased pay advantageous, and by accounting rules that downplayed the cost of
optioncompensationtothefirm(Murphy2002,Hall&Murphy2003).Moreover, itis likelythat
both the prior decline in the stockmarket and the advent of option expensing in 2004 have
contributedtothedecliningpopularityofstockoptionsinrecentyears.4 Thisintriguingshiftaway
from options has not yet attracted much attention in the academic literature, and further
researchisneededtodetermineitscausesandconsequences.
1.3Otherformsofpay
3TheevolutionwassimilarforothertopexecutivesinS&P500firmsandforS&PMidCapandS&PSmallCap
firms.4Hall&Murphy (2003) and Bergman& Jenter (2007) argue thatmanagers aremorewilling to accept
optionsafterstockmarketbooms.
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Three important components of CEO compensation that have received less attention in the
literatureareperquisites,pensions,andseverancepay.Obtainingcomprehensiveinformationon
these formsofpayhasbeendifficultuntil recent years.Becauseof the insufficientdisclosure,
perquisites,pensions and severancepayhaveoftenbeen labeled stealth compensation that
may allow executives to surreptitiously extract rents (Jensen &Meckling 1976, Jensen 1986,
Bebchuk& Fried 2004).However, these forms of paymay also arise as the result of optimal
contracting.Forexample,perksmaybeoptimal if thecostofacquiringgoodsandservices that
themanagerdesiresislowerforthefirm(Fama1980),oriftheyaidmanagerialproductivityand
therebyincreaseshareholdervalue(Rajan&Wulf2006).Definedbenefitpensionscanbejustified
asaformofinsidedebtthatmitigatesriskshiftingproblemsbyaligningexecutives incentives
withthoseoflenders(Sundaram&Yermack2007,Edmans&Liu2010).5
The evidence on the size of perquisites is limited, and empirical work on their effects and
determinants has foundmixed results. Perks encompass awide varietyof goods and services
providedtotheexecutive,includingthepersonaluseofcompanyaircraft,clubmemberships,and
loansatbelowmarket rates.Consistentwith the rentextractionhypothesis,shareholders react
negativelywhen firms firstdisclose thepersonaluseofcompanyaircraftby theCEO (Yermack
2006a).Averagedisclosedperquisites increasedby190%followingan improvement intheSECs
disclosurerulesinDecember2006,suggestingthatfirmspreviouslyfoundwaystoobfuscatethe
reporting of perks (Grinstein et al. 2009). Perks appear to be amore general signal ofweak
corporate
governance,
as
reductions
in
firm
value
upon
the
revelation
of
perks
substantially
exceed their actual cost (Yermack 2006a, Grinstein et al. 2009). Thus, the available evidence
indicates thatat leastsomeperkconsumption isa reflectionofmanagerialexcessand reduces
5 Defined benefit pensions are inside debt becausemost executive pensions are unsecured, unfunded
claimsagainstthefirm. Thus,executiveswouldstandinlinewithotherunsecuredcreditorsinbankruptcy
(Sundaram&Yermack2007).
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shareholdervalue.Ontheotherhand,Rajan&Wulf(2006)provideevidencethatperksareused
consistentlywith theirproductivityenhancementhypothesis,e.g., tohelp themostproductive
employees save time. The extent to which perks are justified by the efficient mechanisms
proposedbyFama(1980)orRajan&Wulf(2006)remainsanopenquestion.
Theempiricalevidenceonpensionsisevensparserthanforperquisites.PriortoDecember2006,
SECdisclosurerulesdidnotrequirefirmstoreporttheactuarialvaluesofexecutivepensions.In
their absence, Sundaram and Yermack (2007) use their own calculations and estimate annual
increasesinpensionvaluestobeabout10%oftotalpayforFortune500CEOs.Similarly,Bebchuk
& Jackson (2005) find largepension claims ina small sampleofS&P500CEOs.Conditionalon
having a pension plan, themedian actuarial value at retirement is around $15million,which
corresponds to roughly 35% of the CEOs total compensation throughout her tenure. These
findings suggest that ignoringpensions can result ina significantunderestimationof totalCEO
pay.
Alack
of
readily
available
data
has
also
hampered
the
study
of
severance
pay.
Researchers
have
collected information fromemploymentcontracts, separationagreements,andothercorporate
filingsforusuallysmallsamplesoffirms.Yermack(2006b)findsthatgoldenhandshakes(that is,
separationpay that isawarded to retiringor firedCEOs)arecommon,butusuallymoderate in
value.Rusticus(2006)showsthatexanteseparationagreementssignedwhenCEOsarehiredare
also common, and equivalent to two years of cash compensation for the typical CEO. Finally,
manyCEOsreceiveasubstantialspecialseverancepayment,calledagoldenparachute,ifthey
losetheirjobduetotheirfirmbeingacquired.Thestockmarkettendstoreactpositivelytothe
adoptionofgoldenparachuteprovisions(Lambert&Larcker1985),andsuchprovisionsbecame
widespreadduringthe1980sand90s(Hartzelletal.2004).Aswithperksandpensions,research
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hasnotyetconclusivelydeterminedwhetherseverancepayisaformofrentextractionorpartof
anoptimalcontract.6
1.4Brief
summary
Boththe leveland thecompositionofCEOpayhavechangeddramaticallyovertime.Thepost
WWIIera canbedivided intoat least twodistinctperiods.Prior to the1970s,weobserve low
levels of pay, little dispersion across top managers, and only moderate levels of equity
compensation.Fromthemid1970stotheendofthe1990s,allcompensationcomponentsgrow
dramatically,anddifferencesinpayacrossexecutivesandfirmswiden.Byfarthelargestincrease
comesintheformofstockoptions,whichbecomethesinglelargestcomponentofCEOpayinthe
1990s. Finally, averageCEOpaydeclined from 2000 to 2008, and restricted stock grantshave
replacedstockoptionsasthemostpopularformofequitycompensation.Itisarguablytooearly
tojudgewhetherthepost2001periodconstitutesathirdregimeinCEOcompensation,orjusta
temporaryanomalycausedbythetechnologybustof200001andthefinancialcrisisof2008.
Section2:ThesensitivityofCEOwealthtofirmperformance
Theprincipalagentproblembetween shareholders and executiveshasbeen a central concern
ever since the separation of corporate ownership from corporate control at the turn of the
twentieth century (Berle &Means 1932). Ifmanagers are selfinterested and if shareholders
cannotperfectly
monitor
them
(or
do
not
know
the
best
course
of
action),
executives
are
likely
to
pursue their ownwellbeing at the expense of shareholder value. Anecdotal and quantitative
evidenceonexecutivesperquisiteconsumption,empirebuilding,andpreferenceforaquite life
6 See Almazan & Suarez (2003), Manso (2009), and Inderst & Mueller (2009) for models of optimal
severancepay.
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suggeststhattheprincipalagentproblem ispotentiallyhighlydetrimentaltofirmvalues(Jensen
&Meckling1976,Jensen1986,Morcketal.1990,Bertrand&Mullainathan2003).
Executivecompensation
can
be
used
to
partly
alleviate
the
agency
problem
by
aligning
managers
interestswith thoseof shareholders (Jensen&Meckling1976). Inprinciple,anexecutivespay
shouldbebasedonthemostinformativeindicator(s)forwhethertheexecutivehastakenactions
thatmaximize shareholder value (Holmstrm1979,1982). In reality,because shareholders are
unlikelytoknowwhichactionsarevaluemaximizing,incentivecontractsareoftendirectlybased
ontheprincipalsultimateobjective,i.e.,shareholdervalue.7Byeffectivelygrantingtheexecutive
anownershipstakeinherfirm,equitylinkedcompensationcreatesincentivestotakeactionsthat
benefitshareholders.Theoptimalcontractbalancestheprovisionof incentivesagainstexposing
riskaversemanagerstotoomuchvolatility intheirpay.Thedatareviewed inthissectionshow
thatthesensitivityofCEOwealthtofirmperformancesurgedinthe1990s,mostlyduetorapidly
growingoptionholdings.Atthesametime,mostCEOsfractionalequityownershipremainslow,
whichsuggeststhatmoralhazardproblemsremainrelevant.
2.1Quantifyingmanagerialincentives
Measuring the incentiveeffectsofCEO compensationhasbeen a centralgoalof the literature
since at least the 1950s. Early studies focused on identifying the measure of firm scale or
performance (e.g., sales,profits,ormarket capitalization) thatbest explainsdifferences in the
level of pay across firms (Roberts 1956, Lewellen&Huntsman 1970). The next generation of
studiestriedtoquantifymanagerialincentivesbyrelatingchangesinexecutivepaytostockprice
performance (Murphy 1985, Coughlan & Schmidt 1985). Although these studies found the
7Inpractice,CEOcompensationislinkedtobothstockpricesandaccountingperformance.Becausestock
pricesareanoisymeasureofCEOperformance,itcanbeoptimaltosupplementthemwithothervariables
thatinformaboutCEOactions(Holmstrm1979,Lambert&Larker1987,Baker1992).
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predictedpositive relationshipbetweenexecutive compensation and shareholder returns, they
systematicallyunderestimatedthe levelof incentivesbyfocusingoncurrentpay(Benston1985,
Murphy1985).Mostexecutiveshaveconsiderablestockandoptionholdings in theiremployer,
which directly tie their wealth to their employers stock price performance. For the typical
executive, thedirectwealthchangescausedbystockpricemovementsareseveraltimes larger
thanthecorrespondingchangesintheirannualpay.
Acomprehensivemeasureof incentivesshouldtakeallpossible linksbetweenfirmperformance
andCEOwealth intoaccount.These links includetheeffectsofcurrentperformanceoncurrent
and future compensation,on the valuesof stock andoptionholdings,on changes innonfirm
wealth,andontheprobabilitythattheCEOisdismissed.Jensen&Murphy(1990a)arethefirstto
integratemost of these effects in a study of large publiclytradedU.S. firms for the 197486
period.TheyfindanincreaseinCEOwealthofonly$3.25forevery$1,000increaseinfirmvalue,
andconcludethatcorporateAmericapaysitsCEOslikebureaucrats(Jensen&Murphy1990b).
Table2reproduces
the
Jensen
&
Murphy
result
using
data
from
1936
to
2005
for
the
top
3
executivesinlargeU.S.firms. TocalculatetheJensenMurphymeasureofincentives(thedollar
changeinwealthforadollarchangeinfirmvalue,orsimplythefractionalequityownership),we
follow the literatureanduse twoapproximations:First,we consideronly changes inexecutive
wealth thataredrivenby revaluationsofstockandoptionholdings.Thischannelhasswamped
the incentives provided by annual changes in pay formost of the twentieth century (Hall &
Liebman 1998, Frydman & Saks 2010). Second, we follow Core & Guay (2002a) and use an
approximationtomeasurethesensitivityofexecutivesoptionportfoliostothestockprice.
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Column1showsthatthefractionalequityownershipofthemedianexecutivedeclinedsharplyin
the 1940s, recovered in thenext two decades, and shrank again in the 1970s. Although this
measureof incentiveshas increasedrapidlysincethe1980s, its levelhasyettorecover itspre
WorldWarIIvalue.Figure3zoomsinonthemorerecentevolutionofmedianCEOincentivesin
S&P 500 firms from 1992 to 2005. Consistent with the longrun sample, the JensenMurphy
fractional ownership statistic has steadily increased: in 1992, a typical S&P 500 CEO receives
about$3.70fora$1,000increaseinfirmvalue;by2005,hergainwouldbealmost$6.40.
In contrast to Jensen & Murphy (1990a), Hall & Liebman (1998) dispute the view that CEO
incentivesarewidelyinefficientontwogrounds.First,theincreaseinstockoptioncompensation
since the1980shas substantially strengthened the linkbetweenCEOwealthandperformance.
Second,theyarguethatthechangesinwealthcausedbytypicalchangesinfirmvalueareinfact
large. Even though executives fractional equity holdings are small, the dollar values of their
equitystakesarenot.Asaresult,thetypicalexecutivestandstogainmillionsfromimprovingfirm
performance.Hall&Liebmanpropose thedollarchange inwealth forapercentagechange in
firmvalue,i.e.,thevalueofequityatstake,asmeasureofCEO incentives.Column2ofTable2
reportsthemedianequityatstakestatisticforthetop3executivesinlargeU.S.firmsfrom1936
to2005.WhileHallLiebmansequityatstakefollowsasimilarpatternofupsanddownsasthe
JensenMurphymeasureovertime,itpaintsaverydifferentpictureofthestrengthofincentives
towardstheendofthesampleperiod.Basedonequityatstake,incentiveshavebeenhigherthan
their
1930s
level
in
every
decade
since
the
1960s,
reaching
a
peak
in
the
2000
05
period
at
12
timestheir level inthe193640period. Thesharpest increase in incentivesoccurredduringthe
1990sand2000s. ForS&P500firms,Figure3showsthatthevalueofequityatstakeforatypical
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CEO increasedmore than fourfold, from $144,000 per 1% increase in firm value in 1992 to
$683,000in2005.
Thejuxtaposition
of
the
Jensen
Murphy
(1990a)
and
Hall
Liebman
(1998)
findings
highlights
that
alternativemeasures of payperformance sensitivities can lead to very different views on the
magnitudeof incentives.Thedivergence in the levelof these two incentivemeasures in recent
years ismostly due to the growth in firm values over time: Executives tend to own smaller
percentage (and largerdollar) stakes in larger firms,with the result that firm growth leads to
lowerfractionalownershipincentivesbuthigherequityatstakeincentives(Garen1994,Schaefer
1998,Baker&Hall2004,Edmansetal.2009).8Nevertheless,bothmeasuresrosefromthe1970s
to the 2000s despite further increases in firm size, mostly due to rapidly increasing option
holdings. By 200005, themedian largefirm executive holds stock optionsworth $7.2million,
significantlylargerthanherstockholdingsof$5million,andalmost30timesheroptionholdings
in197079(columns3and4ofTable2).
Tosummarize,
executives
monetary
gains
from
atypical
improvement
in
firm
value
were
sizeable
formostofthetwentiethcenturyand increasedrapidly inthe lastthreedecades.Ontheother
hand,executivesfractionalequityownershiphasalwaysbeenlow,andisevenlowertodaythan
in the1930s.Becauseof theseconflicting signalsaboutexecutives incentives,weexamine the
meritsofthedifferentincentivemeasuresinmoredetailnext.
2.2What
is
the
right
measure
of
the
wealth
performance
relationship?
8Controllingforfirmsize leadstoan increasingpattern inboth incentivemeasuresovertime(Hadlock&
Lumer1997,Frydman&Saks2010).
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The rightmeasureofCEO incentiveshasbeen the subjectof a longdebate in the academic
literature.9 In recent theoreticalwork, Baker&Hall (2004) show that the correctmeasure of
incentives depends on howCEO behavior affects firm value. In amodified agencymodel that
allowsthemarginalproductofCEOactionstovarywiththevalue(orsize)ofthefirm,thelevelof
CEOincentivesdependsonthetypeofCEOactivityconsidered.TheJensenMurphystatisticisthe
rightmeasureofincentivesforactivitieswhosedollarimpactisthesameregardlessofthesizeof
the firm, such as acquiring an unnecessary corporate jet or overpaying for an acquisition.
Conversely,thevalueofequityatstakeistherightmeasureofincentivesforactionswhoseeffect
scaleswith firm size, such as a corporate reorganization. Since CEOs engage in both types of
activities,bothmeasuresof incentivesare importantand shouldbe lookedat independently.10
ThehighvaluesofequityatstakeandthelowfractionalownershiplevelsinFigure3suggestthat
todaysCEOsarewellmotivatedtooptimallyreorganizetheirfirm,butmaystillfinditoptimalto
wastemoneyoncorporatejets.
2.3Areincentivessetoptimally?
9 See, among others, Jensen&Murphy (1990a), Joskow& Rose (1994),Garen (1994), Hall& Liebman
(1998),Murphy(1999),Baker&Hall(2004),andEdmansetal.(2009).Measuringoptionincentivesasthe
sensitivityofwealthtoperformanceisproblematicforriskaverseCEOs.Optionstendtopayoffinstatesin
whichmarginalutilityisalreadylow,whichmeansthattheactualincentivescreatedforagivensensitivity
aremuchsmallerforoptionsthanforstock(Jenter2002).10
Athird incentivemeasure istheelasticityofCEOwealthtoperformance(i.e.,thepercentagechange in
wealthfor
aone
percent
improvement
in
firm
value).
This
statistic
has
the
attractive
feature
of
not
being
sensitivetochangesinfirmsize(Murphy1985,Rosen1992),andisthecorrectmeasureofincentiveswhen
theeffortchoiceof theCEOhasamultiplicativeeffectonbothCEOutilityand firmvalue (Edmansetal.
2009).WithCEOsnonfirmwealthunobservable,theelasticityhasthedisadvantageofbeingmechanically
closetoonewhenonlyconsideringtherevaluationsofstockandstockoptionholdingsassourcesofchange
inCEOwealth. Intheextreme,thismeasureiszeroforanexecutivewithnoequityholdings,andequalto
one (or theoptiondelta) if theexecutiveholdsat leastone share (oneoption). Inpractice, researchers
resorttoapproximationstothiselasticitybyscalingtheabsolutechangeinwealthbyannualpay(Edmans
etal.2009)orbythesumofpayandtheequityportfolioheld(Hall&Liebman1998,Frydman&Saks2010).
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Determining whether observed compensation contracts optimally address the moral hazard
problembetweenshareholdersandCEOsisdifficult.11Theoptimalincentivestrengthdependson
parameters that areunobservable, such as themarginalproduct of CEO effort, the CEOs risk
aversion,theCEOscostofeffort,andtheCEOsoutsidewealth.Thesefreevariablesmakeiteasy
to develop versions of the principalagent model that are consistent with a wide range of
empiricalpatterns.Forexample,Garen(1994)andHaubrich(1994)showthatthe lowfractional
ownershipstakeslamentedbyJensen&Murphy(1990a)areconsistentwithoptimalcontracting
if CEOs are sufficiently risk averse. Given the flexibility of the agencymodel,most empirical
studiesfocusinsteadontestingpredictionsaboutcrosssectionaldeterminantsofCEOincentives
oraboutthemodelscomparativestatics.
In the basic principalagent model, the optimal level of incentives declines with the cost of
managerialeffort,thenoisetosignalratiooftheperformancemeasure,andtheexecutivesrisk
aversion.Consistentwiththesecomparativestatics,thevariation inCEO incentivesacross firms
appearstobepartlyexplainedbythevarianceinstockreturns,arguablyaproxyforthenoisein
the outcomemeasure (Garen 1994, Aggarwal& Samwick 1999a, Himmelberg et al. 1999, Jin
2002,Garvey&Milbourn2003).12 Also,wealthierCEOs,whoarelikelytobelessriskaverse,have
higherpoweredincentives(Garen1994,Becker2006).
EmpiricalevidenceonotherpredicteddeterminantsofCEOincentivesisinconclusive.Lambert&
Larcker (1987) argue that compensation should be more closely tied to stock prices when
accountingperformanceisrelativelynoisier.Eventhoughthereisconsistentevidenceforsalaries
11 The determination is made more difficult by the fact that executive pay may be linked to firm
performanceforotherreasons, includingsortingofexecutives(Lazear2004)andefficientbargainingover
profits(Blanchfloweretal.1996).12
In contrast, Core & Guay (2002b) find a positive correlation between stockprice variance and pay
performancesensitivity,contrarytothepredictionsofthebasicmodel.
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andbonuses(Lambert&Larcker1987)andoptionpay(Yermack1995,Bryanetal.2000),Core,
Guay&Verrecchia (2003) find theopposite result for totalCEOpay.Gibbons&Murphy (1992)
predictthatincentivesshouldbestrongestforCEOsclosetoretirementtosubstitutefordeclining
careerconcerns,andfindconsistentevidenceforcashcompensation.Yermack(1995)andBryan
etal.(2000),ontheotherhand,findnoevidencethatCEOsnearretirementreceiveorholdmore
stockoptions.John& John (1993)predictanegative relationbetweenexecutive incentivesand
leverageasfirmstrytoavoidagencycostsofdebt,butYermack(1995)findsnoempiricalrelation
betweenstockoptiongrantsand leverage.Finally,somestudiesreportevidenceconsistentwith
theconjecturethat incentives,andespeciallyequity incentives,shouldbestronger infirmswith
greatergrowthopportunities (Smith&Watts1992,Gaver&Gaver1995),whileothers reporta
negativecorrelationbetweenthesetwovariables(Bizjaketal.1993,Yermack1995).
Finally, a central prediction of the principalagent model is the use of relative performance
evaluation forCEOs.Holmstrm (1982)andDiamond&Verrecchia (1982)argue that contracts
shouldfilteroutanysystematic(e.g.,marketorindustry)componentsinmeasuredperformance,
as executives cannot affect these components but suffer from bearing the associated risk.
Consistentwiththisprescription,bonusplansfrequentlylinktheirpayoutstotheperformanceof
thefirmrelativetoanindustrybenchmark.However,theoverallevidencefortheeffectiveuseof
relativeperformanceevaluationisweak.13Thereasonisthatwealthperformancesensitivitiesare
drivenby revaluationsof (nonindexed) stockandoptionholdings.14Asa result,CEOwealth is
strongly
and
seemingly
unnecessarily
affected
by
aggregate
performance
shocks.
Several
recent
13See,amongothers,Murphy(1985),Coughlan&Schmidt(1985),Antle&Smith(1986),Gibbons&Murphy
(1990),Janakiramanetal.(1992),Garen(1994),Aggarwal&Samwick(1999a,b),andMurphy(1999).14
Recentevidenceshowsthatsomefirmslinkthevestingofoptionandstockawardstofirmperformance
relativetoapeergroup(Bettisetal.2010a).
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papers,however,haveproposed theories thatexplain the lackofbenchmarkingasanefficient
contractingoutcome.15
2.4Brief
summary
Since Jensen&Murphy (1990a),ourunderstandingof the linkbetween firmperformance and
CEOcompensationhas improvedsubstantially.The longrunevidenceshowsthatcompensation
arrangementshaveserved totiethewealthofmanagersto firmperformanceandperhaps to
alignmanagerswith shareholders interestsformost of the twentieth century.Much of the
effectofperformanceonCEOwealthworks through revaluationsofstockandoptionholdings,
ratherthanthroughchangesinannualpay.ThesensitivityofCEOwealthtoperformancesurged
in the 1990s, mostly due to rapidly growing option portfolios. In contrast, the typical CEOs
fractionalequityownership remains low, suggestinga continuedneed fordirectmonitoringby
boardsandinvestors.
Section3:
Explaining
CEO
compensation:
Rent
extraction
or
competitive
pay?
The rapid rise in CEO pay over the past 30 years has sparked a lively debate about the
determinantsofexecutivecompensation.Atoneendofthespectrum,thehighlevelsofCEOpay
areseenastheresultofexecutivesabilitytosettheirownpayandextractrentsfromthefirms
theymanage.Attheotherendofthespectrum,CEOpayisviewedastheefficientoutcomeofa
labormarket
in
which
firms
optimally
compete
for
managerial
talent.
Many
other
explanations
for
theriseinCEOpayhaveemergedinrecentyears,andthedebateistooextensivetodoitjustice
15 Aggarwal& Samwick (1999b), Himmelberg& Hubbard (2000), and Gopalan et al. (2009) argue that
benchmarkingmaynotbeoptimal,andJin(2002),Jenter(2002),andGarvey&Milbourn(2003)thatitmay
beunnecessary.
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inthisreview.Instead,wedividethetheoriesintothosethatviewrisingcompensationasarent
extractionproblem,andthosethatview itastheefficientoutcomeofamarketmechanism.We
briefly summarize themain theoretical arguments for these two views and then discuss the
empiricalevidence.
3.1TheoreticalexplanationsfortheriseinCEOpay
The rentextractionviewposits thatweak corporategovernanceandacquiescentboardsallow
CEOs to (at least partly) determine their own pay, resulting in inefficiently high levels of
compensation. This theory, summarized as the managerial power hypothesis by Bebchuk&
Fried(2004),alsopredictsthatmuchoftherentextractionoccursthroughformsofpaythatare
less observable or more difficult to value, such as stock options, perquisites, pensions, and
severancepay.Whilethisargument is intuitive,recenttheoreticalworkexploreshow inefficient
compensationcanbesustainedinmarketequilibrium.Kuhnen&Zwiebel(2009)modelCEOswho
settheirownpay,withbothobservableandunobservablecomponents,subjecttotheconstraint
that too much rent extraction will get them ousted. Rent extraction survives in equilibrium
because firing is costly and because a replacement CEO can also extract rents. Others have
explored how CEO compensation is determined if there are both firmswith strong andweak
governanceintheeconomy.Acharya&Volpin(2010)andDicks(2010)showthatfirmswithweak
governance (and therefore higher compensation) impose a negative externality on better
governedfirmsthroughthecompetitionformanagers,inducing inefficientlyhighlevelsofpayin
all
firms.
Incontrast to themanagerialpowerhypothesis,agrowing literatureargues that thegrowth in
CEOpay is theefficient resultof increasingdemand forCEOeffortorscarcemanagerial talent.
Onesetof theories in thisveinattributes the rise inCEOpay to increasing firm sizesand scale
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effects.IfhigherCEOtalentismorevaluableinlargerfirms,thenlargerfirmsshouldofferhigher
levelsofpay andbematchedwithmore ableCEOsby an efficient labormarket (Rosen1981,
1982).SmallincrementsinCEOtalentcanimplylargeincrementsinfirmvalueandcompensation
duetothescaleofoperationsundertheCEOscontrol(Himmelberg&Hubbard2000).Gabaix&
Landier(2008)andTervi(2008)developthisideafurtherbysolvingcompetitiveandfrictionless
assignmentmodels forCEOsunder the assumption thatmanagerial talenthas amultiplicative
effectonfirmoutput.Inthisframework,andusingspecificassumptionsaboutthedistributionof
CEOtalent,Gabaix&LandiershowthatCEOpayshouldmoveoneforonewithchanges inthe
sizeof the typical firm.Thus, theyargue thatthesixfold increase inaverageCEOpaybetween
1980and2003canbefullyexplainedbythesixfoldincreaseinaveragemarketcapitalizationover
thatperiod.
Asecondsetoftheoriesproposesthatchangesinfirmscharacteristics,technologies,andproduct
marketsoverthe last30yearshave increasedtheeffectofCEOeffortandtalentonfirmvalue,
andthereforealsotheoptimallevelsofincentivesandpay.Forexample,anincreaseinfirmsize
raisestheoptimal levelofCEOeffort,andthus incentives, ifthemarginalproductofCEOeffort
increases with the size of the firm (Himmelberg & Hubbard 2000, Baker & Hall 2004).
Alternatively, the productivity ofmanagerial effort and talentmay have increased because of
more intensecompetitionduetoderegulationorentryby foreignfirms (Hubbard&Palia1995,
Cuat&Guadalupe2009a,b),becauseofimprovementsinthecommunicationstechnologiesused
by
managers
(Garicano
&
Rossi
Hansberg
2006),
or
because
of
higher
volatility
in
the
business
environment(Dow&Raposo2005,Campbelletal.2001).Finally,moralhazardproblemsmaybe
moresevereinlargerfirms,resultinginstrongerincentivesforCEOsasfirmsgrow(Gayle&Miller
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2009). Independently of their cause, higherpowered incentives have to be accompanied by
higherlevelsofexpectedpaytocompensatemanagersforthegreaterriskintheircompensation.
Athird
market
based
explanation
for
the
growth
in
CEO
pay
is
ashift
in
the
type
of
skills
demanded by firms from firmspecific to generalmanagerial skills. Such a shift intensifies the
competition for talent, improves the outside options of executives, and allows managers to
capturealargerfractionoftheirfirmsrents(Murphy&Zbojnk2004,2007,Frydman2007).This
theorypredictsanincreaseinthelevelofCEOpay,risinginequalityamongexecutiveswithinand
acrossfirms,andahigherfractionofCEOshiredfromoutsidethefirm.
Finally,a fourthmarketbasedexplanationproposes that thegrowth inCEOpay istheresultof
stricter corporate governance and improved monitoring of CEOs by boards and large
shareholders.Hermalin(2005)showsthat,ifCEOjobstabilityisnegativelyaffectedbyanincrease
inmonitoring intensity,firmsoptimallyrespondby increasingthe levelofCEOpay.Accordingto
this theory, theobserved rise inpayshouldbeaccompaniedbymoreCEO turnover,astronger
linkbetween
CEO
turnover
and
firm
performance,
and
more
external
CEO
hires.
However,
an
economywide strengthening of governancemay not lead to higher pay in equilibrium if the
change also causes CEOs outside opportunities to become less appealing (Edmans & Gabaix
2010).
3.2Theempiricalevidence
Manyof
the
theories
described
above
have
been
developed
to
explain
the
rise
in
CEO
compensationandtheuseofequitylinkedpaysincethe1970s.Itisthereforenotsurprisingthat
manyofthemdoagoodjobfittingsomeofthemajorstylizedfactsandcrosssectionalpatterns.
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However,asweargueinthissection,thesetheorieshavetroubleexplainingCEOcompensationin
earlierdecades,aswellasrecentcrosssectionalpatternstheywerenotdesignedtomatch.
3.2.1Evidence
for
and
against
the
managerial
power
hypothesis
ThemanagerialpowerviewofCEOcompensationissupportedbyseveralpiecesofanecdotaland
systematicevidence.Forexample, thewidespreaduseof stealth compensation isdifficult to
explain ifcompensationweresimply theefficientoutcomeofanoptimalcontract.Even though
perks, pensions, and severance pay can be part of optimal compensation, hiding these
compensationelementsfromshareholdersissuggestiveofrentextraction(Bebchuk&Fried2004,
Kuhnen&Zwiebel2009).Similarly, thewidespreadpracticeofexecutiveshedgingexposures to
theirown firm, againwithminimal disclosure, isdifficult tojustify (Bettis et al. 2001, 2010b).
RentextractionisalsosuggestedbytheobservationthatCEOsarefrequentlyrewardedforlucky
eventsthatarenotundertheircontrol(suchasanimprovingeconomy)butnotequallypenalized
forunluckyevents (Bertrand&Mullainathan2001,Garvey&Milbourn2006).16Finally,CEOpay
increasesfollowingexogenousreductionsintakeoverthreats(Bertrand&Mullainathan1998)and
decreases following regulatory changes that strengthen board oversight (Chhaochharia &
Grinstein2009).
A furthersuggestivepieceofevidence forthemanagerialpowerhypothesis istherevelationof
widespread options backdating and spring loading. Yermack (1997) observes that stock prices
tend to rise subsequent tooption grants, suggesting thatpowerfulCEOs are awardedoptions
rightbeforethereleaseofpositivenews(socalledspringloading).Recentevidenceshowsthat
spring loading alone isnot sufficient toexplain the stockpricepatterns aroundoption grants.
16 Jenter&Kanaan (2008) show thatCEOsaremore likely tobe firedafterbad industryorbadmarket
performance,whichindicatesthatsomeCEOsarepenalizedforbadluck.
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Instead,many grantsmusthavehad their grantdates chosenexpost tominimize the strike
priceofatthemoneyoptionsandmaximizetheirvaluetoexecutives(Lie2005,Heron&Lie2007,
Narayanan & Seyhun 2008). Such backdating of options appears to have been widespread,
affectingabout30%offirmsfrom1996to2005 (Heron&Lie2009),andwasmoreprevalent in
firmswithweak boards and strong chief executives (Bebchuk et al. 2010). However, option
backdatingmayalsoariseduetoboardsdesiretoavoidaccountingchargesandearningsdilution.
ItremainstobeshownthatbackdatingwasinfactassociatedwithrentextractionbyCEOs.
Apotentcriticismof themanagerialpowerhypothesis is that it isunable toexplain the steady
increaseinCEOcompensationsincethe1970s.Thereisscantevidencethatcorporategovernance
has weakened over the last 30 years; instead, most indicators show that governance has
considerably strengthenedover thisperiod (Holmstrm&Kaplan2001,Hermalin2005,Kaplan
2008).Moreover,awardingpaybyallowingmanagerstoextractsomerentscanbeoptimal if
monitoring iscostly.Inequilibrium,rentextractionmaybecompensatedforthroughreductions
inother formsofpay, thusnot leading tohigher total compensation.Consequently,observing
that a CEO receives forms of pay usually associatedwith rent extraction does not necessarily
implythattheCEOscompensationexceedsthecompetitivelevel.
Indefenseofthemanagerialpowerhypothesis,itispossiblethatthedesireorabilityofmanagers
toextractrents(and increasetheirtotalpay)onlyemergedassocialnormsagainstunequalpay
weakened.Piketty&Saez(2003)arguethatsuchashift insocialnormshelpsexplaintherise in
CEOpayandthewideningincomeinequalityinthepastthreedecades,andLevy&Temin(2007)
relate this change in norms to the dismantling of institutions and government policies that
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preventedextremepayoutcomesfromWorldWarIItothe1970s.17Alternatively,theincreasing
popularityofstockoptions,coupledwithboardslimitedunderstandingofoptionvaluation,may
haveallowedmanagers tocamouflage their rentextractionasefficient incentivecompensation
(Hall&Murphy2003,Bebchuk&Fried2004).
3.2.2Evidenceforandagainstcompetitivepay
Marketbased andoptimal contractingexplanations for the rise inCEOpayhave also received
considerable empirical support. For example, the stock market tends to react positively to
announcementsofcompensationplansthatintroducelongtermincentivepayorlinkpaytostock
prices(Larcker1983,Morgan&Poulsen2001).Consistentwithacompetitivelabormarket,CEOs
of higher ability (identified through better performance) tend to receive higher compensation
(Graham et al. 2009). Moreover, changes in product markets appear to have increased the
demand for managerial talent and raised CEO pay. Hubbard & Palia (1995) and Cuat &
Guadalupe (2009a) document higher pay levels and payperformance sensitivities following
industry deregulations, and Cuat & Guadalupe (2009b) show that pay levels and incentives
increase when firms face more import penetration. While these exogenous changes in the
contractingenvironmenthavethepredictedeffectsonmanagerialpay,theestimatedmagnitudes
aremodest,leavingalargefractionofthesharpriseinCEOpayunexplained.
The idea that firmsdemand forCEO skillshas shifted from firmspecific togeneralmanagerial
human capitalhas theadvantageofpredictingnotonlyan increase in compensation,butalso
changes in pay dispersion and managerial mobility that are consistent with the empirical
evidence.Asdescribed inSection1,thepastthreedecadeshaveseenamarked increase inthe
17However,FrydmanandMolloy (2010)suggest thatchanges in thehigh tax ratesprevalentduring this
periodhadatmostmodestshortruneffectsonexecutivepay.
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differences in executive paybetween large and small firms, andbetween CEOs andother top
executives.Over the sameperiod, the ratioofnewCEOs appointed fromoutside the firmhas
risensharply,topexecutiveshavebecomemoremobileacrosssectors,theirbusinessexperiences
havebecomemorediverse,andthefractionofCEOswithanMBAhasrisen(Murphy&Zbojnk
2007,Frydman2007,Schoar2008).However,thesechangesinmanagersbackgroundsandskills
appeartohaveoccurredslowlyovertime(Frydman2007),andthemagnitudeandtimingofthe
changesmaynotbelargeorquickenoughtoexplaintherapidaccelerationinCEOcompensation
sincethe1980s.
As detailed in Section 3.1,Hermalin (2005) argues that risingCEOpay is the result of stricter
monitoringofCEOsbyboards and large shareholders.Thisview isbroadly consistentwith the
empiricalevidence.Thefractionofoutsidedirectorsonboardsandthelevelofinstitutionalstock
ownershiphaveincreasedsincethe1970s(Husonetal.2001),whileCEOturnovershavebecome
morefrequent(Kaplan&Minton2008)andcloselylinkedtofirmperformance(Jenter&Lewellen
2010).Whilethesetrendsaresuggestive,thereisnodirectevidencethatchangesingovernance
causedthesurge inCEOpay,orthataddedpressureonCEOscanaccountforthemagnitudeof
thepayincrease.
Finally,theoriesbasedontheinteractionoffirmscalewiththedemandforCEOtalentfindtheir
strongestempiricalsupportinthecorrelatedincreasesinfirmvalueandCEOpaysincethe1970s.
Gabaix&Landier(2008)calibratetheircompetitivemodelofCEOtalentassignmentandfindthat
thegrowth inthesizeofthetypicalfirm(measuredbythemarketvalueofthemedianS&P500
firm)canexplaintheentiregrowthinCEOcompensationfrom1980tothepresent.However,this
resulthasbeen criticized in several studies.Frydman&Saks (2010) show that the relationship
betweenfirmsizeandCEOpayishighlysensitivetothetimeperiodchosen,asthiscorrelationis
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almostnonexistent from the1940s to theearly1970s.Moreover, thepost1970s relationship
maynotberobusttodifferentsampleselectionchoices(Nagel2010).Finally,sinceboththesize
ofthetypicalfirmandCEOcompensationhavetrendedupwardssincethe1970s,itisdifficultto
determinewhethertherelationshipbetweenthesetwovariablesiscausal.
A seconddifficulty formodels of frictionless CEO assignment is the empirical scarcityof CEOs
movingbetweenfirms.ThemodelsofGabaix&Landier(2008)andTervi(2008)predictthat,at
anypointintime,amoretalentedCEOshouldrunalargerfirm.Consequently,anychangesinthe
sizerankoffirmsshouldleadtoCEOsswitchingfirms.Inreality,CEOsstayatonefirmforseveral
yearsandrarelymovedirectlyfromoneCEOpositiontothenext.Althoughitisstraightforwardto
augmentacompetitiveassignmentmodelwitha fixedcostofCEO replacement, the fixed cost
would need to exceed the effects of differences in CEO talent. A large fixed cost of CEO
replacementcreateslargematchspecificrentsthatapowerfulCEOcouldcapture,fundamentally
changingtheexplanationforhighlevelsofCEOpaytoonerelatedtomanagerialpower(Bebchuk
&Fried2004,Kuhnen&Zwiebel2009).
3.3Briefsummary
Ourreadingoftheevidencesuggeststhatbothmanagerialpowerandcompetitivemarketforces
are importantdeterminantsofCEOpay,andthatneitherapproachalone isfullyconsistentwith
theavailableevidence.Ontheonehand,severalcompensationpractices,aswellasspecificcases
ofoutrageousandhighlypublicizedpaypackages, indicatethat(at leastsome)CEOsareableto
extractrentsfromtheirfirms.Ontheotherhand,efficientcontractingexplanationsarearguably
more successful at explaining differences in pay practices across firms and at explaining the
evolution of CEO pay since the 1970s. However, none of theories provides a fully convincing
explanationfortheapparentregimechangeinCEOcompensationthatoccurredduringthe1970s.
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Moreover,bothapproachesfailtoexplaintheexplosivegrowthofoptionsinthe1990sandtheir
recent decline in favor of restricted stock, which may be in part a response to changes in
accountingpractices. While it ispossible thatacombinationof theproposedexplanationscan
explain the changes in CEO pay in recent decades, the relative importance of the different
theoriesremainsanopenquestion.
Section4:TheeffectofcompensationonCEObehaviorandfirmvalue
Thedebate
about
the
nature
of
the
pay
setting
process
and
the
recent
financial
crisis
have
createdrenewedinterestintheeffectsofcompensationonCEObehaviorandfirmperformance.
Most concerns aboutmanagerial paywould be alleviated if high levels of CEO pay and high
wealthperformance sensitivities led to better performance and higher firm values. However,
providingconvincingevidenceontheeffectsofexecutivepayisextraordinarilydifficult.
Themain
problem
with
measuring
the
effects
of
compensation
is
one
of
identification.
Compensation arrangements are the endogenousoutcomeof a complexprocess involving the
CEO,thecompensationcommittee,thefullboardofdirectors,compensationconsultants,andthe
managerial labormarket.As a result, compensation arrangements are correlatedwith a large
numberofobservable andunobservable firm andCEO characteristics.Thismakes itextremely
difficult to interpret any observed correlation between executive pay and firm outcomes as
evidenceof
acausal
relationship.
For
example,
CEO
pay
and
firm
performance
may
be
correlated
becausecompensationaffectsperformance,becausefirmperformanceaffectspay,orbecausean
unobservedfirmorCEOcharacteristicaffectsbothvariables.
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4.1:TherelationbetweenCEOincentivesandfirmvalue
The relationbetweenmanagerial incentivesand firmvalue isoneof the fundamental issues in
compensationresearch.Moststudies focusonwhethermanagerialequity incentivesaffect firm
value,oftenmeasuredasTobinsQ. Inan influential study,Morcketal. (1988)document that
firmvalueincreaseswithmanagerialownershipifmanagersownbetween0and5%ofthefirms
equity,decreasesifmanagersownbetween5and25%,andincreasesagain(weakly)forholdings
above25%.Oneinterpretationoftheirfindingsisthattheinitialpositiveeffectreflectsimproving
incentives,andthesubsequentnegativeeffect increasingmanagerialentrenchmentandactions
adversetominorityshareholders.Usingtwo largercrosssectionsoffirms,McConnell&Servaes
(1990) find that firm value increases until the equity ownership by managers and directors
exceeds40to50%ofsharesoutstanding.
Subsequentstudieshaveexaminedhowdifferentaspectsofexecutivesequity incentivesrelate
tofirmvalue,withmixedresults.Forexample,Mehran(1995) findsthat firmvalue ispositively
relatedtomanagersfractionalstockownershipandtothefractionofequitybasedpay.Habib&
Ljungqvist (2005) observe a positive association of firm valuewith CEO stock holdings, but a
negativeonewithoptionholdings.Manyotherstudiesfailtofindanyrelationshipbetweenfirm
value and executives equity stakes (e.g., Agrawal & Knoeber 1996, Himmelberg et al. 1999,
Demsetz&Villalonga2001).Sinceequityholdingsaremanagersandboardsdecision,noneof
thesecorrelationscanbeinterpretedascausal.
Several studies use instrumental variables to address the endogeneity of managers equity
incentives (e.g.,Hermalin&Weisbach1991,Himmelbergetal.1999,Palia2001).However, as
pointed out by Himmelberg et al., valid instruments formanagerial ownership are extremely
difficulttoobtain,becauseallknowndeterminantsofownershiparealso likelydeterminantsof
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Tobins Q.18 Because of the lack of credible instruments, this literature has been unable to
convincinglyidentifythecausaleffectsofmanagerialincentivesonfirmvalue.
4.2The
relation
between
CEO
incentives
and
firm
behavior
Incentive compensation should motivate managers to make sound business decisions that
increaseshareholdervalue.Toassesswhetherexistingcompensationarrangementsachievethis
goal,alargeliteraturestudiestherelationshipbetweenexecutivecompensationandcompanies
investmentdecisionsandfinancialpolicies.
Manyof
the
early
studies
in
this
literature
focus
on
accounting
based
long
term
incentive
plans.
Theintroductionofsuchplanshasbeenlinkedto,amongothers,increasesincapitalinvestment
(Larcker1983)andimprovementsinprofitability(Kumar&Sopariwala1992).Morerecentstudies
shifttheirfocustomanagersstockandoptionholdings.Equity incentiveshavebeenconnected
to awide varietyofoutcomes, includingbetteroperatingperformance (Core& Larcker2002),
moreandbetteracquisitions(Dattaetal.2001,Cai&Vijh2007),largerrestructuringsandlayoffs
(Dial&
Murphy
1995,
Brookman
et
al.
2007),
and
more
voluntary
liquidations
(Mehran
et
al.
1998).Executivestockoptions,whichareusuallynotdividendprotected,havealsobeenlinkedto
lowerdividends(Lambertetal.1989)andtoashiftfromdividendstosharerepurchases(Fenn&
Liang2001).Finally,asizeable literaturestudiestherelationshipbetweenmanagerial incentives
andcorporaterisktaking.Theresultssuggestthatstrongerequityincentivesareassociatedwith
18Somepaperstrytoaccountfortheendogeneityofmanagerialownershipbyestimatingasimultaneous
equation system.However, thisapproach requiresat leastasmanyexogenous variablesasendogenous
variablesinthemodel,leavingthechallengesinfindingvalidinstrumentsunsolved.
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less risk taking,whileconvexity inexecutivesportfoliosdue tooptions iscorrelatedwithmore
risktaking.19
4.3Incentive
compensation
and
manipulation
Any form of incentive compensation entails the danger that managers may manipulate the
performance measure.20 Consistent with this prediction, several studies link earningsbased
bonusplanstoearningsmanagement,especiallyifrealizedearningsareclosetofloorsandcapsin
the bonus schedule (Healy 1985,Holthausen et al. 1995). Firms also seem tomanipulate the
disclosure of information around CEO option awards, delaying the release of good news and
accelerating the disclosure of bad news (Aboody & Kasznik 2000). Finally, a series of recent
studies document a positive correlation between CEOs equity incentives and earnings
manipulation(Cheng&Warfield2005,Bergstresser&Philippon2006,Burns&Kedia2006,Efendi
etal.2007,Peng&Rell2008,Johnsonetal.2009).However,thereisdisagreementaboutwhich
partofCEOsequity incentives is the culprit,with some studies linkingmanipulation tooption
(butnot stock) incentives, andothers linkingmanipulation to stockholdings (butnotoptions).
Moreover,theevidenceforaconnectionbetweenequityincentivesandaccountingirregularities
isnotunanimous.Ericksonetal. (2006) find thatexecutivesequity incentivesareunrelated to
accusationsofaccounting fraudby theSEC,whileArmstrongetal. (2009) find thatCEOequity
incentives have, if anything, a modestly negative effect on restatements, SEC enforcement
releases,andclassactionlawsuits.
4.4Briefsummary
19See,forexample,Tufano(1996),Guay(1999),Rajgopal&Shevlin (2002),Lewellen(2006),andColeset
al.(2006).20
See Bolton et al. (2006), Goldman & Slezak (2006), and Benmelech et al. (2010) for models of
performancemanipulation.
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The literature provides ample evidence that CEO compensation and portfolio incentives are
correlatedwithawidevarietyofcorporatebehaviors, from investmentand financialpoliciesto
risk takingandmanipulation.Arguably, thewidespreaduseof incentive compensationand the
largecrosssectionaldifferencesinmanagerialcontractswouldmakelittlesenseifcompensation
hadnoeffectonCEObehavior.However,becausecompensationarrangementsareendogenous
and correlatedwithmanyunobservables,measuring their causal effects onbehavior and firm
value isextremelydifficult and remainsoneof themost important challenges for researchon
executivepay.
Conclusion
Theexecutivecompensation literaturehasexperiencedtremendousgrowth inrecentyears,and
sohasourunderstandingofpaypractices.Yet,many importantquestions remainunanswered.
For example, the causes of the apparent regime change in CEO compensation that occurred
duringthe
1970s
remain
largely
unknown.
The
relative
importance
of
rent
extraction
and
optimal
contractingindeterminingpayforthetypicalCEOisstilltobedetermined,andevenlessisknown
about the causal effects of CEO pay on behavior and firm value. Finding answers to these
questionswill requirea combinationofnew theorypredictions, the creativeuseofexogenous
changes inthecontractingenvironment,andnewdatafromothercountries,priordecades,and
differenttypesoffirms.Theprogressmadebyrecentstudiesonallthesedimensionsiscausefor
optimismandsuggeststhatanswersmaynotbefaroff.
DisclosureStatement
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Theauthorsarenotawareofany affiliations,memberships, funding,or financialholdings that
mightbeperceivedasaffectingtheobjectivityofthisreview.
Acknowledgments
We thank Jeffrey Coles, Alex Edmans, Eitan Goldman, ToddMilbourn, Kevin J.Murphy, Stew
Myers,DavidYermack, and Jeff Zwiebel forhelpfuldiscussions and suggestions, and Francisco
GuedesSantosandYesolHuhforassistanceinpreparingthismanuscript.
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Figure1:MedianCompensationofCEOsandOtherTopOfficersfrom1936to2005Figure1shows themedian levelofcompensation inasampleofthe threehighestpaidofficers in the
largest50firms in1940,1960and1990(foratotalof101firms).Firmsareselectedaccordingtototal
salesin1960and1990,andaccordingtomarketvaluein1940.Compensationdataishandcollectedfor
allavailableyearsfrom1936to1992;theS&PExecuCompdatabase isusedtoextendthedatato2005
(Frydman&Saks2010).Totalcompensationiscomposedofsalary,bonuses,longtermbonuspayments
(includinggrants
of
restricted
stock),
and
stock
option
grants
(valued
using
Black
Scholes).
The
CEO
is
identifiedasthepresidentofthecompanyinfirmswheretheCEOtitleisnotused.Othertopofficers
includeanyexecutivesamongthe3highestpaidwhoarenottheCEO.Alldollarvaluesare in inflation
adjusted2000dollars.
0.30.40.50.60.70.80.9
11.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.8
1.92
2.12.22.32.42.5
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
CEOs Other top executives
Executivecompensationin2000d
ollars(logscale)
2
4
6
8
10
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Figure2:TheStructureofCEOCompensation
PanelA:ThestructureofCEOcompensationfrom1936to2005Thediagram shows themedian leveland theaveragecompositionofCEOpay in the50 largest firms in
1940,1960,and1990(foratotalof101firms).Compensationdataishandcollectedfromproxystatements
forallavailableyearsfrom1936to1992;theS&PExecuCompdatabaseisusedtoextendthedatato2005
(Frydman&
Saks
2010).
The
figure
depicts
total
compensation
and
the
three
main
components
that
can
be
separatelytrackedoverthesampleperiod:salariesandcurrentbonuses,payoutsfromlongtermincentive
plans(includingthevalueofrestrictedstock),andthegrantdatevaluesofoptiongrants(calculatedusing
BlackScholes).ThecomponentpercentagesarecalculatedbycomputingthepercentagesforaverageCEO
payineachperiodandthenapplyingthemtomedianCEOpay,asinMurphy(1999).Alldollarvaluesarein
inflationadjusted2000dollars.Notethattheverticalaxisisonalogscale.
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
1936-39 1940-45 1946-49 1950-59 1960-69 1970-79 1980-89 1990-99 2000-05
Salary &
Bonus
LTIP &
Stock
Options
74% 53% 40%
19%15%
37%
$0.9m $1.0m $1.0m
$1.2m
$1.8m
$4.1m
$9.2m
23%
32%
7%
84%87%93%99%
$1.1m
99%
$4,000
$8,000
$6,000
$2,000
$1,000
$10,000
$1.1m
100%
11%
CEO
compensationin2000dollars(log
scale)
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PanelB:ThestructureofCEOcompensationfrom1992to2008ThediagramshowsthemedianlevelandtheaveragecompositionofCEOpayinS&P500firmsfrom1992
to2008andisbasedonExecuCompdata.ExecuCompcollectscompensationdatafromp