commodities weekly tracker 11th february 2013
TRANSCRIPT
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7/29/2019 Commodities Weekly Tracker 11th February 2013
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Commodities & Currencies
Weekly Tracker
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7/29/2019 Commodities Weekly Tracker 11th February 2013
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Commodities Weekly Tracker
ContentsReturns
Non Agri Commodities
Currencies
Agri Commodities
Non-Agri Commodities
Gold
Silver
Copper
Monday | February 11, 2013
Currencies DX, Euro, INR
Agri Commodities
Chana
Black Pepper
Turmeric Jeera
Soybean
Refine Soy Oil & CPO
Sugar
Kapas
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*Weekly Performance for March contract; Chana, Turmeric and Kapas - April 2013 contract; Mentha Oil and CPO February 2013 contract
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Commodities Weekly Tracker
Monday | February 11 2013
GoldWeekly Price Performance Spot gold prices ended with mild firmness by 0.02 percent. The yellow metal
touched a weekly high of $1,684.5/oz and closed at $ 1,666.89/ounce on
Friday.
On the MCX, Gold March contract ended 2.86 percent higher taking cues
from strength in the spot gold and depreciation in the rupee. Gold prices on
the MCX closed at Rs.30,795/10 gms on Friday after touching a weekly high
of Rs.30,890/ 10gms.
Factors that influenced gold prices
Gold prices gained initially after US Federal Reserve continued its bond
buying program until jobs data improves substantially. Further, upward
revision in the US nonfarm payrolls in the November and December 2012
supported an upside in the yellow metal.
Strength in the DX along with dovish statement by the European Central
Bank President that the euro region might witness recovery in 2013 butthere are more downside risks to the economy which erased the earlier
gains in the gold prices.
Outlook
In the coming week, we expect gold prices to witness strength owing to
positive global market sentiments. However, strength in the DX along with
worries of Euro zone region might cap gains in the gold prices. In the
domestic markets depreciation in the Indian rupee act as a supportive factorfor the gold prices on MCX.
Weekly Technical Levels
Spot Gold : Support $1,657/1,646 Resistance $1,681/1695.
Buy MCX Gold April between 30,630-30,600, SL-30,480, Target -30,940.
(CMP: 30,507)
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Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
SilverWeekly Price Performance
Spot silver declined 1.23 percent week on week. The white metal
touched a weekly low of $ 31.26/oz and closed at $ 31.39 per oz on
Friday.
In the Indian markets, MCX silver prices fell 0.5 percent and closed at
Rs. 58,212/kg on Friday and touched a weekly low of Rs. 57,966/ kg.
Fall in the spot silver and weakness in most of the base metals packweighed on the prices of silver on MCX. However, depreciation in the
Indian rupee cushioned fall in the silver prices on MCX.
Factors that influenced silver prices
Silver prices declined taking cues from fall in the base metals pack
coupled with strength in the DX. Renewed worries of the Euro zone
.
However, positive data from the US and China cushioned fall in thesilver prices.
Holdings in the ishares silver trust increased and stood at 10,494.5
tonnes a rise of 0.7 percent as against 10,420.8 tonnes as on February
02nd 2013
Outlook Worries over the Euro zone region and Chinese market remaining
closed for a week on the back of Lunar New Year festivals is expected
to exert a downside pressure on the silver prices. Strength in the DX isalso expected to act as a bearish factor for the silver prices.
In the domestic markets depreciation in the Rupee might cushion fall in
the MCX Silver prices.
Weekly Technical Levels
Spot Silver : Support $ 31.07/30.73 Resistance $31.85/32.45
Sell MCX Silver March Between 58,280-58,320, SL-58,701, Target -
57,750/57,300
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CopperWeekly Price Performance Copper prices fell 0.4 percent week on week. Copper prices on LME touched a
weekly low of $ 8,176.75 per tonne and closed at $8,276.5per tonne on Friday.
In the domestic markets, MCX copper gained 0.5 percent and closed at Rs. 446.5
per kg on Friday. Depreciation in rupee supported an upside in the copper prices
on MCX.
Copper Inventories LME copper inventories gained 6.4 percent week on week and stood at 399,825
tonnes as against 374,200 tonnes on February 01, 2013.
Copper inventories in the warehouse monitored by the Shanghai fell by 0.2
percent and stood at 196,699 tonnes in the last week.
Factors that influenced copper prices
Po itica turmoi create a ter corruption a egations over Spain Prime Mariano
Rajoy and uncertainty ahead of Italian elections led prices to witness sellingpressure. Strength in the DX added to the losses in the copper prices.
Optimism that the US Federal Reserve will continue with the bond buying
program until jobs data improves in the nation cushioned fall in the LME copper
prices. Additionally, favorable import and CPI data from China erased some of the
losses. But subdued activity ahead of the Lunar Year festival restricted gains in the
copper prices.
Outlook
Copper prices in the coming week is expected to remain subdued ahead of week
log holidays in China on account of Lunar New Year celebrations. This might
reduce the trade participation. Strength in the DX might exert a downside
pressure on the Copper prices. However, favorable imports data from the China
in the last week is likely to cushion fall in the prices.
Weekly Technical Levels
Buy MCX Copper February between 444-443, SL-439, Target -451
LME Copper: Support $8,140/7,690 Resistance $8,460/8,650 (CMP: $8,291.25)
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Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
Crude OilWeekly Price Performance On a weekly basis, Nymex crude oil prices declined around 2.1 percent.
On the domestic bourses, prices declined by 0.7 percent and closed at
Rs.5,144/bbl on Friday after touching a low of Rs.5,070/bbl in the last week.
Depreciation in the Indian Rupee prevented further fall in the crude oil prices.
US Energy Department Facts and Figures
As per the US Energy Department (EIA) report, US crude oil inventories rose lessthan expected by 2.6 million barrels to 371.70 million barrels for the week
ending on 1st February 2013. Gasoline stocks gained by 1.7 million barrels to
234.0 million barrels and whereas distillate stockpiles fell by 1.0 million barrels
to 129.60 million barrels for the last week.
Factors that influenced crude oil prices
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
4,4004,5004,6004,7004,8004,9005,0005,100
5,2005,3005,4005,5005,600
Nymex and MCX Crude Oil Price Performance
uropean en ra an res en ar o rag s a emen a s reng n e
Euro as a currency, can affect the economic growth in the region which led toexpectations of fall in demand for the fuel.
Decline in total petroleum demand in US by 3.4 percent to 18.1million barrels a
day along with fall in gasoline consumption by 1 percent to 8.42 million barrels a
day for the week ending on 1st February 2013.
Strength in the DX.
However, sharp downside in the crude oil prices were cushioned on the back of
less than expected rise in US crude oil inventories.
Outlook
Crude oil prices are expected to trade on a negative note on the back of decline
in gasoline and petroleum demand coupled with rising US crude oil inventories.
However, sharp downside in the prices will be cushioned as a result of favorable
economic data from US and Euro region.
Weekly Technical Levels
Nymex Crude Oil: Support: $94.60/93.45 Resistance $96.20/97.40 (CMP: 95.6)
Sell MCX Crude Feb btwn 5170-5180, SL-5242, Target -5090/5030. (CMP: 5143)
MCX cr ude oi l (Rs/bbl) NY MEX Cr ude Oi l ($ /bbl)
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
Crude Oil Inventories (mn barrels)
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Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
DX/ INRWeekly Price Performance US Dollar Index (DX) gained 1.5 percent w-on-w. The index settled at 80.316 levels
on Friday after touching a high of 80.35 levels in last week.
The Indian Rupee depreciated and ended 0.8 percent on weekly basis.
Factors that influenced movement in the DX
The index settled higher due to risk aversion created after political uncertainty in
Spain and Italy. However, index erased some of the gains after US Federal Reserve
said that they will continue with their bond buying program until jobs markets
improves substantially.
However, after dovish statement by European Central Bank President in its policy
meeting held on Feb 07, 2013 demand for low yielding currency witnessed a rise.
Factors that influenced movement in the Rupee
Indian Rupee depreciated by 0.8 percent w-on-w taking cues from weak preliminary
GDP data projected by the government to 4.6percent between October 2012 and
March 2013 as compared to 5.4 percent in the first half of the fiscal year. The rupeehad however appreciated in most part of the week owing to continued foreign
institutional inflows along with $2.1 billion share sale in the state run power utility
NTPC Ltd. which was 1.7 times oversubscribed.
FII Inflows
For the month of Jan 2013, FII inflows totaled at Rs 17210.80crores ($3234.48
million) as on 08th February 2013. Year to date basis, net capital inflows stood at Rs.
39,269.80 crores ($7,293.80 million) till 08th February 2013
Outlook
We expect rupee to depreciate as the Indian government downward revises the
growth forecast of the nation for the second half of 2012. Strength in the DX might
also cause depreciation in the rupee. However, continued foreign institutional
inflows might cap depreciation in the rupee.
Weekly Technical Levels
USD/INR MCX February Support 53.25/52.75 Resistance 54.30/54.8 (CMP: 53.82)
US Dollar Index: Support 79.5/79.1 Resistance 80.65/81 (CMP: 80.13)
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Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
EuroWeekly Price Performance The Euro depreciated by 2 percent in the last week .
The currency touched a weekly low of 1.3352 and closed at 1.3363 against
dollar on Friday.
Factors that influenced movement in the Euro
Political uncertainty created after corruption allegations on Spanish Prime
Minister Mariano Rajoy. Further, European Central Bank President in its policymeeting held on February 07, 2013 said that the region might witness growth
in 2013 but there are downside risks to the economy. This created renewed
worries over debt concerns of the region. Further, the ECB President raised
worries over strength in the currency, the Euro. Additionally, strength in the
DX also exerted downside pressure on the currency.
News
Spanish Unemployment Change rose to 132 K in the month of January ascompared to -59K in December. European policy makers kept the minimum
bid rate steady at 0.75% .
German Factory Orders increased to 0.8% in the month of December as
compared to -1.8% in November. The Industrial production for the region also
witnessed a rise to 0.3% in December as against a decline of 0.2% in
November. German Trade Balance was at a surplus of 16.8 billion Euros in
December as against a previous surplus of $14.6billion a month ago. Retail
Sales of the Euro region fell 0.8 percent in December as against a decline of0.1 percent in November.
Outlook
We expect the Euro to trade with a positive bias on signs of recovery in the
nation and thereby hopes of curtailing the debt crisis of the region. Weakness
in the DX is also expected to add to the gains in Euro.
Weekly Technical Levels
EURO/USD SPOT: Support 1.324/1.304 Resistance 1.372/1.357(CMP: 1.338)
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Chana
Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
Weekly Price Performance
Increasing supplies in the domestic markets and higher output estimates exerted
downside pressure on the Chana prices which settled 1.5% lower w-o-w.
Chana acreage up by 5.4% in 2012-13
Chana sowing is 5.4% higher at 94.78 lakh ha compared to previous year. Chana
acreage is marginally higher by 3% this year in Rajasthan at 14.80 lakh ha, In
Maharashtra, Chana acreage is up at 11.12 lakh ha vs normal area of 10.6 lakhha. While in AP it is up at 7.27 lakh ha, up by 28%. Compared to previous year. (S
Record Chana Output in 2012-13 Second Advance Estimates
According to second advance Estimates released on 8th Feb 2013, Total pulses
output for 2012-13 has been pegged at 17.58 mn tn, down 3.3% compared to
previous year. However, drought conditions have hampered kharif pulses
, , .
Out of the total pulses output, kharif output is estimated at 23% lower at 5.48mn tn while Rabi pulses output is pegged 8.72% higher at 12.09 mn tn compared
with the final estimates of 2011-12.
There has been a sharp increase in the Chana output estimates. on the back of
5.45 increase in acreage and good yield. Chana output is expected to breach its
2010-11 record of 8.2 mn tn and is estimated at 8.57 mn tn for 2012-13. In its
first advance estimates Chana output was pegged at 7.9 mn tn.
Outlook
Chana Futures may remain under downside pressure in the coming week as the
agriculture ministry has estimated bumper Chana output for 2012-13 season.
Also arrivals shall gain momentum in the coming days and is expected to
increase the supplies in the markets.
Weekly Strategy
Sell NCDEX CHANA April between 3445-3475, SL -3545, Target - 3350 / 3320
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Black Pepper
Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
Weekly Price Performance
Pepper March Futures declined last week on reports of improvement in arrivals of
the fresh crop. Prices have gained sharply over the last few weeks on back of low
stocks in the domestic markets coupled with a delay in harvesting of the fresh
crop due to lack of skilled labor. Good winter demand coupled with demand from
the upcountry markets also supported the prices. The Food Safety and Standards
Authority of India sealed the pepper stored in six warehouses at Kochi of about8,000 tonnes leaving no stocks on the exchange warehouses. The Spot as well as
March Futures settled 1.01% and 3.4% lower w-o-w.
Indian Pepper is being offered at $8,000/tn (c&f, Europe). Vietnam , Malaysia and
Indonesia Austa variety are quoted at $7,000/tn and Brazil is quoted at $6,600/tn.
Averages daily arrivals stood at 30 tn while offtakes stood at 28 tn last week.
-
Source: Reuters & Angel Research
According to market sources, Pepper production is expected around 63,000 tn in2013, while the IPC projects Indias 2013 availability at 70,000 tn.
Global updates
Global pepper production in 2012 is projected at 3.27 lk tn vis--vis 3.17 lk tn in
2011. Vietnam pepper exports during Jan-Oct 2012 stood at 102,340 mt. Pepper
production from Vietnam decreased to 1 lk tn in 2012 from 1.1 lk tn in 2011.
Exports from Brazil during Jan-Nov 2012 are reported at 25900 tn, as against
32650 tn in the same period last year, down by about 20%.
Outlook
Pepper Futures is expected to decline from higher levels due to higher production
as well as improvement in the arrivals of the fresh crop. Traders expect arrivals to
gain momentum in the coming days. However, low stocks due to lock of pepper in
NCDEX accredited warehouses may support the prices . A delay in harvesting may
damage some berries. There is good demand from the upcountry markets.
Weekly Strategy
Sell NCDEX Pepper March between 36300-36400, SL -37550, Tgt - 34600/34450.
Source: Reuters & Angel Research.
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Turmeric
Commodities Weekly Tracker
Weekly Price Performance
Turmeric Futures opened the week on a bullish note on concerns over the output
of the crop as well as demand from the stockists. However, prices corrected from
higher levels on account of huge carryover stocks and commencement of harvest
of the fresh crop. Sowing is reported to be 30-35% lower compared to last year.
The farmers are reportedly keeping around 12 lakh bags of turmeric with them.
Stocks in Nizamabad reported around 6.5 lakh bags, which is lower than Erode.
According to the weather department, rainfall in the key grown region (Southern
Peninsula) is reported at 10% below normal. The spot settled 0.25% higher while
Futures settled 0.55% lower w-o-w.
Lower acreage of Turmeric for the 2012-13 season
Production of turmeric may decline in 2012-2013 season due to weak monsoon as
well as lower turmeric prices. The area covered under Turmeric in A.P. as on 10th
Monday | February 11, 2013
Source: Agriwatch & Reuters
October, 2012 has been reported at 0.58 lakh hectares. The area covered is lower
as compared to last year (0.81 lha), as well as normal as on date (0.67 lha).
Lower production in the 2012-2013 season
Turmeric production in 2012-13 is expected around 50% lower compared to last
year and is expected around 45-50 lakh bags. Production in 2011-12 is reported
at historical high of 90 lakh bags/ 10.62 lakh tns.
Outlook
Turmeric prices may trade with a positive bias this week. Good demand from
stockists at lower levels coupled with as well as demand from the upcountrymarkets are expected to push up the prices. Traders expect export orders also to
start in the coming weeks. Arrivals of good quality crop may also boost prices.
However, huge carryover stocks may cap a sharp upside in the prices.
Commencement of harvest of the early crop may also keep a check on the prices.
Weekly Strategy Buy NCDEX Turmeric April between 6130-6160, SL -5950, Target - 6430 / 6460.
Source: Reuters & Angel Research.
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Jeera
Commodities Weekly Tracker
Weekly Price Performance
Jeera Futures declined sharply last week on reports of commencement of arrivals
of the fresh crop. Sowing in Gujarat, the major jeera growing state was reported
at 3.244 lk ha till Jan 2013. Last 3 years average sowing is around 3.189 lk ha.
Stocks are reported at around 5-6 lk bags.
The Spot as well as the Futures settled 1.25% and 5.06% lower w-o-w.
Effect of higher production offset by higher exports Indias 2012 Jeera output is estimated at 40 lakh bags (of 55kgs each), higher than
29 lakh bags in 2011, a rise of 37.9%. However, increase in the exports due to
supply concerns in the global markets offset the impact of higher supplies on the
prices and thus, medium term fundamentals remain supportive for the upside.
Global supply concerns to boost Jeera exports
Monday | February 11, 2013
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Gujarat.
xpor s o eera rose rom , n n pr o , n n pr . arge
for exports in 2012 have been set at 45,000 tn against 35,000 tn in 2011.
According to market sources, about 75% of export targets have been achieved.
Due to lower production in Syria and Turkey, coupled with the ongoing tensions
between them, exports are not taking place and have been diverted to India. They
have stopped shipments. There are some export enquiries at lower levels.
International Scenario
According to reports, production in Syria is reported around 22,000 tons while
production in Turkey is reported between 5000-7000 tons, lower by 20% and
around 50% respectively, raising supply concerns in the international markets.
Indian Jeera in the international market is being offered at $2,950-2,975/tn (c&f).
Outlook
Jeera is may correct from higher levels on commencement of arrivals of the new
crop. However, sharp downside may be limited as exporters may buy at lower
levels. Farmers may not also sell their stocks at such low prices.
Weekly Levels Sell NCDEX Jeera Mar between 13400-13450, SL -14000, Target - 12600/12500.
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
Production,
in
La
kh
Tonnes
Production of Jeera in India
Source: Reuters & Angel Research.
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Soybean
Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
Weekly price performance
Soybean futures declined in the early part of the week after the release of oil meal
export figures which jumped 40 percent in January. However, prices declined
sharply towards the week end as the USDA monthly report released on Friday
pegged higher global end stocks. NCDEX March contract settled 0.65% lower w-o-w.
Oil meal exports up 40 percent in January 2012
Oil meal exports rose 40% to 7.68 lakh tn in January 2012. The export of oil meals,however declined by 18% to 36.79 lakh tn in the first 10 months of this fiscal.
The country exported 25.36 lakh tn soybean meal in first 10 months compared to
30.82 lakh tn in the same period last year which showing a decline of 17.72%.
Oilseeds output down 1.1% , soybean and mustard up 3.2% & 11.52%
According to the second advance estimates, 2012-13 oilseed output is pegged at
. mn n, own y . , e soy ean an mus ar see ou pu s pegge
higher at 12.9 mn tn and 7.36 lakh tn.
USDA pegs lower end stocks
USDA raised its forecast of global 2012/13 soybean ending stocks above 60 mn tn ,
up from 59.46 mn in January and settled 2.3% lower on Friday. Upward revision in
Brazils soy output is offset by downward revision in the Argentina production.
However, persistent dry, hot weather in much of Argentina is hurting 2012-13 crops
as they enter crucial growth stages, and rains are needed to safeguard potential
yields. Thus output may be revised down further.
China, the world's largest soy buyer, imported 4.78 mn tn of soybeans in January,
down 18.8 percent from 5.89 mn tn in December.
Outlook
Soybean complex might trade with downward bias initially on expectations of Rabi
crop arrivals to commence soon. However, prices may again recover if dry weather
conditions continue in Argentina raising concerns over crop yield.
Strategy
Sell NCDEX Soybean March between 3230-3260, SL -3340, Target - 3110 / 3090.
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Refine Soy Oil and Crude Palm Oil
Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
Weekly price performance
Edible Oil complex remained in the negative territory on account of weak
Malaysian palm oil futures which declined on the back of record stocks of
palm amid lower exports.
Despite zero duty on Malaysian palm oil exports, overseas demand
remained lower for Malaysian palm oil. CPO prices at MCX and at BMD settled
0.1% and 1.2% lower respectively. AT NCDEX and CBOT, soy oil futures settled3.21% and 12.9% lower w-o-w.
Global Scenario
Malaysian palm oil product exports during January fell 7%to 1,458,475 tn
from 1,568,510 to tn in December.
Indonesia, the world's top palm oil producer increased its export tax for crude
pa m o o or e ruary rom . n e prev ous mon .
There are reports that Indonesian province, East Kalimantan , may halt palmexpansion. Palm oil plantations now cover about 7 lakh ha of East Kalimantan
and produce 2 mn tn of output each year.
Domestic Scenario
India is working to promote self-sufficiency in edible oil supply so that the
country doesn't need to import to meet domestic demand.
India raised the base import price of crude palm oil (CPO) by nearly 80% to
$802 per tn as part of efforts to curb overseas purchases and protect
domestic oilseed farmers.
The government also set the base import price for crude soy oil at $1,190 per
tn, up from $580 per tn. India's palm oil imports rose 27.4% on month at
783,091 tn in December.
Strategy: Refine Soy Oil
Sell NCDEX Ref Soya Oil March between 703-707, SL -722, Target - 680 / 675
Buy MCX CPO Feb between 442-446, SL -432, Target - 461 / 465
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Sugar
Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
Weekly Price Performance
Sugar March contract declined sharply in the early part of last week on account of
higher production and availability in the domestic markets and comparatively
lower demand amid winter season. However, prices recovered towards the later
part of the week on hopes of partial decontrol of sugar industry. ICE Raw sugar
declined further on account of higher supplies of sugar in the global markets.
India's Oct-Jan sugar output up 3 pct y/y Out of the estimated 24 mn tn sugar output for the season 2012-13, Indian 13.7
mn tn in the first four months of the season beginning October 2012, up 3
percent a year ago period.
With the opening stocks of 6.5 mn tn, domestic Sugar supplies are estimated at
30.5 mn tn against the domestic consumption of around 22. 5mln tn for 2012-13.
Exports are not viable as international prices have also declined significantly.
India to decide on sugar decontrol before budget
Food minister on Thursday said the government is likely to take a decision on
decontrolling the sugar industry before the Budget. Food ministry has proposed
dispensing with the regulatory release mechanism and abolishing the levy system.
USDA boosted US 2012-13 sugar output
The USDA on Friday boosted its domestic sugar supply forecast in 2012-13,
projecting record production. U.S. sugar production in the current marketing year
is pegged at 9.22 mn short tn, up from last month's estimate at 9.07 mn tn.
If the forecast is realized, it will be a record high, exceeding the record 9.032million short tons harvested in the United States in 1999-2000.
Outlook
Sugar futures are expected to consolidate at the lower levels as markets may
adopt a wait and watch policy expecting government to take decision levy sugar
mechanism, one of the major reforms of sugar decontrol.
Strategy
NCDEX SUGAR March Trend Sideways- S2-2980 S1- 3020, R1-3120, R2-3190.
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Kapas/Cotton
Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
Weekly Price Performance
Kapas futures continued with downward trend and settled 1.45% lower w-o-w on
the back higher supplies and comparatively weak demand. ICE Cotton consolidated
around 82 cents per pound levels after gaining sharply in the past few weeks.
International cotton markets are although flooded with huge stocks of cotton, still
prices were on an uptrend on expectations of higher Chinese imports and lower US
cotton planting expectations for next season.
Domestic Cotton Arrivals down 6.5 percent on year as on 20th Jan 2013
Cotton supplies from the new crop in the domestic markets until Jan. 20 fell were
down at 134 lakh bales, down from 144 lakh bales a year earlier.
Cotton Advisory Board revised down production estimates
The Cotton Advisory Board in January has estimated cotton production this season
c o ep a a a es aga ns e prev ous es ma es n c o er
at 334 lakh bales. Exports and domestic consumption has been revised upward to
253 and 80 lakh bales respectively from 250 and 70 lakh bales estimated earlier..
USDA estimates higher global end stocks
The U.S. government on Friday nudged higher its global cotton stockpile forecast for
2012/13 amid expectations that China, the world's largest textile market, will import
even more fiber for its massive strategic supply.
However, the government lowered US carryover by 3 lakh bales, or 6%, to 4.5 mn
bales due to an increase of the same size in its export estimate to 12.5 million bales.
Outlook
Kapas prices may trade with upward bias during the week on account of bargain
buying at lower levels. Also, firmness in the international markets amid lower US
cotton planting intentions for 2012-13 may support an upside in the domestic
cotton prices. However, sufficient supplies in the domestic markets and lower export
demand expectations may pressurize prices.
Strategy
Buy NCDEX KAPAS April'13 between 902-907, SL -870, Target - 955 / 960
Source: Reuters * 2013 figs are as per Reuters survey
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Thank You!
Commodities Weekly TrackerMonday | February 11, 2013
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