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CNS Team 3: Ecological Assessment and Services
MAINTAINING ECOLOGICAL INTEGRITY & PROVISIONING OF ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
CNS 2017 All-Hands/CPC MeetingMay 17th & 18th, 2017Harrisburg, PA
OUTLINE
• Ecological assessments, water quality, and scenarios
• Review of ecological indicators & methods
• Objective 1: Baseline condition results
• Objective 2: Linking SWAT model outputs with ecological assessments
• Objective 3 Characterizing ecological condition in scenarios
• Site comparisons
• Final thoughts
Value of Ecological Assessments
• Groundtruthing model results
• Approach to water quality
• Clean Water Act
• Safe Drinking Water Act
• Model—TMDL development
BENTHICMACROINVERTEBRATES
• Spend most or all of lives in water (cannot escape pollution)• Differ in tolerance to pollution & respond to human disturbance in
predictable ways• Biological Endpoint—Integrate the effects of stressors in combination and
over time
BIOLOGICAL INDICATORS
“Water pollution is essentially
a biological problem.” D. M. Rosenberg
“If we fail to protect the biology of our waters, we
will not protect human uses of that water.”
James. R. Karr
SWAT Ecological Model
CB Model
BMPs & Scenarios
CNS Relationship to TMDL Process
Review: Ecological Indicators, Methods,
& Baseline Condition Results
Ecological Indicators
Level 1: Landscape Index– GIS work in lab; often automated;
many sites
– Percent Land Cover, Impervious Surface
Level 2: Stream-Wetland-Riparian Index (SWR)
– rapid field assessment
– 1-2 hours in field; selected sites
Level 3: Macroinvertebrate Index of Biotic Integrity
– many hours in field/lab; few sites
Graphic by Tara Mazurczyk
Graphic Representation of SWR
Methods: SWR Index
• Brooks et al. (2009)
• Mid-Atlantic Region
• Condition of a stream and its associated wetlands and riparian areas
• 100-m x 100-m plot
• 3 transects: up, mid, down
Metric Description
Buffer Condition Adjacent land use type
Incision RatioBankfull parameters w/channel measurements
Invasives Cover Class By species
Basal Area3 Bitterlich Tree Points w/ DBH measurements
# W-R StressorsStressor checklist, location, distance from stream
# Stream StressorsStressor checklist, location distance from stream
Stream Habitat Assessment Score
Based on EPA’s Rapid Bioassessment Protocol
Methods: IBI
• PA DEP (2012) Wadeable, Freestone, Riffle-Run Streams IBI
• 6 Riffle Kicks per site, compiled
• 500 µm D-frame net
• 200-count subsample
• ID to (mostly) genus– Non-insects and
Chironomidae
Macroinvertebrate IBI Component Metrics
Taxa Richness
EPT Taxa Richness
Beck’s Index
Hilsenhoff Biotic Index
Shannon Diversity Index
Percent Sensitive Individuals
CNS - Study Watersheds
Allegheny Plateau
Piedmont
Coastal Plain
Ridge &Valley
Spring Creek Watershed Rock Springs, PA
Spring
Creek
Mahantango Creek Watershed Klingerstown, PA
Mahantango
Creek
Conewago Creek Watershed Elizabethtown, PA
Conewago
Creek
Manokin
RiverManokin River Watershed
Princess Anne, MD
Watershed Characteristics
• Spring Creek, Ridge & Valley karst, 371 km2, mixed land uses. Watershed is moving rapidly to implement stormwater controls and green infrastructure.
• Mahantango Creek, Ridge & Valley shale, 420 km2, low livestock densities, prioritizing fertilizer management. WE-38 subwatershed is a primary site for ARS research since 1967.
• Conewago Creek, Piedmont, 135 km2, Chesapeake Showcase Watershed, small farms with a diverse mixture of crops and pasture. Stakeholder engagement here is substantial.
• Manokin Creek, Coastal Plain, 303 km2, extensively studied by Maryland’s environmental agencies and University of Maryland Eastern Shore and ARS at Penn State. Poultry industry is rapidly growing here.
Ecological sampling points: Stream Habitat Assessment
(of SWR)
Objective 1: Baseline Ecological Condition
• Results across 3 levels
– Level 1: Landscape
– Level 2: Rapid field
– Level 3: Intensive biological
• Groundtruthing Example
Mahantango Creek Subwatershed TMDL: Northumberland and Schuylkill Counties; PA DEP, March 27, 2013
• Sediment pollution (no PS)
• 14% reduction in sediment load
• Riparian buffer zones nearly nonexistent
• Unlimited livestock access
• Streambank stabilization & fencing
• Riparian buffer strips• Conservation tillage &
strip cropping• Wetlands for stormwater
retention
Mahantango Creek (& WE38)
• 303D lists much of Mahantango watershed, including entire WE38 sub-basin as impaired by sediment
• Majority of monitoring sites failed to meet CWF attainment (impaired) based on IBI scores and ALU assessment process
Level 1: Landscape Index Results Summary of Landscape
(Level 1) Assessment
All scores have been normalized to a 0 to 1 scale in order to facilitate comparisons of condition.
Level 2: SWR Index Results
Uniform Qualitative Categories
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
SW
R S
core
SWR Score Distribution
Conewago Mahantango Spring Creek Manokin
Optim
al
Sub-O
ptim
al
Marg
inal
Poor
Level 2: SWR Index Results
Uniform Qualitative Categories
Ecological Metric Scoring – 3 Levels
Level 3IBI
Example Summary Figure Displaying
Ecological Condition Scores Using 3 Levels
of Assessment
Optimal
Sub-Optimal
Marginal
Poor
Ecological Condition Tiers
GROUNDTRUTHING MODELS WITH ECOLOGICAL DATA
TN (mg/L)
TP (mg/L)
NO3
(mg/L)MinP
(mg/L)Tsed
(mg/L)
Value 10.5 3.7 0.72 2.2 3239
Rank 4 3 13 6 1
GROUNDTRUTHING MODELS WITH ECOLOGICAL DATA
IBI Score
SHAScore
SWR Score
Value 88.4 214 0.64
Rank 1 2 14
Objective 2: Linking Models with Ecological Indicators
• Best indicators from each based on…
• Relationship to IBI Metrics
• Relationship to SWAT
• Identify spatial and temporal scales of interest• SWAT Spatial Comparisons
• Geographic Comparisons
• Temporal Comparisons
Finding Correlations between SWAT Output and Level 3 Ecological Metrics
*Identify Spatial and Temporal Scales of Interest
Example: Temporal: WinterSpatial: Local
Example: Total Sediment and Freestone IBI Scores
SWAT Spatial Comparison
kjkj
kj
kj
kj
3
11
5
1
7
15
2
8
6
9
10
4
18
kjkj
kj
kj
kj
All subbasin boundaries
100m buffer around streams
TotalCA = total contributing area
LocalCA = local contributing area
streams
CNS sampling sites
Geographic Comparisons
• Across Watersheds
• Multivariate, Random Forest
• Regression
• Within Watersheds
• Multivariate
• Regression
• Within Subwatershed
• Regression
FREESTONE STREAMS*
MAHANTANGO CREEK
WE38
Identifying Correlations Between Ecological Metric Assessment Levels & Between SWAT Baseline Data
and Ecological Metrics – Our Approach
Independent Variable Dependent Variable
Relationship Between Different Levels of Ecological Condition Metrics
Landscape Metrics SWR
Landscape Metrics Macroinvertebrate IBI
SWR Macroinvertebrate IBI
Relationship Between SWAT Output and Level 3 Ecological Condition Metrics
Independent Variable Dependent Variable
SWAT Output Macroinvertebrate IBI
FREESTONE STREAMS (Mahantango + Conewago + Spring)
RANDOM FOREST RESULTS
Importance values for best models
IBI Model % Nutrient Intolerant
Grazing Pressure 1.00 Bank Vegetative Protection 1.00
Embeddedness 0.63 Stream Habitat Assessment Score 0.9
Bank Vegetative Protection 0.51 Total Phosphorus (Winter) 0.71
Specific Conductivity 0.47 Total Nitrogen (Winter) 0.47
Stream Habitat Assessment Score 0.40 Sediment Deposition 0.39
Beck's Index % Nutrient Tolerant
Stream Habitat Assessment Score 1.00 Nitrate (Winter)* 1.00
Total Nitrogen (Annual) 0.58 Specific Conductivity 0.83
Mineral P (Annual) 0.56 pH 0.30
Nitrate (Annual) 0.38 Nitrate (Summer) 0.20
Embeddedness 0.36
Best Models and Predictor Variables
Freestone Streams (% Nutrient Tolerant vs SWAT Winter Nitrate)
AntochaCaecidoteaPhysellaTipulaTurbellaria
Smith et al. 2007
IBI Condition CategoriesIBI scores for all Freestone streams (across all watersheds)
by condition category
SWAT, IBIs, & Water Quality Standards
Blue line=0.06 (recommended for sensitive salmonid embryos). Green line = 1.0 mg/L (natural levels of nitrate and recommended limit for protection of sensitive species); 1.5 mg/L = Ohio TMDL target; 2.0 mg/L (absolute limit for protection of salmonid embryos)
Mahantango Creek
IBI Score Beck's Index SDI % Nutr Intolerant % Nutrient Tolerant
SWAT TCA SWAT LCA SWAT TCA SWAT LCA SWAT TCA SWAT LCA SWAT TCA SWAT LCA SWAT TCA SWAT LCA
TP-SU 0.4 NO3-YR 0.3 TP-SU 0.3 Min P-WI 0.4 NO3-SP 0.4* * * *
NO3-YR 0.3 NO3-YR 0.3 TP-SU 0.3 MinP-SU 0.3
WE38
TN-SU 0.6 NO3-WI 0.6 TN-SU 0.5 NO3-WI 0.5 TN-YR 0.5 TSed-WI 0.7
* *
MinP-YR 0.5 MinP-WI 0.4
TN-WI 0.6 NO3-YR 0.6 TN-WI 0.4 NO3-YR 0.5 TN-FA 0.5 TSed-YR 0.7 TP-YR 0.5 TP-WI 0.4
TN-YR 0.6 TSed-WI 0.6 TN-YR 0.4 NO3-SP 0.4 MinP-SP 0.5 Tsed-FA 0.7 TP-FA 0.5 MinP-YR 0.3
MinP-SP 0.5 TN-WI 0.6 MinP-SP 0.4 TN-SU 0.4 TN-WI 0.6 TP-WI 0.5 TP-YR 0.3
TP-SP 0.4 TN-YR 0.5 NO3-FA 0.6 MinP-FA 0.5
TN-SP 0.4 NO3-SP 0.5 TN-FA 0.6 MinP-SU 0.5
NO3-YR 0.4 Tsed-FA 0.5 TSed-SP 0.6 TN-FA 0.4
TN-FA 0.4 TN-FA 0.5 NO3-WI 0.6 MinP-WI 0.4
TSed-YR 0.5 TN-YR 0.5
NO3-FA 0.5 NO3-YR 0.5
TN-SP 0.4
Non-WE38 Mahantango
NO3-SU 0.6
*
NO3-SU 0.6
* * *
TN-SU 0.5 Q-WI 0.4
*
NO3-SU 0.5
NO3-YR 0.5 NO3-YR 0.5 NO3-WI 0.4
MinP-SU 0.5 NO3-WI 0.5 NO3-SU 0.4
NO3-WI 0.5 MinP-SU 0.5 NO3-FA 0.4
NO3-FA 0.5 MinP-SU 0.4
NO3-YR 0.4
TN-SP 0.3
WATERSHED & SUBWATERSHED (SWAT VARIABLES VS BIOLOGICAL METRICS)
Values are R2 from regression analysis.TCA = Total Contributing Area; LCA = Local Contributing Area
Sediment
• Sub-Watershed (WE38)
• Local Contributing Area
R² = 0.5273
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
IBI S
core
SWR Score
Mahantango Creek (WE38)
R² = 0.5812
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
Bec
ks V
3
Landscape Index (200m)
Mahantango Creek (WE38)Level 1 Level 3
Level 2 Level 3
Comparison between assessment levels
• Stream Habitat
– Bank Condition
– Bank Vegetative Protection
– Grazing Pressure
– Riparian Zone Width
• SWR
– Buffer Score
– Floodplain-Wetland Condition
– SWR Score
Level 1 & Level 2 Best IndicatorsBiology & SWAT
• Landscape
– % Forest (200-m)
– Landscape Development Index (LDI)
• SPATIAL EXTENT– Total Contributing Area best for
larger areas (e.g., across watersheds)
– Local Contributing Area better for sub-watershed scale
• SEASONAL– Winter best predictor
across all geographic scales but depends on metric
– Spring (Total CA) or Summer (Local CA) most likely to exceed WQ thresholds that impact communities (also greatest reductions)
SWAT Comparisons
Objective 2: SummaryLINKING SWAT WITH ECOLOGICAL CONDITION
• Overall SWAT variables produce weak relationships at best with IBI scores/metrics; better relationships with specific metrics –IF going to make the leap, here are some guidelines
• Small watershed or subwatershed studies appear to produce better results compared to regional studies focusing on multiple watersheds
• limits the range and sources of natural variability • produces more realistic model estimates of nutrient yields when coupled with detailed
knowledge of field-level characteristics, management, and rotations.
– Season matters• Winter may be best to link overall patterns with biology BUT• Other seasons (spring, summer, or fall) most important for exceeding water quality
thresholds (acute responses and fish kills); thus, season depends on pollutant and work objective
• Strong links between habitat and biotic integrity (IBIs) suggest that instream physical habitat may be the most important factor limiting biotic integrity in agricultural streams. These results support this.
Objective 3: Characterize ecological condition in scenarios
• Using baseline comparisons (space for time substitution), results from Objective 2, and literature/case studies to make case for predicting if condition may change
• Illustrate with site examples
• What sites showed marked improvement in each of SWAT parameters between baseline and WIP?
• What were the BMPs implemented at these sites?
EVALUATING EFFECTS OF BMPS:
EVALUATING EFFECTS OF WIP:
Site Comparisons
#*
#*
#*
#*MH12
MH11
MH10
MH09
TILLAGE PRACTICES IN WE38MH11 (Conventional) & MH12 (Conventional w/ Cover Crop)
MH11
MH09MH10
MH12
Converted
Forested
Grass
None
CGAA
CPST
GRFL
DGAB
EGAB
EGAC
FGAC
LU_WE38_current
Converted
Forested
Grass
None
CGAA
CPST
GRFL
DGAB
EGAB
EGAC
FGAC
LU_WE38_current
Converted
Forested
Grass
None
CGAA
CPST
GRFL
DGAB
EGAB
EGAC
FGAC
LU_WE38_current
Converted
Forested
Grass
None
CGAA
CPST
GRFL
DGAB
EGAB
EGAC
FGAC
LU_WE38_current
Cover crops
No till
Conservation tillage
Perennialization
Conservation Cropping
Converted
Forested
Grass
None
CGAA
CPST
GRFL
DGAB
EGAB
EGAC
FGAC
LU_WE38_currentBaseline landuse
Manure injection
Converted
Forested
Grass
None
CGAA
CPST
GRFL
DGAB
EGAB
EGAC
FGAC
LU_WE38_current
Tree planting
Farm Infrastructure
Manure/Nutrient Management
Urban Stormwater Management
None
Grass
Forested
Converted
LU_WE38_manureinj
LU_WE38_CoverCrops
LU_WE38_GravelRoads
LU_WE38_FarmStrc
LU_WE38_NoTill
LU_WE38_MinTill
GRFL
LU_WE38_scenarios
None
Grass
Forested
Converted
LU_WE38_manureinj
LU_WE38_CoverCrops
LU_WE38_GravelRoads
LU_WE38_FarmStrc
LU_WE38_NoTill
LU_WE38_MinTill
GRFL
LU_WE38_scenarios
Gravel road improvement
Barnyard runoff
Converted
Forested
Grass
None
CGAA
CPST
DGAB
EGAB
EGAC
FGAC
LU_WE38_current
Converted
Grass
Forested
None
LU_WE38_manureinj
LU_WE38_CoverCrops
LU_WE38_GravelRoads
LU_WE38_FarmStrc
LU_WE38_NoTill
LU_WE38_MinTill
GRFL
LU_WE38_scenarios
Grass or forested buffer
Forested buffer
Grass buffer
None
49
MH11
MH12
MH11
MH12
Local Contributing Area Av WIP %
Pollutant MH11 MH12 WQ Standard Reduction
NO3 (mg/L) (Winter) 1.02 0.81 0.06 - 1.0 mg/L 11
TP (mg/L) (Winter) 3.15 0.50 0.025 to 0.037 mg/L 9
Tsed (mg/L) Winter 537 88 ?? 5
MH11 MH12
% Slope 4.6 % Slope 13.9
Level 1: % Forest 58 % Forest 46.0
LDI 2.9 LDI 3.5
Level 3: IBI Score 34.0 IBI Score 54.4
Beck's Index 8 Beck's Index 11
% Nut. Int. 1.7 % Nut. Int. 12.1
% Nut. Tol. 1.7 % Nut. Tol. 0
MH11 MH12
Level 2: Buffer Score 0.17 Buffer Score 0.02
FP-W Cond. 0.30 FP-W Cond. 0.51
SWR Index 0.36 SWR Index 0.59
Flow Status 8 Flow Status 17
Bank Cond. 9 Bank Cond. 9
Graz. Press. 12 Graz. Press. 6
Rip. Zone 12 Rip. Zone 6
SHA Score 116 SHA Score 125
Forested Sites Downstream: MH09 & MH10MH09 (Forest) MH10 (Forest)
% Slope 5.3 % Slope 8.5
Level 1: % Forest 72.8 % Forest 70.7
LDI 1.7 LDI 2.2
Level 3: IBI Score 59.1 IBI Score 79.3
Beck's Index 14 Beck's Index 23
% Nut. Int. 3.4 % Nut. Int. 24.7
% Nut. Tol. 0.8 % Nut. Tol. 0
MH09 (Forest) MH10 (Forest)
Level 2: Buffer Score 0.80 Buffer Score 0.75
FP-W Cond. 0.57 FP-W Cond. 0.63
SWR Index 0.67 SWR Index 0.79
Flow Status 10 Flow Status 15
Bank Cond. 10 Bank Cond. 16
Graz. Press. 17 Graz. Press. 19
Rip. Zone 17 Rip. Zone 19
SHA Score 164 SHA Score 187
PROBABLE SCENARIO: • Sites along treated reach better
condition but…• MH11 & MH09 probably impacted
more by low flows; • Effects from WIP implementation
may be affected by wet/dry years
#*MH18
Site Comparisons: Mahantango Mainstem
#*MH15
MH18
MH15
Minimum Till→Min. Till w Cover Crop
Minimum Till→Min. Till w Cover Crop
Minimum Till→Grass Buffer
#*MH18
#*MH15
Total Contributing Area Av WIP %
Pollutant MH18 MH15 WQ Standard Reduction
NO3 (mg/L) (Winter) 0.70 0.63 0.06 - 1.0 mg/L 25
TP (mg/L) (Winter) 1.91 1.57 0.025 to 0.037 mg/L 26
MH18
MH15
Site Comparisons: Mahantango Mainstem
MH18--downstream MH15--upstream
MH18 MH15
% Slope 12.3 4.4
Level 1: % Forest 75.5 10.8
LDI 1.8 5.1
Level 3: IBI Score 56.5 43.1
Beck's Index 10.0 2.0
% Nut. Int. 2.9 0.4
% Nut. Tol. 0.8 3.7
MH18 MH15
Level 2: Buffer Score 0.64 0.10
FP-W Cond. 0.54 0.38
SWR Index 0.74 0.69
Flow Status 19 18
Bank Cond. 12 12
Graz. Press. 18 12
Rip. Zone 18 12
SHA Score 186 139PROBABLE SCENARIO: • Forested site probably best expected; high quality wetland areas in riparian zone• Key focus on stream restoration in the mainstem and nutrient/sediment reductions in
headwaters.
A Final Note on Nitrate
Riparian corridors generate a diversity of
ecosystem services
www.beslter.org
PROCESSING OF NITRATE IN INCISED STREAMS
Denitrification Potential in Various Stream Features
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
OrganicDebris Dam
Gravel Bar Pool Riffle MuckyGravel Bar
VegetatedGravel Bar
Baltimore Ecosystem Study LTER (www.beslter.org)
Den
itri
fica
tio
n P
ote
nti
al (
µgN
/kg
/h
**Highest in areas with highest organic matter content
#*
#*#*
#*
#*
#*
#*#*MH21
MH07
MH05
MH04
MH03MH02
MH01
MH21M
MH07 MH03
MH04
MH01
Changes Along Stream Reach in WE38MH07 (Forest), MH03, MH04, MH01 (Minimal Tillage & Permanent Pasture)
MH07 MH01 MH03 MH04
MH07 MH04 MH03 MH01
% Slope 13.5 5.4 10.6 1.3
Level 1: % Forest 94.2 0.0 0.0 13.7
LDI 1.2 4.2 3.9 3.8
Level 3: IBI Score 72.5 46.1 54.4 31.1
Beck's Index 28.0 7.0 15.0 4.0
% Nut. Int. 31.4 0.9 2.9 0.0
% Nut. Tol. 0.0 0.9 0.4 0.0
MH07 MH04 MH03 MH01
Level 2: Buffer Score 0.75 0.21 0.00 0.21
FP-W Cond. 0.66 0.33 0.39 0.45
SWR Index 0.70 0.56 0.67 0.59
Flow Status 10 18 16 18
Bank Cond. 19 4 13 6
Graz. Press. 18 9 5 3
Rip. Zone 18 9 5 3
SHA Score 169 122 129 103
PROBABLE SCENARIO: • Most likely physical habitat changes brought
about by agriculture and excessive grazing• MH04 very wet and may be critical source
area; prioritize over MH01 & MH03?
SUMMARY
• Relationships between model outputs of nutrients and sediment with ecological condition easily confounded by other variables
• Using models to target hotspots for improving water quality should include additional information on biological condition coupled with local knowledge or current issues and practices.
2. Multiple modeling and ecosystem approaches indicate that space, place, and time of stressor and management-related activities matter greatly.
4. The 3 main factors driving watershed simulation success include: 1) expertise on the science, the application and limitations of model; 2) the quality and availability of data; and 3) local watershed stakeholder feedback