clivar 11 th -12 th -13 th february 2009. a 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3d model:...

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CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009 . A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G. Sotillo, E. Álvarez-Fanjul, D. Gomis, P. Oddo, J.M. Baldasano.

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Page 1: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

.

A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model:

steric effect in sea level variability

M.I. Ferrer, M.G. Sotillo, E. Álvarez-Fanjul, D. Gomis, P. Oddo, J.M. Baldasano.

Page 2: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Index

VANIMEDAT Project & Objectives Oceanic Model: NEMO Hindcast configuration Validation Conclusions

Page 3: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Project & Objectives

VANIMEDAT project (funded by Ministerio de Educación y Ciencia) Sea level decadal and interdecadal variability in the Mediterranean Sea.

o Direct determination of the steric component from a baroclinic model forced by HIPOCAS air-sea fluxes.

o Run 44 years (1958-2001) NEMO model using HIPOCAS atmospheric forcing.

Data base used to study variability in the Mediterranean Sea and Iberian Atlantic Waters

Page 4: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Model: NEMO

NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for oceanographic research, operational oceanography seasonal forecast and climate studies.

o Ocean dynamics: NEMO-OPA

Evolution and reliability of NEMO are organised by a European Consortium between

o CNRS (Centre National de la recherque scientifique)o Mercator-Oceano UKMO (Met Office)o NERC (Natural Environment Research Council)

Website: www.nemo-ocean.eu

Page 5: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Hindcast configuration

Model domain Horizontal res. 1/8º Vertical res. 72 levels 14ºW-36.25ºE 30.25ºN-46ºN

Initial conditions: T/S ORCA model (resolution 1/4º)

Global ocean-ice model for a long simulation (1958-2004)

Initial salinityInitial temperature

Bathymetry (m)

Initial salinity Initial temperatureInitial temperatureInitial temperature

Page 6: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Hindcast configuration

Forcing:o Atmospheric forcing with bulk formula: HIPOCAS data

base time resolution: hourly spatial resolution ~0.5º

o Relaxation to surface ORCA salinity time resolution: monthly files spatial resolution 1/4º

o Atlantic damping to salinity and temperature (ORCA) in a buffer zone

Page 7: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Hindcast configuration

Forcing:o Atmospheric forcing with bulk formula: HIPOCAS data

base time resolution: hourly spatial resolution ~0.5º

o Relaxation to surface ORCA salinity time resolution: monthly files spatial resolution 1/4º

o Atlantic damping to salinity and temperature (ORCA) in a buffer zone

Page 8: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Hindcast configuration

Initial configuration (bathymetry, rivers) from INGV (Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna)

Bulk formulation from INGV Linear free surface filtered formulation MPI parallel mode

The 44-years hindcast is running at Marenostrum supercomputer located in Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC)

Page 9: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Validation

Validation first period January 1991 to November 2001o Time series of surface salinity, temperature.

o RMSE

Data sets:o AVHRR SST

o Medatlas Climatology

o ORCA model

Page 10: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Surface Temperature Monthly Mean

Satellite (green)

NEMO (black)

ORCA (blue)

Page 11: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Surface Temperature differences

NEMO-Sat

(black)

ORCA-Sat

(blue)

Page 12: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Surface Salinity Monthly Mean

Medatlas (red)

NEMO (black)

ORCA (blue)

Page 13: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

RMSE Medatlas Salinity

Page 14: CLIVAR 11 th -12 th -13 th February 2009. A 44 years ocean circulation hindcast using a 3D model: steric effect in sea level variability M.I. Ferrer, M.G

CLIVAR 11th-12th-13th February 2009

Conclusions

An ocean reanalysis tool based on a 3D baroclinic model forced by hourly HIPOCAS data has been developed.

Extensive validation for the period 1991-2001 show good agreement with data.

The generated data will be useful to study ocean climate variability, upgrading the HIPOCAS database.

The model application is a powerful tool to generate future scenarios.