Climate ChangeAgreeing the QuestionKeith Clarke 23 May 2008

Apology and IndulgenceExcellent work by Sunand RIBA

ICE is moving quickly

Significant contributions to the Sustainability Policy for Construction being launched 11 June 2008

Rather than RecapUmbrella values and priorities we can take to our members

Basics but basics that for many are completely new

START THE DISCUSSION WHERE AL GORES LECTURE STOPPED

If you dont like the Hollywood versionStern Report - seminal work

WWF- one planet

+ many, many others

Climate Change is real!

Urgent action on CARBON is vital if we are to:

-mitigate the current trend

-prevent a tipping point being reached

Common QuestionsWhat about population growth?What about China?What about USA?What about existing housing stock?What about cars and fuel cells?What about being competitive?What about energy costs?What about heritage?What about adaptation vs. mitigationWhat about leaving our children a society that stands the vaguest chance of working?

Sustainability model by Prof. Pierce4 types of capital was startlingly incisive

When it was done!

Sophisticated economic model balancing the entire ranges of soft and hard assets

TOO LATE

Climate change fundamentally changes the worlds priorities

Why Carbon?It is a good proxy for most issues It stops worthy debates and starts to force informed choices It is a direct issue to engage clients in Its a thread to pull and pull hard, in arguably the most complex issue for the world today

Carbon - shorthandNot actually technically correct for some industriesBuilt environment, carbon is a reasonable proxy for resources, energy, waste whole life and if the model is reasonably technically sound, social inclusion and biodiversity issues follow.

CARBON AS THE THREADIf we accept carbon as the key proxy, the way into the issue, what does it change?

Is it a try harder scenario?Is it a radical change to the design process, the inclusion of a new determinant?

Atkins firmly believes its the latter and the amount we dont know is staggering.

Carbon - UKShadow carbon price 50/tonneProjects being evaluated now for carbon affordability!Future departments to have a carbon budget

Private sector work new or where Government has a locus:Carbon rationingCarbon pricingCarbon tradingCarbon standards

Where Government does not have a locus?

Built EnvironmentBuildingsUtilitiesTransportation infrastructurePublic spaceEnergy suppliesBoth have embedded and whole lifeCalculation for what carbon VERY, VERY IMMATURE!Perfect for Banks!

Common QuestionsWhat about population growth?What about China?What about USA?What about existing housing stock?What about cars and fuel cells?What about being competitive?What about energy costs?What about heritage?What about adaptation vs. mitigationWhat about leaving our children a society that stands the vaguest chance of working?

What can CIC do?